FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

Oakland def. Eastern Mich. 3–0

Oakland beat visiting Eastern Mich. 3-0 (25-19, 25-16, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Oakland's Lillian Frias led with 11 kills, and Liv Hosford added 10 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
E MICH1916200
OAK2525253

Win probability

Oakland above 50 · Eastern Mich. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.7% OAKrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.7% to Oakland — set 1, E MICH 7-9 OAK. Kill by Lillian Frias (set by Delaney Stern). OAK win probability 63% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E MICH 39.3%60.7% OAK

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
8.5%
3-1
14.3%
3-2
16.5%

Oakland wins

3-0
17.6%
3-1
23.2%
3-2
19.9%
E MICH break %
42.2% vs this opp
OAK break %
44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lillian FriasKill+2.7%

    Kill by Lillian Frias (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 1 · E MICH 7-9 OAK · OAK 63% → 66%

  2. 02
    Eastern Mich.Ace+2.7%

    Eastern Mich. ace on Molly Reck

    Set 2 · E MICH 10-10 OAK · E MICH 21% → 23%

  3. 03
    Ellen ZappKill+2.7%

    Kill by Ellen Zapp (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 2 · E MICH 10-12 OAK · OAK 79% → 81%

  4. 04
    Molly ReckAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Molly Reck

    Set 1 · E MICH 6-6 OAK · E MICH 36% → 39%

  5. 05
    Natalie SlusherAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Natalie Slusher

    Set 1 · E MICH 4-5 OAK · OAK 61% → 63%

  6. 06
    Azra EriçAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Azra Eriç

    Set 1 · E MICH 4-4 OAK · OAK 58% → 61%

  7. 07
    Eastern Mich.Ace+2.5%

    Eastern Mich. ace on Kiley Gallagher

    Set 1 · E MICH 3-1 OAK · E MICH 41% → 44%

  8. 08
    Lillian FriasKill+2.5%

    Kill by Lillian Frias

    Set 1 · E MICH 7-10 OAK · OAK 66% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37523.087000320007
36318.16700020010.56.5
3114.000251300006
35011.455000100005
32310-.10000100212.54.5
3103.3331900700001
35212.250000001016
3000–111400001
3002.000200500000
3000–002500000
25310.200000000005
2003.000400200000
1000–000100000
Team totals321796.156286533432455
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311121.47600010111.512.5
38215.4002017004210
37219.26300094010.57.5
35416.063110100111.57.5
3405.8003321300006
3000–000210000
310222.36400010031.511.5
3001.000111500001
1102.500000000001
Team totals4611101.3473743386210775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 E MICH · OAK 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 E MICHOAK 7

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 E MICHOAK 7

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 E MICHOAK 5

Bars above the line = Oakland leads, below = Eastern Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
0%0/5
2
43%6/14
57%8/14
3
40%6/15
45%5/11
4
50%6/12
40%4/10
5
38%5/13
40%4/10
6
40%4/10
17%1/6
All
45%33/74
39%22/56

Oakland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
63%10/16
2
43%6/14
50%6/12
3
67%6/9
63%10/16
4
55%6/11
45%5/11
5
83%5/6
64%9/14
6
100%4/4
20%1/5
All
61%34/56
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#E MICH-OAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1OAKOAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+2.3
21-1OAKE MICH×3Bad setMolly Reck+1.8
32-1E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Molly Reck+2.5
43-1E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Kiley Gallagher+2.5
53-2E MICHOAKServe errEastern Mich.+1.8
64-2OAKE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+2.0
74-3E MICHOAK×4KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.9
84-4OAKOAK×4Attack errAzra Eriç+2.5
94-5OAKOAK×4Attack errNatalie Slusher+2.5
104-6OAKOAK×4KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.5
115-6OAKE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+1.8
126-6E MICHE MICHAttack errMolly Reck+2.6
136-7E MICHOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.0
147-7OAKE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+2.1
157-8E MICHOAK×4KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.1
167-9OAKOAK×4KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.7
177-10OAKOAK×4KillLillian Frias+2.5
187-11OAKOAK×4KillDelaney Sternset Lina Govoni+2.2
198-11OAKE MICHKillLily Sparkset Lina Govoni+1.5
208-12E MICHOAKServe errEastern Mich.+1.7
219-12OAKE MICHKillLily Sparkset Lina Govoni+1.5
229-13E MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.8
239-14OAKOAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+1.9
2410-14OAKE MICHServe errOakland+1.2
2510-15E MICHOAK×7KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+1.5
2610-16OAKOAK×7AceOaklandaced Natalie Slusher+1.5
2710-17OAKOAK×7KillLiv Hosfordset Olivia Beaudrie+1.0
2810-18OAKOAK×7BlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Liv Hosford, Ellen Zapp+0.7
2910-19OAKOAK×7AceOaklandaced Natalie Slusher+0.4
3010-20OAKOAK×7KillEllen Zapp+0.2
3110-21OAKOAK×7BlockedNatalie Slusherblk Ella Schomer, Ellen Zapp+0.1
3211-21OAKE MICH×3Attack errLiv Hosford·
3312-21E MICHE MICH×3BlockedMolly Reckblk Azra Eriç+0.1
3413-21E MICHE MICH×3BlockedElla Schomerblk Azra Eriç, Taeley Mahler+0.1
3513-22E MICHOAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+0.1
3613-23OAKOAKAttack errAzra Eriç+0.1
3714-23OAKE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Olivia Beaudrie·
3815-23E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Molly Reck·
3916-23E MICHE MICH×3KillLina Govoniset Madelyn Sipe+0.1
4016-24E MICHOAKBlockedNatalie Slusherblk Ella Schomer, Ellen Zapp+0.1
4117-24OAKE MICH×3KillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni·
4218-24E MICHE MICH×3KillLily Sparkset Lina Govoni+0.1
4319-24E MICHE MICH×3KillLily Sparkset Lina Govoni+0.1
4419-25E MICHOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+0.2
Set 2
10-1E MICHOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.6
21-1OAKE MICH×3Serve errOakland+1.6
32-1E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Molly Reck+2.2
43-1E MICHE MICH×3KillTaeley Mahlerset Delaney Stern+2.3
53-2E MICHOAKKillDelaney Stern+1.6
64-2OAKE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.8
74-3E MICHOAKBlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Molly Reck, Ellen Zapp+1.7
85-3OAKE MICHBad setLillian Frias+1.8
95-4E MICHOAK×3Serve errEastern Mich.+1.7
105-5OAKOAK×3KillLillian Friasset Liv Hosford+2.3
115-6OAKOAK×3KillLillian Frias+2.4
126-6OAKE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.8
136-7E MICHOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.8
146-8OAKOAKBlockedLily Sparkblk Lillian Frias+2.3
157-8OAKE MICHAttack errLiv Hosford+1.7
167-9E MICHOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.8
178-9OAKE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+1.8
188-10E MICHOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.9
199-10OAKE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.8
2010-10E MICHE MICHAceEastern Mich.aced Molly Reck+2.7
2110-11E MICHOAK×3Bad setNatalie Slusher+2.1
2210-12OAKOAK×3KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+2.7
2310-13OAKOAK×3KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.4
2411-13OAKE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.7
2511-14E MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.9
2611-15OAKOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.2
2712-15OAKE MICHServe errOakland+1.4
2813-15E MICHE MICHAttack errLillian Frias+2.3
2913-16E MICHOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.1
3014-16OAKE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Kaylin Schroeder+1.8
3114-17E MICHOAKServe errEastern Mich.+2.1
3215-17OAKE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Kaylin Schroeder+1.8
3315-18E MICHOAK×7KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.2
3415-19OAKOAK×7BlockedHaley Troskyblk Liv Hosford+2.4
3515-20OAKOAK×7Attack errOlivia Beaudrie+1.7
3615-21OAKOAK×7AceOakland+1.1
3715-22OAKOAK×7Bad setLily Spark+0.5
3815-23OAKOAK×7KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+0.2
3915-24OAKOAK×7Attack errLily Spark+0.1
4016-24OAKE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder·
4116-25E MICHOAKBad setKaylin Schroeder·
Set 3
11-0OAKE MICH×3KillOlivia Beaudrieset Surabhi Srinivasan+1.0
22-0E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Olivia Beaudrie+1.3
33-0E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.+1.3
43-1E MICHOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.9
54-1OAKE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+1.0
65-1E MICHE MICHAttack errEllen Zapp+1.3
75-2E MICHOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+0.9
86-2OAKE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.0
96-3E MICHOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.9
107-3OAKE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.0
117-4E MICHOAK×5Serve errEastern Mich.+0.9
127-5OAKOAK×5Attack errAzra Eriç+1.3
137-6OAKOAK×5KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.4
147-7OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.5
157-8OAKOAK×5Attack errHaley Trosky+1.5
168-8OAKE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Madelyn Sipe+1.1
178-9E MICHOAKKillDelaney Stern+1.2
189-9OAKE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+1.2
199-10E MICHOAK×3KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.2
209-11OAKOAK×3KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+1.5
219-12OAKOAK×3Attack errHaley Trosky+1.4
2210-12OAKE MICHKillTaeley Mahler+1.0
2311-12E MICHE MICHAttack errLiv Hosford+1.5
2411-13E MICHOAKKillDelaney Stern+1.2
2512-13OAKE MICH×3KillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.2
2613-13E MICHE MICH×3Attack errLiv Hosford+1.8
2714-13E MICHE MICH×3BlockedEllen Zappblk Azra Eriç+1.9
2814-14E MICHOAK×5KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.4
2914-15OAKOAK×5KillElla Schomerset Kalliann Cook+1.9
3014-16OAKOAK×5Attack errTaeley Mahler+1.9
3114-17OAKOAK×5Attack errNatalie Slusher+1.7
3214-18OAKOAK×5AceOakland+1.4
3315-18OAKE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.8
3415-19E MICHOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.1
3515-20OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Ellen Zapp+1.0
3615-21OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.6
3715-22OAKOAK×5BlockedNatalie Slusherblk Lillian Frias, Ella Schomer+0.3
3815-23OAKOAK×5KillElla Schomerset Ellen Zapp+0.1
3916-23OAKE MICH×3KillLily Sparkset Olivia Beaudrie·
4017-23E MICHE MICH×3BlockedElla Schomerblk Lily Spark+0.1
4118-23E MICHE MICH×3KillHaley Troskyset Delaney Stern+0.2
4218-24E MICHOAKKillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+0.2
4319-24OAKE MICHBad setDelaney Stern+0.1
4420-24E MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+0.2
4520-25E MICHOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).