FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UNI def. Bradley 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UNI 86.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNI won at Bradley 3-0 (25-15, 25-20, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. UNI's Lily Dykstra led with 13 kills.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
N IOWA2525253
BRAD1520220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UNI held Bradley to .010 hitting.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.5 points. Bradley peaked at 15% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UNI at 87%.

UNIBradley
  • Break %+14.8 pts
    52.137.3

    38 of 73 on serve vs 22 of 59, so Bradley's sideout was 47.9%.

  • Hitting+.164
    .174.010

    45 K / 24 E against 19 K / 18 E.

  • Longest run+5
    83

    UNI scored 8 straight in the second set to open the set 8–0. The set finished 25–20.

Bradley above 50UNI belowMax swing 1.5%

UNIBradley

Aces
UNI 5·Bradley 5
Serve err
UNI 7·Bradley 5
Blocks
UNI 7·Bradley 153 BS · 8 BA vs 4 BS · 22 BA
Digs
UNI 56·Bradley 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bradley above 50 · UNI below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.5% BRADrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Bradley — set 1, N IOWA 1-2 BRAD. Kill by Cherlin Antonio (set by Hayden Booth). BRAD win probability 13% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N IOWA 91.2%8.8% BRAD

UNI wins

3-0
46.6%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.2%

Bradley wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
5.0%
N IOWA break %
46.3% vs this opp
BRAD break %
36.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Cherlin Antonio (set by Hayden Booth)

    Set 1 · N IOWA 1-2 BRAD · BRAD 13% → 15%

  2. 02
    Maryn BixbyKill+1.3%

    Kill by Maryn Bixby (set by Reese Booth)

    Set 1 · N IOWA 3-2 BRAD · N IOWA 86% → 87%

  3. 03
    UNIAce+1.2%

    UNI ace on Cherlin Antonio

    Set 1 · N IOWA 4-2 BRAD · N IOWA 87% → 89%

  4. 04
    Trixie CarrollAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Trixie Carroll

    Set 1 · N IOWA 5-2 BRAD · N IOWA 89% → 90%

  5. 05
    Maryn BixbyAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Maryn Bixby

    Set 2 · N IOWA 20-18 BRAD · BRAD 4% → 5%

  6. 06

    Kill by Cassidy Hartman (set by Jadyn Petersen)

    Set 1 · N IOWA 2-2 BRAD · N IOWA 85% → 86%

  7. 07
    Calia ClubbAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Calia Clubb

    Set 1 · N IOWA 1-1 BRAD · BRAD 12% → 13%

  8. 08
    Maryn BixbyBlock+1.0%

    Chloe Parker stuffed by Maryn Bixby

    Set 2 · N IOWA 22-19 BRAD · N IOWA 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UNIaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313536.2220224202116
312421.3810004000012
38418.2220002022311
38735.0292011120219
3136-.333010301224
3214.25030121500003
3000–212210001
3000–6001500000
2000–000000000
2000–000000000
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals4524121.174405756538775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
32412-.16710000477.59.5
34318.056021100428
36126.192100720006
32630-.13300020031.53.5
3002.0001502900211
3000–001700000
35413.077000110638
3000–020400002
3000–2111410001
1000–000000000
Team totals1918101.01019554554221557

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNI vs Bradley

Season series · UNI leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 N IOWA · BRAD 3

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 7 N IOWABRAD 2

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 8 N IOWABRAD 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 N IOWABRAD 3

Bars above the line = Bradley leads, below = UNI leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNI

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
71%12/17
2
50%7/14
61%11/18
3
67%6/9
50%6/12
4
60%6/10
33%3/9
5
75%6/8
33%3/9
6
71%5/7
38%3/8
All
63%37/59
52%38/73

Bradley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
28%7/25
36%4/11
2
46%6/13
42%5/12
3
60%6/10
33%3/9
4
67%6/9
33%3/9
5
71%5/7
40%4/10
6
56%5/9
38%3/8
All
48%35/73
37%22/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#N IOWA-BRADSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BRADN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.9
21-1N IOWABRADAttack errCalia Clubb+1.0
31-2BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Hayden Booth+1.5
42-2BRADN IOWA×4KillCassidy Hartmanset Jadyn Petersen+1.0
53-2N IOWAN IOWA×4KillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+1.3
64-2N IOWAN IOWA×4AceUNIaced Cherlin Antonio+1.2
75-2N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errTrixie Carroll+1.1
85-3N IOWABRADKillCherlin Antonioset Hayden Booth+0.7
96-3BRADN IOWA×4Attack errLily Dykstra+0.7
107-3N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errCherlin Antonio+0.9
118-3N IOWAN IOWA×4KillMaryn Bixby+0.7
129-3N IOWAN IOWA×4AceUNIaced Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.6
139-4N IOWABRADServe errUNI+0.3
1410-4BRADN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.4
1511-4N IOWAN IOWAKillReese Boothset Jadyn Petersen+0.4
1611-5N IOWABRADBlockedLily Dykstrablk Cherlin Antonio, Chloe Parker+0.2
1711-6BRADBRADAttack errMaryn Bixby+0.5
1812-6BRADN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.4
1912-7N IOWABRADBlockedGrace Hannamblk Chloe Parker, Hayden Booth+0.3
2012-8BRADBRADBlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Adeline Goedheer+0.7
2113-8BRADN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.5
2214-8N IOWAN IOWAAceUNIaced Gracie Furlong+0.6
2314-9N IOWABRADServe errUNI+0.3
2414-10BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Lily Dykstra+0.7
2515-10BRADN IOWA×7Serve errBradley+0.6
2616-10N IOWAN IOWA×7Attack errTrixie Carroll+0.6
2717-10N IOWAN IOWA×7KillGrace Hannamset Reese Booth+0.4
2818-10N IOWAN IOWA×7Attack errAdeline Goedheer+0.2
2919-10N IOWAN IOWA×7KillCalia Clubbset Jadyn Petersen+0.1
3020-10N IOWAN IOWA×7AceUNI·
3121-10N IOWAN IOWA×7KillCalia Clubb·
3221-11N IOWABRADServe errUNI·
3322-11BRADN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth·
3422-12N IOWABRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Hayden Booth·
3523-12BRADN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth·
3623-13N IOWABRADServe errUNI·
3723-14BRADBRADAttack errMaryn Bixby·
3824-14BRADN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth·
3924-15N IOWABRADKillCherlin Antonioset Hayden Booth·
4025-15BRADN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth·
Set 2
11-0N IOWAN IOWA×8KillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.9
22-0N IOWAN IOWA×8BlockedChloe Parkerblk Grace Hannam+0.8
33-0N IOWAN IOWA×8Attack errTrixie Carroll+0.7
44-0N IOWAN IOWA×8KillLily Dykstraset Jadyn Petersen+0.6
55-0N IOWAN IOWA×8KillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.5
66-0N IOWAN IOWA×8KillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.4
77-0N IOWAN IOWA×8Attack errTrixie Carroll+0.3
88-0N IOWAN IOWA×8Attack errTrixie Carroll+0.2
98-1N IOWABRADServe errUNI+0.1
109-1BRADN IOWAKillReese Boothset Cassidy Hartman+0.1
119-2N IOWABRAD×3Attack errCalia Clubb+0.1
129-3BRADBRAD×3Attack errGrace Hannam+0.2
139-4BRADBRAD×3BlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Adeline Goedheer, Cherlin Antonio+0.3
1410-4BRADN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.3
1511-4N IOWAN IOWABlockedAdeline Goedheerblk Maryn Bixby+0.3
1611-5N IOWABRADKillTrixie Carrollset Hayden Booth+0.2
1711-6BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Cassidy Hartman+0.3
1812-6BRADN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.3
1912-7N IOWABRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Hayden Booth+0.2
2012-8BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Taryn Rice+0.5
2113-8BRADN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Reese Booth+0.4
2213-9N IOWABRADKillGracie Furlongset Hayden Booth+0.3
2313-10BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.6
2414-10BRADN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.5
2514-11N IOWABRADKillGracie Furlongset Hayden Booth+0.5
2615-11BRADN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.5
2715-12N IOWABRADKillChloe Parkerset Hayden Booth+0.5
2816-12BRADN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.5
2917-12N IOWAN IOWA×3KillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.6
3018-12N IOWAN IOWA×3KillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.4
3118-13N IOWABRADAttack errCassidy Hartman+0.2
3219-13BRADN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.2
3319-14N IOWABRADBlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Adeline Goedheer, Trixie Carroll+0.2
3419-15BRADBRADBlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Cherlin Antonio, Adeline Goedheer+0.4
3520-15BRADN IOWAAttack errAdeline Goedheer+0.4
3620-16N IOWABRAD×3KillCherlin Antonioset Gracie Furlong+0.3
3720-17BRADBRAD×3Attack errLily Dykstra+0.6
3820-18BRADBRAD×3Attack errMaryn Bixby+1.0
3921-18BRADN IOWAServe errBradley+0.9
4021-19N IOWABRADServe errUNI+0.7
4122-19BRADN IOWABlockedChloe Parkerblk Maryn Bixby+1.0
4223-19N IOWAN IOWAAttack errGracie Furlong+0.8
4323-20N IOWABRADAttack errLily Dykstra+0.3
4424-20BRADN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.5
4525-20N IOWAN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Jadyn Petersen+0.2
Set 3
10-1BRADBRAD×3BlockedReese Boothblk Adeline Goedheer+0.5
20-2BRADBRAD×3BlockedLily Dykstrablk Hayden Booth, Adeline Goedheer+0.6
30-3BRADBRAD×3AceBradleyaced Lily Dykstra+0.6
41-3BRADN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.4
51-4N IOWABRADBlockedCalia Clubbblk Trixie Carroll, Adeline Goedheer+0.5
61-5BRADBRADBlockedGrace Hannamblk Adeline Goedheer+0.7
72-5BRADN IOWAKillCassidy Hartmanset Jadyn Petersen+0.4
82-6N IOWABRADBlockedMaryn Bixbyblk Adeline Goedheer+0.5
92-7BRADBRADAceBradleyaced Cassidy Hartman+0.7
103-7BRADN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.4
113-8N IOWABRADKillCherlin Antonioset Hayden Booth+0.5
124-8BRADN IOWABlockedCherlin Antonioblk Maryn Bixby, Cassidy Hartman+0.4
134-9N IOWABRADKillChloe Parkerset Hayden Booth+0.5
145-9BRADN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.4
155-10N IOWABRADKillGracie Furlongset Hayden Booth+0.5
165-11BRADBRADKillChloe Parkerset Hayden Booth+0.7
176-11BRADN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.3
186-12N IOWABRADKillChloe Parkerset Eirini Bitsaktsi+0.5
197-12BRADN IOWA×4KillLily Dykstraset Cassidy Hartman+0.3
208-12N IOWAN IOWA×4AceUNIaced Gracie Furlong+0.6
219-12N IOWAN IOWA×4Attack errTrixie Carroll+0.7
2210-12N IOWAN IOWA×4BlockedAdeline Goedheerblk Cassidy Hartman, Grace Hannam+0.7
2310-13N IOWABRADServe errUNI+0.6
2410-14BRADBRADBlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Cherlin Antonio, Adeline Goedheer+0.8
2511-14BRADN IOWAServe errBradley+0.5
2612-14N IOWAN IOWAKillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.7
2712-15N IOWABRADBad setGrace Hannam+0.7
2813-15BRADN IOWAKillCalia Clubbset Reese Booth+0.5
2913-16N IOWABRADKillGracie Furlongset Hayden Booth+0.7
3014-16BRADN IOWA×3KillMaryn Bixbyset Reese Booth+0.5
3115-16N IOWAN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Taryn Rice+0.9
3216-16N IOWAN IOWA×3BlockedCherlin Antonioblk Lily Dykstra, Maryn Bixby+0.9
3316-17N IOWABRADBlockedLily Dykstrablk Cherlin Antonio, Chloe Parker+0.7
3417-17BRADN IOWA×3Serve errBradley+0.7
3518-17N IOWAN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Taryn Rice+0.9
3619-17N IOWAN IOWA×3KillKamryn Vogt+0.8
3719-18N IOWABRADKillGracie Furlongset Hayden Booth+0.5
3820-18BRADN IOWA×3KillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.6
3921-18N IOWAN IOWA×3BlockedChloe Parkerblk Lily Dykstra, Grace Hannam+0.7
4022-18N IOWAN IOWA×3Bad setHayden Booth+0.4
4122-19N IOWABRADBlockedCalia Clubbblk Chloe Parker, Trixie Carroll+0.2
4223-19BRADN IOWAKillLily Dykstraset Reese Booth+0.3
4323-20N IOWABRAD×3Bad setReese Booth+0.1
4423-21BRADBRAD×3BlockedCassidy Hartmanblk Cherlin Antonio, Adeline Goedheer+0.4
4523-22BRADBRAD×3KillTrixie Carrollset Adeline Goedheer+0.8
4624-22BRADN IOWAServe errBradley+0.9
4725-22N IOWAN IOWAAttack errCherlin Antonio+0.6

Score shown after each rally, UNI first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).