FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026

UMBC def. Binghamton 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UMBC 71.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UMBC won at Binghamton 3-0 (25-15, 25-14, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. UMBC's Natalie Harris led with 14 kills, and Hannah Howard added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
UMBC2525253
BINGHA1514170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Natalie Harris. UMBC swept Binghamton.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.9 points, and Binghamton's high was 27% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UMBC at 71%.

UMBCBinghamton
  • Break %+27.7 pts
    54.827.1

    40 of 73 on serve vs 13 of 48, so Binghamton's sideout was 45.2%.

  • Hitting+.230
    .330.100

    Kills and errors: 43–13 vs 26–17.

  • Longest run+5
    83

    Up 6–4 in the second set, UMBC scored 8 straight to make it 14–4. That set ended 25–14.

Binghamton above 50UMBC belowMax swing 1.9%

UMBCBinghamton

Aces
UMBC 10·Binghamton 0
Serve err
UMBC 5·Binghamton 4
Blocks
UMBC 7·Binghamton 60 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs
UMBC 37·Binghamton 28

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Binghamton above 50 · UMBC below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.9% UMBCrally 121 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.9% to UMBC — set 1, UMBC 2-0 BINGHA. UMBC ace on Eve Roman. BINGHA win probability 27% → 25%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMBC 77.8%22.2% BINGHA

UMBC wins

3-0
29.4%
3-1
29.6%
3-2
18.8%

Binghamton wins

3-0
3.8%
3-1
7.5%
3-2
11.0%
UMBC break %
46.5% vs this opp
BINGHA break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    UMBCAce+1.9%

    UMBC ace on Eve Roman

    Set 1 · UMBC 2-0 BINGHA · UMBC 73% → 75%

  2. 02

    Viktoria Dimitrova stuffed by Grace Larrivee & Claudia Llamas

    Set 1 · UMBC 3-0 BINGHA · UMBC 75% → 76%

  3. 03

    Viktoria Dimitrova stuffed by Grace Larrivee & Natalie Harris & Claudia Llamas

    Set 2 · UMBC 2-1 BINGHA · UMBC 84% → 85%

  4. 04
    Magi MilicevicAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Magi Milicevic

    Set 2 · UMBC 4-2 BINGHA · UMBC 85% → 87%

  5. 05
    UMBCAce+1.6%

    UMBC ace

    Set 1 · UMBC 4-0 BINGHA · UMBC 76% → 78%

  6. 06

    Kill by Claudia Llamas (set by Isabel Ostvig)

    Set 1 · UMBC 1-0 BINGHA · UMBC 71% → 73%

  7. 07
    UMBCAce+1.5%

    UMBC ace on Magi Milicevic

    Set 2 · UMBC 5-2 BINGHA · UMBC 87% → 88%

  8. 08

    Natalie Harris stuffed by Francesca Pierdonati & Regan Kadel

    Set 2 · UMBC 6-4 BINGHA · BINGHA 11% → 13%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMBCaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314629.27612080010.516.5
39325.24012250010.511.5
3708.8751220002110
38420.20000010031.59.5
3407.571000100426
3102.500360030031.52.5
3000–0301400003
3000–011000001
3000–000500000
Team totals431391.33039105370014775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37526.07710014010.57.5
3204.50000010052.54.5
32514-.21400000010.52.5
3102.500140060010.51.5
3000–101310000
23310.000200310003
35314.143000000216
34010.40000100010.54.5
3000–301810000
2002.000401600000
1116.00000000010.51.5
1102.500000000001
Team totals261790.10025042810012646

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UMBC vs Binghamton

Season series · UMBC leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 UMBC · BINGHA 3

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 7 UMBCBINGHA 2

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 8 UMBCBINGHA 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 UMBCBINGHA 3

Bars above the line = Binghamton leads, below = UMBC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMBC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
0%0/6
2
64%7/11
50%7/14
3
63%5/8
62%8/13
4
83%5/6
67%10/15
5
83%5/6
67%10/15
6
63%5/8
50%5/10
All
73%35/48
55%40/73

Binghamton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
22%2/9
2
55%6/11
36%4/11
3
42%5/12
33%3/9
4
28%5/18
29%2/7
5
38%5/13
0%0/5
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
45%33/73
27%13/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#UMBC-BINGHASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BINGHAUMBC×7KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.5
22-0UMBCUMBC×7AceUMBCaced Eve Roman+1.9
33-0UMBCUMBC×7BlockedViktoria Dimitrovablk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas+1.8
44-0UMBCUMBC×7AceUMBC+1.6
55-0UMBCUMBC×7KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.4
66-0UMBCUMBC×7KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.1
77-0UMBCUMBC×7Attack errFrancesca Pierdonati+0.9
87-1UMBCBINGHAKillRegan Kadelset Magi Milicevic+0.6
97-2BINGHABINGHAAttack errNatalie Harris+1.0
108-2BINGHAUMBCAttack errViktoria Dimitrova+0.9
118-3UMBCBINGHABlockedClaudia Llamasblk Viktoria Dimitrova, Hannah Olmstead+0.8
129-3BINGHAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
139-4UMBCBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+0.8
1410-4BINGHAUMBC×4KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
1511-4UMBCUMBC×4Attack errMaya Coblentz-Brown+0.9
1612-4UMBCUMBC×4KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+0.7
1713-4UMBCUMBC×4KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
1813-5UMBCBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+0.3
1914-5BINGHAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
2014-6UMBCBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.2
2115-6BINGHAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
2215-7UMBCBINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Regan Kadel+0.2
2316-7BINGHAUMBCKillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
2416-8UMBCBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel+0.2
2517-8BINGHAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
2618-8UMBCUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.2
2718-9UMBCBINGHAKillHannah Olmsteadset Regan Kadel+0.1
2818-10BINGHABINGHABad setHannah Howard+0.2
2919-10BINGHAUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Celeste Ocampo+0.2
3019-11UMBCBINGHAServe errUMBC+0.1
3119-12BINGHABINGHAAttack errNatalie Harris+0.3
3220-12BINGHAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
3320-13UMBCBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+0.2
3421-13BINGHAUMBC×3Serve errBinghamton+0.2
3522-13UMBCUMBC×3BlockedViktoria Dimitrovablk Grace Larrivee, Hannah Dobbs, Isabel Ostvig+0.1
3623-13UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBCaced Celeste Ocampo·
3723-14UMBCBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel·
3824-14BINGHAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3924-15UMBCBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel·
4025-15BINGHAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig·
Set 2
10-1UMBCBINGHABlockedClaudia Llamasblk Maya Coblentz-Brown, Hannah Olmstead+1.4
21-1BINGHAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
32-1UMBCUMBCBlockedViktoria Dimitrovablk Grace Larrivee, Natalie Harris, Claudia Llamas+1.7
42-2UMBCBINGHAKillMagi Milicevicset Regan Kadel+1.3
53-2BINGHAUMBC×4KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+1.3
64-2UMBCUMBC×4Attack errMagi Milicevic+1.6
75-2UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBCaced Magi Milicevic+1.5
86-2UMBCUMBC×4AceUMBCaced Viktoria Dimitrova+1.3
96-3UMBCBINGHAKillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel+1.0
106-4BINGHABINGHABlockedNatalie Harrisblk Francesca Pierdonati, Regan Kadel+1.5
117-4BINGHAUMBC×8KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+1.2
128-4UMBCUMBC×8Attack errFrancesca Pierdonati+1.4
139-4UMBCUMBC×8AceUMBCaced Viktoria Dimitrova+1.2
1410-4UMBCUMBC×8Attack errFrancesca Pierdonati+1.0
1511-4UMBCUMBC×8Attack errMagi Milicevic+0.7
1612-4UMBCUMBC×8BlockedMagi Milicevicblk Jalynn Brown, Isabel Ostvig+0.5
1713-4UMBCUMBC×8KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+0.4
1814-4UMBCUMBC×8KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.2
1914-5UMBCBINGHAKillEleanor Dorritieset Maia Marin+0.1
2015-5BINGHAUMBC×5KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.2
2116-5UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBC+0.1
2217-5UMBCUMBC×5KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
2318-5UMBCUMBC×5KillIsabel Ostvig·
2419-5UMBCUMBC×5AceUMBCaced Viktoria Dimitrova·
2519-6UMBCBINGHAKillFrancesca Pierdonatiset Maia Marin·
2619-7BINGHABINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Magi Milicevic·
2720-7BINGHAUMBCKillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig·
2821-7UMBCUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Natalie Harris·
2921-8UMBCBINGHA×3Serve errUMBC·
3021-9BINGHABINGHA×3KillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Celeste Ocampo·
3121-10BINGHABINGHA×3KillViktoria Dimitrovaset Celeste Ocampo·
3222-10BINGHAUMBCAttack errViktoria Dimitrova·
3322-11UMBCBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Regan Kadel·
3422-12BINGHABINGHABlockedClaudia Llamasblk Hannah Olmstead, Maya Coblentz-Brown·
3523-12BINGHAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3623-13UMBCBINGHAKillHannah Olmsteadset Viktoria Dimitrova·
3723-14BINGHABINGHAAttack errNatalie Harris·
3824-14BINGHAUMBCBlockedMagi Milicevicblk Claudia Llamas, Grace Larrivee·
3925-14UMBCUMBCAceUMBC·
Set 3
11-0BINGHAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.7
21-1UMBCBINGHAServe errUMBC+0.7
32-1BINGHAUMBCKillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.7
42-2UMBCBINGHABlockedClaudia Llamasblk Briana Binagi, Hannah Olmstead+0.8
53-2BINGHAUMBCServe errBinghamton+0.7
63-3UMBCBINGHAAttack errNatalie Harris+0.8
74-3BINGHAUMBC×4Serve errBinghamton+0.8
85-3UMBCUMBC×4KillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.9
96-3UMBCUMBC×4Attack errFrancesca Pierdonati+0.9
107-3UMBCUMBC×4BlockedFrancesca Pierdonatiblk Isabel Ostvig, Jalynn Brown+0.8
117-4UMBCBINGHAAttack errHannah Dobbs+0.6
128-4BINGHAUMBC×3KillJalynn Brownset Isabel Ostvig+0.6
139-4UMBCUMBC×3AceUMBCaced Viktoria Dimitrova+0.7
1410-4UMBCUMBC×3KillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
1510-5UMBCBINGHAKillBriana Binagiset Maia Marin+0.4
1610-6BINGHABINGHABlockedHannah Dobbsblk Marta Gintere, Hannah Olmstead+0.6
1711-6BINGHAUMBCKillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
1811-7UMBCBINGHAKillViktoria Dimitrovaset Maia Marin+0.5
1912-7BINGHAUMBCKillClaudia Llamasset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
2012-8UMBCBINGHAServe errUMBC+0.5
2113-8BINGHAUMBC×4KillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig+0.5
2214-8UMBCUMBC×4Attack errMaya Coblentz-Brown+0.5
2315-8UMBCUMBC×4KillNatalie Harrisset Jalynn Brown+0.4
2416-8UMBCUMBC×4KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
2516-9UMBCBINGHAKillBriana Binagiset Regan Kadel+0.1
2616-10BINGHABINGHABad setIsabel Ostvig+0.3
2717-10BINGHAUMBC×4KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.3
2818-10UMBCUMBC×4Attack errMaya Coblentz-Brown+0.2
2919-10UMBCUMBC×4KillNatalie Harrisset Hannah Dobbs+0.1
3020-10UMBCUMBC×4KillNatalie Harrisset Isabel Ostvig+0.1
3120-11UMBCBINGHAKillBriana Binagiset Eve Roman·
3221-11BINGHAUMBCAttack errMarta Gintere·
3321-12UMBCBINGHAAttack errHannah Dobbs·
3422-12BINGHAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3522-13UMBCBINGHAServe errUMBC·
3623-13BINGHAUMBCKillHannah Dobbsset Isabel Ostvig·
3723-14UMBCBINGHAKillMarta Gintereset Celeste Ocampo·
3824-14BINGHAUMBCKillGrace Larriveeset Isabel Ostvig·
3924-15UMBCBINGHA×3KillMaya Coblentz-Brownset Regan Kadel·
4024-16BINGHABINGHA×3KillBriana Binagiset Isabel Ostvig·
4124-17BINGHABINGHA×3Attack errNatalie Harris·
4225-17BINGHAUMBCServe errBinghamton·

Score shown after each rally, UMBC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).