UMBC def. Canisius 3–0
UMBC won at Canisius 3-0 (25-13, 25-22, 25-15) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. UMBC's Claudia Llamas led with 9 kills, and Hannah Howard added 15 digs.
Data through · final Sep 5
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| CANISI | 13 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Win probability
No single rally moved win probability by a full point: UMBC stayed the heavy favorite throughout.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
UMBC wins
Canisius wins
- UMBC break %
- 52.0% vs this opp
- CANISI break %
- 35.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .250 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | .571 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 | .308 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 36 | 9 | 83 | .325 | 34 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 9 | 26 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 29 | -.069 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 28 | 23 | 96 | .052 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 50 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-13
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
25-15
Bars above the line = Canisius leads, below = UMBC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
UMBC
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 46%6/13 |
| 3 | 67%6/9 | 63%10/16 |
| 4 | 71%5/7 | 38%3/8 |
| 5 | 83%5/6 | 38%3/8 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 67%10/15 |
| All | 69%36/52 | 53%39/73 |
Canisius
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41%7/17 | 22%2/9 |
| 2 | 44%7/16 | 46%6/13 |
| 3 | 71%5/7 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 56%5/9 | 0%0/5 |
| 5 | 38%5/13 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 45%5/11 | 29%2/7 |
| All | 47%34/73 | 31%16/52 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
125 rallies
| # | UMBC-CANISI | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | ||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CANISI | UMBC | Blocked | Alli Farmer | blk Claudia Llamas, Isabel Ostvig |
| 2 | 1-1 | UMBC | CANISI | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 3 | 2-1 | CANISI | UMBC×5 | Serve err | Canisius | |
| 4 | 3-1 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Blocked | Alli Farmer | blk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig |
| 5 | 4-1 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 6 | 5-1 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Attack err | Emma Isroff | |
| 7 | 6-1 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Attack err | Alli Farmer | |
| 8 | 6-2 | UMBC | CANISI | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 9 | 7-2 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Isabel Ostvig | set Hannah Dobbs |
| 10 | 7-3 | UMBC | CANISI | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 11 | 8-3 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Isabel Ostvig | set Dasia Johnson |
| 12 | 9-3 | UMBC | UMBC | Attack err | Emma Isroff | |
| 13 | 9-4 | UMBC | CANISI | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 14 | 10-4 | CANISI | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Hannah Kos | |
| 15 | 11-4 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Jalynn Brown |
| 16 | 12-4 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Blocked | Julia Lenik | blk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas |
| 17 | 12-5 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Emily Helmers | set Anna Rich |
| 18 | 13-5 | CANISI | UMBC | Serve err | Canisius | |
| 19 | 13-6 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Anna Rich |
| 20 | 14-6 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 21 | 14-7 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Anna Rich |
| 22 | 15-7 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Jalynn Brown | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 23 | 15-8 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 24 | 16-8 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 25 | 16-9 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 26 | 17-9 | CANISI | UMBC | Serve err | Canisius | |
| 27 | 17-10 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 28 | 18-10 | CANISI | UMBC×4 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 29 | 19-10 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 30 | 20-10 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Attack err | Julia Lenik | |
| 31 | 21-10 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Hannah Howard |
| 32 | 21-11 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Anna Rich |
| 33 | 22-11 | CANISI | UMBC×3 | Kill | Jalynn Brown | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 34 | 23-11 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Hannah Kos | |
| 35 | 24-11 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Alli Farmer | |
| 36 | 24-12 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Emily Helmers | set Anna Rich |
| 37 | 24-13 | CANISI | CANISI | Attack err | Alissa Grant | |
| 38 | 25-13 | CANISI | UMBC | Serve err | Canisius | |
| Set 2 | ||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UMBC | UMBC | Blocked | Alli Farmer | blk Claudia Llamas, Alissa Grant |
| 2 | 1-1 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 3 | 2-1 | CANISI | UMBC | Serve err | Canisius | |
| 4 | 2-2 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 5 | 2-3 | CANISI | CANISI | Kill | Julia Lenik | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 6 | 3-3 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 7 | 3-4 | UMBC | CANISI | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 8 | 4-4 | CANISI | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Julia Lenik | |
| 9 | 5-4 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Emma Isroff | |
| 10 | 6-4 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Blocked | Julia Lenik | blk Isabel Ostvig, Grace Larrivee |
| 11 | 6-5 | UMBC | CANISI×3 | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 12 | 6-6 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Anna Rich |
| 13 | 6-7 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Blocked | Hannah Dobbs | blk Emily Helmers, Hannah Kos |
| 14 | 7-7 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Isabel Ostvig | set Grace Larrivee |
| 15 | 7-8 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Madison Cowan | set Anna Rich |
| 16 | 8-8 | CANISI | UMBC×3 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 17 | 9-8 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Hannah Howard |
| 18 | 10-8 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 19 | 10-9 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Emily Helmers | set Anna Rich |
| 20 | 11-9 | CANISI | UMBC×4 | Kill | Grace Larrivee | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 21 | 12-9 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Bad set | McKenna Corcoran | |
| 22 | 13-9 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Blocked | Alli Farmer | blk Alissa Grant, Claudia Llamas |
| 23 | 14-9 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 24 | 14-10 | UMBC | CANISI×4 | Kill | McKenna Corcoran | set Anna Rich |
| 25 | 14-11 | CANISI | CANISI×4 | Attack err | Alissa Grant | |
| 26 | 14-12 | CANISI | CANISI×4 | Attack err | Natalie Harris | |
| 27 | 14-13 | CANISI | CANISI×4 | Ace | Canisius | |
| 28 | 15-13 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Hannah Howard |
| 29 | 15-14 | UMBC | CANISI | Blocked | Natalie Harris | blk Emma Isroff, McKenna Corcoran |
| 30 | 16-14 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Hannah Howard |
| 31 | 17-14 | UMBC | UMBC | Attack err | Emma Isroff | |
| 32 | 17-15 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Julia Lenik | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 33 | 18-15 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 34 | 18-16 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Julia Lenik | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 35 | 19-16 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Isabel Ostvig | set Natalie Harris |
| 36 | 20-16 | UMBC | UMBC | Attack err | Julia Lenik | |
| 37 | 20-17 | UMBC | CANISI | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 38 | 20-18 | CANISI | CANISI | Blocked | Claudia Llamas | blk Emily Helmers, Hannah Kos |
| 39 | 21-18 | CANISI | UMBC | Serve err | Canisius | |
| 40 | 22-18 | UMBC | UMBC | Attack err | Alli Farmer | |
| 41 | 22-19 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Hannah Kos | set Anna Rich |
| 42 | 22-20 | CANISI | CANISI | Blocked | Natalie Harris | blk Hannah Kos, McKenna Corcoran |
| 43 | 23-20 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 44 | 23-21 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Anna Rich |
| 45 | 24-21 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig |
| 46 | 24-22 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Emma Isroff |
| 47 | 25-22 | CANISI | UMBC | Blocked | Julia Lenik | blk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig |
| Set 3 | ||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CANISI | UMBC×3 | Blocked | Alli Farmer | blk Hannah Dobbs, Grace Larrivee |
| 2 | 2-0 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Ace | UMBC | aced Brenda Reynaga |
| 3 | 3-0 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Ace | UMBC | aced Brenda Reynaga |
| 4 | 3-1 | UMBC | CANISI×3 | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 5 | 3-2 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Brenda Reynaga |
| 6 | 3-3 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Ace | Canisius | aced Hannah Howard |
| 7 | 4-3 | CANISI | UMBC×4 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Megan Hunter |
| 8 | 5-3 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Ace | UMBC | aced Brenda Reynaga |
| 9 | 6-3 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Kill | Alissa Grant | set Megan Hunter |
| 10 | 7-3 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Ace | UMBC | aced Brenda Reynaga |
| 11 | 7-4 | UMBC | CANISI×3 | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 12 | 7-5 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Attack err | Claudia Llamas | |
| 13 | 7-6 | CANISI | CANISI×3 | Bad set | Megan Hunter | |
| 14 | 8-6 | CANISI | UMBC | Serve err | Canisius | |
| 15 | 9-6 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Alissa Grant | set McKenna Corcoran |
| 16 | 9-7 | UMBC | CANISI | Serve err | UMBC | |
| 17 | 10-7 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Jalynn Brown | set Megan Hunter |
| 18 | 11-7 | UMBC | UMBC | Blocked | Emma Isroff | blk Hannah Dobbs, Alissa Grant |
| 19 | 11-8 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 20 | 12-8 | CANISI | UMBC×3 | Serve err | Canisius | |
| 21 | 13-8 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Grace Larrivee | set Hannah Howard |
| 22 | 14-8 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Megan Hunter |
| 23 | 14-9 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Julia Lenik | set Anna Rich |
| 24 | 14-10 | CANISI | CANISI | Attack err | Hannah Dobbs | |
| 25 | 15-10 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Megan Hunter |
| 26 | 16-10 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | |
| 27 | 16-11 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Anna Rich |
| 28 | 17-11 | CANISI | UMBC×5 | Serve err | Canisius | |
| 29 | 18-11 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Kill | Jalynn Brown | set Megan Hunter |
| 30 | 19-11 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Hannah Howard |
| 31 | 20-11 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Ace | UMBC | |
| 32 | 21-11 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Attack err | McKenna Corcoran | |
| 33 | 21-12 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Anna Rich |
| 34 | 21-13 | CANISI | CANISI | Kill | Emma Isroff | set Brenda Reynaga |
| 35 | 22-13 | CANISI | UMBC×3 | Kill | Jalynn Brown | set Megan Hunter |
| 36 | 23-13 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Alli Farmer | |
| 37 | 24-13 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Bad set | Kenslie Warmbrodt | |
| 38 | 24-14 | UMBC | CANISI | Kill | Alli Farmer | set Kenslie Warmbrodt |
| 39 | 24-15 | CANISI | CANISI | Ace | Canisius | aced Elyse VanLandingham |
| 40 | 25-15 | CANISI | UMBC | Kill | Jalynn Brown | set Ema Djordjevic |
Score shown after each rally, UMBC first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).