FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

UNI def. Rice 3–0

UNI won at Rice 3-0 (25-18, 25-20, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. UNI's Lily Dykstra led with 20 kills, and Jadyn Petersen added 16 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
N IOWA2525253
RICE1820230

Win probability

Rice above 50 · UNI below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.0% N IOWArally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.0% to UNI — set 3, N IOWA 25-23 RICE. Ashlyn Seay stuffed by Isabelle Elliott & Grace Hannam. RICE win probability 5% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N IOWA 61.9%38.1% RICE

UNI wins

3-0
18.2%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
20.0%

Rice wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.2%
N IOWA break %
41.2% vs this opp
RICE break %
38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ashlyn Seay stuffed by Isabelle Elliott & Grace Hannam

    Set 3 · N IOWA 25-23 RICE · N IOWA 95% → 100%

  2. 02
    Grace HannamKill+3.6%

    Kill by Grace Hannam

    Set 3 · N IOWA 22-21 RICE · N IOWA 90% → 94%

  3. 03

    Sydnee Peterson stuffed by Grace Hannam & Isabelle Elliott

    Set 3 · N IOWA 24-23 RICE · N IOWA 91% → 95%

  4. 04
    UNIAce+3.4%

    UNI ace on Sydnee Peterson

    Set 2 · N IOWA 15-14 RICE · N IOWA 76% → 80%

  5. 05

    Kellen Dorotik stuffed by Grace Hannam & Lily Dykstra

    Set 2 · N IOWA 16-14 RICE · N IOWA 80% → 83%

  6. 06
    Ashlyn SeayAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Ashlyn Seay

    Set 2 · N IOWA 19-16 RICE · N IOWA 84% → 87%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kellen Dorotik (set by Kaia Mateo)

    Set 2 · N IOWA 10-12 RICE · RICE 25% → 28%

  8. 08
    Taryn RiceKill+3.0%

    Kill by Taryn Rice (set by Kaia Mateo)

    Set 2 · N IOWA 12-12 RICE · N IOWA 74% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNIaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
320244.409012100010.521.5
38014.5710000032412
39223.3040001004211
38527.111202130010.58.5
3205.40010120052.54.5
3106.16735121300002
31011.0002101100002
31011.0006021600001
3025-.40000000010.50.5
Team totals5011126.31046396613141075
Ricehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311121.47610000010.511.5
311338.21110111100011
38636.056011700009
35317.11800000031.56.5
34111.273000100215
2011-1.000160140010.50.5
3000–000210000
3000–3002400000
1003.0001201600211
1013-.33300000010.50.5
1003.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000010000
1000–000000000
1000–301100000
Team totals3916133.1733615563010561

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 N IOWA · RICE 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 3 N IOWARICE 2

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 N IOWARICE 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 N IOWARICE 6

Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = UNI leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNI

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
33%3/9
2
58%7/12
53%8/15
3
78%7/9
46%6/13
4
70%7/10
53%8/15
5
70%7/10
42%5/12
6
58%7/12
22%2/9
All
68%43/63
44%32/73

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
0%0/8
2
50%7/14
36%4/11
3
58%7/12
42%5/12
4
44%7/16
30%3/10
5
78%7/9
0%0/7
6
67%6/9
53%8/15
All
56%41/73
32%20/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#N IOWA-RICESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0RICEN IOWA×3Serve errRice+1.6
22-0N IOWAN IOWA×3Bad setKellen Dorotik+2.4
33-0N IOWAN IOWA×3Attack errArissa Smith+2.2
43-1N IOWARICEServe errUNI+1.4
54-1RICEN IOWAKillIsabelle Elliottset Reese Booth+1.5
64-2N IOWARICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+1.4
75-2RICEN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+1.5
85-3N IOWARICEBlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Kellen Dorotik+1.5
96-3RICEN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+1.6
106-4N IOWARICEServe errUNI+1.5
117-4RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+1.6
127-5N IOWARICEBlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Amalia Simmons, Stephanie Gutierrez+1.5
138-5RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+1.6
148-6N IOWARICEServe errUNI+1.5
159-6RICEN IOWAAttack errAshlyn Seay+1.7
169-7N IOWARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.6
1710-7RICEN IOWABlockedSydnee Petersonblk Isabelle Elliott, Grace Hannam+1.7
1810-8N IOWARICEBad setGrace Hannam+1.6
1911-8RICEN IOWAKillIsabelle Elliottset Reese Booth+1.8
2012-8N IOWAN IOWABlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Maryn Bixby+2.3
2112-9N IOWARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kellen Dorotik+1.3
2213-9RICEN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+1.6
2314-9N IOWAN IOWAAttack errAmalia Simmons+1.9
2414-10N IOWARICEServe errUNI+1.0
2515-10RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+1.3
2615-11N IOWARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.0
2716-11RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+1.3
2816-12N IOWARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.9
2917-12RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+1.3
3017-13N IOWARICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+0.9
3117-14RICERICEAttack errCassidy Hartman+1.9
3218-14RICEN IOWAKillJadyn Petersenset Reese Booth+1.7
3319-14N IOWAN IOWAKillReese Boothset Kaia Mateo+1.8
3419-15N IOWARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+0.8
3520-15RICEN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+1.2
3620-16N IOWARICEAttack errCalia Clubb+0.7
3721-16RICEN IOWA×3Serve errRice+1.1
3822-16N IOWAN IOWA×3KillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.9
3923-16N IOWAN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.3
4023-17N IOWARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.1
4124-17RICEN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.1
4224-18N IOWARICEServe errUNI·
4325-18RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.1
Set 2
11-0N IOWAN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+2.2
21-1N IOWARICE×3KillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+1.5
31-2RICERICE×3KillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+2.3
41-3RICERICE×3KillKellen Dorotikset Sydnee Peterson+2.4
52-3RICEN IOWAKillGrace Hannamset Reese Booth+1.5
63-3N IOWAN IOWAKillIsabelle Elliottset Jadyn Petersen+2.3
73-4N IOWARICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+1.6
83-5RICERICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrez+2.5
93-6RICERICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+2.5
103-7RICERICE×4BlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Kaia Mateo, Stephanie Gutierrez+2.3
114-7RICEN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+1.3
125-7N IOWAN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Grace Hannam+2.3
136-7N IOWAN IOWA×3KillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+2.5
146-8N IOWARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.8
157-8RICEN IOWA×3KillIsabelle Elliottset Reese Booth+1.7
168-8N IOWAN IOWA×3KillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+2.7
179-8N IOWAN IOWA×3BlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Cassidy Hartman, Maryn Bixby+2.7
189-9N IOWARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.8
1910-9RICEN IOWABlockedKaia Mateoblk Maryn Bixby+1.8
2010-10N IOWARICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+1.9
2110-11RICERICE×3KillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+3.0
2210-12RICERICE×3KillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+3.0
2311-12RICEN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+1.9
2412-12N IOWAN IOWAKillTaryn Riceset Kaia Mateo+3.0
2512-13N IOWARICEServe errUNI+2.2
2613-13RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+2.1
2713-14N IOWARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+2.3
2814-14RICEN IOWA×3Attack errSydnee Peterson+2.2
2915-14N IOWAN IOWA×3AceUNIaced Sydnee Peterson+3.4
3016-14N IOWAN IOWA×3BlockedKellen Dorotikblk Grace Hannam, Lily Dykstra+3.2
3116-15N IOWARICEServe errUNI+2.0
3217-15RICEN IOWAKillIsabelle Elliottset Reese Booth+2.2
3317-16N IOWARICEServe errUNI+2.1
3418-16RICEN IOWA×4Serve errRice+2.4
3519-16N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errAshlyn Seay+3.1
3620-16N IOWAN IOWA×4AceUNIaced Campbell Love+2.3
3721-16N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errAshlyn Seay+1.5
3821-17N IOWARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.5
3922-17RICEN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.9
4023-17N IOWAN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Taryn Rice+0.6
4123-18N IOWARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.1
4223-19RICERICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+0.4
4324-19RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Cassidy Hartman+0.6
4424-20N IOWARICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.1
4525-20RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.3
Set 3
11-0RICEN IOWA×3KillIsabelle Elliottset Reese Booth+0.9
22-0N IOWAN IOWA×3KillIsabelle Elliottset Reese Booth+1.3
33-0N IOWAN IOWA×3KillCassidy Hartmanset Jadyn Petersen+1.2
43-1N IOWARICEAttack errIsabelle Elliott+0.8
53-2RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+1.3
64-2RICEN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.9
74-3N IOWARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+0.9
85-3RICEN IOWAServe errRice+0.9
95-4N IOWARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Mari Furoyama+0.9
106-4RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.9
116-5N IOWARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Zora Bello+0.9
127-5RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+1.0
137-6N IOWARICE×6KillKellen Dorotikset Zora Bello+0.9
147-7RICERICE×6KillArissa Smithset Mari Furoyama+1.6
157-8RICERICE×6BlockedLily Dykstrablk Zora Bello, Arissa Smith+1.7
167-9RICERICE×6KillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+1.7
177-10RICERICE×6KillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+1.7
187-11RICERICE×6BlockedLily Dykstrablk Zora Bello, Arissa Smith+1.5
198-11RICEN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.9
209-11N IOWAN IOWA×3AceUNIaced Jordan Hummel+1.5
2110-11N IOWAN IOWA×3KillIsabelle Elliottset Jadyn Petersen+1.7
2210-12N IOWARICEServe errUNI+1.3
2311-12RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+1.1
2411-13N IOWARICEKillArissa Smithset Zora Bello+1.3
2512-13RICEN IOWA×4BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Isabelle Elliott, Grace Hannam+1.2
2613-13N IOWAN IOWA×4KillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+1.9
2714-13N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errAshlyn Seay+2.0
2815-13N IOWAN IOWA×4KillIsabelle Elliottset Cassidy Hartman+1.9
2915-14N IOWARICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Zora Bello+1.2
3015-15RICERICE×3Attack errIsabelle Elliott+2.1
3115-16RICERICE×3KillKellen Dorotikset Zora Bello+2.3
3216-16RICEN IOWA×3BlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Maryn Bixby+1.5
3317-16N IOWAN IOWA×3KillCassidy Hartmanset Jadyn Petersen+2.3
3418-16N IOWAN IOWA×3KillCassidy Hartmanset Jadyn Petersen+2.2
3518-17N IOWARICE×4Attack errCalia Clubb+1.3
3618-18RICERICE×4AceAshlyn Seay+2.4
3718-19RICERICE×4Attack errCassidy Hartman+2.8
3818-20RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+2.8
3919-20RICEN IOWAServe errRice+1.5
4020-20N IOWAN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Taryn Rice+2.9
4120-21N IOWARICEKillKellen Dorotikset Zora Bello+2.2
4221-21RICEN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+2.1
4322-21N IOWAN IOWAKillGrace Hannam+3.6
4422-22N IOWARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+2.3
4523-22RICEN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Jadyn Petersen+2.8
4623-23N IOWARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+2.7
4724-23RICEN IOWABlockedSydnee Petersonblk Grace Hannam, Isabelle Elliott+3.5
4825-23N IOWAN IOWABlockedAshlyn Seayblk Isabelle Elliott, Grace Hannam+5.0

Score shown after each rally, UNI first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).