FinalSun, Sep 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UMBC def. Bryant 3–0

UMBC won at Bryant 3-0 (25-22, 25-19, 26-24) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. UMBC's Hannah Dobbs led with 17 kills, and Hannah Howard added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 27

Set123Sets
UMBC2525263
BRYANT2219240

Win probability

Bryant above 50 · UMBC below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.1% UMBCrally 141 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.1% to UMBC — set 3, UMBC 24-24 BRYANT. Attack error by Ruth Ochelli. BRYANT win probability 8% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMBC 81.1%18.9% BRYANT

UMBC wins

3-0
32.6%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
17.9%

Bryant wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
9.6%
UMBC break %
46.1% vs this opp
BRYANT break %
39.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ruth OchelliAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Ruth Ochelli

    Set 3 · UMBC 24-24 BRYANT · UMBC 92% → 95%

  2. 02

    Kill by Grace Larrivee

    Set 3 · UMBC 25-24 BRYANT · UMBC 95% → 98%

  3. 03

    Kalia Alvarado stuffed by Claudia Llamas & Grace Larrivee

    Set 3 · UMBC 26-24 BRYANT · UMBC 98% → 100%

  4. 04
    Jalynn BrownAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Jalynn Brown

    Set 1 · UMBC 6-7 BRYANT · BRYANT 19% → 21%

  5. 05

    Kalia Alvarado stuffed by Jalynn Brown & Isabel Ostvig

    Set 1 · UMBC 8-7 BRYANT · UMBC 80% → 82%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kaitlin Curran (set by Madison Koeller)

    Set 3 · UMBC 22-24 BRYANT · BRYANT 7% → 9%

  7. 07

    Ruth Ochelli stuffed by Isabel Ostvig & Jalynn Brown

    Set 1 · UMBC 10-8 BRYANT · UMBC 82% → 84%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kalia Alvarado (set by Madison Koeller)

    Set 1 · UMBC 5-5 BRYANT · BRYANT 17% → 19%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMBCaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317128.5711109200018
312444.18211080010.513.5
310523.2170003002111
3318.2502911100031.55.5
31410-.300000200423
3214.250000000213
3000–020500002
3001.0006011300000
3000–200200000
1000–000000000
Team totals4516118.2463952524012676
Bryanthome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39326.23102416102112
39327.22200012012211
37016.43801010031.59.5
35111.364000101227
3102.5001600300001
12310-.100000100002
36619.00000000010.56.5
32110.100000110002
3102.5001911600002
3000–301910000
2000–000000000
Team totals4217123.2033846505210765

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UMBC vs Bryant

Season series · UMBC leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UMBC · BRYANT 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 6 UMBCBRYANT 6

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 UMBCBRYANT 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 5 UMBCBRYANT 4

Bars above the line = Bryant leads, below = UMBC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMBC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
64%9/14
2
57%4/7
64%7/11
3
50%4/8
0%0/4
4
40%4/10
64%7/11
5
38%3/8
50%3/6
6
50%3/6
40%2/5
All
50%23/46
55%28/51

Bryant

SlotSideout %Break %
1
36%5/14
50%3/6
2
36%4/11
29%2/7
3
100%4/4
43%3/7
4
36%4/11
50%4/8
5
50%3/6
60%6/10
6
60%3/5
63%5/8
All
45%23/51
50%23/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#UMBC-BRYANTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.6
22-0UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
33-0UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
43-1UMBCBRYANTKillMadison Koeller+1.0
54-1BRYANTUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+1.0
65-1UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Hannah Howard+1.1
75-2UMBCBRYANT×4BlockedClaudia Llamasblk Brookelyn Talmadge+0.8
85-3BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errNatalie Harris+1.3
95-4BRYANTBRYANT×4AceBryantaced Hannah Dobbs+1.6
105-5BRYANTBRYANT×4KillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+1.8
116-5BRYANTUMBCServe errBryant+1.3
126-6UMBCBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.4
136-7BRYANTBRYANTAttack errJalynn Brown+2.1
147-7BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Hannah Howard+1.5
158-7UMBCUMBCBlockedKalia Alvaradoblk Jalynn Brown, Isabel Ostvig+1.9
168-8UMBCBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Koeller+1.5
179-8BRYANTUMBC×4BlockedRuth Ochelliblk Jalynn Brown, Isabel Ostvig+1.5
1810-8UMBCUMBC×4BlockedRuth Ochelliblk Isabel Ostvig, Jalynn Brown+1.8
1911-8UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBC+1.6
2012-8UMBCUMBC×4KillIsabel Ostvigset Madison Keem+1.3
2112-9UMBCBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+0.9
2213-9BRYANTUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
2314-9UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.1
2414-10UMBCBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.7
2514-11BRYANTBRYANTAceBryant+1.2
2615-11BRYANTUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Natalie Harris+1.1
2715-12UMBCBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+0.9
2815-13BRYANTBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Carrina Barron+1.7
2916-13BRYANTUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
3017-13UMBCUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+1.5
3117-14UMBCBRYANTAttack errClaudia Llamas+0.9
3218-14BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Hannah Dobbs+1.1
3318-15UMBCBRYANTServe errUMBC+0.9
3418-16BRYANTBRYANTKillNina Gavinset Madison Koeller+1.8
3519-16BRYANTUMBC×6Attack errNina Gavin+1.6
3620-16UMBCUMBC×6Attack errNatalie Harris+1.6
3721-16UMBCUMBC×6Attack errNina Gavin+1.0
3822-16UMBCUMBC×6AceUMBC+0.5
3923-16UMBCUMBC×6Attack errKalia Alvarado+0.2
4024-16UMBCUMBC×6AceUMBCaced Natalie Ricevuto+0.1
4124-17UMBCBRYANT×6Attack errIsabel Ostvig·
4224-18BRYANTBRYANT×6Attack errJalynn Brown·
4324-19BRYANTBRYANT×6BlockedNatalie Harrisblk Layla Olatunde, Ruth Ochelli+0.1
4424-20BRYANTBRYANT×6KillRuth Ochelliset Carrina Barron+0.2
4524-21BRYANTBRYANT×6Bad setIsabel Ostvig+0.4
4624-22BRYANTBRYANT×6KillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Keem+1.0
4725-22BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.7
Set 2
11-0BRYANTUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
22-0UMBCUMBCAttack errRuth Ochelli+1.1
32-1UMBCBRYANTKillRuth Ochelliset Madison Koeller+0.8
43-1BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
53-2UMBCBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+0.9
64-2BRYANTUMBCServe errBryant+0.8
74-3UMBCBRYANT×3KillRuth Ochelliset Madison Koeller+0.9
84-4BRYANTBRYANT×3KillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+1.3
94-5BRYANTBRYANT×3BlockedNatalie Harrisblk Layla Olatunde, Kalia Alvarado+1.5
105-5BRYANTUMBCServe errBryant+1.0
116-5UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Ella McAllister+1.4
126-6UMBCBRYANTKillNatalie Ricevutoset Madison Keem+1.1
137-6BRYANTUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
148-6UMBCUMBC×3Attack errNatalie Ricevuto+1.3
159-6UMBCUMBC×3Serve errUMBC+1.1
169-7BRYANT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
1710-7BRYANTUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
1811-7UMBCUMBCAttack errKaitlin Curran+1.0
1911-8UMBCBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Keem+0.7
2011-9BRYANTBRYANTKillRuth Ochelliset Madison Koeller+1.1
2112-9BRYANTUMBCAttack errKaitlin Curran+0.9
2213-9UMBCUMBCBad setMadison Koeller+1.0
2313-10UMBCBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+0.7
2413-11BRYANTBRYANTAceBryant+1.2
2514-11BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.0
2615-11UMBCUMBCBlockedBrookelyn Talmadgeblk Jalynn Brown, Natalie Harris+1.1
2715-12UMBCBRYANTKillRuth Ochelliset Madison Koeller+0.7
2816-12BRYANTUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
2917-12UMBCUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.8
3018-12UMBCUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.6
3118-13UMBCBRYANTAttack errNatalie Harris+0.3
3219-13BRYANTUMBCKillIsabel Ostvigset Isabel Ostvig+0.4
3319-14UMBCBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+0.3
3420-14BRYANTUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Ella McAllister+0.4
3521-14UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
3621-15UMBCBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.1
3721-16BRYANTBRYANT×3BlockedGrace Larriveeblk Kaitlin Curran, Brookelyn Talmadge+0.2
3821-17BRYANTBRYANT×3KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.5
3922-17BRYANTUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
4022-18UMBCBRYANTKillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+0.3
4123-18BRYANTUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
4224-18UMBC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
4324-19UMBCBRYANTAttack errClaudia Llamas·
4425-19BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
Set 3
11-0UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbs+0.6
21-1UMBCBRYANTServe errUMBC+0.5
31-2BRYANTBRYANTAttack errClaudia Llamas+0.7
42-2BRYANTUMBC×3Serve errBryant+0.5
53-2UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+0.6
64-2UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBCaced Kaitlin Curran+0.6
74-3UMBCBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+0.4
85-3BRYANTUMBCKillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig+0.4
95-4UMBCBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+0.4
105-5BRYANTBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Isabel Ostvig+0.7
116-5BRYANTUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
127-5UMBCUMBCBad setKaitlin Curran+0.6
137-6UMBCBRYANTKillMadison Keem+0.5
147-7BRYANTBRYANTKillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+0.7
158-7BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
168-8UMBCBRYANT×4KillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.6
178-9BRYANTBRYANT×4KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+0.8
188-10BRYANTBRYANT×4KillBrookelyn Talmadge+0.9
198-11BRYANTBRYANT×4Attack errJalynn Brown+0.9
209-11BRYANTUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.6
2110-11UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
2210-12UMBCBRYANT×3KillBrookelyn Talmadgeset Madison Keem+0.7
2310-13BRYANTBRYANT×3KillRuth Ochelliset Madison Koeller+1.0
2410-14BRYANTBRYANT×3Attack errHannah Dobbs+1.0
2511-14BRYANTUMBCKillIsabel Ostvig+0.6
2612-14UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbs+0.9
2712-15UMBCBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+0.8
2813-15BRYANTUMBCServe errBryant+0.7
2913-16UMBCBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Koeller+0.9
3014-16BRYANTUMBCAttack errRuth Ochelli+0.7
3114-17UMBCBRYANTBlockedClaudia Llamasblk Layla Olatunde, Kalia Alvarado+0.9
3214-18BRYANTBRYANTAceBryantaced Hannah Dobbs+1.1
3315-18BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.6
3415-19UMBCBRYANTKillKalia Alvaradoset Madison Keem+0.8
3516-19BRYANTUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.6
3616-20UMBCBRYANT×3KillLayla Olatundeset Madison Keem+0.9
3716-21BRYANTBRYANT×3BlockedJalynn Brownblk Kaitlin Curran, Brookelyn Talmadge+0.9
3816-22BRYANTBRYANT×3KillNatalie Ricevutoset Madison Keem+0.5
3917-22BRYANTUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.2
4017-23UMBCBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Keem+0.3
4118-23BRYANTUMBC×5KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
4219-23UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBCaced Carrina Barron+0.3
4320-23UMBCUMBC×5KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard+0.5
4421-23UMBCUMBC×5BlockedKaitlin Curranblk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas+0.9
4522-23UMBCUMBC×5KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
4622-24UMBCBRYANTKillKaitlin Curranset Madison Koeller+1.9
4723-24BRYANTUMBC×4Serve errBryant+1.0
4824-24UMBCUMBC×4Attack errRuth Ochelli+3.1
4925-24UMBCUMBC×4KillGrace Larrivee+2.6
5026-24UMBCUMBC×4BlockedKalia Alvaradoblk Claudia Llamas, Grace Larrivee+2.3

Score shown after each rally, UMBC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).