Northern Ky. vs Oakland Volleyball: Northern Ky. Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026ESPN+

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ky. 73.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ky. won at Oakland 3-1 (20-25, 25-18, 25-12, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Ava Hoying led Northern Ky. with 14 kills; Oakland's Molly Reck had a match-high 17.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
N KY	20	25	25	25	3
OAK	25	18	12	16	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the fourth set broke it open for Northern Ky.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.4 points. Oakland peaked at 60% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Northern Ky. at 74%.

Northern Ky.Oakland

Break %+17.0 pts
48.931.9
Points won on own serve: 46 of 94 vs 23 of 72. Oakland sided out 51.1% of the time.
Hitting+.171
.356.185
57 K / 10 E against 51 K / 23 E.
Longest run+1
76
Northern Ky. scored 7 straight in the fourth set to stretch an 18–16 lead to 25–16. The set finished 25–16.

Oakland above 50Northern Ky. belowMax swing 4.4%

Northern Ky.Oakland

Aces: Northern Ky. 7·Oakland 2
Serve err: Northern Ky. 8·Oakland 7
Blocks: Northern Ky. 10·Oakland 42 BS · 16 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Northern Ky. 63·Oakland 56

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Oakland above 50 · Northern Ky. below

Biggest swing: 4.4% to Northern Ky. — set 2, N KY 16-15 OAK. Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard). OAK win probability 50% → 45%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N KY 76.7%23.3% OAK

Northern Ky. wins

3-0

28.5%

3-1

29.2%

3-2

19.0%

Oakland wins

3-0

4.0%

3-1

7.9%

3-2

11.4%

N KY break %: 46.0% vs this opp
OAK break %: 40.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ivey StocksKill+4.4%
Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 2 · N KY 16-15 OAK · N KY 50% → 55%
02
Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+4.4%
Point Northern Ky. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · N KY 15-15 OAK · N KY 46% → 50%
03
Molly ReckKill+4.2%
Kill by Molly Reck (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 2 · N KY 11-14 OAK · OAK 56% → 60%
04
Ivey StocksKill+4.1%
Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 2 · N KY 17-15 OAK · N KY 55% → 59%
05
Kamsi IweajunwaKill+4.0%
Kill by Kamsi Iweajunwa (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 2 · N KY 10-12 OAK · OAK 52% → 56%
06
Ava HoyingKill+4.0%
Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 2 · N KY 13-14 OAK · N KY 42% → 46%
07
Liv HosfordAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Liv Hosford
Set 2 · N KY 20-17 OAK · N KY 59% → 63%
08
Liv HosfordKill+3.7%
Kill by Liv Hosford (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 2 · N KY 7-10 OAK · OAK 55% → 58%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Northern Ky.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ava HoyingOH	4	14	2	34	.353	0	2	1	6	0	0	3	1.5	17.5
12Ivey StocksMB	4	13	1	27	.444	0	0	0	2	0	2	3	3.5	16.5
11Sydney BrayOH	4	9	1	18	.444	0	2	2	7	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
4Katie NoschangOH	4	6	1	15	.333	2	0	3	2	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
8Allison RisleyOH	4	5	0	12	.417	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
15Abbigail PickardS	4	1	0	1	1.000	49	0	0	11	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
20Lucia HeidOH	4	7	5	19	.105	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	7
13Daisy CluxtonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	3	0	15	0	0	0	0	3
9Emma AdkinsDS	4	2	0	6	.333	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
16Ashley SessMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Emily ErwinOPP	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Emory GuderianL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
7Kendall HopewellOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Lainey GreenS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Zy'aire BarrOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		57	10	132	.356	56	7	8	63	2	2	16	10	95

Oaklandhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Molly ReckOH	4	17	6	54	.204	0	2	3	7	0	1	1	1.5	20.5
14Liv HosfordOH	4	11	6	31	.161	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	11
17Kamsi IweajunwaMB	4	6	2	16	.250	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	8
12Ella SchomerOPP	4	6	3	24	.125	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Lillian FriasMB	4	5	3	13	.154	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	5
15Delaney SternS	4	1	1	2	.000	35	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
1Olivia RustOH	4	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
8Ellen ZappMB	4	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
13Ella MartinOH	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Caroline MooreOPP	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Grace CooneyMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Kalliann CookL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	17	1	0	0	0	0
2Kate VrabelL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	6	3	0	0	0	0
3Kiley GallagherL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
18Maddie JippingOPP	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Morgin ParsleyS	4	0	0	0	–	6	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
6Mya KattulaS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	23	151	.185	49	2	7	56	7	2	4	4	71

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 N KY · OAK 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 N KYOAK 6

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 N KYOAK 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 5 N KYOAK 2

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 7 N KYOAK 5

Bars above the line = Oakland leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%2/2	50%1/2
2	100%2/2	33%1/3
3	100%2/2	33%1/3
4	100%2/2	78%7/9
5	67%2/3	0%0/2
6	100%2/2	60%3/5
All	92%12/13	54%13/24

Oakland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%2/3	0%0/2
2	67%2/3	0%0/2
3	22%2/9	0%0/2
4	100%2/2	0%0/2
5	40%2/5	33%1/3
6	50%1/2	0%0/2
All	46%11/24	8%1/13

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

166 rallies

#	N KY-OAK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.4
2	2-0		N KY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.8
3	2-1	N KY	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+1.4
4	3-1	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.4
5	4-1	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Molly Reck		+1.7
6	4-2	N KY	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer		+1.2
7	5-2	OAK	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
8	6-2	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Kate Vrabel	+1.5
9	6-3	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Kate Vrabel	+1.1
10	7-3	OAK	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Emma Adkins	+1.2
11	7-4	N KY	OAK×4	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.1
12	7-5	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.7
13	7-6	OAK	OAK×4	Ace	Molly Reck	aced Lucia Heid	+2.1
14	7-7	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.3
15	8-7	OAK	N KY	Serve err	Molly Reck		+1.7
16	8-8	N KY	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
17	8-9	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Ava Hoying		+2.6
18	9-9	OAK	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.9
19	9-10	N KY	OAK	Kill	Kamsi Iweajunwa	set Delaney Stern	+2.1
20	10-10	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.9
21	10-11	N KY	OAK×6	Blocked	Ava Hoying	blk Ella Schomer, Kamsi Iweajunwa	+2.1
22	10-12	OAK	OAK×6	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+3.0
23	10-13	OAK	OAK×6	Kill	Molly Reck	set Liv Hosford	+3.0
24	10-14	OAK	OAK×6	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.8
25	10-15	OAK	OAK×6	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.5
26	10-16	OAK	OAK×6	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		+2.1
27	11-16	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
28	12-16	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Kate Vrabel	+1.9
29	12-17	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.9
30	13-17	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.4
31	14-17	N KY	N KY	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.4
32	14-18	N KY	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.4
33	15-18	OAK	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
34	15-19	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.4
35	15-20	OAK	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.5
36	16-20	OAK	N KY	Attack err	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+1.1
37	16-21	N KY	OAK	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.8
38	17-21	OAK	N KY	Serve err	Oakland		+1.0
39	17-22	N KY	OAK	Kill	Kamsi Iweajunwa	set Delaney Stern	+1.7
40	18-22	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.8
41	19-22	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Ella Schomer	blk Ava Hoying, Ivey Stocks	+1.8
42	19-23	N KY	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.4
43	20-23	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard*	+1.1
44	20-24	N KY	OAK	Kill	Delaney Stern		+2.2
45	20-25	OAK	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias		+0.9
Set 2
1	0-1	N KY	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
2	1-1	OAK	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard*	+2.0
3	1-2	N KY	OAK×3	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+2.2
4	1-3	OAK	OAK×3	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+3.1
5	1-4	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+3.2
6	2-4	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
7	2-5	N KY	OAK	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+2.5
8	3-5	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.2
9	4-5	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Molly Reck		+3.1
10	4-6	N KY	OAK	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+2.5
11	5-6	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.3
12	6-6	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Kiley Gallagher	+3.2
13	6-7	N KY	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+2.5
14	7-7	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.4
15	7-8	N KY	OAK×3	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Kamsi Iweajunwa	+2.6
16	7-9	OAK	OAK×3	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+3.6
17	7-10	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+3.7
18	8-10	OAK	N KY×3	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.4
19	9-10	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.5
20	10-10	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+3.6
21	10-11	N KY	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.9
22	10-12	OAK	OAK	Kill	Kamsi Iweajunwa	set Delaney Stern	+4.0
23	11-12	OAK	N KY	Serve err	Oakland		+2.7
24	11-13	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+3.2
25	11-14	OAK	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+4.2
26	12-14	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.7
27	13-14	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+4.0
28	13-15	N KY	OAK	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+3.5
29–30	15-15		N KY 2	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+7.4
31	16-15	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+4.4
32	17-15	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+4.1
33	17-16	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Kiley Gallagher	+2.9
34	18-16	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.2
35	18-17	N KY	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+3.0
36	19-17	OAK	N KY×4	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.4
37	20-17	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Liv Hosford		+3.9
38	21-17	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.8
39	22-17	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
40	22-18	N KY	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+0.7
41	23-18	OAK	N KY×3	Serve err	Oakland		+1.1
42	24-18	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Kamsi Iweajunwa		+0.6
43	25-18	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Liv Hosford	blk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	OAK	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
2	1-1	N KY	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford		+2.2
3	2-1	OAK	N KY	Attack err	Ella Schomer	set Kalliann Cook	+2.1
4	2-2	N KY	OAK	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+2.2
5	3-2	OAK	N KY×4	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+2.2
6	4-2	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Molly Reck		+2.8
7	5-2	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Daisy Cluxton	+2.5
8	6-2	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.2
9	6-3	N KY	OAK	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.6
10	7-3	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
11	7-4	N KY	OAK	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.6
12	8-4	OAK	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
13	9-4	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Kiley Gallagher	+1.9
14	9-5	N KY	OAK	Attack err	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
15	10-5	OAK	N KY	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.4
16	11-5	N KY	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard*	+1.6
17	11-6	N KY	OAK	Kill	Olivia Rust	set Morgin Parsley	+1.0
18	12-6	OAK	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
19	13-6	N KY	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
20	13-7	N KY	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+0.7
21	14-7	OAK	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.8
22	15-7	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.8
23	15-8	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Kate Vrabel	+0.4
24	16-8	OAK	N KY×5	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
25	17-8	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Kate Vrabel	+0.4
26	18-8	N KY	N KY×5	Attack err	Lillian Frias		+0.2
27	19-8	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Lillian Frias	blk Ivey Stocks	+0.1
28	20-8	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
29	20-9	N KY	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	·
30	21-9	OAK	N KY	Serve err	Oakland		·
31	21-10	N KY	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Morgin Parsley	·
32	21-11	OAK	OAK	Ace	Molly Reck		·
33	22-11	OAK	N KY×3	Serve err	Molly Reck		·
34	23-11	N KY	N KY×3	Ace	Northern Ky.		·
35	24-11	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	·
36	24-12	N KY	OAK	Kill	Olivia Rust	set Morgin Parsley	·
37	25-12	OAK	N KY	Blocked	Liv Hosford	blk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard	·
Set 4
1	0-1	N KY	OAK×5	Attack err	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.9
2	0-2	OAK	OAK×5	Blocked	Katie Noschang	blk Molly Reck	+2.7
3	0-3	OAK	OAK×5	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.8
4	0-4	OAK	OAK×5	Blocked	Lucia Heid	blk Molly Reck, Kamsi Iweajunwa	+2.7
5	0-5	OAK	OAK×5	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
6	1-5	OAK	N KY	Attack err	Molly Reck	set Kalliann Cook	+1.7
7	1-6	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.0
8	2-6	OAK	N KY×5	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
9	3-6		N KY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.5
10	4-6	N KY	N KY×5	Blocked	Ella Schomer	blk Ava Hoying, Ivey Stocks	+2.7
11	5-6	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.8
12	6-6	N KY	N KY×5	Attack err	Molly Reck		+2.8
13	6-7	N KY	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
14	7-7	OAK	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
15	8-7	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Olivia Rust	blk Ava Hoying, Ivey Stocks	+2.8
16	8-8	N KY	OAK	Kill	Olivia Rust	set Kalliann Cook	+2.2
17	9-8	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
18	9-9	N KY	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Morgin Parsley	+2.2
19	10-9	OAK	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.2
20	11-9	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Liv Hosford	blk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard	+2.8
21	11-10	N KY	OAK	Kill	Kamsi Iweajunwa	set Liv Hosford	+2.1
22	11-11	OAK	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+3.2
23	12-11	OAK	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.4
24	12-12	N KY	OAK	Kill	Kamsi Iweajunwa	set Delaney Stern	+2.5
25	13-12	OAK	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.5
26	13-13	N KY	OAK	Kill	Kamsi Iweajunwa	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
27	14-13	OAK	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.6
28	15-13	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Ellen Zapp	blk Ivey Stocks	+3.3
29	15-14	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+2.4
30	16-14	OAK	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.5
31	16-15	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck		+2.5
32	17-15	OAK	N KY	Serve err	Oakland		+2.7
33	18-15	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.1
34	18-16	N KY	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Morgin Parsley	+2.0
35	19-16	OAK	N KY×7	Attack err	Liv Hosford	set Kamsi Iweajunwa	+2.4
36	20-16	N KY	N KY×7	Blocked	Liv Hosford	blk Katie Noschang, Abbigail Pickard	+2.5
37	21-16	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Allison Risley	set Katie Noschang	+1.6
38	22-16	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Allison Risley	set Katie Noschang	+0.9
39	23-16	N KY	N KY×7	Attack err	Molly Reck		+0.4
40	24-16	N KY	N KY×7	Blocked	Kamsi Iweajunwa	blk Allison Risley, Katie Noschang	+0.1
41	25-16	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Allison Risley	set Daisy Cluxton	·

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northern Ky. def. Oakland 3–1

A 7–0 run in the fourth set broke it open for Northern Ky.