Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

Dayton def. Missouri 3–2

Dayton beat Missouri 3-2 (25-22, 12-25, 20-25, 25-22, 16-14) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Gabriela Machin Borges and Kaleigh Meritt led Dayton with 12 kills each; Missouri's Grace O'Reilly had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set12345Sets
DAYTON25122025163
MIZZOU22252522142

Win probability

Missouri above 50 · Dayton below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+32.1% DAYTONrally 206 · set 5

Biggest swing: 32.1% to Dayton — set 5, DAYTON 16-14 MIZZOU. Attack error by Piper Batie. MIZZOU win probability 32% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 23.5%76.5% MIZZOU

Dayton wins

3-0
4.1%
3-1
8.0%
3-2
11.5%

Missouri wins

3-0
28.3%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
19.1%
DAYTON break %
38.1% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Piper BatieAttack error+32.1%

    Attack error by Piper Batie

    Set 5 · DAYTON 16-14 MIZZOU · DAYTON 68% → 100%

  2. 02
    Kaleigh MerittKill+22.5%

    Kill by Kaleigh Meritt (set by Gabriela Machin Borges)

    Set 5 · DAYTON 13-12 MIZZOU · DAYTON 40% → 63%

  3. 03
    Kaleigh MerittKill+19.8%

    Kill by Kaleigh Meritt (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 5 · DAYTON 14-13 MIZZOU · DAYTON 48% → 68%

  4. 04
    Paige FelderKill+19.8%

    Kill by Paige Felder (set by Sierra Dudley)

    Set 5 · DAYTON 14-14 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 32% → 52%

  5. 05
    Ainoah CruzBad set+19.8%

    Bad set by Ainoah Cruz

    Set 5 · DAYTON 15-14 MIZZOU · DAYTON 48% → 68%

  6. 06

    Grace O'Reilly stuffed by Addi Gallentine & Kaleigh Meritt

    Set 5 · DAYTON 12-12 MIZZOU · DAYTON 23% → 40%

  7. 07
    Paige FelderKill+14.5%

    Kill by Paige Felder (set by Claire Morrissey)

    Set 5 · DAYTON 13-13 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 37% → 52%

  8. 08

    Grace O'Reilly stuffed by Kaleigh Meritt & Addi Gallentine

    Set 5 · DAYTON 11-12 MIZZOU · DAYTON 13% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512333.2731004010113
511528.21410010110112
5107.14321101200002
412431.25810140132.514.5
2215.200000010002
2012-.500202000000
55316.125100102027
5003.000500800000
5001.000400410000
46415.133100800006
4004.0001234500003
4000–010100001
3406.66700010031.55.5
3406.667010300005
2106.167000000001
2001.000700200000
Team totals5821164.226566763656898
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519631.41900150010.519.5
511432.21931062010.512.5
511229.3101101000012
56010.60020120132.58.5
55111.364112300217
5205.4002711601014
518238.42120050132.520.5
5026-.3336223010002
5137-.2861902600001
5012-.500201700000
1000–100000000
Team totals7321171.304646107163108108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DAYTON · MIZZOU 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 DAYTONMIZZOU 5

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 DAYTONMIZZOU 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 DAYTONMIZZOU 2

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 3 DAYTONMIZZOU 3

Set 5

16-14

Longest run 4 DAYTONMIZZOU 3

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%12/25
44%8/18
2
63%12/19
37%7/19
3
57%12/21
37%7/19
4
45%10/22
45%9/20
5
80%8/10
40%6/15
6
64%7/11
0%0/7
All
56%61/108
38%37/98

Missouri

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
55%11/20
2
60%12/20
40%8/20
3
67%12/18
33%6/18
4
47%9/19
50%11/22
5
75%9/12
44%7/16
6
78%7/9
33%4/12
All
62%61/98
44%47/108

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

206 rallies

#DAYTON-MIZZOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Morgan Asleson+2.1
22-0DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDayton+2.2
33-0DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Morgan Asleson+2.3
43-1DAYTONMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+1.4
53-2MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouri+2.2
64-2MIZZOUDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+1.7
75-2DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAinoah Cruz+2.4
86-2DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Isabel Simmons+2.4
96-3DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.4
107-3MIZZOUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.7
118-3DAYTONDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Piper Batie+2.3
128-4DAYTONMIZZOUServe errDayton+1.3
138-5MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouriaced Kamryn Hunt+2.2
149-5MIZZOUDAYTON×4KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+1.8
1510-5DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDayton+2.4
1611-5DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKaleigh Merittset Morgan Asleson+2.1
1712-5DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errMaizy Agnello+1.8
1812-6DAYTONMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.9
1912-7MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillPiper Batieset Rylee Sloss+1.6
2012-8MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errCharlotte Vinson+1.9
2113-8MIZZOUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Kaleigh Meritt+1.8
2213-9DAYTONMIZZOUServe errDayton+1.3
2314-9MIZZOUDAYTONBlockedGrace O'Reillyblk Kamryn Hunt+1.8
2414-10DAYTONMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+1.3
2515-10MIZZOUDAYTONAttack errGrace O'Reilly+1.8
2615-11DAYTONMIZZOUServe errDayton+1.3
2716-11MIZZOUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Charlotte Vinson+1.8
2816-12DAYTONMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+1.3
2917-12MIZZOUDAYTONAttack errPaige Felder+1.8
3018-12DAYTONDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+2.0
3118-13DAYTONMIZZOU×4KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.8
3218-14MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillMaizy Agnelloset Piper Batie+1.7
3318-15MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillKimani Johnsonset Ava Liening+2.3
3418-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillEva Smithset Lily Barry+2.9
3519-16MIZZOUDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.7
3620-16DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+3.2
3721-16DAYTONDAYTON×4Bad setKimani Johnson+2.4
3822-16DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedMaizy Agnelloblk Charlotte Vinson+1.4
3922-17DAYTONMIZZOU×5Serve errDayton+0.4
4022-18MIZZOUMIZZOU×5Attack errKaleigh Meritt+1.0
4122-19MIZZOUMIZZOU×5KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+1.7
4222-20MIZZOUMIZZOU×5AceMissouriaced Ava Liening+2.8
4322-21MIZZOUMIZZOU×5KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+4.2
4423-21MIZZOUDAYTONBlockedZoey Matiasblk Kaleigh Meritt+4.4
4524-21DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Maizy Agnello+4.7
4624-22DAYTONMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Kimani Johnson+1.2
4725-22MIZZOUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+3.1
Set 2
10-1MIZZOUMIZZOU×5Attack errGabriela Machin Borges+2.7
20-2MIZZOUMIZZOU×5Attack errIsabel Simmons+2.5
30-3MIZZOUMIZZOU×5KillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+2.3
40-4MIZZOUMIZZOU×5AceMissouri+2.0
50-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×5Attack errKamryn Hunt+1.7
61-5MIZZOUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.0
71-6DAYTONMIZZOUAttack errKaleigh Meritt+1.1
81-7MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.3
92-7MIZZOUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.8
102-8DAYTONMIZZOUBlockedKamryn Huntblk Sierra Dudley+0.9
113-8MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri+0.8
124-8DAYTONDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+1.5
134-9DAYTONMIZZOU×3Serve errDayton+1.2
144-10MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errAva Liening+1.4
154-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Ainoah Cruz+1.0
165-11MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri+0.5
176-11DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Morgan Asleson+1.1
186-12DAYTONMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Piper Batie+0.9
197-12MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri+0.8
207-13DAYTONMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+0.9
217-14MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Lauren Larkin+1.0
227-15MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillSierra Dudleyset Natalie Harrington+0.6
238-15MIZZOUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.3
248-16DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Zoey Matias+0.4
258-17MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Lauren Larkin+0.3
269-17MIZZOUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Isabel Simmons+0.1
279-18DAYTONMIZZOU×3KillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+0.2
289-19MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errSidney Sprada+0.1
299-20MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillPaige Felderset Maizy Agnello+0.1
3010-20MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri·
3110-21DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley·
3210-22MIZZOUMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Ainoah Cruz·
3311-22MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri·
3412-22DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Ainoah Cruz·
3512-23DAYTONMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Paige Felder·
3612-24MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Maizy Agnello·
3712-25MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedKaleigh Merittblk Kimani Johnson·
Set 3
10-1DAYTONMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+1.9
21-1MIZZOUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.0
31-2DAYTONMIZZOUKillSierra Dudleyset Maizy Agnello+1.9
42-2MIZZOUDAYTON×3KillAddi Gallentineset Kamryn Hunt+2.1
53-2DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+3.2
64-2DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+3.5
74-3DAYTONMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+2.2
84-4MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+3.2
95-4MIZZOUDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.4
105-5DAYTONMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Lauren Larkin+2.2
115-6MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errKamryn Hunt+3.2
126-6MIZZOUDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.3
137-6DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+3.6
148-6DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errKimani Johnson+3.9
158-7DAYTONMIZZOUAttack errSidney Sprada+2.4
169-7MIZZOUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.8
179-8DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.5
1810-8MIZZOUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.9
1910-9DAYTONMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+2.6
2010-10MIZZOUMIZZOUKillEva Smith+3.9
2111-10MIZZOUDAYTONAttack errPaige Felder+2.9
2211-11DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.7
2311-12MIZZOUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+3.9
2412-12MIZZOUDAYTONAttack errPiper Batie+2.8
2512-13DAYTONMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+2.8
2612-14MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedSidney Spradablk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith+3.8
2713-14MIZZOUDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+2.5
2813-15DAYTONMIZZOUServe errDayton+2.7
2914-15MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri+2.6
3014-16DAYTONMIZZOUBlockedKamryn Huntblk Kimani Johnson, Lauren Larkin+2.8
3114-17MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouri+3.5
3215-17MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri+2.1
3315-18DAYTONMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Addi Gallentine+2.5
3415-19MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.8
3516-19MIZZOUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.4
3616-20DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.9
3717-20MIZZOUDAYTONBad setMaizy Agnello+1.4
3817-21DAYTONMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+1.9
3918-21MIZZOUDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.2
4018-22DAYTONMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Kimani Johnson+1.9
4119-22MIZZOUDAYTONKillRylee Slossset Rylee Sloss+1.1
4219-23DAYTONMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Piper Batie+1.7
4320-23MIZZOUDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.8
4420-24DAYTONMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Piper Batie+1.5
4520-25MIZZOUMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Ainoah Cruz+0.6
Set 4
11-0MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri+1.8
21-1DAYTONMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+1.6
32-1MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri+1.8
43-1DAYTONDAYTONAceDayton+2.7
53-2DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.7
63-3MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errCharlotte Vinson+2.6
74-3MIZZOUDAYTONServe errMissouri+1.9
84-4DAYTONMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Eva Smith+1.8
95-4MIZZOUDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.0
105-5DAYTONMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Piper Batie+1.8
116-5MIZZOUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+2.0
126-6DAYTONMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Piper Batie+1.9
137-6MIZZOUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.1
148-6DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Maizy Agnello+3.1
158-7DAYTONMIZZOU×3Serve errDayton+2.0
168-8MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Ainoah Cruz+2.9
178-9MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.8
189-9MIZZOUDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.0
1910-9DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+3.2
2011-9DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMaizy Agnello+3.4
2111-10DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.2
2211-11MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouriaced Lily Barry+3.3
2312-11MIZZOUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Emily Harden+2.5
2413-11DAYTONDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Emily Harden+3.7
2513-12DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.3
2613-13MIZZOUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+3.5
2714-13MIZZOUDAYTONKillCorrie Andersonset Emily Harden+2.7
2814-14DAYTONMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Piper Batie+2.5
2914-15MIZZOUMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Ainoah Cruz+3.6
3015-15MIZZOUDAYTONAttack errEva Smith+2.6
3115-16DAYTONMIZZOUBlockedSidney Spradablk Eva Smith, Kimani Johnson+2.6
3216-16MIZZOUDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+2.7
3316-17DAYTONMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Zoey Matias+2.8
3417-17MIZZOUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Lily Barry+2.9
3518-17DAYTONDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Emily Harden+4.8
3618-18DAYTONMIZZOUBad setSidney Sprada+3.1
3718-19MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errKaleigh Meritt+4.7
3819-19MIZZOUDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Emily Harden+3.3
3919-20DAYTONMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+3.5
4020-20MIZZOUDAYTONAttack errGrace O'Reilly+3.6
4121-20DAYTONDAYTONBlockedGrace O'Reillyblk Kaleigh Meritt, Addi Gallentine+6.3
4221-21DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+4.1
4322-21MIZZOUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Lily Barry+5.0
4422-22DAYTONMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Maizy Agnello+4.6
4523-22MIZZOUDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Sidney Sprada+6.0
4624-22DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errKimani Johnson+8.8
4725-22DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedMaizy Agnelloblk Gabriela Machin Borges+3.9
Set 5
11-0DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+8.9
22-0DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+9.5
33-0DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Morgan Asleson+9.6
43-1DAYTONMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+5.6
53-2MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedKamryn Huntblk Grace O'Reilly, Lauren Larkin+9.1
63-3MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+9.4
74-3MIZZOUDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+7.1
84-4DAYTONMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+6.6
94-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+9.7
104-6MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillEva Smith+8.9
115-6MIZZOUDAYTONAttack errAinoah Cruz+5.9
125-7DAYTONMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Ainoah Cruz+6.4
136-7MIZZOUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+6.1
146-8DAYTONMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+6.7
157-8MIZZOUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Emily Harden+6.4
167-9DAYTONMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Piper Batie+7.2
178-9MIZZOUDAYTONBlockedPiper Batieblk Charlotte Vinson+6.7
188-10DAYTONMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Piper Batie+7.7
198-11MIZZOUMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Sierra Dudley+9.0
209-11MIZZOUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Emily Harden+4.6
219-12DAYTONMIZZOUBlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Maizy Agnello, Lauren Larkin+6.4
2210-12MIZZOUDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Lily Barry+4.3
2311-12DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedGrace O'Reillyblk Kaleigh Meritt, Addi Gallentine+10.6
2412-12DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedGrace O'Reillyblk Addi Gallentine, Kaleigh Meritt+16.7
2513-12DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKaleigh Merittset Gabriela Machin Borges+22.5
2613-13DAYTONMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Claire Morrissey+14.5
2714-13MIZZOUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+19.8
2814-14DAYTONMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+19.8
2915-14MIZZOUDAYTONBad setAinoah Cruz+19.8
3016-14DAYTONDAYTONAttack errPiper Batie+32.1

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).