Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Villanova def. UMBC 3–2

Villanova beat visiting UMBC 3-2 (25-21, 18-25, 23-25, 25-17, 15-13) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Villanova's Campbell McKinnon led with 20 kills, and Abby Harrell added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set12345Sets
UMBC21252517132
NOVA25182325153

Win probability

Villanova above 50 · UMBC below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+23.9% NOVArally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 23.9% to Villanova — set 5, UMBC 13-15 NOVA. Hannah Dobbs stuffed by Abby Harrell & Reagan McGivern. NOVA win probability 76% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMBC 32.8%67.2% NOVA

UMBC wins

3-0
6.5%
3-1
11.6%
3-2
14.6%

Villanova wins

3-0
21.4%
3-1
25.8%
3-2
20.0%
UMBC break %
40.9% vs this opp
NOVA break %
44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Hannah Dobbs stuffed by Abby Harrell & Reagan McGivern

    Set 5 · UMBC 13-15 NOVA · NOVA 76% → 100%

  2. 02
    UMBCAce+19.6%

    UMBC ace on Marikate Ritterbusch

    Set 5 · UMBC 13-13 NOVA · UMBC 23% → 43%

  3. 03
    UMBCService error+19.0%

    UMBC service error

    Set 5 · UMBC 13-14 NOVA · NOVA 57% → 76%

  4. 04
    Abby HarrellKill+15.9%

    Kill by Abby Harrell (set by Marikate Ritterbusch)

    Set 5 · UMBC 11-13 NOVA · NOVA 69% → 85%

  5. 05
    Natalie HarrisAttack error+13.6%

    Attack error by Natalie Harris

    Set 5 · UMBC 9-10 NOVA · NOVA 53% → 67%

  6. 06

    Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Selah O'Connor)

    Set 5 · UMBC 11-12 NOVA · NOVA 57% → 69%

  7. 07
    Campbell McKinnonAttack error+11.2%

    Attack error by Campbell McKinnon

    Set 5 · UMBC 11-11 NOVA · UMBC 32% → 43%

  8. 08

    Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Selah O'Connor)

    Set 5 · UMBC 10-11 NOVA · NOVA 57% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMBCaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520547.31903250031.524.5
519859.1862019000019
513531.25800030031.514.5
54111.273000001116.510.5
5408.500491270073.58.5
5127-.143012100213
5000–011000001
5011-1.0005012320000
5000–100610000
2001.000202100000
1000–000000000
Team totals6122165.2365961155412614101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520535.42902220031.523.5
517645.244101110031.518.5
510018.5560001006313
59321.28600030010.59.5
56625.0000041020217
5000–3300900000
5001.000111410001
5000–310720001
5000–29011000000
37412.250000100218
3002.00010010010.50.5
Team totals6924159.28368495960189106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UMBC · NOVA 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 2 UMBCNOVA 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 UMBCNOVA 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 UMBCNOVA 3

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 UMBCNOVA 6

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 3 UMBCNOVA 2

Bars above the line = Villanova leads, below = UMBC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMBC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
31%4/13
2
60%12/20
29%5/17
3
67%12/18
33%6/18
4
71%12/17
40%8/20
5
77%10/13
40%8/20
6
41%7/17
38%5/13
All
61%65/106
36%36/101

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
38%6/16
2
67%12/18
56%15/27
3
80%12/15
33%6/18
4
48%12/25
29%5/17
5
77%10/13
31%5/16
6
64%7/11
33%4/12
All
64%65/101
39%41/106

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#UMBC-NOVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
21-1UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
32-1NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+1.8
42-2UMBCNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
53-2NOVAUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
63-3UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
74-3NOVAUMBCServe errVillanova+1.9
84-4UMBCNOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+1.8
94-5NOVANOVA×3BlockedHannah Dobbsblk Chloe Kelly, Campbell McKinnon+2.4
104-6NOVANOVA×3BlockedHannah Dobbsblk Campbell McKinnon, Chloe Kelly+2.3
115-6NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
125-7UMBCNOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.7
135-8NOVANOVA×4AceVillanovaaced Ella McAllister+2.2
145-9NOVANOVA×4KillReagan McGivernset Selah O'Connor+1.9
155-10NOVANOVA×4Attack errHannah Dobbs+1.6
166-10NOVAUMBCKillIsabel Ostvigset Dasia Johnson+1.0
176-11UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.2
187-11NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Dasia Johnson+1.0
197-12UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
208-12NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Dobbs+1.0
219-12UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
229-13UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+1.5
2310-13NOVAUMBCServe errVillanova+1.3
2410-14UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
2511-14NOVAUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
2612-14UMBCUMBCBlockedChloe Kellyblk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant+2.3
2712-15UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.9
2813-15NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
2914-15UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Hannah Howard+2.9
3014-16UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+2.4
3115-16NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+2.3
3215-17UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+2.5
3316-17NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.4
3417-17UMBCUMBCBad setAlyssa Nelson+3.8
3517-18UMBCNOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+3.0
3617-19NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+3.8
3717-20NOVANOVA×3BlockedNatalie Harrisblk Taylor Lewis, Reagan McGivern+3.2
3818-20NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.9
3918-21UMBCNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+2.5
4019-21NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.9
4119-22UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.6
4220-22NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
4320-23UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+2.7
4421-23NOVAUMBCServe errVillanova+1.6
4521-24UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+2.7
4621-25NOVANOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+1.4
Set 2
11-0UMBCUMBCKillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig+2.0
22-0UMBCUMBCAttack errTaylor Lewis+2.0
32-1UMBCNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
43-1NOVAUMBCServe errVillanova+1.6
53-2UMBCNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.5
64-2NOVAUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
75-2UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Dobbs+2.1
86-2UMBCUMBC×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+2.1
96-3UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
107-3NOVAUMBC×3BlockedCat Youngblk Claudia Llamas, Alissa Grant+1.6
118-3UMBCUMBC×3Attack errChloe Kelly+2.0
129-3UMBCUMBC×3KillNatalie Harris+1.8
139-4UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+1.0
149-5NOVANOVAAttack errNatalie Harris+1.7
1510-5NOVAUMBCKillIsabel Ostvigset Ella McAllister+1.5
1610-6UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+1.2
1711-6NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
1812-6UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.8
1912-7UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+1.0
2012-8NOVANOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
2113-8NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
2213-9UMBCNOVA×5KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
2313-10NOVANOVA×5Attack errHannah Dobbs+2.0
2413-11NOVANOVA×5KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.3
2513-12NOVANOVA×5Attack errClaudia Llamas+2.6
2613-13NOVANOVA×5KillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+2.7
2714-13NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.2
2814-14UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
2915-14NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.3
3015-15UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
3116-15NOVAUMBC×4KillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+2.4
3217-15UMBCUMBC×4BlockedCat Youngblk Alissa Grant, Natalie Harris+3.3
3318-15UMBCUMBC×4Attack errChloe Kelly+3.2
3419-15UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBCaced Cat Young+2.7
3519-16UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+1.5
3619-17NOVANOVAKillChloe Kellyset Mina Diggs+2.6
3720-17NOVAUMBC×3BlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Alissa Grant+2.6
3821-17UMBCUMBC×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+2.8
3922-17UMBCUMBC×3BlockedAbby Harrellblk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant+1.9
4022-18UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+0.7
4123-18NOVAUMBC×3Serve errVillanova+1.3
4224-18UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Hannah Howard+0.7
4325-18UMBCUMBC×3KillIsabel Ostvig+0.2
Set 3
11-0NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+2.4
22-0UMBCUMBCAttack errAbby Harrell+3.3
32-1UMBCNOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+2.3
42-2NOVANOVA×3BlockedGrace Larriveeblk Cat Young, Reagan McGivern+3.2
52-3NOVANOVA×3KillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+3.2
63-3NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.4
73-4UMBCNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
84-4NOVAUMBCKillAlissa Grantset Isabel Ostvig+2.5
94-5UMBCNOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.4
104-6NOVANOVA×3KillCat Youngset Selah O'Connor+3.2
114-7NOVANOVA×3Attack errHannah Howard+2.9
125-7NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.1
135-8UMBCNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Selah O'Connor+2.2
146-8NOVAUMBCServe errVillanova+2.1
156-9UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+2.3
167-9NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+2.2
177-10UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+2.3
188-10NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+2.2
198-11UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+2.4
209-11NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+2.2
219-12UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+2.4
229-13NOVANOVABlockedClaudia Llamasblk Campbell McKinnon, Cat Young+2.9
2310-13NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.9
2411-13UMBCUMBCBlockedCat Youngblk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig+3.1
2511-14UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.6
2612-14NOVAUMBC×5KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.4
2713-14UMBCUMBC×5BlockedChloe Kellyblk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig+3.9
2814-14UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBCaced Mina Diggs+4.5
2915-14UMBCUMBC×5BlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig+5.0
3016-14UMBCUMBC×5KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+5.2
3116-15UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+3.4
3217-15NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+4.1
3317-16UMBCNOVAAttack errHannah Dobbs+3.6
3418-16NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+4.3
3518-17UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+3.8
3619-17NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+4.6
3720-17UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+5.7
3820-18UMBCNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+3.2
3921-18NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+4.5
4022-18UMBCUMBCAceUMBC+4.6
4122-19UMBCNOVA×3Serve errUMBC+1.9
4222-20NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+4.1
4322-21NOVANOVA×3AceVillanovaaced Hannah Howard+6.2
4423-21NOVAUMBCBlockedTaylor Lewisblk Natalie Harris, Alissa Grant+6.7
4523-22UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Mina Diggs+4.7
4624-22NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+7.9
4724-23UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+4.4
4825-23NOVAUMBCServe errVillanova+10.8
Set 4
10-1UMBCNOVA×5KillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+2.7
20-2NOVANOVA×5AceVillanovaaced Hannah Howard+3.5
30-3NOVANOVA×5BlockedClaudia Llamasblk Reagan McGivern, Loren Winn+3.2
40-4NOVANOVA×5BlockedHannah Dobbsblk Abby Harrell, Reagan McGivern+2.9
50-5NOVANOVA×5Attack errGrace Larrivee+2.5
61-5NOVAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
71-6UMBCNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Selah O'Connor+1.9
82-6NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
92-7UMBCNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
102-8NOVANOVAAttack errAlissa Grant+2.1
113-8NOVAUMBCAttack errAbby Harrell+1.4
124-8UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+2.3
134-9UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
145-9NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
155-10UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Hannah Howard+2.0
166-10NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
177-10UMBCUMBCKillIsabel Ostvigset Hannah Howard+2.9
187-11UMBCNOVA×6KillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+2.4
197-12NOVANOVA×6KillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+2.7
207-13NOVANOVA×6Attack errHannah Dobbs+2.2
217-14NOVANOVA×6KillAbby Harrellset Mina Diggs+1.6
227-15NOVANOVA×6KillCampbell McKinnonset Loren Winn+1.1
237-16NOVANOVA×6KillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+0.7
248-16NOVAUMBC×3Serve errVillanova+0.3
259-16UMBCUMBC×3BlockedAbby Harrellblk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas+0.7
2610-16UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
2710-17UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+1.1
2810-18NOVANOVAAttack errClaudia Llamas+0.9
2911-18NOVAUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.4
3012-18UMBCUMBC×3BlockedAbby Harrellblk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas+0.8
3113-18UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
3213-19UMBCNOVA×3KillReagan McGivernset Selah O'Connor+1.4
3313-20NOVANOVA×3BlockedClaudia Llamasblk Reagan McGivern, Abby Harrell+1.1
3413-21NOVANOVA×3KillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
3514-21NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.2
3614-22UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Alyssa Nelson+0.3
3714-23NOVANOVAKillCat Youngset Abby Harrell+0.2
3815-23NOVAUMBCBlockedTaylor Lewisblk Alissa Grant, Natalie Harris·
3916-23UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
4016-24UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.1
4117-24NOVAUMBCBlockedCat Youngblk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant·
4217-25UMBCNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+1.0
Set 5
11-0NOVAUMBCAttack errCat Young+6.6
21-1UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+6.3
31-2NOVANOVAAttack errNatalie Harris+8.6
42-2NOVAUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+6.5
53-2UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBCaced Cat Young+9.4
64-2UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBCaced Mina Diggs+9.8
74-3UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+6.6
84-4NOVANOVAAceVillanova+9.6
95-4NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+7.8
105-5UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+7.4
116-5NOVAUMBCServe errVillanova+8.2
126-6UMBCNOVAKillAbby Harrellset Selah O'Connor+7.8
137-6NOVAUMBCAttack errAbby Harrell+8.7
147-7UMBCNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+8.2
158-7NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+9.2
168-8UMBCNOVAAttack errNatalie Harris+8.8
179-8NOVAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+9.9
189-9UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+9.5
199-10NOVANOVAAttack errNatalie Harris+13.6
2010-10NOVAUMBCBlockedCat Youngblk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant+10.2
2110-11UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+11.1
2211-11NOVAUMBCAttack errCampbell McKinnon+11.2
2311-12UMBCNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Selah O'Connor+12.6
2411-13NOVANOVAKillAbby Harrellset Marikate Ritterbusch+15.9
2512-13NOVAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+8.5
2613-13UMBCUMBCAceUMBCaced Marikate Ritterbusch+19.6
2713-14UMBCNOVAServe errUMBC+19.0
2813-15NOVANOVABlockedHannah Dobbsblk Abby Harrell, Reagan McGivern+23.9

Score shown after each rally, UMBC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).