CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026
UMBC logo

AwayAMERICA-EAST

2:3
Villanova logo

HomeBIG-EAST

Villanova def. UMBC 32

(25-21, 18-25, 23-25, 25-17, 15-13)
Set1*234*5Sets
UMBC21252517132
NOVA25182325153
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NOVA above 50 · UMBC below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100NOVAUMBCBiggest swing +22.9% NOVA · S5 13-15rally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 22.9% to Villanova — set 5, UMBC 13-15 NOVA. Hannah Dobbs stuffed by Reagan Mcgivern & Abby Harrell. NOVA win probability 77%100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UMBC 26.2%73.8% NOVA

UMBC wins

3-0
4.7%
3-1
9.0%
3-2
12.5%

Villanova wins

3-0
26.1%
3-1
28.2%
3-2
19.5%
UMBC break %
39.0% vs this opp
NOVA break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Hannah DobbsAttack error+22.9%

    Hannah Dobbs stuffed by Reagan Mcgivern & Abby Harrell

    Set 5 · UMBC 13-15 NOVA · NOVA 77%100%

  2. 02
    UMBC serverAce+19.4%

    UMBC ace on Marikate Ritterbusch

    Set 5 · UMBC 13-13 NOVA · UMBC 21%41%

  3. 03
    UMBC serverService error+17.9%

    UMBC service error

    Set 5 · UMBC 13-14 NOVA · NOVA 59%77%

  4. 04
    Abby HarrellKill+15.4%

    Kill by Abby Harrell (set by Marikate Ritterbusch)

    Set 5 · UMBC 11-13 NOVA · NOVA 71%86%

  5. 05
    Natalie HarrisAttack error+13.7%

    Attack error by Natalie Harris

    Set 5 · UMBC 9-10 NOVA · NOVA 55%69%

  6. 06

    Kill by Campbell Mckinnon (set by Selah O'connor)

    Set 5 · UMBC 11-12 NOVA · NOVA 59%71%

  7. 07
    Campbell MckinnonAttack error+10.8%

    Attack error by Campbell Mckinnon

    Set 5 · UMBC 11-11 NOVA · UMBC 30%41%

  8. 08
    NOVA serverService error+10.6%

    Villanova service error

    Set 3 · UMBC 25-23 NOVA · UMBC 50%60%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UMBCaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520547.31903250031.524.5
519859.1862019000019
513531.25800030031.514.5
54111.273000001116.510.5
5408.500491270073.58.5
5127-.143012100213
5000011000001
5001.000202100000
5011-1.0005012320000
5000100610000
5000000000000
5000000000000
5000000000000
5000000000000
5000000000000
5000000000000
5000000000000
Team totals6122165.2365961155412614101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520535.42902220031.523.5
517645.244101110031.518.5
510018.5560001006313
59321.28600030010.59.5
56625.0000041020217
50003300900000
57412.250000100218
5001.000111410001
5000310720001
5002.00010010010.50.5
5000000000000
5000000000000
5000000000000
5000000000000
5000000000000
500029011000000
5000000000000
Team totals6924159.28368495960189106

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 UMBC · NOVA 6

Set 1*

21-25

Longest run 2 UMBCNOVA 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 UMBCNOVA 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 UMBCNOVA 3

Set 4*

17-25

Longest run 3 UMBCNOVA 6

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 3 UMBCNOVA 2

Bars above the line = Villanova leads, below = UMBC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UMBC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
29%2/7
2
64%7/11
22%2/9
3
64%7/11
42%5/12
4
58%7/12
46%6/13
5
86%6/7
50%7/14
6
80%4/5
43%3/7
All
67%38/57
40%25/62

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
14%1/7
2
70%7/10
53%8/15
3
70%7/10
36%4/11
4
41%7/17
30%3/10
5
71%5/7
33%3/9
6
57%4/7
0%0/5
All
60%37/62
33%19/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

207 rallies

Rally log

#UMBC-NOVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
21-1UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
32-1NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+1.6
42-2UMBCNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
53-2NOVAUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
63-3UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
74-3NOVAUMBCServe errNOVA server+1.7
84-4UMBCNOVA×3KillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+1.6
94-5NOVANOVA×3Attack errHannah Dobbsblk Campbell Mckinnon, Chloe Kelly+2.2
104-6NOVANOVA×3Attack errHannah Dobbsblk Chloe Kelly, Campbell Mckinnon+2.1
115-6NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
125-7UMBCNOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Selah O'connor+1.5
135-8NOVANOVA×4AceNOVA serveraced Ella Mcallister+1.9
145-9NOVANOVA×4KillReagan Mcgivernset Selah O'connor+1.6
155-10NOVANOVA×4Attack errHannah Dobbs+1.4
166-10NOVAUMBCKillIsabel Ostvigset Dasia Johnson+0.8
176-11UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'connor+1.0
187-11NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Dasia Johnson+0.8
197-12UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.0
208-12NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Dobbs+0.8
219-12UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
229-13UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+1.2
2310-13NOVAUMBCServe errNOVA server+1.1
2410-14UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.3
2511-14NOVAUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+1.1
2612-14UMBCUMBCAttack errChloe Kellyblk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig+2.0
2712-15UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'connor+1.6
2813-15NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
2914-15UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Hannah Howard+2.6
3014-16UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'connor+2.0
3115-16NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+2.0
3215-17UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'connor+2.1
3316-17NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.0
3417-17UMBCUMBCFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+3.5
3517-18UMBCNOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+2.6
3617-19NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+3.5
3717-20NOVANOVA×3Attack errNatalie Harrisblk Reagan Mcgivern, Taylor Lewis+2.9
3818-20NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
3918-21UMBCNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
4019-21NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
4119-22UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
4220-22NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harris+1.5
4320-23UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+2.2
4421-23NOVAUMBCServe errNOVA server+1.3
4521-24UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+2.3
4621-25NOVANOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'connor+1.1
Set 2
11-0UMBCUMBCKillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
22-0UMBCUMBCAttack errTaylor Lewis+1.8
32-1UMBCNOVAKillReagan Mcgivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
43-1NOVAUMBCServe errNOVA server+1.3
53-2UMBCNOVAKillReagan Mcgivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
64-2NOVAUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
75-2UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Dobbs+2.0
86-2UMBCUMBC×3Attack errCampbell Mckinnon+1.9
96-3UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
107-3NOVAUMBC×3Attack errCat Youngblk Alissa Grant, Claudia Llamas+1.4
118-3UMBCUMBC×3Attack errChloe Kelly+1.9
129-3UMBCUMBC×3KillNatalie Harris+1.7
139-4UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+0.9
149-5NOVANOVAAttack errNatalie Harris+1.6
1510-5NOVAUMBCKillIsabel Ostvigset Ella Mcallister+1.4
1610-6UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'connor+1.1
1711-6NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
1812-6UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
1912-7UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'connor+0.9
2012-8NOVANOVAKillReagan Mcgivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
2113-8NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
2213-9UMBCNOVA×5KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.1
2313-10NOVANOVA×5Attack errHannah Dobbs+1.8
2413-11NOVANOVA×5KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
2513-12NOVANOVA×5Attack errClaudia Llamas+2.3
2613-13NOVANOVA×5KillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
2714-13NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.9
2814-14UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
2915-14NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.0
3015-15UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
3116-15NOVAUMBC×4KillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+2.1
3217-15UMBCUMBC×4Attack errCat Youngblk Natalie Harris, Alissa Grant+3.0
3318-15UMBCUMBC×4Attack errChloe Kelly+2.9
3419-15UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBC serveraced Cat Young+2.6
3519-16UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'connor+1.3
3619-17NOVANOVAKillChloe Kelly+2.4
3720-17NOVAUMBC×3Attack errCampbell Mckinnonblk Alissa Grant+2.3
3821-17UMBCUMBC×3Attack errCampbell Mckinnon+2.6
3922-17UMBCUMBC×3Attack errAbby Harrellblk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig+1.8
4022-18UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+0.6
4123-18NOVAUMBC×3Serve errNOVA server+1.1
4224-18UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Hannah Howard+0.6
4325-18UMBCUMBC×3KillIsabel Ostvig+0.1
Set 3
11-0NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harris+2.2
22-0UMBCUMBCAttack errAbby Harrell+3.3
32-1UMBCNOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
42-2NOVANOVA×3Attack errGrace Larriveeblk Reagan Mcgivern, Cat Young+3.1
52-3NOVANOVA×3KillReagan Mcgivernset Alyssa Nelson+3.0
63-3NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.2
73-4UMBCNOVAKillReagan Mcgivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
84-4NOVAUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+2.3
94-5UMBCNOVA×3KillCampbell Mckinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
104-6NOVANOVA×3KillCat Youngset Selah O'connor+3.0
114-7NOVANOVA×3Attack errHannah Howard+2.7
125-7NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
135-8UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'connor+1.9
146-8NOVAUMBCServe errNOVA server+1.9
156-9UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+2.0
167-9NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.9
177-10UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrell+2.0
188-10NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.9
198-11UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+2.1
209-11NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.0
219-12UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+2.1
229-13NOVANOVAAttack errClaudia Llamasblk Cat Young, Campbell Mckinnon+2.6
2310-13NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
2411-13UMBCUMBCAttack errCat Youngblk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant+2.9
2511-14UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnon+2.3
2612-14NOVAUMBC×5KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.1
2713-14UMBCUMBC×5Attack errChloe Kellyblk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant+3.7
2814-14UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBC serveraced Mina Diggs+4.4
2915-14UMBCUMBC×5Attack errCampbell Mckinnonblk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant+4.9
3016-14UMBCUMBC×5KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+5.2
3116-15UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+3.3
3217-15NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+3.9
3317-16UMBCNOVAAttack errHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+3.4
3418-16NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+4.2
3518-17UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'connor+3.5
3619-17NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+4.5
3720-17UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+5.8
3820-18UMBCNOVAKillReagan Mcgivernset Alyssa Nelson+3.0
3921-18NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+4.4
4022-18UMBCUMBCAceUMBC serveraced TEAM+4.7
4122-19UMBCNOVA×3Serve errUMBC server+1.8
4222-20NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell Mckinnonset Alyssa Nelson+4.1
4322-21NOVANOVA×3AceNOVA serveraced Hannah Howard+6.2
4423-21NOVAUMBCAttack errTaylor Lewisblk Alissa Grant, Natalie Harris+6.5
4523-22UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Mina Diggs+4.4
4624-22NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+7.7
4724-23UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+4.1
4825-23NOVAUMBCServe errNOVA server+10.6
Set 4
10-1UMBCNOVA×5KillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+2.6
20-2NOVANOVA×5AceNOVA serveraced Hannah Howard+3.5
30-3NOVANOVA×5Attack errClaudia Llamasblk Loren Winn, Reagan Mcgivern+3.2
40-4NOVANOVA×5Attack errHannah Dobbsblk Reagan Mcgivern, Abby Harrell+2.8
50-5NOVANOVA×5Attack errGrace Larrivee+2.4
61-5NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamas+1.5
71-6UMBCNOVAKillReagan Mcgivernset Selah O'connor+1.7
82-6NOVAUMBCFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.5
92-7UMBCNOVAKillReagan Mcgivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
102-8NOVANOVAAttack errAlissa Grant+2.0
113-8NOVAUMBCAttack errAbby Harrellset Taylor Lewis+1.2
124-8UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.2
134-9UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
145-9NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
155-10UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Hannah Howard+1.8
166-10NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
177-10UMBCUMBCKillIsabel Ostvigset Hannah Howard+2.8
187-11UMBCNOVA×6KillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+2.2
197-12NOVANOVA×6KillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+2.6
207-13NOVANOVA×6Attack errHannah Dobbs+2.0
217-14NOVANOVA×6KillAbby Harrellset Mina Diggs+1.4
227-15NOVANOVA×6KillCampbell Mckinnonset Loren Winn+1.0
237-16NOVANOVA×6KillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+0.6
248-16NOVAUMBC×3Serve errNOVA server+0.3
259-16UMBCUMBC×3Attack errAbby Harrellblk Claudia Llamas, Grace Larrivee+0.6
2610-16UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
2710-17UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+0.9
2810-18NOVANOVAAttack errClaudia Llamas+0.8
2911-18NOVAUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbs+0.3
3012-18UMBCUMBC×3Attack errAbby Harrellblk Claudia Llamas, Grace Larrivee+0.7
3113-18UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.2
3213-19UMBCNOVA×3KillReagan Mcgivernset Selah O'connor+1.2
3313-20NOVANOVA×3Attack errClaudia Llamasblk Abby Harrell, Reagan Mcgivern+1.0
3413-21NOVANOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
3514-21NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
3614-22UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+0.3
3714-23NOVANOVAKillCat Youngset Abby Harrell+0.1
3815-23NOVAUMBCAttack errTaylor Lewisblk Natalie Harris, Alissa Grant+0.0
3916-23UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
4016-24UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.1
4117-24NOVAUMBCAttack errCat Youngblk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig+0.0
4217-25UMBCNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
Set 5
11-0NOVAUMBCAttack errCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+6.4
21-1UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+6.0
31-2NOVANOVAAttack errNatalie Harris+8.5
42-2NOVAUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+6.2
53-2UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBC serveraced Cat Young+9.6
64-2UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBC serveraced Mina Diggs+10.1
74-3UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+6.4
84-4NOVANOVAAceNOVA serveraced TEAM+9.8
95-4NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+7.6
105-5UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'connor+7.1
116-5NOVAUMBCServe errNOVA server+8.0
126-6UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'connor+7.5
137-6NOVAUMBCAttack errAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+8.5
147-7UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+8.0
158-7NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+9.1
168-8UMBCNOVAAttack errNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+8.5
179-8NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+9.8
189-9UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Alyssa Nelson+9.1
199-10NOVANOVAAttack errNatalie Harris+13.7
2010-10NOVAUMBCAttack errCat Youngblk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig+9.8
2110-11UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+10.5
2211-11NOVAUMBCAttack errCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+10.8
2311-12UMBCNOVAKillCampbell Mckinnonset Selah O'connor+12.0
2411-13NOVANOVAKillAbby Harrellset Marikate Ritterbusch+15.4
2512-13NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+7.8
2613-13UMBCUMBCAceUMBC serveraced Marikate Ritterbusch+19.4
2713-14UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC server+17.9
2813-15NOVANOVAAttack errHannah Dobbsblk Reagan Mcgivern, Abby Harrell+22.9

Score shown after each rally, UMBC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.