CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 2, 2026
Oakland logo

AwayHORIZON

3:1

Oakland def. Central Mich. 31

(29-27, 25-20, 20-25, 25-17)
Set1234Sets
OAK292520253
C MICH272025171

RallyIQ model

Win probability

C MICH above 50 · OAK below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100C MICHOAKBiggest swing +6.2% C MICH · S1 25-26rally 188 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.2% to Central Mich. — set 1, OAK 25-26 C MICH. Central Mich. ace on Liv Hosford. C MICH win probability 13%20%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

OAK 89.4%10.6% C MICH

Oakland wins

3-0
43.5%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%

Central Mich. wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.9%
OAK break %
47.6% vs this opp
C MICH break %
38.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    C MICH serverAce+6.2%

    Central Mich. ace on Liv Hosford

    Set 1 · OAK 25-26 C MICH · C MICH 13%20%

  2. 02
    Taylor CripeAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Taylor Cripe

    Set 1 · OAK 24-23 C MICH · OAK 85%90%

  3. 03
    Taylor CripeAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Taylor Cripe

    Set 1 · OAK 28-27 C MICH · OAK 85%90%

  4. 04
    Lillian FriasKill+4.7%

    Kill by Lillian Frias (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 1 · OAK 26-26 C MICH · OAK 80%85%

  5. 05
    OAK serverService error+4.7%

    Oakland service error

    Set 1 · OAK 26-27 C MICH · C MICH 15%20%

  6. 06
    Taylor CripeAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Taylor Cripe

    Set 1 · OAK 27-27 C MICH · OAK 80%85%

  7. 07
    Lillian FriasKill+4.2%

    Kill by Lillian Frias (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 1 · OAK 29-27 C MICH · OAK 90%95%

  8. 08
    Liv HosfordKill+3.8%

    Kill by Liv Hosford (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 1 · OAK 22-22 C MICH · OAK 82%86%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418341.36621280010.519.5
410221.3810002012212
4309.333451090010.54.5
39627.111101820009
37625.04000030010.57.5
3027-.28601020010.51.5
4000014600001
40006011900000
4000001000000
37619.053111300008
2116.000010300002
1506.833000000005
Team totals6026161.2115561063416499
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416849.1631017020218
410318.3890032014313
45116.250000000216
43211.0913123900216
33111.182000401014
2135-.40000100010.51.5
46113.38500030153.59.5
400062040010.52.5
4001.0004011730000
4000100810000
4000002700000
33213.07700120010.53.5
11011.000000000001
1000000010000
Team totals4821138.196434126365161389

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 OAK · C MICH 7

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 5 OAKC MICH 7

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 OAKC MICH 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 OAKC MICH 6

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 OAKC MICH 3

Bars above the line = Central Mich. leads, below = Oakland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Oakland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
27%3/11
2
71%10/14
47%9/19
3
71%10/14
57%13/23
4
50%9/18
44%7/16
5
64%9/14
31%4/13
6
58%7/12
50%8/16
All
61%55/90
45%44/98

Central Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
57%12/21
2
42%10/24
29%4/14
3
67%10/15
29%4/14
4
47%9/19
47%9/19
5
73%8/11
36%5/14
6
58%7/12
13%1/8
All
55%54/98
39%35/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

188 rallies

Rally log

#OAK-C MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0C MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Liv Hosford+0.8
21-1OAKC MICH×3KillTaylor Cripeset Ceci Bustamante+0.8
31-2C MICHC MICH×3KillTaylor Cripeset Ceci Bustamante+1.3
41-3C MICHC MICH×3Attack errLiv Hosford+1.4
52-3C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+1.0
62-4OAKC MICHAttack errMaddie Jipping+1.1
72-5C MICHC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.6
83-5C MICHOAKKillMaddie Jippingset Delaney Stern+1.0
93-6OAKC MICHKillBrytn Lyonset Delaney Stern+1.3
104-6C MICHOAKKillMaddie Jippingset Delaney Stern+1.1
114-7OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+1.3
125-7C MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.1
135-8OAKC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Audrey Hackney+1.4
146-8C MICHOAKAttack errJaliyah Cohnes+1.1
156-9OAKC MICHAttack errGrace Cooneyblk Jaliyah Cohnes+1.4
167-9C MICHOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.2
177-10OAKC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.4
188-10C MICHOAK×5KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.2
199-10OAKOAK×5Attack errTaylor Cripe+1.7
2010-10OAKOAK×5Attack errMeisha Sykes+1.6
2111-10OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.5
2212-10OAKOAK×5KillMaddie Jippingset Delaney Stern+1.3
2312-11OAKC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.0
2412-12C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.6
2513-12C MICHOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.2
2613-13OAKC MICH×7KillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+1.3
2713-14C MICHC MICH×7Attack errMolly Reckblk Brenna Storz, Teyhlor Thomas+2.0
2813-15C MICHC MICH×7KillBrenna Storzset Audrey Hackney+2.3
2913-16C MICHC MICH×7Attack errMaddie Jippingblk Taylor Cripe+2.4
3013-17C MICHC MICH×7KillMolly Reckset Audrey Hackney+2.3
3113-18C MICHC MICH×7Attack errEllen Zappblk Teyhlor Thomas, Brenna Storz+2.1
3213-19C MICHC MICH×7AceC MICH serveraced Team+1.7
3314-19C MICHOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.7
3415-19OAKOAKKillLillian Frias+1.4
3515-20OAKC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Audrey Hackney+1.6
3616-20C MICHOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.9
3716-21OAKC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Audrey Hackney+1.6
3817-21C MICHOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.8
3917-22OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+1.5
4018-22C MICHOAK×5KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.7
4119-22OAKOAK×5Attack errMeisha Sykes+1.5
4220-22OAKOAK×5AceOAK serveraced Ceci Bustamante+2.2
4321-22OAKOAK×5KillMaddie Jippingset Delaney Stern+3.0
4422-22OAKOAK×5KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+3.8
4522-23OAKC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+3.7
4623-23C MICHOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+3.3
4724-23OAKOAKAttack errTaylor Cripe+5.2
4824-24OAKC MICHAttack errMolly Reckblk Audrey Hackney, Meisha Sykes+3.8
4925-24C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+3.8
5025-25OAKC MICHAttack errLillian Frias+3.8
5125-26C MICHC MICHAceC MICH serveraced Liv Hosford+6.2
5226-26C MICHOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+4.7
5326-27OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+4.7
5427-27C MICHOAK×3Attack errTaylor Cripe+4.7
5528-27OAKOAK×3Attack errTaylor Cripe+5.2
5629-27OAKOAK×3KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+4.2
Set 2
11-0OAKOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.7
21-1OAKC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.6
32-1C MICHOAKKillMaddie Jippingset Delaney Stern+0.5
43-1OAKOAKKillMaddie Jippingset Delaney Stern+0.7
53-2OAKC MICHKillCheyenne Gunnerset Brytn Lyon+0.5
64-2C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.5
74-3OAKC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.5
84-4C MICHC MICHAttack errLillian Frias+0.8
95-4C MICHOAK×3KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.6
106-4OAKOAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.7
117-4OAKOAK×3AceOAK serveraced Team+0.6
127-5OAKC MICHKillCheyenne Gunnerset Brytn Lyon+0.5
138-5C MICHOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.5
148-6OAKC MICHAttack errLiv Hosfordblk Brenna Storz, Brytn Lyon+0.5
159-6C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.5
169-7OAKC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.5
1710-7C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.5
1811-7OAKOAKAttack errMeisha Sykesblk Grace Cooney+0.6
1911-8OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+0.4
2012-8C MICHOAKAttack errCheyenne Gunner+0.4
2113-8OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+0.4
2213-9OAKC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Ceci Bustamante+0.3
2314-9C MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.3
2414-10OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+0.3
2515-10C MICHOAKKillDelaney Sternset Lillian Frias+0.3
2615-11OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+0.3
2716-11C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.3
2816-12OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+0.3
2916-13C MICHC MICHKillMeisha Sykes+0.5
3017-13C MICHOAK×4KillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.5
3118-13OAKOAK×4Attack errBrytn Lyon+0.5
3219-13OAKOAK×4KillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.3
3320-13OAKOAK×4KillLiv Hosfordset Kalliann Cook+0.2
3420-14OAKC MICH×4KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.1
3520-15C MICHC MICH×4Attack errMaddie Jipping+0.2
3620-16C MICHC MICH×4AceC MICH serveraced Liv Hosford+0.3
3720-17C MICHC MICH×4AceC MICH serveraced Team+0.5
3821-17C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.5
3921-18OAKC MICHAttack errMaddie Jipping+0.4
4022-18C MICHOAKAttack errTaylor Cripe+0.5
4123-18OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+0.4
4223-19OAKC MICHAttack errLillian Friasblk Teyhlor Thomas+0.1
4324-19C MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.2
4424-20OAKC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.1
4525-20C MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.1
Set 3
10-1C MICHC MICH×6KillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.4
20-2C MICHC MICH×6KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.5
30-3C MICHC MICH×6KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.5
40-4C MICHC MICH×6Attack errMolly Reck+0.5
50-5C MICHC MICH×6KillTaylor Cripe+0.5
60-6C MICHC MICH×6Attack errLiv Hosford+0.5
71-6C MICHOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.3
81-7OAKC MICHAttack errMaddie Jipping+0.4
91-8C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.5
102-8C MICHOAK×5Attack errTaylor Cripeblk Grace Cooney, Maddie Jipping+0.3
113-8OAKOAK×5Attack errBrenna Storz+0.4
124-8OAKOAK×5KillDelaney Sternset Molly Reck+0.5
135-8OAKOAK×5KillMaddie Jippingset Kalliann Cook+0.5
146-8OAKOAK×5KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.5
156-9OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+0.5
167-9C MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.4
178-9OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+0.5
188-10OAKC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.5
199-10C MICHOAK×4Serve errC MICH server+0.4
2010-10OAKOAK×4Attack errTeyhlor Thomas+0.5
2111-10OAKOAK×4Attack errTaylor Cripe+0.5
2212-10OAKOAK×4KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.4
2312-11OAKC MICHAttack errLiv Hosfordblk Teyhlor Thomas, Brytn Lyon+0.3
2413-11C MICHOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.3
2514-11OAKOAKAceOAK serveraced Alexis Carper+0.4
2614-12OAKC MICHKillCheyenne Gunnerset Ceci Bustamante+0.3
2715-12C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.3
2815-13OAKC MICHAttack errMaddie Jippingblk Taylor Cripe+0.3
2915-14C MICHC MICHAttack errGrace Cooney+0.5
3016-14C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.4
3116-15OAKC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.4
3217-15C MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.4
3317-16OAKC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.4
3417-17C MICHC MICHAttack errLillian Friasblk Brenna Storz+0.7
3518-17C MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.5
3618-18OAKC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.6
3718-19C MICHC MICHAttack errLillian Frias+1.0
3819-19C MICHOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.7
3919-20OAKC MICH×5KillTeyhlor Thomasset Brytn Lyon+0.8
4019-21C MICHC MICH×5Attack errLiv Hosfordblk Teyhlor Thomas, Lilly Mullholand+1.2
4119-22C MICHC MICH×5Attack errLillian Frias+1.1
4219-23C MICHC MICH×5KillTeyhlor Thomas+0.9
4319-24C MICHC MICH×5Attack errLiv Hosfordblk Teyhlor Thomas, Lilly Mullholand+0.5
4420-24C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.1
4520-25OAKC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomasset Brytn Lyon+0.2
Set 4
10-1OAKC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+1.3
21-1C MICHOAK×3KillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.1
32-1OAKOAK×3AceOAK serveraced Ceci Bustamante+1.4
43-1OAKOAK×3KillGrace Cooney+1.3
53-2OAKC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.0
63-3C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.6
74-3C MICHOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.1
85-3OAKOAK×5KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.4
96-3OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.2
107-3OAKOAK×5KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.0
118-3OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.8
128-4OAKC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.5
139-4C MICHOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+0.6
149-5OAKC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.6
1510-5C MICHOAKAttack errTaylor Cripe+0.6
1610-6OAKC MICHAttack errEllen Zappblk Brenna Storz, Cheyenne Gunner+0.6
1711-6C MICHOAKServe errC MICH server+0.6
1811-7OAKC MICH×3KillBrytn Lyonset Taylor Cripe+0.6
1911-8C MICHC MICH×3KillTeyhlor Thomas+1.0
2011-9C MICHC MICH×3Attack errElla Martin+1.3
2112-9C MICHOAKAttack errCheyenne Gunnerblk Delaney Stern, Grace Cooney+1.0
2213-9OAKOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.2
2313-10OAKC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomasset Brytn Lyon+0.8
2413-11C MICHC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+1.4
2514-11C MICHOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.1
2614-12OAKC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+1.1
2715-12C MICHOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.2
2815-13OAKC MICHKillBrytn Lyonset Addison Samolinski+1.1
2916-13C MICHOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+1.2
3017-13OAKOAK×5AceOAK serveraced Addison Samolinski+1.3
3118-13OAKOAK×5KillDelaney Sternset Molly Reck+0.9
3219-13OAKOAK×5Attack errBrytn Lyon+0.6
3320-13OAKOAK×5Attack errBrenna Storzblk Ellen Zapp, Molly Reck+0.3
3420-14OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+0.1
3520-15C MICHC MICHBad setKalliann Cook+0.3
3621-15C MICHOAKAttack errBrenna Storz+0.4
3721-16OAKC MICHServe errOAK server+0.2
3822-16C MICHOAK×3KillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+0.3
3923-16OAKOAK×3KillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.2
4024-16OAKOAK×3AceOAK serveraced Ceci Bustamante+0.0
4124-17OAKC MICHKillKarla Sanchez Georgeset Audrey Hackney+0.0
4225-17C MICHOAKAttack errLilly Mullholand+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Oakland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.