Villanova def. UMBC 3–2
Villanova beat visiting UMBC 3-2 (25-21, 18-25, 23-25, 25-17, 15-13) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Villanova's Campbell McKinnon led with 20 kills, and Abby Harrell added 11 digs.
Data through · final Sep 18
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 21 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 13 | 2 |
| NOVA | 25 | 18 | 23 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 23.9% to Villanova — set 5, UMBC 13-15 NOVA. Hannah Dobbs stuffed by Abby Harrell & Reagan McGivern. NOVA win probability 76% → 100%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
UMBC wins
Villanova wins
- UMBC break %
- 40.9% vs this opp
- NOVA break %
- 44.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Abby Harrell&Reagan McGivernBlock+23.9%
Hannah Dobbs stuffed by Abby Harrell & Reagan McGivern
Set 5 · UMBC 13-15 NOVA · NOVA 76% → 100%
- 02UMBCAce+19.6%
UMBC ace on Marikate Ritterbusch
Set 5 · UMBC 13-13 NOVA · UMBC 23% → 43%
- 03UMBCService error+19.0%
UMBC service error
Set 5 · UMBC 13-14 NOVA · NOVA 57% → 76%
- 04Abby HarrellKill+15.9%
Kill by Abby Harrell (set by Marikate Ritterbusch)
Set 5 · UMBC 11-13 NOVA · NOVA 69% → 85%
- 05Natalie HarrisAttack error+13.6%
Attack error by Natalie Harris
Set 5 · UMBC 9-10 NOVA · NOVA 53% → 67%
- 06Campbell McKinnonKill+12.6%
Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Selah O'Connor)
Set 5 · UMBC 11-12 NOVA · NOVA 57% → 69%
- 07Campbell McKinnonAttack error+11.2%
Attack error by Campbell McKinnon
Set 5 · UMBC 11-11 NOVA · UMBC 32% → 43%
- 08Campbell McKinnonKill+11.1%
Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Selah O'Connor)
Set 5 · UMBC 10-11 NOVA · NOVA 57% → 68%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 20 | 5 | 47 | .319 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 24.5 | |
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 59 | .186 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 31 | .258 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | .500 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 61 | 22 | 165 | .236 | 59 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 101 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 20 | 5 | 35 | .429 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 23.5 | |
| 5 | 17 | 6 | 45 | .244 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 0 | 18 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 6 | 25 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 33 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 29 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Team totals | 69 | 24 | 159 | .283 | 68 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 106 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
21-25
Set 2
25-18
Set 3
25-23
Set 4
17-25
Set 5
13-15
Bars above the line = Villanova leads, below = UMBC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
UMBC
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%12/21 | 31%4/13 |
| 2 | 60%12/20 | 29%5/17 |
| 3 | 67%12/18 | 33%6/18 |
| 4 | 71%12/17 | 40%8/20 |
| 5 | 77%10/13 | 40%8/20 |
| 6 | 41%7/17 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 61%65/106 | 36%36/101 |
Villanova
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63%12/19 | 38%6/16 |
| 2 | 67%12/18 | 56%15/27 |
| 3 | 80%12/15 | 33%6/18 |
| 4 | 48%12/25 | 29%5/17 |
| 5 | 77%10/13 | 31%5/16 |
| 6 | 64%7/11 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 64%65/101 | 39%41/106 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
207 rallies
| # | UMBC-NOVA | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Hannah Howard | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Alissa Grant | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NOVA | UMBC | Serve err | Villanova | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UMBC | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +1.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Blocked | Hannah Dobbs | blk Chloe Kelly, Campbell McKinnon | +2.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Blocked | Hannah Dobbs | blk Campbell McKinnon, Chloe Kelly | +2.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UMBC | NOVA×4 | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Selah O'Connor | +1.7 |
| 13 | 5-8 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Ace | Villanova | aced Ella McAllister | +2.2 |
| 14 | 5-9 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Selah O'Connor | +1.9 |
| 15 | 5-10 | NOVA | NOVA×4 | Attack err | Hannah Dobbs | +1.6 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Isabel Ostvig | set Dasia Johnson | +1.0 |
| 17 | 6-11 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Selah O'Connor | +1.2 |
| 18 | 7-11 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Dasia Johnson | +1.0 |
| 19 | 7-12 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Hannah Dobbs | +1.0 |
| 21 | 9-12 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.8 |
| 22 | 9-13 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +1.5 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | NOVA | UMBC | Serve err | Villanova | +1.3 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Alissa Grant | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.4 |
| 26 | 12-14 | UMBC | UMBC | Blocked | Chloe Kelly | blk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant | +2.3 |
| 27 | 12-15 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Selah O'Connor | +1.9 |
| 28 | 13-15 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.8 |
| 29 | 14-15 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Hannah Howard | +2.9 |
| 30 | 14-16 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Selah O'Connor | +2.4 |
| 31 | 15-16 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.3 |
| 32 | 15-17 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +2.5 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.4 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UMBC | UMBC | Bad set | Alyssa Nelson | +3.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | UMBC | NOVA×3 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.0 |
| 36 | 17-19 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.8 |
| 37 | 17-20 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Blocked | Natalie Harris | blk Taylor Lewis, Reagan McGivern | +3.2 |
| 38 | 18-20 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.9 |
| 39 | 18-21 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.5 |
| 40 | 19-21 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.9 |
| 41 | 19-22 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.6 |
| 42 | 20-22 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.8 |
| 43 | 20-23 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +2.7 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | NOVA | UMBC | Serve err | Villanova | +1.6 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +2.7 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +1.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Grace Larrivee | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | UMBC | UMBC | Attack err | Taylor Lewis | +2.0 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NOVA | UMBC | Serve err | Villanova | +1.6 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.5 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NOVA | UMBC×3 | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Hannah Dobbs | +2.1 |
| 8 | 6-2 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.4 |
| 10 | 7-3 | NOVA | UMBC×3 | Blocked | Cat Young | blk Claudia Llamas, Alissa Grant | +1.6 |
| 11 | 8-3 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Chloe Kelly | +2.0 | |
| 12 | 9-3 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Natalie Harris | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +1.0 |
| 14 | 9-5 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Natalie Harris | +1.7 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Isabel Ostvig | set Ella McAllister | +1.5 |
| 16 | 10-6 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +1.2 |
| 17 | 11-6 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.5 |
| 18 | 12-6 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.8 |
| 19 | 12-7 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +1.0 |
| 20 | 12-8 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.7 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.6 |
| 22 | 13-9 | UMBC | NOVA×5 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.2 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Hannah Dobbs | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Claudia Llamas | +2.6 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.7 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.2 |
| 28 | 14-14 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.3 |
| 30 | 15-15 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.2 |
| 31 | 16-15 | NOVA | UMBC×4 | Kill | Alissa Grant | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Blocked | Cat Young | blk Alissa Grant, Natalie Harris | +3.3 |
| 33 | 18-15 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Attack err | Chloe Kelly | +3.2 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | UMBC | UMBC×4 | Ace | UMBC | aced Cat Young | +2.7 |
| 35 | 19-16 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Selah O'Connor | +1.5 |
| 36 | 19-17 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Mina Diggs | +2.6 |
| 37 | 20-17 | NOVA | UMBC×3 | Blocked | Campbell McKinnon | blk Alissa Grant | +2.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | +2.8 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Blocked | Abby Harrell | blk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant | +1.9 |
| 40 | 22-18 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +0.7 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NOVA | UMBC×3 | Serve err | Villanova | +1.3 | |
| 42 | 24-18 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Hannah Howard | +0.7 |
| 43 | 25-18 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Isabel Ostvig | +0.2 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | UMBC | UMBC | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +3.3 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | UMBC | NOVA×3 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Blocked | Grace Larrivee | blk Cat Young, Reagan McGivern | +3.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Alissa Grant | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UMBC | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.4 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Cat Young | set Selah O'Connor | +3.2 |
| 11 | 4-7 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Attack err | Hannah Howard | +2.9 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Chloe Kelly | set Selah O'Connor | +2.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NOVA | UMBC | Serve err | Villanova | +2.1 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +2.3 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +2.3 |
| 18 | 8-10 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.2 |
| 19 | 8-11 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +2.4 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +2.4 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | NOVA | NOVA | Blocked | Claudia Llamas | blk Campbell McKinnon, Cat Young | +2.9 |
| 23 | 10-13 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | UMBC | UMBC | Blocked | Cat Young | blk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig | +3.1 |
| 25 | 11-14 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +2.6 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NOVA | UMBC×5 | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Blocked | Chloe Kelly | blk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig | +3.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Ace | UMBC | aced Mina Diggs | +4.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Blocked | Campbell McKinnon | blk Alissa Grant, Isabel Ostvig | +5.0 |
| 30 | 16-14 | UMBC | UMBC×5 | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +5.2 |
| 31 | 16-15 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +3.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +4.1 |
| 33 | 17-16 | UMBC | NOVA | Attack err | Hannah Dobbs | +3.6 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +4.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +3.8 |
| 36 | 19-17 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Hannah Howard | +4.6 |
| 37 | 20-17 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +5.7 |
| 38 | 20-18 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +3.2 |
| 39 | 21-18 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +4.5 |
| 40 | 22-18 | UMBC | UMBC | Ace | UMBC | +4.6 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | UMBC | NOVA×3 | Serve err | UMBC | +1.9 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +4.1 |
| 43 | 22-21 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Ace | Villanova | aced Hannah Howard | +6.2 |
| 44 | 23-21 | NOVA | UMBC | Blocked | Taylor Lewis | blk Natalie Harris, Alissa Grant | +6.7 |
| 45 | 23-22 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Mina Diggs | +4.7 |
| 46 | 24-22 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +7.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +4.4 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | NOVA | UMBC | Serve err | Villanova | +10.8 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UMBC | NOVA×5 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +2.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Ace | Villanova | aced Hannah Howard | +3.5 |
| 3 | 0-3 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Blocked | Claudia Llamas | blk Reagan McGivern, Loren Winn | +3.2 |
| 4 | 0-4 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Blocked | Hannah Dobbs | blk Abby Harrell, Reagan McGivern | +2.9 |
| 5 | 0-5 | NOVA | NOVA×5 | Attack err | Grace Larrivee | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.7 |
| 7 | 1-6 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Selah O'Connor | +1.9 |
| 8 | 2-6 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.7 |
| 9 | 2-7 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.9 |
| 10 | 2-8 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Alissa Grant | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | NOVA | UMBC | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +1.4 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +2.3 |
| 13 | 4-9 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.9 |
| 14 | 5-9 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.7 |
| 15 | 5-10 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Hannah Howard | +2.0 |
| 16 | 6-10 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.7 |
| 17 | 7-10 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Isabel Ostvig | set Hannah Howard | +2.9 |
| 18 | 7-11 | UMBC | NOVA×6 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +2.4 |
| 19 | 7-12 | NOVA | NOVA×6 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +2.7 |
| 20 | 7-13 | NOVA | NOVA×6 | Attack err | Hannah Dobbs | +2.2 | |
| 21 | 7-14 | NOVA | NOVA×6 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Mina Diggs | +1.6 |
| 22 | 7-15 | NOVA | NOVA×6 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Loren Winn | +1.1 |
| 23 | 7-16 | NOVA | NOVA×6 | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +0.7 |
| 24 | 8-16 | NOVA | UMBC×3 | Serve err | Villanova | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Blocked | Abby Harrell | blk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas | +0.7 |
| 26 | 10-16 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.0 |
| 27 | 10-17 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Claudia Llamas | +0.9 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | NOVA | UMBC×3 | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +0.4 |
| 30 | 12-18 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Blocked | Abby Harrell | blk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas | +0.8 |
| 31 | 13-18 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Kill | Claudia Llamas | set Isabel Ostvig | +1.3 |
| 32 | 13-19 | UMBC | NOVA×3 | Kill | Reagan McGivern | set Selah O'Connor | +1.4 |
| 33 | 13-20 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Blocked | Claudia Llamas | blk Reagan McGivern, Abby Harrell | +1.1 |
| 34 | 13-21 | NOVA | NOVA×3 | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.6 |
| 35 | 14-21 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +0.2 |
| 36 | 14-22 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.3 |
| 37 | 14-23 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Abby Harrell | +0.2 |
| 38 | 15-23 | NOVA | UMBC | Blocked | Taylor Lewis | blk Alissa Grant, Natalie Harris | · |
| 39 | 16-23 | UMBC | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +0.1 |
| 40 | 16-24 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +0.1 |
| 41 | 17-24 | NOVA | UMBC | Blocked | Cat Young | blk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant | · |
| 42 | 17-25 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Cat Young | set Alyssa Nelson | +1.0 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NOVA | UMBC | Attack err | Cat Young | +6.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +6.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Natalie Harris | +8.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | NOVA | UMBC×3 | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +6.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Ace | UMBC | aced Cat Young | +9.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | UMBC | UMBC×3 | Ace | UMBC | aced Mina Diggs | +9.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +6.6 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | NOVA | NOVA | Ace | Villanova | +9.6 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +7.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +7.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NOVA | UMBC | Serve err | Villanova | +8.2 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Selah O'Connor | +7.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NOVA | UMBC | Attack err | Abby Harrell | +8.7 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Taylor Lewis | set Alyssa Nelson | +8.2 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +9.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UMBC | NOVA | Attack err | Natalie Harris | +8.8 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Natalie Harris | set Isabel Ostvig | +9.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Alyssa Nelson | +9.5 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NOVA | NOVA | Attack err | Natalie Harris | +13.6 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | NOVA | UMBC | Blocked | Cat Young | blk Isabel Ostvig, Alissa Grant | +10.2 |
| 21 | 10-11 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +11.1 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NOVA | UMBC | Attack err | Campbell McKinnon | +11.2 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | UMBC | NOVA | Kill | Campbell McKinnon | set Selah O'Connor | +12.6 |
| 24 | 11-13 | NOVA | NOVA | Kill | Abby Harrell | set Marikate Ritterbusch | +15.9 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NOVA | UMBC | Kill | Hannah Dobbs | set Isabel Ostvig | +8.5 |
| 26 | 13-13 | UMBC | UMBC | Ace | UMBC | aced Marikate Ritterbusch | +19.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | UMBC | NOVA | Serve err | UMBC | +19.0 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | NOVA | NOVA | Blocked | Hannah Dobbs | blk Abby Harrell, Reagan McGivern | +23.9 |
Score shown after each rally, UMBC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).