CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026
Dayton logo

AwayATLANTIC-10

1:3

Bowling Green def. Dayton 31

(26-24, 18-25, 25-22, 25-22)
Set1*2*3*4*Sets
DAYTON242522221
BGSU261825253
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BGSU above 50 · DAYTON below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100BGSUDAYTONBiggest swing +10.2% BGSU · S1 24-26rally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.2% to Bowling Green — set 1, DAYTON 24-26 BGSU. Attack error by Gabriela Machin borges. BGSU win probability 57%67%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DAYTON 52.4%47.6% BGSU

Dayton wins

3-0
13.6%
3-1
19.8%
3-2
19.1%

Bowling Green wins

3-0
11.5%
3-1
17.7%
3-2
18.3%
DAYTON break %
42.0% vs this opp
BGSU break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Gabriela Machin borgesAttack error+10.2%

    Attack error by Gabriela Machin borges

    Set 1 · DAYTON 24-26 BGSU · BGSU 57%67%

  2. 02
    Karli MolnauKill+10.1%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Molly Beatty)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 23-24 BGSU · BGSU 47%57%

  3. 03
    BGSU serverAce+7.6%

    Bowling Green ace on Kaleigh Meritt

    Set 1 · DAYTON 23-23 BGSU · BGSU 39%47%

  4. 04

    Kill by Ava Buddelmeyer

    Set 1 · DAYTON 24-24 BGSU · DAYTON 43%50%

  5. 05
    Karli MolnauKill+7.3%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Molly Beatty)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 24-25 BGSU · BGSU 50%57%

  6. 06
    Addi GallentineAttack error+7.2%

    Addi Gallentine stuffed by Karli Molnau & Helen Wilford

    Set 3 · DAYTON 19-20 BGSU · BGSU 48%55%

  7. 07
    Avery HobsonKill+7.1%

    Kill by Avery Hobson (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 3 · DAYTON 19-21 BGSU · BGSU 55%62%

  8. 08
    Charlotte VinsonAttack error+6.5%

    Attack error by Charlotte Vinson

    Set 4 · DAYTON 21-23 BGSU · BGSU 85%91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Daytonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418236.444212121010.519.5
416740.22502110100018
48520.150100200008
4619.55610010010.56.5
4224.000000000002
41011.0002203400001
46520.050000100217
4106.1672622140010.53.5
4214.250000400002
4002.000021000002
4117.00010010010.51.5
4001.000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000110000
4000000000000
40002001500000
4000000000000
Team totals6124150.247557965506393
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414442.238200131031.515.5
415328.42900040010.515.5
45013.38500000254.59.5
47215.333114000219
4329.11100000010.53.5
4104.2503104400212
49119.4210107000010
4003.0001201410002
4012-.500211400001
4001.0001300200000
4000000000000
4000000800000
4000001010000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
Team totals5413136.30150510567214994

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 DAYTON · BGSU 4

Set 1*

24-26

Longest run 4 DAYTONBGSU 3

Set 2*

25-18

Longest run 6 DAYTONBGSU 2

Set 3*

22-25

Longest run 4 DAYTONBGSU 4

Set 4*

22-25

Longest run 5 DAYTONBGSU 4

Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Dayton

No clean sets to split.

Bowling Green

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

187 rallies

Rally log

#DAYTON-BGSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BGSUBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.5
21-1BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+1.8
31-2DAYTONBGSUKillAva Buddelmeyerset Amanda Otten+1.9
42-2BGSUDAYTON×4Attack errAva Buddelmeyerset Amanda Otten+1.8
53-2DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.6
64-2DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+2.6
75-2DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAva Liening+2.5
85-3DAYTONBGSUAttack errGabriela Machin borgesblk Helen Wilford, Ava Buddelmeyer+1.7
95-4BGSUBGSUAttack errGabriela Machin borgesblk Helen Wilford, Avery Hobson+2.6
106-4BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+2.0
117-4DAYTONDAYTONAceDAYTON serveraced Edyta Waclawczyk+2.6
127-5DAYTONBGSUKillAvery Hobson+1.7
137-6BGSUBGSUFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.7
148-6BGSUDAYTONKillKaleigh Meritt+2.1
158-7DAYTONBGSUAttack errKamryn Huntblk Cecily Waynar, Amanda Otten+2.0
168-8BGSUBGSUAttack errKamryn Hunt+3.0
179-8BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+2.2
1810-8DAYTONDAYTONKillNatalie Harringtonset Addi Gallentine+3.0
1910-9DAYTONBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.1
2010-10BGSUBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Avery Hobson+3.2
2110-11BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynar+3.3
2211-11BGSUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.3
2312-11DAYTONDAYTONAttack errAva Buddelmeyer+3.4
2412-12DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.4
2512-13BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Avery Hobson+3.6
2613-13BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+2.5
2713-14DAYTONBGSUAttack errKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+2.7
2814-14BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.6
2914-15DAYTONBGSUKillAva Buddelmeyer+2.8
3014-16BGSUBGSUAttack errAva Lieningblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+3.9
3115-16BGSUDAYTONAttack errAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.5
3215-17DAYTONBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.9
3315-18BGSUBGSU×3Attack errAva Lieningblk Cecily Waynar, Avery Hobson+3.7
3415-19BGSUBGSU×3AceBGSU serveraced Kamryn Hunt+3.1
3516-19BGSUDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Meritt+1.6
3617-19DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAvery Hobsonblk Charlotte Vinson, Natalie Harrington+3.1
3718-19DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+4.0
3818-20DAYTONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+3.5
3919-20BGSUDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+3.0
4020-20DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDAYTON serveraced Avery Hobson+5.3
4121-20DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+5.9
4222-20DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Hunt+5.7
4322-21DAYTONBGSUAttack errCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+3.2
4423-21BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+4.6
4523-22DAYTONBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Molly Beatty+3.3
4623-23BGSUBGSU×3AceBGSU serveraced Kaleigh Meritt+7.6
4723-24BGSUBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+10.1
4824-24BGSUDAYTONKillAva Buddelmeyer+7.3
4924-25DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+7.3
5024-26BGSUBGSUAttack errGabriela Machin borges+10.2
Set 2
11-0DAYTONDAYTON×6KillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.6
22-0DAYTONDAYTON×6KillGabriela Machin borgesset Morgan Asleson+2.6
33-0DAYTONDAYTON×6AceDAYTON serveraced TEAM+2.5
44-0DAYTONDAYTON×6AceDAYTON serveraced TEAM+2.3
55-0DAYTONDAYTON×6KillKaleigh Meritt+2.1
66-0DAYTONDAYTON×6KillAddi Gallentine+1.8
76-1DAYTONBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.1
87-1BGSUDAYTONKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.3
97-2DAYTONBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.1
107-3BGSUBGSUAttack errblk Helen Wilford+1.8
118-3BGSUDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+1.5
128-4DAYTONBGSUKillAva Buddelmeyerset Amanda Otten+1.3
139-4BGSUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.5
149-5DAYTONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.3
159-6BGSUBGSUAttack errCharlotte Vinson+2.2
1610-6BGSUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+1.8
1710-7DAYTONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.6
1811-7BGSUDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.9
1912-7DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Hunt+2.2
2013-7DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAlivia Brownblk Addi Gallentine, Charlotte Vinson+1.8
2113-8DAYTONBGSUFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.0
2214-8BGSUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.3
2314-9DAYTONBGSUServe errDAYTON server+1.0
2415-9BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.3
2515-10DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+0.9
2616-10BGSUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.2
2716-11DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+0.9
2816-12BGSUBGSUAttack errKamryn Hunt+1.7
2917-12BGSUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.6
3017-13DAYTONBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+1.2
3118-13BGSUDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+1.6
3219-13DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDAYTON serveraced TEAM+1.6
3320-13DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Morgan Asleson+0.9
3420-14DAYTONBGSUServe errDAYTON server+0.4
3520-15BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.8
3621-15BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.0
3722-15DAYTONDAYTONAttack errAvery Hobson+0.7
3822-16DAYTONBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Cecily Waynar+0.2
3922-17BGSUBGSUFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.5
4023-17BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.7
4124-17DAYTONDAYTONAttack errKarli Molnau+0.3
4224-18DAYTONBGSUServe errDAYTON server+0.0
4325-18BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.1
Set 3
11-0BGSUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.4
21-1DAYTONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozic+2.4
32-1BGSUDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.5
43-1DAYTONDAYTONAttack errKarli Molnau+3.4
53-2DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.4
63-3BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+3.5
74-3BGSUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.6
84-4DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.6
94-5BGSUBGSUAceBGSU serveraced TEAM+3.7
105-5BGSUDAYTON×4KillRylee Slossset Gabriela Machin borges+2.6
116-5DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errCecily Waynarblk Isabel Simmons, Kaleigh Meritt+3.8
127-5DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+3.7
138-5DAYTONDAYTON×4AceDAYTON serveraced Sydnie Hernandez+3.5
148-6DAYTONBGSUServe errDAYTON server+2.3
159-6BGSUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+2.6
169-7DAYTONBGSUFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.4
1710-7BGSUDAYTONFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.7
1811-7DAYTONDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+3.4
1911-8DAYTONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.1
2011-9BGSUBGSUAttack errCharlotte Vinsonblk Avery Hobson, Helen Wilford+3.5
2112-9BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+2.8
2212-10DAYTONBGSUServe errDAYTON server+2.5
2313-10BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.9
2413-11DAYTONBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+2.6
2513-12BGSUBGSU×4Attack errKamryn Hunt+4.2
2613-13BGSUBGSU×4Attack errGabriela Machin borges+4.7
2713-14BGSUBGSU×4Attack errKamryn Hunt+5.0
2814-14BGSUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+3.5
2915-14DAYTONDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+5.1
3015-15DAYTONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+3.7
3116-15BGSUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin borgesset Kaleigh Meritt+3.9
3217-15DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinson+5.3
3317-16DAYTONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Alivia Brown+3.5
3417-17BGSUBGSUAceBGSU serveraced TEAM+5.7
3518-17BGSUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+4.4
3618-18DAYTONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+4.3
3719-18BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+4.7
3819-19DAYTONBGSU×4Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+4.7
3919-20BGSUBGSU×4Attack errAddi Gallentineblk Karli Molnau, Helen Wilford+7.2
4019-21BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+7.1
4119-22BGSUBGSU×4Attack errSidney Sprada+5.9
4220-22BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+2.8
4320-23DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+4.4
4420-24BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+3.5
4521-24BGSUDAYTONKillGabriela Machin borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.7
4621-25DAYTONBGSUFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.7
4722-25BGSUDAYTONFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
Set 4
11-0DAYTONDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+3.4
21-1DAYTONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.5
31-2BGSUBGSUAttack errCharlotte Vinson+3.5
42-2BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Hunt+2.5
52-3DAYTONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.6
63-3BGSUDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.6
74-3DAYTONDAYTONKillGabriela Machin borgesset Rylee Sloss+3.7
84-4DAYTONBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.6
94-5BGSUBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+3.8
105-5BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+2.7
115-6DAYTONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.8
126-6BGSUDAYTONAttack errAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.8
137-6DAYTONDAYTONKillGabriela Machin borgesset Rylee Sloss+4.0
147-7DAYTONBGSU×4Bad setRylee Sloss+2.8
157-8BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+4.1
167-9BGSUBGSU×4KillHelen Wilford+4.1
177-10BGSUBGSU×4Attack errIsabel Simmons+3.9
188-10BGSUDAYTONServe errBGSU server+2.5
198-11DAYTONBGSU×4Serve errDAYTON server+2.9
208-12BGSUBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Sydnie Hernandez+3.7
218-13BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobson+3.1
228-14BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobson+2.5
239-14BGSUDAYTON×3Serve errBGSU server+1.3
2410-14DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errKarli Molnau+2.5
2511-14DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDAYTON serveraced TEAM+3.1
2611-15DAYTONBGSUServe errDAYTON server+2.8
2712-15BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.3
2812-16DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Molly Beatty+2.8
2912-17BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+3.2
3013-17BGSUDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.7
3113-18DAYTONBGSUAttack errGabriela Machin borgesset Addi Gallentine+2.3
3213-19BGSUBGSUFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.2
3314-19BGSUDAYTONKillSidney Sprada+1.0
3414-20DAYTONBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+1.5
3515-20BGSUDAYTONKillKaleigh Meritt+0.8
3616-20DAYTONDAYTONAttack errAvery Hobson+1.9
3716-21DAYTONBGSUKillAvery Hobson+2.1
3816-22BGSUBGSUAttack errKaleigh Meritt+1.7
3917-22BGSUDAYTON×5KillIsabel Simmonsset Rylee Sloss+0.5
4018-22DAYTONDAYTON×5KillSidney Spradaset Isabel Simmons+1.3
4119-22DAYTONDAYTON×5KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+2.3
4220-22DAYTONDAYTON×5KillKaleigh Meritt+4.0
4321-22DAYTONDAYTON×5KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+6.3
4421-23DAYTONBGSUAttack errCharlotte Vinsonset Isabel Simmons+6.5
4521-24BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+6.4
4622-24BGSUDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+1.8
4722-25DAYTONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+4.2

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.