FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on FloSports

Col. of Charleston def. UNCW 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Col. of Charleston 85.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Col. of Charleston won at UNCW 3-0 (25-19, 25-18, 25-19) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Col. of Charleston's Caroline Noonan and Makena Parthen led with 9 kills each, and Jumana Martin added 10 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
C OF C2525253
UNCW1918190

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UNCW never reached 20 in a set against Col. of Charleston.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.8 points. UNCW peaked at 16% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Col. of Charleston went in as RallyIQ's 85% pick.

Col. of CharlestonUNCW
  • Break %+17.6 pts
    45.227.6

    Points won on own serve: 33 of 73 vs 16 of 58. UNCW sided out 54.8% of the time.

  • Hitting+.181
    .319.138

    42 K / 12 E against 31 K / 18 E.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    6 straight Col. of Charleston points in the second set turned a 12–15 deficit into an 18–15 lead. Final score of the set: 25–18.

UNCW above 50Col. of Charleston belowMax swing 1.8%

Col. of CharlestonUNCW

Aces
Col. of Charleston 5·UNCW 3
Serve err
Col. of Charleston 6·UNCW 9
Blocks
Col. of Charleston 5·UNCW 50 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Col. of Charleston 39·UNCW 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNCW above 50 · Col. of Charleston below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.8% C OF Crally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Col. of Charleston — set 2, C OF C 15-15 UNCW. Sam Vanda stuffed by Helena Vukovic & Caroline Noonan. UNCW win probability 11% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C OF C 86.6%13.4% UNCW

Col. of Charleston wins

3-0
39.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%

UNCW wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%
C OF C break %
45.6% vs this opp
UNCW break %
37.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Sam Vanda stuffed by Helena Vukovic & Caroline Noonan

    Set 2 · C OF C 15-15 UNCW · C OF C 89% → 91%

  2. 02
    Sam VandaKill+1.8%

    Kill by Sam Vanda (set by Gaby Zovko)

    Set 2 · C OF C 10-13 UNCW · UNCW 11% → 13%

  3. 03

    Kill by Caroline Noonan (set by Helena Vukovic)

    Set 2 · C OF C 14-15 UNCW · C OF C 87% → 89%

  4. 04
    Elaina MurphyAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Elaina Murphy

    Set 2 · C OF C 16-15 UNCW · C OF C 91% → 93%

  5. 05
    Emma DuffieldAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Emma Duffield

    Set 2 · C OF C 19-18 UNCW · UNCW 5% → 7%

  6. 06
    Elaina MurphyKill+1.6%

    Kill by Elaina Murphy

    Set 1 · C OF C 0-1 UNCW · UNCW 15% → 16%

  7. 07
    Lauren DowAce+1.6%

    Ace by Lauren Dow on Elaina Murphy

    Set 2 · C OF C 17-15 UNCW · C OF C 93% → 94%

  8. 08
    Sam VandaAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Sam Vanda

    Set 2 · C OF C 10-11 UNCW · C OF C 88% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39219.3680116002111
39014.64300000031.510.5
38318.2781107202110
38623.087011610009
37114.429000100218
3105.200360150010.51.5
3001.000110400001
3000–1131000001
1000–000000000
Team totals421294.3193956393010575
UNCWhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36725-.04011332010.57.5
35010.50000310052.57.5
3609.667000100006
34721-.143110920005
3329.111240180031.54.5
1000–000000000
35215.20000010010.55.5
3002.000110300001
3000–202910000
1203.667000000002
1000–000000000
Team totals311894.1382939355010556

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Col. of Charleston vs UNCW

Season series · Col. of Charleston leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 C OF C · UNCW 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 C OF CUNCW 2

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 C OF CUNCW 5

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 5 C OF CUNCW 3

Bars above the line = UNCW leads, below = Col. of Charleston leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Col. of Charleston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
43%3/7
2
100%6/6
40%4/10
3
67%6/9
33%3/9
4
83%5/6
50%5/10
5
80%4/5
43%3/7
6
80%4/5
20%1/5
All
78%31/40
40%19/48

UNCW

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
33%3/9
2
67%6/9
0%0/6
3
50%5/10
33%3/9
4
57%4/7
17%1/6
5
80%4/5
20%1/5
6
57%4/7
20%1/5
All
60%29/48
23%9/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#C OF C-UNCWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNCWUNCWKillElaina Murphy+1.6
21-1UNCWC OF C×5KillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+1.0
32-1C OF CC OF C×5AceJumana Martinaced Sam Vanda+1.4
43-1C OF CC OF C×5Attack errElaina Murphy+1.3
54-1C OF CC OF C×5KillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+1.1
65-1C OF CC OF C×5KillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+0.9
75-2C OF CUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.6
86-2UNCWC OF C×3KillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+0.7
97-2C OF CC OF C×3Attack errGaby Zovko+0.8
108-2C OF CC OF C×3KillJulia Gnidaset Gaby Zovko+0.6
118-3C OF CUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+0.4
128-4UNCWUNCWAttack errHelena Vukovic+0.7
139-4UNCWC OF CServe errCourtney Graham+0.6
149-5C OF CUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.5
1510-5UNCWC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.6
1610-6C OF CUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.5
1710-7UNCWUNCWAttack errEmma Duffield+1.0
1811-7UNCWC OF CServe errSam Vanda+0.8
1911-8C OF CUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Morgan Esmie+0.7
2011-9UNCWUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+1.3
2112-9UNCWC OF CServe errMorgan Esmie+1.0
2213-9C OF CC OF CAceEmma Duffieldaced Sam Vanda+1.1
2313-10C OF CUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.7
2414-10UNCWC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+0.8
2514-11C OF CUNCWServe errJumana Martin+0.7
2615-11UNCWC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+0.8
2715-12C OF CUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.7
2816-12UNCWC OF CKillJulia Gnidaset Jumana Martin+0.9
2917-12C OF CC OF CKillEmma Duffieldset Helena Vukovic+0.9
3017-13C OF CUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.5
3118-13UNCWC OF CKillEmma Duffieldset Helena Vukovic+0.6
3218-14C OF CUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Helena Vukovic+0.5
3319-14UNCWC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+0.6
3419-15C OF CUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.4
3520-15UNCWC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+0.6
3621-15C OF CC OF CBlockedElaina Murphyblk Gabby Tuiaana, Makena Parthen+0.5
3721-16C OF CUNCWBlockedJulia Gnidablk Courtney Graham, Nadia Wasilewski+0.2
3822-16UNCWC OF CKillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+0.3
3922-17C OF CUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Meredith Keefer+0.1
4023-17UNCWC OF CServe errCourtney Graham+0.2
4123-18C OF CUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.1
4224-18UNCWC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.2
4324-19C OF CUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko·
4425-19UNCWC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.1
Set 2
10-1C OF CUNCWKillElaina Murphyset Gaby Zovko+0.8
20-2UNCWUNCWBad setHelena Vukovic+1.2
31-2UNCWC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+0.8
41-3C OF CUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.9
52-3UNCWC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+0.8
62-4C OF CUNCW×5Attack errJulia Gnida+1.0
72-5UNCWUNCW×5BlockedJulia Gnidablk Gaby Zovko, Courtney Graham+1.4
82-6UNCWUNCW×5BlockedGabby Tuiaanablk Courtney Graham, Sam Vanda+1.4
92-7UNCW
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
102-8UNCWUNCW×5KillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+1.3
113-8UNCWC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+0.7
123-9C OF CUNCWAttack errCaroline Noonan+1.0
134-9UNCWC OF CAttack errSam Vanda+0.7
145-9C OF CC OF CBad setElaina Murphy+1.2
155-10C OF CUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.1
166-10UNCWC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.8
177-10C OF CC OF CAttack errElaina Murphy+1.3
187-11C OF CUNCWBad setMakena Parthen+1.2
198-11UNCWC OF C×3Serve errSam Vanda+0.9
209-11C OF CC OF C×3BlockedNadia Wasilewskiblk Emma Duffield, Makena Parthen+1.5
2110-11C OF CC OF C×3Attack errSam Vanda+1.5
2210-12C OF CUNCWServe errHelena Vukovic+1.3
2310-13UNCWUNCWKillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+1.8
2411-13UNCWC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+1.1
2511-14C OF CUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+1.4
2612-14UNCWC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+1.1
2712-15C OF CUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Sam Vanda+1.4
2813-15UNCWC OF C×6KillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+1.1
2914-15C OF CC OF C×6KillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+1.8
3015-15C OF CC OF C×6BlockedSam Vandablk Helena Vukovic, Caroline Noonan+1.8
3116-15C OF CC OF C×6Attack errElaina Murphy+1.7
3217-15C OF CC OF C×6AceLauren Dowaced Elaina Murphy+1.6
3318-15C OF CC OF C×6Attack errSam Vanda+1.3
3418-16C OF CUNCWAttack errJulia Gnida+0.8
3519-16UNCWC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.9
3619-17C OF CUNCWKillGaby Zovkoset Elaina Murphy+0.8
3719-18UNCWUNCWAttack errEmma Duffield+1.6
3820-18UNCWC OF C×6Serve errGaby Zovko+1.3
3921-18C OF CC OF C×6AceCaroline Noonanaced Morgan Esmie+1.5
4022-18C OF CC OF C×6Attack errNadia Wasilewski+0.9
4123-18C OF CC OF C×6Attack errSam Vanda+0.5
4224-18C OF CC OF C×6KillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+0.2
4325-18C OF CC OF C×6BlockedSam Vandablk Makena Parthen, Emma Duffield·
Set 3
11-0UNCWC OF CKillJulia Gnidaset Emma Duffield+0.3
21-1C OF CUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.4
32-1UNCWC OF CServe errMorgan Esmie+0.4
42-2C OF CUNCWAttack errJulia Gnida+0.4
53-2UNCWC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Helena Vukovic+0.4
63-3C OF CUNCWKillCourtney Grahamset Gaby Zovko+0.4
74-3UNCWC OF CKillEmma Duffieldset Helena Vukovic+0.4
85-3C OF CC OF CKillHelena Vukovic+0.5
95-4C OF CUNCWBlockedEmma Duffieldblk Courtney Graham, Gaby Zovko+0.4
106-4UNCWC OF CServe errCourtney Graham+0.3
117-4C OF CC OF CKillEmma Duffieldset Helena Vukovic+0.4
127-5C OF CUNCWKillLauren Lewisset Gaby Zovko+0.3
138-5UNCWC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+0.3
148-6C OF CUNCWKillNadia Wasilewskiset Gaby Zovko+0.3
159-6UNCWC OF CServe errSam Vanda+0.3
169-7C OF CUNCWServe errJumana Martin+0.3
1710-7UNCWC OF CBlockedElaina Murphyblk Caroline Noonan, Gabby Tuiaana+0.3
1810-8C OF CUNCWAttack errCaroline Noonan+0.3
1911-8UNCWC OF CKillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+0.3
2011-9C OF CUNCWServe errJulia Gnida+0.3
2111-10UNCWUNCWAceElaina Murphyaced Julia Gnida+0.6
2212-10UNCWC OF C×3KillEmma Duffieldset Helena Vukovic+0.4
2313-10C OF CC OF C×3KillEmma Duffieldset Helena Vukovic+0.5
2414-10C OF CC OF C×3Attack errGaby Zovko+0.4
2514-11C OF CUNCWServe errCaroline Noonan+0.3
2615-11UNCWC OF CKillEmma Duffieldset Helena Vukovic+0.3
2715-12C OF CUNCWKillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+0.3
2816-12UNCWC OF CKillGabby Tuiaanaset Helena Vukovic+0.3
2917-12C OF CC OF CAttack errElaina Murphy+0.3
3017-13C OF CUNCW×3KillLilly Sullivanset Gaby Zovko+0.2
3117-14UNCWUNCW×3KillNadia Wasilewskiset Morgan Esmie+0.4
3217-15UNCWUNCW×3AceSam Vandaaced Emma Duffield+0.5
3318-15UNCWC OF CKillMakena Parthenset Helena Vukovic+0.4
3418-16C OF CUNCWServe errJumana Martin+0.4
3519-16UNCWC OF CKillCaroline Noonanset Gaby Zovko+0.5
3620-16C OF CC OF CKillJulia Gnidaset Lauren Dow+0.5
3720-17C OF CUNCW×3KillSam Vandaset Gaby Zovko+0.2
3820-18UNCWUNCW×3BlockedJulia Gnidablk Gaby Zovko, Courtney Graham+0.6
3920-19UNCWUNCW×3AceMeredith Keeferaced Emma Duffield+0.9
4021-19UNCWC OF C×5KillJulia Gnidaset Helena Vukovic+0.7
4122-19C OF CC OF C×5Attack errElaina Murphy+0.8
4223-19C OF CC OF C×5AceJulia Gnidaaced Elaina Murphy+0.5
4324-19C OF CC OF C×5KillEmma Duffieldset Helena Vukovic+0.2
4425-19C OF CC OF C×5Attack errSam Vanda·

Score shown after each rally, Col. of Charleston first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).