Final · 4 setsTue, Oct 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Dayton def. Duquesne 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Dayton 81.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 6, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Dayton beat visiting Duquesne 3-1 (25-19, 25-17, 22-25, 27-25) on Tue, Oct 6, 2026. Kamryn Hunt led Dayton with 16 kills; Duquesne's Simone Searles had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 6

Set1234Sets
DUQSNE191725251
DAYTON252522273

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.412 on 34 swings: Kamryn Hunt and Dayton edged Duquesne.

One stretch decided it. Percentages are Dayton's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Dayton went in as RallyIQ's 81% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Duquesne 24–24 Dayton

    Dayton closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–1.

    Dayton 84% → >99%

Dayton above 50Duquesne belowMax swing 10.3%

DuquesneDayton

Sideout %
Duquesne 59.2·Dayton 67.8
Break %
Duquesne 32.2·Dayton 40.8
Hitting
Duquesne .167·Dayton .306
Longest run
Duquesne 3·Dayton 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Dayton above 50 · Duquesne below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.3% DAYTONrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.3% to Dayton — set 4, DUQSNE 24-24 DAYTON. Emersen Schrom stuffed by Abigail Cresse & Charlotte Vinson. DAYTON win probability 74% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DUQSNE 17.9%82.1% DAYTON

Duquesne wins

3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
9.2%

Dayton wins

3-0
33.7%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.6%
DUQSNE break %
38.5% vs this opp
DAYTON break %
45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Emersen Schrom stuffed by Abigail Cresse & Charlotte Vinson

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 24-24 DAYTON · DAYTON 74% → 84%

  2. 02
    Londyn StoneAttack error+8.7%

    Attack error by Londyn Stone

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 24-25 DAYTON · DAYTON 84% → 93%

  3. 03
    Sidney SpradaAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Sidney Sprada

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 24-22 DAYTON · DUQSNE 21% → 30%

  4. 04

    Emersen Schrom stuffed by Abigail Cresse & Charlotte Vinson

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 25-27 DAYTON · DAYTON 93% → 100%

  5. 05

    Kill by Emersen Schrom (set by Chloe Wilmot)

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 22-21 DAYTON · DUQSNE 14% → 20%

  6. 06

    Kill by Emersen Schrom (set by Chloe Wilmot)

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 25-25 DAYTON · DUQSNE 7% → 14%

  7. 07
    Sidney SpradaKill+6.2%

    Kill by Sidney Sprada (set by Natalie Harrington)

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 25-26 DAYTON · DAYTON 86% → 93%

  8. 08
    Londyn StoneKill+5.7%

    Kill by Londyn Stone (set by Chloe Wilmot)

    Set 4 · DUQSNE 23-22 DAYTON · DUQSNE 16% → 21%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421736.389113130111.523.5
4181253.1132107200019
411938.0531127000012
4102.5004821500003
4225.00000110010.52.5
1102.500000000001
4012-.500000001011
4000–2121100001
1000–001000000
Team totals5431138.1675461044322386
Daytonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416234.41200180010.516.5
49113.61500020210716
411218.50000000073.514.5
41011.0002211200002
36524.042001400217
3114.00000010010.51.5
44414.00000020010.54.5
4102.5002312400002
4000–300700000
4000–1031200000
36211.364000310006
2000–010000001
1002.000000001011
1001.000000000000
Team totals5517124.30649384563221499

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Duquesne vs Dayton

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 DUQSNE · DAYTON 4

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 DUQSNEDAYTON 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 DUQSNEDAYTON 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 DUQSNEDAYTON 3

Set 4

25-27

Longest run 3 DUQSNEDAYTON 3

Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Duquesne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Duquesne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
42%5/12
2
54%7/13
13%1/8
3
78%7/9
22%2/9
4
78%7/9
46%6/13
5
39%7/18
30%3/10
6
36%5/14
36%4/11
All
53%40/75
33%21/63

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
58%7/12
2
88%7/8
56%9/16
3
70%7/10
13%1/8
4
50%7/14
22%2/9
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
64%7/11
59%10/17
All
67%42/63
47%35/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#DUQSNE-DAYTONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DAYTONDUQSNEKillMadeleine Bushset Chloe Wilmot+1.3
21-1DUQSNEDAYTON×4KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.2
31-2DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.6
41-3DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errLondyn Stone+1.5
51-4DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Hunt+1.3
62-4DAYTONDUQSNEServe errDayton+1.0
72-5DUQSNEDAYTONAttack errLondyn Stone+1.0
83-5DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.0
93-6DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+1.0
104-6DAYTONDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+1.0
115-6DUQSNEDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+1.6
125-7DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+1.2
135-8DAYTONDAYTONAttack errEmersen Schrom+1.5
146-8DAYTONDUQSNEKillChloe Wilmotset Emersen Schrom+1.0
157-8DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errKaleigh Meritt+1.7
167-9DUQSNEDAYTON×4KillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.3
177-10DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errEmersen Schrom+1.6
187-11DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedEmersen Schromblk Abigail Cresse+1.3
197-12DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.1
208-12DAYTONDUQSNEAttack errAbigail Cresse+0.7
218-13DUQSNEDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.8
229-13DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.7
239-14DUQSNEDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.8
249-15DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errEmersen Schrom+0.8
259-16DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedLondyn Stoneblk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse+0.5
2610-16DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.3
2710-17DUQSNEDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.4
2811-17DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.2
2912-17DUQSNEDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+0.5
3012-18DUQSNEDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.5
3113-18DAYTONDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Emersen Schrom+0.4
3214-18DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errKaleigh Meritt+0.8
3314-19DUQSNEDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.8
3414-20DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errLondyn Stone+0.7
3514-21DAYTONDAYTON×4KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.3
3614-22DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errSimone Searles+0.1
3715-22DAYTONDUQSNEAttack errGabriela Machin Borges·
3816-22DUQSNEDUQSNEBlockedAva Lieningblk Mirabella Iriarte+0.1
3916-23DUQSNEDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.1
4017-23DAYTONDUQSNE×3KillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot·
4118-23DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.1
4219-23DUQSNEDUQSNE×3AceDuquesneaced Sidney Sprada+0.3
4319-24DUQSNEDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.4
4419-25DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinson+0.1
Set 2
10-1DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.8
20-2DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSimone Searles+1.1
31-2DAYTONDUQSNEAttack errCharlotte Vinson+0.8
41-3DUQSNEDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.8
52-3DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.8
63-3DUQSNEDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.3
73-4DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+0.9
84-4DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+1.0
94-5DUQSNEDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.9
105-5DAYTONDUQSNEServe errDayton+1.0
115-6DUQSNEDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+1.0
125-7DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.3
135-8DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedEmersen Schromblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+1.1
146-8DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.8
156-9DUQSNEDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+0.8
166-10DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedEmersen Schromblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+1.0
176-11DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Hunt+0.8
187-11DAYTONDUQSNE×3Attack errCharlotte Vinson+0.5
198-11DUQSNEDUQSNE×3AceDuquesne+0.9
209-11DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.1
219-12DUQSNEDAYTON×3BlockedSimone Searlesblk Kamryn Hunt, Abigail Cresse+0.9
229-13DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinson+1.0
239-14DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.8
2410-14DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.5
2510-15DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.6
2611-15DAYTONDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Delaney McIntosh+0.5
2711-16DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.6
2811-17DAYTONDAYTONBlockedLondyn Stoneblk Gabriela Machin Borges, Ava Liening+0.6
2912-17DAYTONDUQSNE×3BlockedKaleigh Merittblk Simone Searles, Jordan Robertson+0.3
3013-17DUQSNEDUQSNE×3AceDuquesne+0.6
3114-17DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.9
3214-18DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+0.8
3314-19DAYTONDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Morgan Asleson+0.8
3415-19DAYTONDUQSNEServe errDayton+0.4
3515-20DUQSNEDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.6
3615-21DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.5
3715-22DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedJordan Robertsonblk Kaleigh Meritt, Abigail Cresse+0.2
3816-22DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.1
3917-22DUQSNEDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.2
4017-23DUQSNEDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.2
4117-24DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.1
4217-25DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington·
Set 3
11-0DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.5
21-1DUQSNEDAYTONBlockedLondyn Stoneblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+0.5
32-1DAYTONDUQSNE×3KillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.5
43-1DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.7
54-1DUQSNEDUQSNE×3AceDuquesne+0.8
64-2DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+0.5
75-2DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.6
85-3DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+0.5
95-4DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Emersen Schrom+0.7
106-4DAYTONDUQSNE×3Serve errDayton+0.6
117-4DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+0.8
128-4DUQSNEDUQSNE×3AceDuquesne+0.9
138-5DUQSNEDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+0.5
148-6DAYTONDAYTONAttack errLondyn Stone+0.8
159-6DAYTONDUQSNEAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+0.7
169-7DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+0.6
1710-7DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.7
1811-7DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+0.9
1911-8DUQSNEDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.5
2012-8DAYTONDUQSNEServe errDayton+0.7
2113-8DUQSNE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
2213-9DUQSNEDAYTONBlockedMirabella Iriarteblk Abigail Cresse+0.5
2314-9DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+0.7
2414-10DUQSNEDAYTON×3Serve errDuquesne+0.5
2514-11DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDayton+0.8
2614-12DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errEmersen Schrom+0.9
2715-12DAYTONDUQSNEKillJordan Robertsonset Chloe Wilmot+0.8
2815-13DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+0.7
2916-13DAYTONDUQSNEAttack errKamryn Hunt+0.8
3016-14DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.7
3117-14DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.9
3217-15DUQSNEDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.7
3318-15DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+0.9
3419-15DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errSidney Sprada+1.1
3519-16DUQSNEDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.6
3619-17DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Emersen Schrom+1.0
3720-17DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.0
3820-18DUQSNEDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.7
3921-18DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.1
4021-19DUQSNEDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.7
4122-19DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+1.1
4222-20DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.7
4323-20DAYTONDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+1.2
4423-21DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.6
4524-21DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Londyn Stone+1.2
4624-22DUQSNEDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.5
4725-22DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+1.2
Set 4
10-1DUQSNEDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.4
21-1DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Simone Searles+1.5
32-1DUQSNEDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Delaney McIntosh+2.3
42-2DUQSNEDAYTONAttack errSimone Searles+1.5
53-2DAYTONDUQSNEServe errDayton+1.7
63-3DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+1.6
74-3DAYTONDUQSNEServe errDayton+1.8
84-4DUQSNEDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.6
95-4DAYTONDUQSNEServe errDayton+1.8
105-5DUQSNEDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.7
115-6DAYTONDAYTONBlockedEmersen Schromblk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse+2.3
126-6DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+1.7
137-6DUQSNEDUQSNEBad setNatalie Harrington+2.6
147-7DUQSNEDAYTONKillNatalie Harringtonset Natalie Harrington+1.8
158-7DAYTONDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+2.0
168-8DUQSNEDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.8
179-8DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+2.1
189-9DUQSNEDAYTONAttack errSimone Searles+1.9
1910-9DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+2.1
2010-10DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+2.0
2110-11DAYTONDAYTONBlockedJordan Robertsonblk Isabel Simmons+2.7
2211-11DAYTONDUQSNEAttack errKaleigh Meritt+2.0
2312-11DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+3.1
2412-12DUQSNEDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+2.1
2512-13DAYTONDAYTONBlockedLondyn Stoneblk Abigail Cresse, Kaleigh Meritt+2.9
2613-13DAYTONDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+2.2
2713-14DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+2.2
2814-14DAYTONDUQSNEBlockedKamryn Huntblk Simone Searles+2.3
2914-15DUQSNEDAYTONKillRylee Slossset Natalie Harrington+2.3
3014-16DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSimone Searles+2.9
3115-16DAYTONDUQSNEAttack errKaleigh Meritt+2.1
3216-16DUQSNEDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+3.5
3316-17DUQSNEDAYTONServe errDuquesne+2.6
3416-18DAYTONDAYTONAttack errEmersen Schrom+3.3
3517-18DAYTONDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+2.2
3617-19DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.5
3717-20DAYTONDAYTONAttack errSimone Searles+2.8
3818-20DAYTONDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+1.6
3919-20DUQSNEDUQSNEKillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+3.3
4019-21DUQSNEDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.9
4120-21DAYTONDUQSNE×3KillSimone Searlesset Chloe Wilmot+2.6
4221-21DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+5.1
4322-21DUQSNEDUQSNE×3KillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+6.5
4422-22DUQSNEDAYTONAttack errEmersen Schrom+4.4
4523-22DAYTONDUQSNEKillLondyn Stoneset Chloe Wilmot+5.7
4624-22DUQSNEDUQSNEAttack errSidney Sprada+8.3
4724-23DUQSNEDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+3.3
4824-24DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedEmersen Schromblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+10.3
4924-25DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errLondyn Stone+8.7
5025-25DAYTONDUQSNEKillEmersen Schromset Chloe Wilmot+6.2
5125-26DUQSNEDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+6.2
5225-27DAYTONDAYTONBlockedEmersen Schromblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+7.5

Score shown after each rally, Duquesne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).