FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Dayton def. Fordham 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Dayton 94.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Dayton won at Fordham 3-0 (25-18, 25-13, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Dayton's Kaleigh Meritt led with 8 kills, and Morgan Asleson added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
DAYTON2525253
FORDHM1813200

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Dayton swept Fordham.

Win probability never moved more than 1.5 points on one rally; Fordham topped out at 10% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Dayton 94% before first serve.

DaytonFordham
  • Break %+21.9 pts
    52.130.2

    38 of 73 on serve vs 16 of 53, so Fordham's sideout was 47.9%.

  • Hitting+.220
    .357.137

    Kills and errors: 37–7 vs 33–17.

  • Longest run+9
    134

    Dayton scored 13 straight in the second set to turn an 8–9 deficit into a 21–9 lead. Final score of the set: 25–13.

Fordham above 50Dayton belowMax swing 1.5%

DaytonFordham

Aces
Dayton 7·Fordham 3
Serve err
Dayton 8·Fordham 11
Blocks
Dayton 6·Fordham 54 BS · 4 BA vs 4 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Dayton 49·Fordham 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fordham above 50 · Dayton below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.5% DAYTONrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Dayton — set 1, DAYTON 16-16 FORDHM. Kill by Kaleigh Meritt (set by Morgan Asleson). FORDHM win probability 9% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 92.2%7.8% FORDHM

Dayton wins

3-0
48.5%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
12.5%

Fordham wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.5%
DAYTON break %
47.7% vs this opp
FORDHM break %
36.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kaleigh Meritt (set by Morgan Asleson)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 16-16 FORDHM · DAYTON 91% → 92%

  2. 02

    Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 10-12 FORDHM · FORDHM 8% → 9%

  3. 03
    Mila MicunovicAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Mila Micunovic

    Set 1 · DAYTON 17-16 FORDHM · DAYTON 92% → 94%

  4. 04

    Kill by Johanna Franzen (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 14-16 FORDHM · FORDHM 9% → 10%

  5. 05
    Sophia KuynKill+1.3%

    Kill by Sophia Kuyn (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 13-15 FORDHM · FORDHM 9% → 10%

  6. 06
    Sophia OliveiraAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Sophia Oliveira

    Set 1 · DAYTON 19-17 FORDHM · DAYTON 94% → 95%

  7. 07

    Kill by Johanna Franzen (set by Bridget Woodruff)

    Set 1 · DAYTON 12-14 FORDHM · FORDHM 8% → 10%

  8. 08
    FordhamAce+1.2%

    Fordham ace on Kamryn Hunt

    Set 1 · DAYTON 10-11 FORDHM · FORDHM 7% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38121.3330233000010
36010.600000202239
36112.417000001017
34312.083102830004
3000–1411800001
27115.40000040111.58.5
3307.42900020010.53.5
3001.0007301500003
3000–011200001
3001.0001300500000
3000–001000000
2315.400000000003
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals37784.357357849344675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37116.37520010010.57.5
33310.00020001414.57.5
36213.308313000007
36735-.029000230006
36223.174201510006
33010.3001914700004
3011-1.000010200001
3002.0002001410000
3000–001100000
3000–202710000
2206.333000000002
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3317117.1373231139742551

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Dayton vs Fordham

Season series · Dayton leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 13 DAYTON · FORDHM 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 DAYTONFORDHM 4

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 13 DAYTONFORDHM 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 DAYTONFORDHM 4

Bars above the line = Fordham leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
40%4/10
2
88%7/8
53%8/15
3
70%7/10
22%2/9
4
71%5/7
17%1/6
5
71%5/7
44%4/9
6
63%5/8
79%19/24
All
70%37/53
52%38/73

Fordham

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
36%4/11
2
64%7/11
22%2/9
3
100%6/6
30%3/10
4
56%5/9
14%1/7
5
38%5/13
17%1/6
6
24%5/21
50%5/10
All
48%35/73
30%16/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#DAYTON-FORDHMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FORDHMFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.8
21-1FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+0.5
31-2DAYTONFORDHMKillGiada Ianualeset Bridget Woodruff+0.6
42-2FORDHMDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.6
52-3DAYTONFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Ozge Ozaslan+0.7
63-3FORDHMDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Morgan Asleson+0.6
73-4DAYTONFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.7
84-4FORDHMDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.6
95-4DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errJohanna Franzen+0.7
106-4DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedSophia Kuynblk Ava Liening+0.6
117-4DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKaleigh Merittset Morgan Asleson+0.5
127-5DAYTONFORDHMServe errDayton+0.4
138-5FORDHMDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.4
148-6DAYTONFORDHM×4Serve errDayton+0.4
158-7FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errKaleigh Meritt+0.7
168-8FORDHMFORDHM×4BlockedKamryn Huntblk Sophia Oliveira+0.9
178-9FORDHMFORDHM×4AceFordhamaced Kamryn Hunt+1.1
189-9FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+0.7
1910-9DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.9
2010-10DAYTONFORDHM×3KillGiada Ianualeset Johanna Franzen+0.8
2110-11FORDHMFORDHM×3AceFordhamaced Kamryn Hunt+1.2
2210-12FORDHMFORDHM×3KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+1.4
2311-12FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+0.9
2411-13DAYTONFORDHMServe errDayton+1.1
2512-13FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+1.0
2612-14DAYTONFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Bridget Woodruff+1.2
2713-14FORDHMDAYTONBlockedAna Del Angel Aguilarblk Charlotte Vinson+1.0
2813-15DAYTONFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+1.3
2914-15FORDHMDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+1.1
3014-16DAYTONFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.4
3115-16FORDHMDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.1
3216-16DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Morgan Asleson+1.5
3317-16DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMila Micunovic+1.4
3417-17DAYTONFORDHMKillGiada Ianualeset Johanna Franzen+1.2
3518-17FORDHMDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+1.1
3619-17DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errSophia Oliveira+1.3
3720-17DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Morgan Asleson+1.0
3820-18DAYTONFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.6
3921-18FORDHMDAYTON×5KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.8
4022-18DAYTONDAYTON×5KillCharlotte Vinsonset Morgan Asleson+0.6
4123-18DAYTONDAYTON×5KillKamryn Huntset Morgan Asleson+0.3
4224-18DAYTONDAYTON×5AceDaytonaced Mila Micunovic+0.1
4325-18DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedMila Micunovicblk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse·
Set 2
10-1DAYTONFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.4
20-2FORDHMFORDHMBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Sophia Oliveira, Bridget Woodruff+0.6
31-2FORDHMDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+0.4
42-2DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errSophia Oliveira+0.5
53-2DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.4
63-3DAYTONFORDHMKillSophia Oliveiraset Giada Ianuale+0.4
74-3FORDHMDAYTONBlockedBridget Woodruffblk Abigail Cresse+0.3
84-4DAYTONFORDHMBlockedAva Lieningblk Sophia Oliveira+0.4
95-4FORDHMDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Morgan Asleson+0.4
106-4DAYTONDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Kamryn Hunt+0.4
116-5DAYTONFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.3
126-6FORDHMFORDHMKillSophia Kuyn+0.5
137-6FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+0.4
148-6DAYTONDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.4
158-7DAYTONFORDHM×3KillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.4
168-8FORDHMFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovicset Sophia Kuyn+0.6
178-9FORDHMFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.7
189-9FORDHMDAYTON×13Bad setGiada Ianuale+0.5
1910-9DAYTONDAYTON×13Attack errJohanna Franzen+0.6
2011-9DAYTONDAYTON×13BlockedMila Micunovicblk Abigail Cresse+0.5
2112-9DAYTONDAYTON×13KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.4
2213-9DAYTONDAYTON×13AceDaytonaced Ozge Ozaslan+0.3
2314-9DAYTONDAYTON×13AceDaytonaced Mila Micunovic+0.2
2415-9DAYTONDAYTON×13AceDaytonaced Mila Micunovic+0.2
2516-9DAYTONDAYTON×13KillAbigail Cresseset Giada Ianuale+0.1
2617-9DAYTONDAYTON×13KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.1
2718-9DAYTONDAYTON×13Bad setGiada Ianuale·
2819-9DAYTONDAYTON×13Attack errSophia Kuyn·
2920-9DAYTONDAYTON×13BlockedMila Micunovicblk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges·
3021-9DAYTONDAYTON×13Attack errErynn Sweeney·
3121-10DAYTONFORDHMKillAvery Bootheset Sophia Kuyn·
3222-10FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham·
3322-11DAYTONFORDHMServe errDayton·
3423-11FORDHMDAYTONAttack errSophia Oliveira·
3523-12DAYTONFORDHMServe errDayton·
3624-12FORDHMDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington·
3724-13DAYTONFORDHMKillSophia Oliveiraset Giada Ianuale·
3825-13FORDHMDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington·
Set 3
10-1FORDHMFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Sophia Oliveira+0.2
21-1FORDHMDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+0.2
31-2DAYTONFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.2
42-2FORDHMDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.2
52-3DAYTONFORDHM×4KillSophia Oliveiraset Giada Ianuale+0.2
62-4FORDHMFORDHM×4AceFordhamaced Kamryn Hunt+0.3
72-5FORDHMFORDHM×4KillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.3
82-6FORDHMFORDHM×4KillBridget Woodruffset Sophia Kuyn+0.4
93-6FORDHMDAYTONKillCorrie Andersonset Natalie Harrington+0.2
103-7DAYTONFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.3
114-7FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+0.2
124-8DAYTONFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Ozge Ozaslan+0.3
135-8FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+0.2
146-8DAYTONDAYTONAttack errMila Micunovic+0.3
156-9DAYTONFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Whitney Woodrow+0.3
167-9FORDHMDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.2
177-10DAYTONFORDHMBlockedKamryn Huntblk Sophia Oliveira+0.3
188-10FORDHMDAYTON×3Serve errFordham+0.3
199-10DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Johanna Franzen+0.3
2010-10DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Sophia Oliveira+0.3
2110-11DAYTONFORDHMServe errDayton+0.3
2211-11FORDHMDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.2
2312-11DAYTONDAYTONKillAva Liening+0.3
2412-12DAYTONFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Sophia Oliveira+0.3
2513-12FORDHMDAYTONBad setJohanna Franzen+0.2
2613-13DAYTONFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.3
2713-14FORDHMFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.4
2814-14FORDHMDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+0.3
2914-15DAYTONFORDHMServe errDayton+0.4
3015-15FORDHMDAYTON×5KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+0.3
3116-15DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errMila Micunovic+0.4
3217-15DAYTONDAYTON×5KillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.3
3318-15DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errMila Micunovic+0.3
3419-15DAYTONDAYTON×5KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.2
3519-16DAYTONFORDHMKillAvery Bootheset Whitney Woodrow+0.1
3620-16FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+0.1
3721-16DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Whitney Woodrow+0.1
3821-17DAYTONFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.1
3922-17FORDHMDAYTONServe errFordham+0.1
4022-18DAYTONFORDHMServe errDayton·
4122-19FORDHMFORDHMBlockedKamryn Huntblk Sophia Oliveira+0.1
4223-19FORDHMDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.1
4324-19DAYTONDAYTONKillCorrie Andersonset Natalie Harrington+0.1
4424-20DAYTONFORDHMAttack errCorrie Anderson·
4525-20FORDHMDAYTONKillCorrie Andersonset Natalie Harrington·

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).