FinalSun, Oct 4, 2026

UMBC def. NJIT 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UMBC 99.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UMBC beat visiting NJIT 3-0 (25-22, 25-20, 25-10) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. UMBC's Claudia Llamas led with 14 kills, and Hannah Howard added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set123Sets
NJIT2220100
UMBC2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.462 and 14 kills for Claudia Llamas as UMBC rolled past NJIT.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.4 points. NJIT peaked at 2% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. UMBC went in as RallyIQ's >99% pick.

NJITUMBC
  • Break %+19.2 pts
    37.056.2

    On serve: 41/73 against 20/54 (NJIT sideout 43.8%).

  • Hitting+.227
    .081.308

    46 kills, 13 errors vs 27 kills, 19 errors.

  • Longest run+-2
    75

    UMBC scored 5 straight in the second set to go from 16–16 to a 21–16 lead. The set finished 25–20.

UMBC above 50NJIT belowMax swing 0.4%

NJITUMBC

Aces
NJIT 4·UMBC 6
Serve err
NJIT 4·UMBC 6
Blocks
NJIT 6·UMBC 111 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 22 BA
Digs
NJIT 38·UMBC 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UMBC above 50 · NJIT below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 127 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: UMBC stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NJIT 0.3%99.7% UMBC

NJIT wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.2%

UMBC wins

3-0
82.3%
3-1
15.6%
3-2
1.9%
NJIT break %
34.3% vs this opp
UMBC break %
55.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

NJITaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37626.03800060010.57.5
36326.115000000217
3339.000122100216
3207.28620020132.54.5
32412-.167000300213
3000–1010300001
37317.235000300007
3001.000011500001
3001.000901100000
3000–4001430000
Team totals271999.0812644386110652
UMBChome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314226.46200020052.516.5
311324.3331304102115
310330.233000120010.510.5
3629.44400010052.58.5
3416.50000110052.56.5
3024-.500380230031.51.5
3000–1221800002
3000–010100001
3000–000510000
1108.12500000010.51.5
1000–000010000
1000–301100000
1000–000000000
Team totals4613107.30843664840221175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

NJIT vs UMBC

Season series · UMBC leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NJIT · UMBC 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 6 NJITUMBC 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 7 NJITUMBC 5

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 3 NJITUMBC 5

Bars above the line = UMBC leads, below = NJIT leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NJIT

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%7/21
33%3/9
2
50%6/12
13%1/8
3
45%5/11
33%3/9
4
63%5/8
17%1/6
5
50%5/10
58%7/12
6
36%4/11
50%5/10
All
44%32/73
37%20/54

UMBC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
58%7/12
2
88%7/8
65%13/20
3
60%6/10
63%10/16
4
45%5/11
29%2/7
5
83%5/6
50%5/10
6
36%4/11
50%4/8
All
63%34/54
56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#NJIT-UMBCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1NJITUMBCKillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig
20-2UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
31-2UMBCNJITKillJoaneliz Maisonetset Finley McAndrew
41-3NJITUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
51-4UMBCUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
62-4UMBCNJITKillAries Fontaineset Finley McAndrew
73-4NJITNJITKillAries Fontaineset Ela Akay
83-5NJITUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
94-5UMBCNJITKillAries Fontaineset Finley McAndrew
104-6NJITUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig
115-6UMBCNJITBlockedHannah Dobbsblk Tereza Motalova, Kayden Campbell
126-6NJITNJITKillJoaneliz Maisonetset Tereza Motalova
136-7NJITUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
147-7UMBCNJIT×6Bad setIsabel Ostvig
158-7NJITNJIT×6AceNJIT
169-7NJITNJIT×6KillMartina Gonzalo Cortesset Cece Marino
1710-7NJITNJIT×6BlockedGrace Larriveeblk Joaneliz Maisonet, Maria Kurnatowska
1811-7NJITNJIT×6BlockedIsabel Ostvigblk Maria Kurnatowska
1912-7NJITNJIT×6Attack errHannah Dobbs
2012-8NJITUMBC×3Attack errMartina Gonzalo Cortes
2112-9UMBCUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
2212-10UMBCUMBC×3Attack errMartina Gonzalo Cortes
2313-10UMBCNJITKillMartina Gonzalo Cortesset Cece Marino
2414-10NJITNJITAceNJITaced Hannah Dobbs
2514-11NJITUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
2614-12UMBCUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
2714-13UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBC
2815-13UMBCNJITKillMaria Kurnatowskaset Finley McAndrew
2916-13NJITNJITBlockedNatalie Harrisblk Maria Kurnatowska, Aries Fontaine
3016-14NJITUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
3117-14UMBCNJITServe errUMBC
3217-15NJITUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
3318-15UMBCNJITAttack errJalynn Brown
3418-16NJITUMBCServe errNJIT
3519-16UMBCNJITKillMartina Gonzalo Cortesset Cece Marino
3619-17NJITUMBC×3KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig
3719-18UMBCUMBC×3BlockedMartina Gonzalo Cortesblk Grace Larrivee, Isabel Ostvig
3819-19UMBCUMBC×3BlockedJoaneliz Maisonetblk Grace Larrivee, Isabel Ostvig
3920-19UMBCNJITKillMartina Gonzalo Cortesset Cece Marino
4020-20NJITUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
4120-21UMBCUMBCBlockedJoaneliz Maisonetblk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas
4221-21UMBCNJITServe errUMBC
4321-22NJITUMBC×3KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
4421-23UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBCaced Ela Akay
4521-24UMBCUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Finley McAndrew
4622-24UMBCNJITKillJoaneliz Maisonetset Finley McAndrew
4722-25NJITUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
Set 2
10-1UMBCUMBCAttack errJoaneliz Maisonet
21-1UMBCNJITKillMaria Kurnatowskaset Ela Akay
31-2NJITUMBCKillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig
41-3UMBCUMBCAttack errAries Fontaine
52-3UMBCNJITKillAries Fontaineset Ela Akay
62-4NJITUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
72-5UMBCUMBCAttack errAries Fontaine
83-5UMBCNJITKillAries Fontaineset Finley McAndrew
93-6NJITUMBCBlockedKayden Campbellblk Jalynn Brown, Claudia Llamas
103-7UMBCUMBCAceUMBC
114-7UMBCNJIT×7KillTereza Motalovaset Cece Marino
125-7NJITNJIT×7KillMartina Gonzalo Cortesset Cece Marino
136-7NJITNJIT×7Bad setHannah Howard
147-7NJITNJIT×7Attack errNatalie Harris
158-7NJITNJIT×7AceNJITaced Ella McAllister
169-7NJITNJIT×7KillMartina Gonzalo Cortesset Cece Marino
1710-7NJITNJIT×7Attack errNatalie Harris
1810-8NJITUMBC×4KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig
1910-9UMBCUMBC×4KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
2010-10UMBCUMBC×4BlockedTereza Motalovablk Isabel Ostvig, Hannah Dobbs
2110-11UMBCUMBC×4KillJalynn Brownset Hannah Dobbs
2211-11UMBCNJITKillMartina Gonzalo Cortesset Ela Akay
2311-12NJITUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
2411-13UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
2512-13UMBCNJIT×3Serve errUMBC
2613-13NJITNJIT×3Attack errGrace Larrivee
2714-13NJITNJIT×3BlockedHannah Dobbsblk Aries Fontaine, Maria Kurnatowska
2814-14NJITUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
2914-15UMBCUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
3015-15UMBCNJITServe errUMBC
3115-16NJITUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
3216-16UMBCNJITKillJoaneliz Maisonetset Finley McAndrew
3316-17NJITUMBC×5KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
3416-18UMBCUMBC×5Attack errKayden Campbell
3516-19UMBCUMBC×5BlockedKayden Campbellblk Claudia Llamas, Jalynn Brown
3616-20UMBCUMBC×5KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
3716-21UMBCUMBC×5BlockedTereza Motalovablk Claudia Llamas, Jalynn Brown
3817-21UMBCNJITServe errUMBC
3918-21NJITNJITBlockedClaudia Llamasblk Tereza Motalova, Kayden Campbell
4018-22NJITUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
4119-22UMBCNJITAttack errIsabel Ostvig
4219-23NJITUMBCServe errNJIT
4320-23UMBCNJITKillJoaneliz Maisonetset Cece Marino
4420-24NJITUMBCServe errNJIT
4520-25UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
Set 3
10-1NJITUMBC×5KillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig
20-2UMBCUMBC×5BlockedAries Fontaineblk Claudia Llamas, Grace Larrivee
30-3UMBCUMBC×5KillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig
40-4UMBCUMBC×5KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig
50-5UMBCUMBC×5Attack errJoaneliz Maisonet
61-5UMBCNJITKillTereza Motalovaset Finley McAndrew
71-6NJITUMBC×5KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
81-7UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBCaced Ela Akay
91-8UMBCUMBC×5Attack errKayden Campbell
101-9UMBCUMBC×5BlockedTereza Motalovablk Natalie Harris, Jalynn Brown
111-10UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBCaced Ela Akay
122-10UMBCNJITKillKayden Campbellset Finley McAndrew
132-11NJITUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
143-11UMBCNJITKillAries Fontaineset Maria Kurnatowska
153-12NJITUMBC×3KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig
163-13UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
173-14UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
184-14UMBCNJITKillKayden Campbellset Maria Kurnatowska
194-15NJITUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
205-15UMBCNJITKillJoaneliz Maisonetset Cece Marino
215-16NJITUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig
225-17UMBCUMBC×3KillGrace Larrivee
235-18UMBCUMBC×3BlockedJoaneliz Maisonetblk Grace Larrivee, Hannah Dobbs
246-18UMBCNJITServe errUMBC
256-19NJITUMBC×4KillGrace Larriveeset Megan Hunter
266-20UMBCUMBC×4KillClaudia Llamasset Hannah Howard
276-21UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBC
286-22UMBCUMBC×4KillClaudia Llamasset Megan Hunter
297-22UMBCNJITKillJoaneliz Maisonetset Ela Akay
307-23NJITUMBCKillDasia Johnsonset Megan Hunter
318-23UMBCNJIT×3KillTereza Motalovaset Finley McAndrew
329-23NJITNJIT×3AceNJITaced Elyse VanLandingham
3310-23NJITNJIT×3Attack errClaudia Llamas
3410-24NJITUMBCServe errNJIT
3510-25UMBCUMBCBlockedJoaneliz Maisonetblk Jalynn Brown

Score shown after each rally, NJIT first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).