FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayHORIZON

3:0

HomeAMERICA-EAST

Oakland def. Binghamton 3–0

(25-21, 25-19, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
OAK	25	25	25	3
BINGHA	21	19	23	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BINGHA above 50 · OAK below

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Oakland — set 3, OAK 25-23 BINGHA. Kill by Molly Reck (set by Delaney Stern). BINGHA win probability 4% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

OAK 53.8%46.2% BINGHA

Oakland wins

3-0

14.2%

3-1

20.3%

3-2

19.3%

Binghamton wins

3-0

11.0%

3-1

17.2%

3-2

18.1%

OAK break %: 42.4% vs this opp
BINGHA break %: 41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Molly ReckKill+4.5%
Kill by Molly Reck (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 3 · OAK 25-23 BINGHA · OAK 96% → 100%
02
OAK serverAce+4.0%
Oakland ace on Team
Set 3 · OAK 23-21 BINGHA · OAK 92% → 96%
03
Sophia ChristoffersKill+3.6%
Kill by Sophia Christoffers (set by Maia Marin)
Set 3 · OAK 21-21 BINGHA · BINGHA 7% → 11%
04
Liv HosfordKill+3.1%
Kill by Liv Hosford (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 3 · OAK 22-21 BINGHA · OAK 89% → 92%
05
Maddie JippingKill+2.9%
Kill by Maddie Jipping (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 1 · OAK 12-9 BINGHA · OAK 59% → 62%
06
Lillian FriasKill+2.9%
Kill by Lillian Frias (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 1 · OAK 19-15 BINGHA · OAK 64% → 67%
07
BINGHA serverAce+2.9%
Binghamton ace on Kiley Gallagher
Set 1 · OAK 17-15 BINGHA · BINGHA 36% → 38%
08
Molly ReckKill+2.8%
Kill by Molly Reck (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 3 · OAK 24-21 BINGHA · OAK 96% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Oaklandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Molly ReckOH	3	19	2	41	.415	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	19
14Liv HosfordOH	3	14	4	27	.370	0	1	1	11	0	1	0.5	15.5
10Lillian FriasMB	3	10	2	20	.400	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	10.5
8Ellen ZappMB	3	8	3	19	.263	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
18Maddie JippingOPP	3	6	5	18	.056	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	6
15Delaney SternS	3	1	0	3	.333	52	0	0	10	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Kalliann CookL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	3	2	2	11	0	0	0	2
3Kiley GallagherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	7	1	0	0	0
12Ella SchomerOPP	1	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	17	136	.301	58	3	5	53	3	4	2	75

Binghamtonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Maya Coblentz-BrownOH	3	10	2	22	.364	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10
12Viktoria DimitrovaOH	3	8	3	35	.143	1	0	0	5	1	3	1.5	9.5
11Hannah OlmsteadMB	3	4	1	6	.500	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
24Magi MilicevicOH	3	4	1	9	.333	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	4
23Francesca PierdonatiMB	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
4Regan KadelS	3	0	0	2	.000	14	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
7Eleanor DorritieOH	3	4	0	12	.333	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
9Maia MarinS	3	1	0	2	.500	16	1	2	6	0	0	0	2
22Briana BinagiOH	3	0	0	3	.000	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	1
2Celeste OcampoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	19	1	0	0	1
21Sophia ChristoffersOH	1	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
19Selestine Liu AsomuaOH	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		37	8	108	.269	36	3	4	49	3	9	4.5	63

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 OAK · BINGHA 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 OAKBINGHA 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 OAKBINGHA 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 OAKBINGHA 4

Bars above the line = Binghamton leads, below = Oakland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Oakland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	36%4/11
2	57%8/14	53%9/17
3	75%6/8	50%6/12
4	67%6/9	54%7/13
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	75%6/8	40%4/10
All	63%41/65	47%34/73

Binghamton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	43%6/14
2	70%7/10	38%5/13
3	43%6/14	36%4/11
4	50%6/12	25%2/8
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	60%6/10	33%3/9
All	53%39/73	37%24/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	OAK-BINGHA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BINGHA	OAK×4	Kill	Maddie Jipping	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
2	2-0	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+2.5
3	3-0	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.4
4	4-0	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
5	4-1	OAK	BINGHA	Attack err	Maddie Jipping		+1.4
6	5-1	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.6
7	5-2	OAK	BINGHA	Serve err	OAK server		+1.5
8	5-3	BINGHA	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Regan Kadel	+2.3
9	6-3	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
10	6-4	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+1.7
11	7-4	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.9
12	8-4	OAK	OAK	Bad set	Maia Marin		+2.3
13	8-5	OAK	BINGHA×3	Kill	Eleanor Dorritie	set Maia Marin	+1.5
14	8-6	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Attack err	Ellen Zapp	blk Hannah Olmstead, Viktoria Dimitrova	+2.4
15	8-7	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Kill	Hannah Olmstead	set Maia Marin	+2.7
16	9-7	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.1
17	9-8	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Maia Marin	+2.0
18	10-8	BINGHA	OAK	Serve err	BINGHA server		+2.2
19	10-9	OAK	BINGHA	Attack err	Liv Hosford		+2.1
20	11-9	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
21	12-9	OAK	OAK	Kill	Maddie Jipping	set Delaney Stern	+2.9
22	12-10	OAK	BINGHA	Attack err	Maddie Jipping		+1.9
23	13-10	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Maddie Jipping	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
24	13-11	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Celeste Ocampo	+1.9
25	14-11	BINGHA	OAK×3	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
26	15-11	OAK	OAK×3	Attack err	Maya Coblentz-Brown		+2.7
27	16-11	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Molly Reck	set Kiley Gallagher	+2.2
28	16-12	OAK	BINGHA	Bad set	Delaney Stern		+1.2
29	16-13	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Molly Reck	blk Eleanor Dorritie, Hannah Olmstead	+2.2
30	17-13	BINGHA	OAK	Serve err	BINGHA server		+2.0
31	17-14	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Hannah Olmstead	set Eleanor Dorritie	+1.6
32	17-15	BINGHA	BINGHA	Ace	BINGHA server	aced Kiley Gallagher	+2.9
33	18-15	BINGHA	OAK×3	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
34	19-15	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+2.9
35	20-15	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.1
36	20-16	OAK	BINGHA	Serve err	OAK server		+0.9
37	20-17	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Lillian Frias		+2.0
38	21-17	BINGHA	OAK×4	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.1
39	22-17	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Maddie Jipping	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
40	23-17	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Maddie Jipping	set Delaney Stern	+0.9
41	24-17	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+0.3
42	24-18	OAK	BINGHA×4	Kill	Maia Marin	set Celeste Ocampo	+0.0
43	24-19	BINGHA	BINGHA×4	Attack err	Lillian Frias		+0.1
44	24-20	BINGHA	BINGHA×4	Attack err	Maddie Jipping		+0.3
45	24-21	BINGHA	BINGHA×4	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+0.7
46	25-21	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.2
Set 2
1	0-1	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Regan Kadel	+1.8
2	0-2	BINGHA	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Maia Marin	+2.4
3	1-2	BINGHA	OAK	Serve err	BINGHA server		+1.7
4	1-3	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Hannah Olmstead	set Maia Marin	+1.8
5	2-3	BINGHA	OAK×3	Serve err	BINGHA server		+1.7
6	3-3	OAK	OAK×3	Ace	OAK server	aced Viktoria Dimitrova	+2.5
7	4-3	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
8	4-4	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Eleanor Dorritie	set Maia Marin	+1.9
9	5-4	BINGHA	OAK×3	Kill	Maddie Jipping	set Delaney Stern	+1.9
10	6-4	OAK	OAK×3	Attack err	Viktoria Dimitrova		+2.6
11	7-4	OAK	OAK×3	Bad set	Francesca Pierdonati		+2.5
12	7-5	OAK	BINGHA	Attack err	Liv Hosford		+1.7
13	7-6	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Ellen Zapp		+2.5
14	8-6	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+2.0
15	9-6	OAK	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
16	9-7	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+1.7
17	10-7	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+1.9
18	11-7	OAK	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Kiley Gallagher	+2.4
19	11-8	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+1.5
20	12-8	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
21	12-9	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Magi Milicevic	+1.5
22	13-9	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
23	14-9	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Viktoria Dimitrova		+2.1
24	14-10	OAK	BINGHA×3	Serve err	OAK server		+1.2
25	14-11	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Attack err	Maddie Jipping	blk Hannah Olmstead, Viktoria Dimitrova	+2.1
26	14-12	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Maia Marin	+2.6
27	15-12	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
28	16-12	OAK	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
29	16-13	OAK	BINGHA	Serve err	OAK server		+1.5
30	17-13	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.9
31	18-13	OAK	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+2.1
32	18-14	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Francesca Pierdonati	set Maia Marin	+1.1
33	19-14	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+1.5
34	19-15	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+1.0
35	19-16	BINGHA	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+2.0
36	20-16	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.0
37	20-17	OAK	BINGHA	Attack err	Liv Hosford		+1.4
38	21-17	BINGHA	OAK	Attack err	Maya Coblentz-Brown	blk Lillian Frias, Liv Hosford	+2.0
39	22-17	OAK	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+1.8
40	22-18	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Hannah Olmstead	set Regan Kadel	+0.6
41	23-18	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.1
42	23-19	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Eleanor Dorritie	set Maia Marin	+0.4
43	24-19	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+0.9
44	25-19	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Magi Milicevic		+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Maddie Jipping		+1.6
2	1-1	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+1.1
3	2-1	OAK	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.6
4	2-2	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Magi Milicevic	set Viktoria Dimitrova	+1.2
5	3-2	BINGHA	OAK×3	Attack err	Hannah Olmstead		+1.2
6	4-2	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.6
7	5-2	OAK	OAK×3	Ace	OAK server	aced Celeste Ocampo	+1.5
8	5-3	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Maia Marin	+1.1
9	5-4	BINGHA	BINGHA	Ace	BINGHA server	aced Team	+1.6
10	6-4	BINGHA	OAK×3	Kill	Molly Reck	set Kalliann Cook	+1.2
11	7-4	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Delaney Stern	set Maddie Jipping	+1.6
12	8-4	OAK	OAK×3	Attack err	Francesca Pierdonati		+1.5
13	8-5	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Maia Marin	+1.0
14	8-6	BINGHA	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Celeste Ocampo	+1.5
15	9-6	BINGHA	OAK	Attack err	Viktoria Dimitrova	blk Ellen Zapp, Delaney Stern	+1.2
16	9-7	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+1.1
17	10-7	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+1.3
18	11-7	OAK	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.6
19	11-8	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova	set Regan Kadel	+1.0
20	11-9	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Ellen Zapp		+1.6
21	12-9	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.3
22	12-10	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Sophia Christoffers	set Regan Kadel	+1.2
23	13-10	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+1.4
24	14-10	OAK	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.7
25	14-11	OAK	BINGHA×4	Kill	Sophia Christoffers	set Maia Marin	+1.0
26	14-12	BINGHA	BINGHA×4	Attack err	Liv Hosford	blk Viktoria Dimitrova, Eleanor Dorritie, Selestine Liu Asomua	+1.7
27	14-13	BINGHA	BINGHA×4	Attack err	Molly Reck		+2.0
28	14-14	BINGHA	BINGHA×4	Kill	Viktoria Dimitrova		+2.3
29	15-14	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.7
30	15-15	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Selestine Liu Asomua	set Maia Marin	+1.7
31	16-15	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
32	16-16	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Eleanor Dorritie	set Maia Marin	+1.8
33	17-16	BINGHA	OAK×3	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.9
34	18-16	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
35	19-16	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.3
36	19-17	OAK	BINGHA	Serve err	OAK server		+1.4
37	20-17	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+1.8
38	20-18	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+1.4
39	21-18	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
40	21-19	OAK	BINGHA×3	Kill	Maya Coblentz-Brown	set Regan Kadel	+1.3
41	21-20	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Ace	BINGHA server	aced Molly Reck	+2.7
42	21-21	BINGHA	BINGHA×3	Kill	Sophia Christoffers	set Maia Marin	+3.6
43	22-21	BINGHA	OAK×3	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+3.1
44	23-21	OAK	OAK×3	Ace	OAK server	aced Team	+4.0
45	24-21	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.8
46	24-22	OAK	BINGHA	Kill	Sophia Christoffers	set Maia Marin	+0.8
47	24-23	BINGHA	BINGHA	Attack err	Ella Schomer		+2.6
48	25-23	BINGHA	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+4.5

Score shown after each rally, Oakland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.