Dayton vs Toledo Volleyball: Dayton Wins 3-2 (Sep 19, 2026)

Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026

3:2

Dayton won at Toledo 3-2 (25-19, 18-25, 25-16, 22-25, 16-14) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Dayton's Gabriela Machin Borges led with 13 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
DAYTON	25	18	25	22	16	3
TOLEDO	19	25	16	25	14	2

Win probability

Toledo above 50 · Dayton below

Biggest swing: 28.9% to Dayton — set 5, DAYTON 16-14 TOLEDO. Attack error by Olivia Heitkamp. TOLEDO win probability 29% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 40.0%60.0% TOLEDO

Dayton wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.6%

3-2

16.7%

Toledo wins

3-0

17.2%

3-1

22.9%

3-2

19.9%

DAYTON break %: 39.7% vs this opp
TOLEDO break %: 41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Olivia HeitkampAttack error+28.9%
Attack error by Olivia Heitkamp
Set 5 · DAYTON 16-14 TOLEDO · DAYTON 71% → 100%
02
Olivia HeitkampKill+28.0%
Kill by Olivia Heitkamp (set by Janelle Green)
Set 5 · DAYTON 14-14 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 20% → 48%
03
Charlotte VinsonKill+21.6%
Kill by Charlotte Vinson (set by Sydney Barrett)
Set 5 · DAYTON 14-12 TOLEDO · DAYTON 66% → 88%
04
Addi GallentineKill+19.0%
Kill by Addi Gallentine (set by Natalie Harrington)
Set 5 · DAYTON 15-14 TOLEDO · DAYTON 52% → 71%
05
Kaleigh MerittAttack error+17.9%
Attack error by Kaleigh Meritt
Set 5 · DAYTON 12-12 TOLEDO · TOLEDO 31% → 49%
06
Abigail CresseKill+15.3%
Kill by Abigail Cresse (set by Natalie Harrington)
Set 5 · DAYTON 13-12 TOLEDO · DAYTON 51% → 66%
07
Ava SiefkeAttack error+14.9%
Attack error by Ava Siefke
Set 5 · DAYTON 11-9 TOLEDO · DAYTON 60% → 75%
08
Addi GallentineKill+12.7%
Kill by Addi Gallentine (set by Rylee Sloss)
Set 5 · DAYTON 8-7 TOLEDO · DAYTON 45% → 57%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Kamryn HuntOH	5	11	6	46	.109	0	2	3	17	0	2	1	14
19Charlotte VinsonOH	5	12	3	28	.321	0	0	0	5	0	3	1.5	13.5
3Abigail CresseMB	5	10	1	17	.529	0	0	1	5	0	4	2	12
1Kaleigh MerittOH	5	9	5	38	.105	0	0	0	17	1	4	2	11
6Addi GallentineMB	5	7	0	15	.467	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	9.5
9Natalie HarringtonS	5	0	0	3	.000	24	0	1	11	0	0	0	0
16Gabriela Machin BorgesOH	5	13	3	29	.345	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	13
12Rylee SlossS	5	0	0	1	.000	23	1	2	14	0	0	0	1
13Sydney BarrettOH	5	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
8Morgan AslesonL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	15	0	0	0	0
31Lily BarryL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	4	3	0	0	0
22Sidney SpradaOH	3	0	2	8	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		62	20	186	.226	56	3	8	93	6	18	9	106

Toledohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Sierra PertzbornMB	5	13	4	31	.290	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	14
6Jessica CostlowOH	5	6	3	37	.081	1	0	1	18	1	0	0	6
23Lilly MerkMB	5	4	3	10	.100	0	1	1	4	0	1	0.5	5.5
15Madelyn BachS	5	0	0	3	.000	24	0	1	9	1	0	0	0
14Ava SiefkeOH	4	9	8	36	.028	1	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	9.5
10Kayla OzanichMB	4	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
16Sophie CatalanoOPP	5	13	6	38	.184	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	13
9Audrey DyasMB	5	3	2	14	.071	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	4
1Grace FreibergerL/DS	5	0	0	2	.000	13	2	2	29	0	0	0	2
3Janelle GreenS	5	0	0	0	–	21	2	0	14	0	0	0	2
4Olivia HeitkampOH	3	13	3	26	.385	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	13
21Meg JarrettL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	2
7Avery AdamskiL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
Team totals		64	31	207	.159	61	6	9	98	3	6	3	99

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DAYTON · TOLEDO 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 DAYTONTOLEDO 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 DAYTONTOLEDO 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 3 DAYTONTOLEDO 2

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 DAYTONTOLEDO 5

Set 5

16-14

Longest run 3 DAYTONTOLEDO 4

Bars above the line = Toledo leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%13/23	29%5/17
2	63%12/19	50%13/26
3	65%11/17	31%5/16
4	69%9/13	44%7/16
5	60%9/15	40%6/15
6	75%9/12	44%7/16
All	64%63/99	41%43/106

Toledo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%14/25	35%6/17
2	60%12/20	41%9/22
3	67%10/15	31%5/16
4	60%9/15	44%8/18
5	56%9/16	25%3/12
6	60%9/15	36%5/14
All	59%63/106	36%36/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

205 rallies

#	DAYTON-TOLEDO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+2.5
2	1-1	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+1.7
3	2-1	DAYTON	DAYTON	Ace	Dayton	aced Jessica Costlow	+2.6
4	2-2	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+1.7
5	3-2	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Serve err	Toledo		+1.8
6	4-2	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Morgan Asleson	+2.7
7	4-3	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Serve err	Dayton		+1.8
8	5-3	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Lily Barry	+1.9
9	5-4	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.8
10	6-4	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Serve err	Toledo		+2.0
11	6-5	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.8
12	7-5	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Kill	Addi Gallentine	set Rylee Sloss	+2.0
13	8-5	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Rylee Sloss	+2.8
14	9-5	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Abigail Cresse, Kamryn Hunt	+2.7
15	9-6	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.6
16	10-6	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Rylee Sloss	+1.9
17	10-7	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+1.6
18	10-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Kayla Ozanich	set Madelyn Bach	+2.7
19	11-8	TOLEDO	DAYTON×4	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Lily Barry	+2.1
20	12-8	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		+2.8
21	13-8	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse	+2.4
22	14-8	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+2.0
23	14-9	DAYTON	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+1.0
24	14-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+1.9
25	14-11	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Grace Freiberger	+2.4
26	15-11	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Lilly Merk		+2.1
27	16-11	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+2.5
28	17-11	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Addi Gallentine, Kaleigh Meritt	+1.9
29	17-12	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+0.8
30	18-12	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Addi Gallentine	set Natalie Harrington	+1.3
31	18-13	DAYTON	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.8
32	18-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano		+1.7
33	18-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Bad set	Rylee Sloss		+2.3
34	19-15	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+2.2
35	19-16	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Janelle Green	+1.5
36	20-16	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+2.2
37	21-16	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+2.2
38	21-17	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+0.8
39	22-17	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+1.4
40	22-18	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Attack err	Abigail Cresse		+0.7
41	23-18	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+1.2
42	24-18	DAYTON	DAYTON	Ace	Dayton		+0.7
43	24-19	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+0.1
44	25-19	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Natalie Harrington	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+1.9
2	0-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kamryn Hunt		+2.7
3	1-2	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+1.8
4	2-2	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Janelle Green	+2.8
5	3-2	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Kayla Ozanich		+3.0
6	3-3	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kaleigh Meritt		+2.0
7	4-3	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
8	5-3	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Addi Gallentine	set Natalie Harrington	+3.1
9	5-4	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Madelyn Bach	+2.0
10	5-5	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+3.1
11	6-5	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Blocked	Ava Siefke	blk Charlotte Vinson, Addi Gallentine	+2.2
12	6-6	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
13	7-6	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Lily Barry	+2.3
14	7-7	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.2
15	8-7	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+2.3
16	8-8	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Serve err	Dayton		+2.3
17	9-8	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+2.4
18	9-9	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Janelle Green	+2.3
19	9-10	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo	aced Kaleigh Meritt	+3.5
20	10-10	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+2.4
21	10-11	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.5
22	10-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+3.5
23	11-12	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Serve err	Toledo		+2.3
24	11-13	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kaleigh Meritt		+2.5
25	12-13	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Serve err	Toledo		+2.3
26	12-14	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Blocked	Gabriela Machin Borges	blk Lilly Merk, Ava Siefke	+2.6
27	12-15	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Gabriela Machin Borges		+3.4
28	13-15	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Addi Gallentine	set Jessica Costlow	+2.0
29	13-16	DAYTON	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Grace Freiberger	+2.4
30	13-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Kamryn Hunt		+2.9
31	13-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Sidney Sprada		+2.2
32	13-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Ace	Toledo	aced Lily Barry	+1.5
33	14-19	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+0.6
34	15-19	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+1.4
35	16-19	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Abigail Cresse		+2.1
36	16-20	DAYTON	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Grace Freiberger	+2.0
37	16-21	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Grace Freiberger	+2.0
38	16-22	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Kaleigh Meritt		+1.1
39	16-23	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Attack err	Sidney Sprada		+0.4
40	17-23	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Serve err	Toledo		+0.1
41	17-24	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kaleigh Meritt		+0.2
42	18-24	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	·
43	18-25	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Grace Freiberger	+3.3
2	1-1	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+2.3
3	2-1	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Natalie Harrington	+3.5
4	3-1	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+3.6
5	3-2	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Serve err	Dayton		+2.3
6	4-2	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Serve err	Toledo		+2.5
7	4-3	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.4
8	5-3	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Addi Gallentine	set Natalie Harrington	+2.6
9	6-3	DAYTON	DAYTON	Ace	Dayton	aced Madelyn Bach	+3.7
10	6-4	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Grace Freiberger	+2.3
11	7-4	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+2.6
12	8-4	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+3.5
13	8-5	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+2.1
14	9-5	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Addi Gallentine	set Rylee Sloss	+2.5
15	9-6	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Grace Freiberger	+2.1
16	10-6	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+2.5
17	11-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Bad set	Janelle Green		+3.2
18	12-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Olivia Heitkamp		+2.7
19	12-7	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Grace Freiberger	+1.4
20	13-7	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+1.9
21	13-8	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Avery Adamski	+1.4
22	14-8	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+1.9
23	14-9	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+1.3
24	15-9	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+1.8
25	16-9	DAYTON	DAYTON	Blocked	Sierra Pertzborn	blk Kaleigh Meritt, Addi Gallentine	+1.9
26	16-10	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Serve err	Dayton		+0.9
27	17-10	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Attack err	Lilly Merk		+1.3
28	18-10	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+1.2
29	18-11	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kamryn Hunt		+0.4
30	18-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+1.0
31	19-12	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Serve err	Toledo		+1.1
32	19-13	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+0.6
33	20-13	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+1.0
34	20-14	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Audrey Dyas	set Janelle Green	+0.5
35	21-14	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Lily Barry	+0.9
36	22-14	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+0.6
37	22-15	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Serve err	Dayton		+0.1
38	23-15	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Natalie Harrington	+0.3
39	23-16	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Jessica Costlow	set Grace Freiberger	+0.1
40	24-16	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Kaleigh Meritt, Addi Gallentine	+0.1
41	25-16	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt		·
Set 4
1	0-1	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Meg Jarrett	set Jessica Costlow	+2.5
2	1-1	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Blocked	Audrey Dyas	blk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse	+2.5
3	2-1	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Olivia Heitkamp		+3.9
4	2-2	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Serve err	Dayton		+2.6
5	2-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo	aced Lily Barry	+3.8
6	3-3	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Natalie Harrington	+2.6
7	3-4	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kamryn Hunt		+2.7
8	4-4	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+2.7
9	5-4	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+4.1
10	5-5	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+2.8
11	5-6	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Ace	Toledo		+4.1
12	6-6	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Serve err	Toledo		+2.8
13	7-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Jessica Costlow		+4.4
14	8-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Morgan Asleson	+4.4
15	8-7	DAYTON	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+2.9
16	8-8	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sophie Catalano	set Janelle Green	+4.4
17	8-9	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Ace	Toledo	aced Lily Barry	+4.5
18	9-9	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+3.1
19	10-9	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+4.8
20	11-9	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+4.9
21	11-10	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Audrey Dyas	set Janelle Green	+3.1
22	12-10	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+3.5
23	13-10	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Morgan Asleson	+4.8
24	14-10	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Blocked	Audrey Dyas	blk Abigail Cresse, Kamryn Hunt	+4.4
25	14-11	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+2.4
26	15-11	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+3.1
27	15-12	DAYTON	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Grace Freiberger	+2.4
28	15-13	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+4.4
29	15-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+5.2
30	16-14	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Natalie Harrington	+4.1
31	16-15	DAYTON	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Lilly Merk	set Madelyn Bach	+3.6
32	16-16	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+6.0
33	16-17	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Audrey Dyas	set Natalie Harrington	+6.3
34	16-18	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+6.0
35	16-19	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×5	Ace	Toledo		+5.2
36	17-19	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Blocked	Sophie Catalano	blk Addi Gallentine, Kaleigh Meritt	+2.9
37	18-19	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+5.6
38	19-19	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+7.1
39	19-20	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Serve err	Dayton		+5.3
40	20-20	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Attack err	Lilly Merk		+5.3
41	20-21	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Attack err	Gabriela Machin Borges		+5.9
42	21-21	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+5.8
43	21-22	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+6.7
44	22-22	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+6.6
45	22-23	DAYTON	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Madelyn Bach	+7.9
46	22-24	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Blocked	Kamryn Hunt	blk Audrey Dyas, Sierra Pertzborn	+10.6
47	22-25	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×3	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+6.9
Set 5
1	0-1	DAYTON	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Ava Siefke	+6.0
2	0-2	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+8.5
3	0-3	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Blocked	Kamryn Hunt	blk Sierra Pertzborn, Audrey Dyas	+7.8
4	0-4	TOLEDO	TOLEDO×4	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+6.7
5	1-4	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Natalie Harrington	+3.8
6	2-4	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Sierra Pertzborn		+7.0
7	3-4	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Abigail Cresse		+8.6
8	3-5	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+6.5
9	4-5	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Natalie Harrington	+6.1
10	4-6	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+6.8
11	5-6	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Attack err	Sophie Catalano		+6.3
12	5-7	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+7.1
13	6-7	TOLEDO	DAYTON×3	Serve err	Toledo		+6.6
14	7-7	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+11.4
15	8-7	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Addi Gallentine	set Rylee Sloss	+12.7
16	8-8	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+8.4
17	9-8	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+9.4
18	9-9	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Ava Siefke	set Janelle Green	+9.1
19	10-9	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Morgan Asleson	+10.3
20	11-9	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Ava Siefke		+14.9
21	11-10	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Serve err	Dayton		+8.3
22	12-10	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+11.4
23	12-11	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Sierra Pertzborn	set Madelyn Bach	+8.6
24	12-12	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Attack err	Kaleigh Meritt		+17.9
25	13-12	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Natalie Harrington	+15.3
26	14-12	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Sydney Barrett	+21.6
27	14-13	DAYTON	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Madelyn Bach	+7.9
28	14-14	TOLEDO	TOLEDO	Kill	Olivia Heitkamp	set Janelle Green	+28.0
29	15-14	TOLEDO	DAYTON	Kill	Addi Gallentine	set Natalie Harrington	+19.0
30	16-14	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Olivia Heitkamp		+28.9

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Dayton def. Toledo 3–2