FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

UMBC def. UTRGV 3–0

UMBC beat UTRGV 3-0 (25-14, 25-13, 25-21) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. UMBC's Hannah Dobbs led with 15 kills, and Hannah Howard added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
UMBC2525253
UTRGV1413210

Win probability

UTRGV above 50 · UMBC below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.3% UTRGVrally 123 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.3% to UTRGV — set 1, UMBC 0-1 UTRGV. Attack error by Hannah Dobbs. UTRGV win probability 31% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMBC 69.1%30.9% UTRGV

UMBC wins

3-0
22.6%
3-1
26.5%
3-2
19.9%

UTRGV wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
10.9%
3-2
14.1%
UMBC break %
44.4% vs this opp
UTRGV break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hannah DobbsAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Hannah Dobbs

    Set 1 · UMBC 0-1 UTRGV · UTRGV 31% → 33%

  2. 02
    Ema PetkovicKill+2.2%

    Kill by Ema Petkovic (set by Lana Rnjak)

    Set 1 · UMBC 7-6 UTRGV · UTRGV 27% → 29%

  3. 03
    Soukeyna DioufAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Soukeyna Diouf

    Set 1 · UMBC 3-2 UTRGV · UMBC 68% → 71%

  4. 04
    UMBCAce+2.2%

    UMBC ace on Dunja Stankovic

    Set 1 · UMBC 10-7 UTRGV · UMBC 73% → 75%

  5. 05

    Kill by Claudia Llamas (set by Isabel Ostvig)

    Set 1 · UMBC 4-2 UTRGV · UMBC 71% → 73%

  6. 06
    Jalynn BrownKill+2.1%

    Kill by Jalynn Brown (set by Hannah Dobbs)

    Set 1 · UMBC 7-4 UTRGV · UMBC 73% → 75%

  7. 07

    Ema Petkovic stuffed by Hannah Dobbs & Helen Frankovich

    Set 1 · UMBC 13-9 UTRGV · UMBC 75% → 77%

  8. 08
    Alissa GrantKill+1.8%

    Kill by Alissa Grant (set by Isabel Ostvig)

    Set 1 · UMBC 9-7 UTRGV · UMBC 71% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMBCaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315437.2971204204219
36110.50000200153.59.5
3608.75010000153.59.5
3112.000382270010.53.5
31011.000011510002
3001.000000600000
38216.37500220031.59.5
37011.636000100218
3000–4111200001
3000–011100001
Team totals44886.41944793832201275
UTRGVhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312430.2670108300013
38618.1110101102110
35420.05000210010.55.5
3106.16700000010.51.5
3025-.4001601100000
3000–100610000
3000–310600001
2129-.111000220001
2024-.500001100211
1000–500000000
1000–000000000
Team totals272092.076253426706348

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UMBC · UTRGV 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 6 UMBCUTRGV 2

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 6 UMBCUTRGV 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 UMBCUTRGV 3

Bars above the line = UTRGV leads, below = UMBC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMBC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
62%8/13
2
70%7/10
36%4/11
3
60%6/10
63%10/16
4
83%5/6
64%9/14
5
71%5/7
64%9/14
6
71%5/7
0%0/5
All
70%35/50
55%40/73

UTRGV

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
33%3/9
2
46%6/13
30%3/10
3
33%6/18
14%1/7
4
45%5/11
33%3/9
5
50%5/10
38%3/8
6
40%4/10
29%2/7
All
45%33/73
30%15/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

123 rallies

#UMBC-UTRGVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UTRGVUTRGVAttack errHannah Dobbs+2.3
21-1UTRGVUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
31-2UMBCUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Dunja Stankovic+1.7
42-2UTRGVUMBC×3KillHelen Frankovichset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
53-2UMBCUMBC×3Attack errSoukeyna Diouf+2.2
64-2UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.1
74-3UMBCUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.6
85-3UTRGVUMBCKillHelen Frankovichset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
95-4UMBCUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.6
106-4UTRGVUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Hannah Howard+1.6
117-4UMBCUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Hannah Dobbs+2.1
127-5UMBCUTRGVServe errUMBC+1.5
137-6UTRGVUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+2.2
148-6UTRGVUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
158-7UMBCUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+1.7
169-7UTRGVUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
1710-7UMBCUMBCAceUMBCaced Dunja Stankovic+2.2
1810-8UMBCUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+1.5
1911-8UTRGVUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
2011-9UMBCUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.6
2112-9UTRGVUMBCAttack errLana Rnjak+1.7
2213-9UMBCUMBCBlockedEma Petkovicblk Hannah Dobbs, Helen Frankovich+2.0
2313-10UMBCUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Celianiz Cabranes+1.3
2414-10UTRGVUMBC×4KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
2515-10UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBCaced Soukeyna Diouf+1.6
2616-10UMBCUMBC×4Attack errJulianna Bryant+1.2
2717-10UMBCUMBC×4KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
2817-11UMBCUTRGVKillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+0.4
2918-11UTRGVUMBCServe errUTRGV+0.6
3018-12UMBCUTRGVServe errUMBC+0.4
3119-12UTRGVUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
3219-13UMBCUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.3
3319-14UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Hannah Dobbs+0.7
3420-14UTRGVUMBC×6KillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
3521-14UMBCUMBC×6KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.6
3622-14UMBCUMBC×6Attack errMartina Franco+0.3
3723-14UMBCUMBC×6BlockedMartina Francoblk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig+0.1
3824-14UMBCUMBC×6KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3925-14UMBCUMBC×6KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
Set 2
11-0UMBCUMBCKillDasia Johnsonset Alissa Grant+1.8
22-0UMBCUMBCAttack errLana Rnjak+1.7
32-1UMBCUTRGVAttack errIsabel Ostvig+1.2
43-1UTRGVUMBC×3KillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
54-1UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
65-1UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBCaced Soukeyna Diouf+1.4
75-2UMBCUTRGVServe errUMBC+1.0
86-2UTRGVUMBC×4KillHelen Frankovichset Isabel Ostvig+1.1
97-2UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBCaced Martina Franco+1.2
108-2UMBCUMBC×4KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
119-2UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBCaced Martina Franco+0.8
129-3UMBCUTRGVServe errUMBC+0.5
1310-3UTRGVUMBCBlockedSoukeyna Dioufblk Hannah Dobbs, Helen Frankovich+0.6
1411-3UMBCUMBCAttack errJulianna Bryant+0.6
1511-4UMBCUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Agata Makowska+0.3
1611-5UTRGVUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Agata Makowska+0.6
1712-5UTRGVUMBC×6KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.6
1813-5UMBCUMBC×6Attack errJulianna Bryant+0.6
1914-5UMBCUMBC×6KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+0.4
2015-5UMBCUMBC×6BlockedMartina Francoblk Claudia Llamas, Alissa Grant+0.2
2116-5UMBCUMBC×6BlockedJulianna Bryantblk Alissa Grant+0.1
2217-5UMBCUMBC×6BlockedJasmyn Walkerblk Alissa Grant, Jalynn Brown+0.1
2317-6UMBCUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Agata Makowska·
2418-6UTRGVUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig·
2518-7UMBCUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Celianiz Cabranes·
2619-7UTRGVUMBCServe errUTRGV·
2719-8UMBCUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak·
2820-8UTRGVUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
2920-9UMBCUTRGVBlockedHannah Dobbsblk Aaliyah Snead, Ema Petkovic·
3021-9UTRGVUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3122-9UMBCUMBC×3BlockedEma Petkovicblk Helen Frankovich·
3223-9UMBCUMBC×3BlockedJulianna Bryantblk Helen Frankovich, Hannah Dobbs·
3323-10UMBCUTRGV×4Serve errUMBC·
3423-11UTRGVUTRGV×4KillMartina Francoset Agata Makowska·
3523-12UTRGVUTRGV×4BlockedClaudia Llamasblk Jasmyn Walker, Julianna Bryant·
3623-13UTRGVUTRGV×4KillJulianna Bryantset Agata Makowska·
3724-13UTRGVUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3825-13UMBCUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig·
Set 3
11-0UTRGVUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Hannah Howard+0.7
21-1UMBCUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.8
32-1UTRGVUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
42-2UMBCUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.8
52-3UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Hannah Dobbs+1.1
63-3UTRGVUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+0.8
74-3UMBCUMBC×3Attack errEma Petkovic+1.1
85-3UMBCUMBC×3BlockedJulianna Bryantblk Helen Frankovich, Claudia Llamas+1.0
95-4UMBCUTRGVBlockedClaudia Llamasblk Julianna Bryant, Jasmyn Walker+0.8
106-4UTRGVUMBCKillHelen Frankovichset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
116-5UMBCUTRGVServe errUMBC+0.8
127-5UTRGVUMBCKillIsabel Ostvigset Hannah Howard+0.8
137-6UMBCUTRGVServe errUMBC+0.8
147-7UTRGVUTRGVKillAaliyah Snead+1.2
158-7UTRGVUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
168-8UMBCUTRGVServe errUMBC+0.9
179-8UTRGVUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
1810-8UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.2
1911-8UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.1
2011-9UMBCUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.8
2111-10UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Dasia Johnson+1.2
2211-11UTRGVUTRGV×3KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.4
2312-11UTRGVUMBCKillHelen Frankovichset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
2413-11UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
2513-12UMBCUTRGVAttack errHelen Frankovich+1.0
2614-12UTRGVUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
2715-12UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBCaced Julianna Bryant+1.2
2816-12UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
2916-13UMBCUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.6
3017-13UTRGVUMBC×4Serve errUTRGV+0.8
3118-13UMBCUMBC×4KillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
3219-13UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBCaced Martina Franco+0.5
3320-13UMBCUMBC×4BlockedJasmyn Walkerblk Alissa Grant, Jalynn Brown+0.3
3420-14UMBCUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.1
3520-15UTRGVUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.3
3621-15UTRGVUMBCBlockedMartina Francoblk Claudia Llamas, Alissa Grant+0.3
3721-16UMBCUTRGVServe errUMBC+0.2
3822-16UTRGVUMBCServe errUTRGV+0.3
3922-17UMBCUTRGV×3Attack errHannah Dobbs+0.1
4022-18UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errHannah Dobbs+0.3
4122-19UTRGVUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Celianiz Cabranes+0.6
4223-19UTRGVUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
4323-20UMBCUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.4
4423-21UTRGVUTRGVServe errUTRGV+1.0
4524-21UTRGVUMBCKillHelen Frankovichset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
4625-21UMBCUMBCBlockedEma Petkovicblk Helen Frankovich, Hannah Dobbs+0.6

Score shown after each rally, UMBC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).