Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Dayton def. South Fla. 3–1

Dayton won at South Fla. 3-1 (26-24, 25-21, 16-25, 25-20) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Sidney Sprada led Dayton with 13 kills; South Fla.'s Paula Tomasa had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
DAYTON262516253
USF242125201

Win probability

South Fla. above 50 · Dayton below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.0% DAYTONrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Dayton — set 1, DAYTON 25-24 USF. Dayton ace on Sofija Djordjevic. USF win probability 46% → 36%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 56.7%43.3% USF

Dayton wins

3-0
15.5%
3-1
21.5%
3-2
19.6%

South Fla. wins

3-0
9.9%
3-1
16.0%
3-2
17.5%
DAYTON break %
41.4% vs this opp
USF break %
40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    DaytonAce+10.0%

    Dayton ace on Sofija Djordjevic

    Set 1 · DAYTON 25-24 USF · DAYTON 54% → 64%

  2. 02
    Samiyah Abdur-RahimAttack error+9.7%

    Attack error by Samiyah Abdur-Rahim

    Set 1 · DAYTON 26-24 USF · DAYTON 64% → 73%

  3. 03
    Samiyah Abdur-RahimAttack error+7.7%

    Attack error by Samiyah Abdur-Rahim

    Set 1 · DAYTON 23-23 USF · DAYTON 46% → 54%

  4. 04

    Kill by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva (set by Miya Thomas)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 23-24 USF · USF 46% → 53%

  5. 05
    Kamryn HuntKill+7.0%

    Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Natalie Harrington)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 24-24 USF · DAYTON 47% → 54%

  6. 06
    South Fla.Ace+6.8%

    South Fla. ace on Sidney Sprada

    Set 1 · DAYTON 21-23 USF · USF 50% → 57%

  7. 07
    Mora PampinAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Mora Pampin

    Set 4 · DAYTON 20-18 USF · DAYTON 83% → 89%

  8. 08
    Sidney SpradaKill+5.9%

    Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Lily Barry)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 21-21 USF · DAYTON 49% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410634.1181319202114
413531.258004112010.513.5
412228.3570002002113
48011.72700030010.58.5
46216.250100001228
4112.00026121000002
48423.174000400008
4012-.5002402500000
4000–503900000
4000–000000000
3014-.250010200001
1002.000000100000
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals5822153.2355751356418592
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419549.286211130031.521.5
410638.10500010010.510.5
4418.375012000427
44041.0003801100031.55.5
4000–011630001
2147-.42910000010.51.5
4102.500410800002
4000–1002310000
36324.12510001010.56.5
32021.00000000052.54.5
31011.000000000212
3000–200100000
2000–000000000
1349-.111000000003
Team totals5123144.19449456250201090

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DAYTON · USF 5

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 3 DAYTONUSF 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 DAYTONUSF 2

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 DAYTONUSF 5

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 DAYTONUSF 5

Bars above the line = South Fla. leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%12/15
38%6/16
2
73%11/15
37%7/19
3
67%10/15
29%4/14
4
59%10/17
29%4/14
5
50%9/18
47%8/17
6
73%8/11
27%3/11
All
66%60/91
35%32/91

South Fla.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
29%4/14
2
61%11/18
31%5/16
3
67%10/15
27%4/15
4
63%10/16
17%2/12
5
57%8/14
58%14/24
6
73%8/11
20%2/10
All
65%59/91
34%31/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#DAYTON-USFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0USFDAYTONAttack errMora Pampin+1.7
21-1DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.7
31-2USFUSFAttack errRylee Sloss+2.6
42-2USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.8
52-3DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+1.9
63-3USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.8
73-4DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+1.9
84-4USFDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.9
95-4DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errIyanna Garvin+2.8
106-4DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+2.7
116-5DAYTONUSF×5KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.8
126-6USFUSF×5KillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.8
136-7USFUSF×5Attack errCharlotte Vinson+3.0
146-8USFUSF×5KillSamiyah Abdur-Rahim+3.0
156-9USFUSF×5Attack errCharlotte Vinson+2.9
167-9USFDAYTONAttack errSamiyah Abdur-Rahim+1.8
177-10DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.1
187-11USFUSFAttack errKamryn Hunt+2.7
198-11USFDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.6
209-11DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.7
219-12DAYTONUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.2
2210-12USFDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+1.9
2310-13DAYTONUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.2
2411-13USFDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.9
2512-13DAYTONDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+3.3
2612-14DAYTONUSFKillMora Pampin+2.5
2713-14USFDAYTONServe errSouth Fla.+2.3
2813-15DAYTONUSFKillMora Pampinset Paula Tomasa+2.6
2914-15USFDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.4
3015-15DAYTONDAYTONBlockedIyanna Garvinblk Kamryn Hunt, Abigail Cresse+3.9
3115-16DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+2.9
3216-16USFDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.8
3316-17DAYTONUSFKillSamiyah Abdur-Rahimset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.0
3417-17USFDAYTONAttack errSamiyah Abdur-Rahim+3.0
3517-18DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+3.2
3618-18USFDAYTONAttack errPaula Tomasa+3.1
3718-19DAYTONUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.5
3819-19USFDAYTONServe errSouth Fla.+3.4
3919-20DAYTONUSFAttack errSidney Sprada+3.8
4019-21USFUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+5.5
4120-21USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+3.1
4221-21DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+5.9
4321-22DAYTONUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+4.8
4421-23USFUSFAceSouth Fla.aced Sidney Sprada+6.8
4522-23USFDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+3.2
4623-23DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSamiyah Abdur-Rahim+7.7
4723-24DAYTONUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Miya Thomas+7.0
4824-24USFDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+7.0
4925-24DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Sofija Djordjevic+10.0
5026-24DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errSamiyah Abdur-Rahim+9.7
Set 2
10-1DAYTONUSFBlockedKamryn Huntblk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+1.7
21-1USFDAYTONServe errSouth Fla.+1.6
32-1DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Ryelle Rondo+2.4
42-2DAYTONUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.7
53-2USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.7
63-3DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Iyanna Garvin+1.7
74-3USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.7
84-4DAYTONUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.7
95-4USFDAYTONAttack errIyanna Garvin+1.8
105-5DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+1.8
116-5USFDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.8
126-6DAYTONUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Miya Thomas+1.8
136-7USFUSFBlockedKamryn Huntblk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+2.8
147-7USFDAYTONServe errSouth Fla.+1.9
157-8DAYTONUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.0
168-8USFDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.9
178-9DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.0
189-9USFDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Kamryn Hunt+2.0
199-10DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+2.1
209-11USFUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.1
2110-11USFDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.0
2210-12DAYTONUSFBlockedSidney Spradablk Iyanna Garvin, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.2
2311-12USFDAYTONBlockedPaula Tomasablk Abigail Cresse, Sidney Sprada+2.0
2412-12DAYTONDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+3.2
2512-13DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+2.3
2613-13USFDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.3
2713-14DAYTONUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Addy Brus+2.4
2813-15USFUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.6
2914-15USFDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.2
3015-15DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+3.6
3116-15DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Addy Brus+3.8
3216-16DAYTONUSFKillMiya Thomasset Paula Tomasa+2.6
3316-17USFUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+4.1
3417-17USFDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.8
3517-18DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.0
3618-18USFDAYTON×3BlockedMora Pampinblk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges+2.9
3719-18DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMora Pampin+4.6
3820-18DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+4.5
3920-19DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Sofija Djordjevic+2.6
4021-19USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+3.3
4122-19DAYTONDAYTONAttack errIyanna Garvin+3.9
4222-20DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+1.7
4322-21USFUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+4.1
4423-21USFDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+4.1
4524-21DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+4.0
4625-21DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+1.5
Set 3
10-1USFUSFAttack errSidney Sprada+1.5
21-1USFDAYTONBlockedPaula Tomasablk Gabriela Machin Borges, Kamryn Hunt+1.0
31-2DAYTONUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
42-2USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.1
52-3DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+1.1
62-4USFUSFAttack errAbigail Cresse+1.6
73-4USFDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.1
84-4DAYTONDAYTONAttack errAddy Brus+1.6
94-5DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
105-5USFDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.1
115-6DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
126-6USFDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+1.2
136-7DAYTONUSFKillAnne Perezset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
147-7USFDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+1.2
158-7DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.8
168-8DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+1.2
179-8USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Lily Barry+1.3
1810-8DAYTONDAYTONAttack errMora Pampin+1.8
1910-9DAYTONUSF×4KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.2
2010-10USFUSF×4KillPaula Tomasaset Miya Thomas+1.9
2110-11USFUSF×4KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.0
2210-12USFUSF×4Attack errGabriela Machin Borges+2.0
2311-12USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.3
2411-13DAYTONUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.5
2511-14USFUSF×3AceSouth Fla.aced Sidney Sprada+2.0
2611-15USFUSF×3BlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Addy Brus, Anne Perez+1.8
2712-15USFDAYTONAttack errAddy Brus+1.0
2812-16DAYTONUSFAttack errNatalie Harrington+1.2
2913-16USFDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+1.0
3013-17DAYTONUSF×5Serve errDayton+1.3
3113-18USFUSF×5Attack errCharlotte Vinson+1.4
3213-19USFUSF×5BlockedKamryn Huntblk Anne Perez, Laila Ivey+1.0
3313-20USFUSF×5Attack errKamryn Hunt+0.6
3413-21USFUSF×5BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Mora Pampin, Anne Perez+0.3
3514-21USFDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.1
3614-22DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+0.2
3715-22USFDAYTONAttack errAmelia Wass de Czege+0.1
3815-23DAYTONUSFBlockedKamryn Huntblk Laila Ivey, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.1
3915-24USFUSFAttack errSydney Barrett·
4016-24USFDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss·
4116-25DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
Set 4
10-1DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.3
21-1USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.2
32-1DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Ryelle Rondo+3.3
42-2DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.3
53-2USFDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.3
63-3DAYTONUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.3
74-3USFDAYTONServe errSouth Fla.+2.3
84-4DAYTONUSF×5KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.4
94-5USFUSF×5BlockedSidney Spradablk Anne Perez, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.6
104-6USFUSF×5AceSouth Fla.aced Kamryn Hunt+3.6
114-7USFUSF×5KillNina Jioshvili-Ravvaset Miya Thomas+3.5
124-8USFUSF×5KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.3
135-8USFDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+2.0
145-9DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.3
156-9USFDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+2.0
166-10DAYTONUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.3
177-10USFDAYTONAttack errPaula Tomasa+2.0
188-10DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+3.4
198-11DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.7
209-11USFDAYTONAttack errMora Pampin+2.4
2110-11DAYTONDAYTONKillAddi Gallentine+3.9
2210-12DAYTONUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.0
2311-12USFDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+2.7
2412-12DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+4.4
2512-13DAYTONUSFBlockedSidney Spradablk Amelia Wass de Czege, Paula Tomasa+3.2
2613-13USFDAYTONKillRylee Slossset Abigail Cresse+3.1
2714-13DAYTONDAYTONBlockedAddy Brusblk Abigail Cresse+4.7
2814-14DAYTONUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.2
2914-15USFUSFBlockedAbigail Cresseblk Anne Perez, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+5.0
3015-15USFDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+3.4
3116-15DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+5.2
3216-16DAYTONUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+3.5
3316-17USFUSFAceSouth Fla.aced Kamryn Hunt+5.6
3417-17USFDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+3.7
3518-17DAYTONDAYTONAttack errMora Pampin+5.8
3618-18DAYTONUSFKillAnne Perezset Emelyn Stettin+4.0
3719-18USFDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+4.3
3820-18DAYTONDAYTONAttack errMora Pampin+6.0
3920-19DAYTONUSFKillLaila Iveyset Emelyn Stettin+3.6
4021-19USFDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+4.5
4122-19DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errPaula Tomasa+5.3
4223-19DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDaytonaced Ryelle Rondo+3.3
4324-19DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+1.4
4424-20DAYTONUSFServe errDayton+0.2
4525-20USFDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).