CollegeVolleyball
FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

Col. of Charleston def. Notre Dame 30

(25-19, 25-13, 25-22)
Set123Sets
N DAME1913220
C OF C2525253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

C OF C above 50 · N DAME below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100C OF CN DAMEBiggest swing +3.5% C OF C · S3 22-24rally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.5% to Col. of Charleston — set 3, N DAME 22-24 C OF C. Kill by Caroline Noonan (set by Lainee Mack). C OF C win probability 95%98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

N DAME 36.1%63.9% C OF C

Notre Dame wins

3-0
7.5%
3-1
13.0%
3-2
15.6%

Col. of Charleston wins

3-0
19.3%
3-1
24.5%
3-2
20.0%
N DAME break %
41.2% vs this opp
C OF C break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01

    Kill by Caroline Noonan (set by Lainee Mack)

    Set 3 · N DAME 22-24 C OF C · C OF C 95%98%

  2. 02
    Laura SarajarviAttack error+3.2%

    Laura Sarajarvi stuffed by Anna Bjork

    Set 3 · N DAME 22-22 C OF C · N DAME 5%8%

  3. 03

    Kill by Caroline Noonan (set by Lainee Mack)

    Set 3 · N DAME 22-23 C OF C · C OF C 92%95%

  4. 04
    Maya BakerKill+2.7%

    Kill by Maya Baker (set by Carla Mercado)

    Set 1 · N DAME 17-19 C OF C · N DAME 26%29%

  5. 05

    Kill by Makena Parthen (set by Helena Vukovic)

    Set 1 · N DAME 18-21 C OF C · C OF C 72%74%

  6. 06
    Julia GnidaAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Julia Gnida

    Set 1 · N DAME 15-17 C OF C · N DAME 27%30%

  7. 07

    Kill by Julie Nzambele (set by Jumana Martin)

    Set 1 · N DAME 17-20 C OF C · C OF C 71%74%

  8. 08
    Julia GnidaKill+2.5%

    Kill by Julia Gnida (set by Jumana Martin)

    Set 1 · N DAME 18-22 C OF C · C OF C 74%77%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310532.1560114210112
39419.2630000002110
36735-.02910070010.56.5
35310.200000401016
3002.000000100422
3116.0002702200001
3000001510000
30001011510000
2000100200000
12021.00000000010.52.5
1000200000000
Team totals3320106.123321540428654
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311323.3481012004213
310326.2691115002112
37318.22200000132.59.5
34010.400000302237
34041.0002603501015
3001.0001111110001
38123.30410080111.59.5
30003111200001
3000410400001
2112.000000000001
2000401000000
Team totals4511107.31841485015121175

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 N DAME · C OF C 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 N DAMEC OF C 7

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 2 N DAMEC OF C 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 N DAMEC OF C 5

Bars above the line = Col. of Charleston leads, below = Notre Dame leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Notre Dame

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
25%2/8
2
39%7/18
46%6/13
3
35%6/17
36%4/11
4
86%6/7
14%1/7
5
38%5/13
45%5/11
6
80%4/5
17%1/6
All
48%35/73
34%19/56

Col. of Charleston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
38%3/8
2
58%7/12
53%8/15
3
64%7/11
61%11/18
4
75%6/8
54%7/13
5
56%5/9
55%6/11
6
71%5/7
38%3/8
All
66%37/56
52%38/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#N DAME-C OF CSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1N DAMEC OF CServe errN DAME server+1.7
20-2C OF CC OF CAttack errMae Kordasblk Caroline Noonan, Gabby Tuiaana+2.2
31-2C OF CN DAMEServe errC OF C server+1.6
42-2N DAMEN DAMEAttack errCaroline Noonan+2.4
52-3N DAMEC OF C×7KillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+1.8
62-4C OF CC OF C×7Attack errSydney Helmers+2.3
72-5C OF CC OF C×7KillHelena Vukovicset Violet Poole+2.2
82-6C OF CC OF C×7KillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+1.9
92-7C OF CC OF C×7KillJulia Gnidaset Violet Poole+1.7
102-8C OF CC OF C×7AceC OF C serveraced Mae Kordas+1.4
112-9C OF CC OF C×7Attack errIsabella Sanghablk Caroline Noonan, Julia Gnida+1.1
123-9C OF CN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+0.7
134-9N DAMEN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+1.2
144-10N DAMEC OF CKillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+1.0
155-10C OF CN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+0.9
165-11N DAMEC OF CAttack errSydney Helmersblk Helena Vukovic+1.0
176-11C OF CN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+0.9
187-11N DAMEN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+1.5
197-12N DAMEC OF CAttack errAnna Bjorkblk Julie Nzambele+1.3
208-12C OF CN DAMEServe errC OF C server+1.1
218-13N DAMEC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+1.3
229-13C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Sydney Helmers+1.1
239-14N DAMEC OF C×3KillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+1.3
249-15C OF CC OF C×3Attack errSydney Helmers+1.4
259-16C OF CC OF C×3Attack errMae Kordas+1.0
2610-16C OF CN DAME×4Attack errGabby Tuiaanablk Mae Kordas+0.5
2711-16N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errGabby Tuiaanablk Sydney Helmers, Grace Langer+1.0
2812-16N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errJulia Gnidablk Grace Langer, Isabella Sangha+1.4
2913-16N DAMEN DAME×4KillIsabella Sangha+1.9
3013-17N DAMEC OF CServe errN DAME server+1.8
3114-17C OF CN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.4
3215-17N DAMEN DAMEAttack errJulia Gnida+2.6
3315-18N DAMEC OF CKillHelena Vukovicset Cole Crews+2.3
3415-19C OF CC OF CKillJulie Nzambeleset Jumana Martin+2.5
3516-19C OF CN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+1.4
3617-19N DAMEN DAMEKillMaya Bakerset Carla Mercado+2.7
3717-20N DAMEC OF CKillJulie Nzambeleset Jumana Martin+2.5
3818-20C OF CN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+2.0
3918-21N DAMEC OF C×3KillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+2.6
4018-22C OF CC OF C×3KillJulia Gnidaset Jumana Martin+2.5
4118-23C OF CC OF C×3KillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+1.4
4219-23C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.4
4319-24N DAMEC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+0.8
4419-25C OF CC OF CAttack errMae Kordasblk Gabby Tuiaana+0.3
Set 2
11-0C OF CN DAMEAttack errGabby Tuiaana+1.6
22-0N DAMEN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+2.2
32-1N DAMEC OF C×4KillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+1.5
42-2C OF CC OF C×4KillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+2.1
52-3C OF CC OF C×4Attack errSydney Helmersblk Gabby Tuiaana, Makena Parthen+2.1
62-4C OF CC OF C×4AceC OF C serveraced Maya Evens+2.0
73-4C OF CN DAMEKillAnna Bjorkset Maya Baker+1.5
83-5N DAMEC OF C×4KillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+1.5
93-6C OF CC OF C×4AceC OF C serveraced Chloe Hooker+1.9
103-7C OF CC OF C×4KillJulia Gnida+1.7
113-8C OF CC OF C×4KillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+1.5
124-8C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+1.0
134-9N DAMEC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+1.1
145-9C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+1.0
155-10N DAMEC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+1.1
165-11C OF CC OF CAttack errIsabella Sangha+1.2
176-11C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.8
186-12N DAMEC OF CKillJulie Nzambeleset Helena Vukovic+0.9
197-12C OF CN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+0.7
208-12N DAMEN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.3
218-13N DAMEC OF C×3Serve errN DAME server+1.2
228-14C OF CC OF C×3Attack errSydney Helmers+1.2
238-15C OF CC OF C×3Attack errSydney Helmersblk Makena Parthen, Gabby Tuiaana+0.9
249-15C OF CN DAMEServe errC OF C server+0.5
259-16N DAMEC OF CServe errN DAME server+0.6
269-17C OF CC OF CAttack errMaya Bakerblk Makena Parthen+0.6
2710-17C OF CN DAMEAttack errMae Kordas+0.3
2810-18N DAMEC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+0.4
2910-19C OF CC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.3
3011-19C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.1
3111-20N DAMEC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.2
3212-20C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.1
3313-20N DAMEN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+0.2
3413-21N DAMEC OF C×5KillCaroline Noonanset Lainee Mack+0.2
3513-22C OF CC OF C×5Attack errMae Kordas+0.1
3613-23C OF CC OF C×5KillLaura Sarajarvi+0.0
3713-24C OF CC OF C×5KillCaroline Noonanset Lainee Mack+0.0
3813-25C OF CC OF C×5Bad setMaya Baker+0.0
Set 3
10-1N DAMEC OF CKillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+0.9
21-1C OF CN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+0.9
31-2N DAMEC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+0.9
42-2C OF CN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+0.9
52-3N DAMEC OF C×5KillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.9
62-4C OF CC OF C×5Attack errAnna Bjork+1.2
72-5C OF CC OF C×5Attack errSydney Helmers+1.1
82-6C OF CC OF C×5Attack errAnna Bjorkblk Julie Nzambele, Caroline Noonan+1.0
92-7C OF CC OF C×5KillJulie Nzambeleset Caroline Noonan+0.9
103-7C OF CN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+0.6
113-8N DAMEC OF CKillHelena Vukovicset Violet Poole+0.7
123-9C OF CC OF CKillJulie Nzambeleset Helena Vukovic+0.7
134-9C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Baker+0.5
144-10N DAMEC OF CKillJulie Nzambeleset Helena Vukovic+0.5
155-10C OF CN DAMEKillMae Kordasset Maya Evens+0.5
166-10N DAMEN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+0.8
176-11N DAMEC OF CKillJulie Nzambeleset Julia Gnida+0.7
187-11C OF CN DAMEServe errC OF C server+0.6
198-11N DAMEN DAMEAceN DAME serveraced Cole Crews+1.0
208-12N DAMEC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+0.8
219-12C OF CN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+0.7
2210-12N DAMEN DAMEAttack errCaroline Noonan+1.2
2310-13N DAMEC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+1.0
2410-14C OF CC OF CAttack errIsabella Sanghablk Julia Gnida, Caroline Noonan+1.2
2511-14C OF CN DAMEKillIsabella Sanghaset Maya Baker+0.8
2612-14N DAMEN DAMEAttack errCaroline Noonan+1.3
2712-15N DAMEC OF CKillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+1.1
2813-15C OF CN DAMEServe errC OF C server+1.0
2913-16N DAMEC OF CKillHelena Vukovicset Julie Nzambele+1.1
3014-16C OF CN DAME×4Serve errC OF C server+1.0
3115-16N DAMEN DAME×4KillChichi Nnajiset Lily Fenton+1.7
3216-16N DAMEN DAME×4KillChichi Nnajiset Lily Fenton+2.0
3317-16N DAMEN DAME×4Attack errJulie Nzambeleblk Grace Langer, Chichi Nnaji+2.2
3417-17N DAMEC OF CKillJulie Nzambeleset Violet Poole+1.6
3517-18C OF CC OF CAttack errMae Kordasblk Makena Parthen+2.2
3618-18C OF CN DAMEServe errC OF C server+1.7
3718-19N DAMEC OF CServe errN DAME server+1.7
3819-19C OF CN DAMEAttack errJulia Gnidablk Grace Langer, Isabella Sangha+1.8
3919-20N DAMEC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+1.9
4019-21C OF CC OF CAttack errIsabella Sangha+2.5
4120-21C OF CN DAMEKillSydney Helmersset Maya Baker+1.5
4220-22N DAMEC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+2.0
4321-22C OF CN DAMEServe errC OF C server+1.6
4422-22N DAMEN DAMEAttack errLaura Sarajarviblk Anna Bjork+3.2
4522-23N DAMEC OF C×3KillCaroline Noonanset Lainee Mack+2.9
4622-24C OF CC OF C×3KillCaroline Noonanset Lainee Mack+3.5
4722-25C OF CC OF C×3AceC OF C serveraced Mae Kordas+1.9

Score shown after each rally, Notre Dame first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.