Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayHORIZON

1:3

HomeCAA

Col. of Charleston def. Northern Ky. 3–1

(25-22, 20-25, 25-16, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
N KY	22	25	16	20	1
C OF C	25	20	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

C OF C above 50 · N KY below

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Northern Ky. — set 2, N KY 21-19 C OF C. Northern Ky. ace on Julie Nzambele. C OF C win probability 75% → 71%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

N KY 34.0%66.0% C OF C

Northern Ky. wins

3-0

6.9%

3-1

12.2%

3-2

15.0%

Col. of Charleston wins

3-0

20.6%

3-1

25.3%

3-2

20.0%

N KY break %: 41.5% vs this opp
C OF C break %: 44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
N KY serverAce+4.5%
Northern Ky. ace on Julie Nzambele
Set 2 · N KY 21-19 C OF C · N KY 25% → 29%
02
Ivey StocksKill+4.0%
Kill by Ivey Stocks (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 4 · N KY 13-12 C OF C · N KY 18% → 22%
03
C OF C serverAce+4.0%
Col. of Charleston ace on Emma Adkins
Set 4 · N KY 14-16 C OF C · C OF C 85% → 89%
04
Zy'Aire BarrAttack error+4.0%
Zy'Aire Barr stuffed by Helena Vukovic & Makena Parthen
Set 4 · N KY 13-14 C OF C · C OF C 81% → 85%
05
Sydney BrayKill+3.9%
Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Daisy Cluxton)
Set 2 · N KY 22-19 C OF C · N KY 29% → 33%
06
Lucia HeidKill+3.6%
Kill by Lucia Heid (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 1 · N KY 19-20 C OF C · N KY 26% → 30%
07
Sydney BrayAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Sydney Bray
Set 1 · N KY 16-18 C OF C · C OF C 68% → 72%
08
Lucia HeidAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Lucia Heid
Set 1 · N KY 19-22 C OF C · C OF C 73% → 77%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Northern Ky.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Ivey StocksMB	4	15	3	22	.545	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	16
20Lucia HeidOH	4	13	7	32	.188	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	13
11Sydney BrayOH	4	10	7	28	.107	1	0	4	6	1	1	0.5	10.5
16Ashley SessMB	4	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
15Abbigail PickardS	4	1	0	5	.200	45	1	3	8	0	2	1	3
9Emma AdkinsDS	4	1	1	7	.000	1	0	2	7	5	0	0	1
8Allison RisleyOH	4	0	0	3	.000	0	3	1	7	1	0	0	3
13Daisy CluxtonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	20	2	0	0	2
17Zy'Aire BarrOH	3	8	3	17	.294	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
3Ava HoyingOH	2	0	1	6	-.167	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
4Katie NoschangOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	22	128	.234	51	6	14	54	10	8	4	83

Col. of Charlestonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Caroline NoonanMB	4	13	0	22	.591	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	2.5	15.5
3Julia GnidaOH	4	11	4	36	.194	0	2	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
1Gabby TuiaanaOH	4	11	4	24	.292	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
11Makena ParthenMB	4	8	0	20	.400	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	9.5
7Julie NzambeleOH	4	6	2	21	.190	0	0	0	3	1	1	2	2	8
10Helena VukovicS	4	0	2	3	-.667	39	6	5	12	0	0	4	2	8
2Jumana MartinL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	2	2	21	2	0	0	0	2
0Cole CrewsDS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
4Violet PooleDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
19Laura SarajarviOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Lainee MackS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	12	127	.291	47	10	12	44	6	1	16	9	95

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 N KY · C OF C 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 N KYC OF C 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 N KYC OF C 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 N KYC OF C 3

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 3 N KYC OF C 4

Bars above the line = Col. of Charleston leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%11/19	55%11/20
2	50%8/16	35%6/17
3	62%8/13	38%5/13
4	44%8/18	11%1/9
5	57%8/14	20%2/10
6	57%8/14	47%7/15
All	54%51/94	38%32/84

Col. of Charleston

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	52%11/21	50%10/20
2	60%9/15	44%7/16
3	67%8/12	43%6/14
4	89%8/9	50%8/16
5	67%8/12	43%6/14
6	53%8/15	43%6/14
All	62%52/84	46%43/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

178 rallies

Rally log

#	N KY-C OF C	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	C OF C	C OF C	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Helena Vukovic	+2.2
2	1-1	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+1.7
3	1-2	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+1.7
4	1-3	C OF C	C OF C	Attack err	Emma Adkins		+2.2
5	2-3	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.6
6	2-4	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Makena Parthen	set Helena Vukovic	+1.7
7	3-4	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+1.7
8	4-4	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Helena Vukovic		+2.4
9	4-5	N KY	C OF C×3	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Helena Vukovic	+1.8
10	4-6	C OF C	C OF C×3	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+2.3
11	4-7	C OF C	C OF C×3	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Helena Vukovic	+2.1
12	5-7	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+1.5
13	5-8	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+1.6
14	6-8	C OF C	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.6
15	7-8	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.4
16	8-8	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Helena Vukovic		+2.7
17	8-9	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+2.0
18	9-9	C OF C	N KY×3	Serve err	C OF C server		+2.1
19	10-9	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.0
20	11-9	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+3.1
21	11-10	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Makena Parthen	set Helena Vukovic	+2.1
22	12-10	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.4
23	12-11	N KY	C OF C×5	Serve err	N KY server		+2.2
24	12-12	C OF C	C OF C×5	Attack err	Lucia Heid	blk Gabby Tuiaana, Makena Parthen	+3.1
25	12-13	C OF C	C OF C×5	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		+3.1
26	12-14	C OF C	C OF C×5	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Helena Vukovic	+3.0
27	12-15	C OF C	C OF C×5	Kill	Makena Parthen	set Helena Vukovic	+2.7
28	13-15	C OF C	N KY×3	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Sydney Bray	+1.8
29	14-15	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Gabby Tuiaana		+2.9
30	15-15	N KY	N KY×3	Ace	N KY server	aced Jumana Martin	+3.4
31	15-16	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+2.7
32	16-16	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.8
33	16-17	N KY	C OF C×3	Attack err	Ava Hoying		+2.9
34	16-18	C OF C	C OF C×3	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+3.6
35	16-19	C OF C	C OF C×3	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Cole Crews	+3.1
36	17-19	C OF C	N KY	Attack err	Julia Gnida	blk Abbigail Pickard, Ashley Sess	+2.0
37	17-20	N KY	C OF C	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+2.5
38	18-20	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.0
39	19-20	N KY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.6
40	19-21	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+3.4
41	19-22	C OF C	C OF C	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+3.6
42	20-22	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.9
43	20-23	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Julie Nzambele	set Helena Vukovic	+2.8
44	20-24	C OF C	C OF C	Attack err	Sydney Bray	blk Julie Nzambele, Makena Parthen	+2.1
45	21-24	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+0.5
46	22-24	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.5
47	22-25	N KY	C OF C	Attack err	Ivey Stocks	blk Julie Nzambele	+2.6
Set 2
1	1-0	N KY	N KY	Ace	N KY server	aced Jumana Martin	+2.0
2	1-1	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Makena Parthen	set Helena Vukovic	+1.5
3	2-1	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Helena Vukovic	+1.6
4	3-1	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Gabby Tuiaana		+2.1
5	3-2	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Helena Vukovic	+1.5
6	3-3	C OF C	C OF C	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Helena Vukovic	+2.0
7	4-3	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+1.6
8	4-4	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+1.6
9	5-4	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+1.7
10	5-5	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Julie Nzambele	set Helena Vukovic	+1.6
11	6-5	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
12	6-6	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Julie Nzambele	set Helena Vukovic	+1.6
13	6-7	C OF C	C OF C	Ace	C OF C server	aced Lucia Heid	+2.2
14	7-7	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+1.7
15	7-8	N KY	C OF C×5	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Helena Vukovic	+1.7
16	7-9	C OF C	C OF C×5	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+2.2
17	7-10	C OF C	C OF C×5	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Jumana Martin	+2.0
18	7-11	C OF C	C OF C×5	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Cole Crews	+1.7
19	7-12	C OF C	C OF C×5	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+1.5
20	8-12	C OF C	N KY×5	Kill	Zy'Aire Barr	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.9
21	9-12	N KY	N KY×5	Attack err	Julia Gnida		+1.6
22	10-12	N KY	N KY×5	Ace	N KY server	aced Cole Crews	+1.9
23	11-12	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.3
24	12-12	N KY	N KY×5	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.6
25	12-13	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+2.0
26	13-13	C OF C	N KY×4	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
27	14-13	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Zy'Aire Barr	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.0
28	15-13	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.1
29	16-13	N KY	N KY×4	Attack err	Gabby Tuiaana		+3.0
30	16-14	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+1.9
31	17-14	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Daisy Cluxton	+2.3
32	17-15	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+1.9
33	17-16	C OF C	C OF C	Ace	C OF C server	aced Emma Adkins	+3.0
34	18-16	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.7
35	18-17	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+2.4
36	18-18	C OF C	C OF C	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+3.6
37	19-18	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.0
38	19-19	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Makena Parthen	set Helena Vukovic	+2.9
39	20-19	C OF C	N KY×4	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.3
40	21-19	N KY	N KY×4	Ace	N KY server	aced Julie Nzambele	+4.5
41	22-19	N KY	N KY×4	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+3.9
42	23-19	N KY	N KY×4	Bad set	Makena Parthen		+2.7
43	23-20	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Helena Vukovic	+1.0
44	24-20	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.9
45	25-20	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Gabby Tuiaana	blk Zy'Aire Barr, Ivey Stocks	+0.8
Set 3
1	0-1	C OF C	C OF C	Kill	Makena Parthen		+3.0
2	1-1	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+2.3
3	1-2	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Jumana Martin	+2.3
4	2-2	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.4
5	2-3	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Helena Vukovic	+2.4
6	2-4	C OF C	C OF C	Ace	C OF C server	aced Sydney Bray	+3.0
7	3-4	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+2.3
8	3-5	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+2.3
9	4-5	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.3
10	5-5	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Julia Gnida	blk Sydney Bray, Ashley Sess	+3.4
11	5-6	N KY	C OF C×3	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+2.6
12	5-7	C OF C	C OF C×3	Kill	Julie Nzambele	set Helena Vukovic	+3.3
13	5-8	C OF C	C OF C×3	Attack err	Sydney Bray	blk Caroline Noonan, Julie Nzambele	+3.0
14	6-8	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+2.2
15	6-9	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+2.3
16	7-9	C OF C	N KY	Attack err	Julia Gnida		+2.2
17	8-9	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.4
18	8-10	N KY	C OF C	Attack err	Zy'Aire Barr		+2.7
19	8-11	C OF C	C OF C	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Jumana Martin	+3.3
20	9-11	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.3
21	10-11	N KY	N KY	Kill	Zy'Aire Barr	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.6
22	10-12	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+2.9
23	11-12	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.8
24	11-13	N KY	C OF C×3	Kill	Makena Parthen	set Helena Vukovic	+3.0
25	11-14	C OF C	C OF C×3	Ace	C OF C server	aced Allison Risley	+3.6
26	11-15	C OF C	C OF C×3	Attack err	Ivey Stocks	blk Julia Gnida, Caroline Noonan	+3.1
27	12-15	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.0
28	12-16	N KY	C OF C×3	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+2.3
29	12-17	C OF C	C OF C×3	Attack err	Lucia Heid	blk Caroline Noonan, Helena Vukovic	+2.4
30	12-18	C OF C	C OF C×3	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+1.7
31	13-18	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
32	13-19	N KY	C OF C	Attack err	Lucia Heid	blk Helena Vukovic, Caroline Noonan	+1.2
33	14-19	C OF C	N KY	Attack err	Julie Nzambele		+0.8
34	14-20	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+1.2
35	14-21	C OF C	C OF C	Kill	Julie Nzambele	set Helena Vukovic	+0.9
36	15-21	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Zy'Aire Barr	set Emma Adkins	+0.3
37	15-22	N KY	C OF C×3	Kill	Julie Nzambele	set Helena Vukovic	+0.5
38	15-23	C OF C	C OF C×3	Ace	C OF C server	aced Emma Adkins	+0.3
39	15-24	C OF C	C OF C×3	Ace	C OF C server	aced Emma Adkins	+0.1
40	16-24	C OF C	N KY	Serve err	C OF C server		+0.0
41	16-25	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	N KY	N KY	Ace	N KY server	aced Cole Crews	+2.8
2	2-0	N KY	N KY	Kill	Zy'Aire Barr	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.9
3	2-1	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+2.1
4	2-2	C OF C	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+2.8
5	3-2	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Zy'Aire Barr	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.3
6	3-3	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Helena Vukovic	+2.2
7	3-4	C OF C	C OF C	Ace	C OF C server	aced Daisy Cluxton	+2.9
8	4-4	C OF C	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.2
9	5-4	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.1
10	6-4	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Julie Nzambele	blk Abbigail Pickard, Ivey Stocks	+3.2
11	6-5	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Helena Vukovic	+2.3
12	7-5	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Zy'Aire Barr	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.5
13	7-6	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Helena Vukovic	+2.3
14	8-6	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.6
15	8-7	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Helena Vukovic	+2.4
16	8-8	C OF C	C OF C	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+3.3
17	9-8	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.6
18	9-9	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+2.5
19	10-9	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.7
20	10-10	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Helena Vukovic	+2.6
21	10-11	C OF C	C OF C	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Jumana Martin	+3.5
22	11-11	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.7
23	11-12	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Julia Gnida	set Helena Vukovic	+2.7
24	12-12	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.8
25	13-12	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+4.0
26	13-13	N KY	C OF C	Attack err	Zy'Aire Barr	blk Helena Vukovic, Caroline Noonan	+2.9
27	13-14	C OF C	C OF C	Attack err	Zy'Aire Barr	blk Helena Vukovic, Makena Parthen	+4.0
28	14-14	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Zy'Aire Barr	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.1
29	14-15	N KY	C OF C×4	Serve err	N KY server		+3.1
30	14-16	C OF C	C OF C×4	Ace	C OF C server	aced Emma Adkins	+4.0
31	14-17	C OF C	C OF C×4	Ace	C OF C server	aced Emma Adkins	+3.5
32	14-18	C OF C	C OF C×4	Ace	C OF C server	aced Daisy Cluxton	+2.9
33	15-18	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
34	16-18	N KY	N KY	Kill	Lucia Heid	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.1
35	16-19	N KY	C OF C×3	Kill	Makena Parthen	set Helena Vukovic	+2.9
36	16-20	C OF C	C OF C×3	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Helena Vukovic	+3.0
37	16-21	C OF C	C OF C×3	Attack err	Lucia Heid		+2.0
38	17-21	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.9
39	18-21	N KY	N KY	Ace	N KY server	aced Makena Parthen	+2.0
40	18-22	N KY	C OF C	Serve err	N KY server		+2.2
41	19-22	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.3
42	19-23	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Gabby Tuiaana	set Helena Vukovic	+2.1
43	20-23	C OF C	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
44	20-24	N KY	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Lainee Mack	+1.9
45	20-25	C OF C	C OF C	Kill	Caroline Noonan	set Lainee Mack	+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.