New Hampshire vs UMBC Volleyball: UMBC Wins 3-0 (Oct 18)

FinalSun, Oct 18, 2026

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: UMBC 73.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UMBC beat visiting New Hampshire 3-0 (25-19, 25-20, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. UMBC's Natalie Harris led with 15 kills, and Hannah Howard added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 18

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UNH	19	20	22	0
UMBC	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Natalie Harris needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. UMBC swept New Hampshire.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.2 points. New Hampshire peaked at 33% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. UMBC went in as RallyIQ's 73% pick.

New HampshireUMBC

Break %+10.6 pts
43.554.1
40 of 74 on serve vs 27 of 62, so New Hampshire's sideout was 45.9%.
Hitting+.106
.064.170
43 K / 24 E against 24 K / 18 E.
Longest run+1
78
8 straight UMBC points in the third set turned a 17–22 deficit into a 25–22 lead. The set finished 25–22.

UMBC above 50New Hampshire belowMax swing 3.2%

New HampshireUMBC

Aces: New Hampshire 2·UMBC 6
Serve err: New Hampshire 5·UMBC 9
Blocks: New Hampshire 8·UMBC 60 BS · 16 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs: New Hampshire 33·UMBC 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UMBC above 50 · New Hampshire below

Biggest swing: 3.2% to New Hampshire — set 2, UNH 18-17 UMBC. Kill by Lucy Chertock (set by Caitlin Leddy). UMBC win probability 84% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNH 22.1%77.9% UMBC

New Hampshire wins

3-0

3.7%

3-1

7.4%

3-2

10.9%

UMBC wins

3-0

29.6%

3-1

29.6%

3-2

18.8%

UNH break %: 41.1% vs this opp
UMBC break %: 47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lucy ChertockKill+3.2%
Kill by Lucy Chertock (set by Caitlin Leddy)
Set 2 · UNH 18-17 UMBC · UNH 16% → 19%
02
Lucy ChertockBad set+3.2%
Bad set by Lucy Chertock
Set 2 · UNH 18-19 UMBC · UMBC 83% → 86%
03
Hannah DobbsKill+3.0%
Kill by Hannah Dobbs (set by Isabel Ostvig)
Set 2 · UNH 18-20 UMBC · UMBC 86% → 89%
04
Lucy ChertockAttack error+2.8%
Attack error by Lucy Chertock
Set 3 · UNH 22-23 UMBC · UMBC 93% → 96%
05
Varvara Zvereva&Evelyn BrentonBlock+2.8%
Claudia Llamas stuffed by Varvara Zvereva & Evelyn Brenton
Set 2 · UNH 20-21 UMBC · UNH 10% → 12%
06
Natalie HarrisKill+2.7%
Kill by Natalie Harris (set by Isabel Ostvig)
Set 1 · UNH 11-11 UMBC · UMBC 69% → 72%
07
Claudia LlamasKill+2.7%
Kill by Claudia Llamas (set by Isabel Ostvig)
Set 2 · UNH 20-22 UMBC · UMBC 88% → 90%
08
Natalie HarrisKill+2.7%
Kill by Natalie Harris (set by Isabel Ostvig)
Set 1 · UNH 11-12 UMBC · UMBC 72% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

New Hampshireaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Rachel GrierMB	3	6	1	13	.385	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
8Emma ConverseOH	3	4	3	19	.053	2	0	0	7	2	2	1	5
18Evelyn BrentonMB	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
22Jessica ShattlesS	3	0	0	2	.000	10	2	0	4	0	0	0	2
3Dylan HuntOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
17Olivia MauldingMB	2	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
19Varvara ZverevaMB	3	4	3	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
6Lucy ChertockOH	3	5	6	20	-.050	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	5
2Caitlin LeddyS	3	1	1	4	.000	9	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	2.5
11Julianne LeeOH	3	2	4	12	-.167	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
20Hady PickardL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0
21Vivien AffeldtL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	0
1Miray Su KeskinL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
5Cecilia AndersonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Katie SmithL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		24	18	94	.064	23	2	5	33	6	16	8	61

UMBChome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Hannah DobbsOH	3	13	6	32	.219	1	2	2	11	0	2	1	16
7Natalie HarrisOH	3	15	8	32	.219	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	15
14Claudia LlamasOH	3	7	7	21	.000	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	8.5
13Jalynn BrownOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	5
12Isabel OstvigS	3	0	1	5	-.200	35	1	2	8	0	3	1.5	2.5
17Grace LarriveeMB	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
16Hannah HowardL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	0	1	12	1	0	0	0
23Ella McAllisterL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
4Ema DjordjevicOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Megan HunterS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Dasia JohnsonOH	1	4	0	5	.800	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	7
Team totals		43	24	112	.170	38	6	9	42	2	12	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Hampshire vs UMBC

Season series · UMBC leads 1-0

Sun, Oct 18, 2026New Hampshire at UMBC · UMBC won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 6, 2026UMBC at New HampshirePreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UNH · UMBC 8

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 UNHUMBC 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 UNHUMBC 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 7 UNHUMBC 8

Bars above the line = UMBC leads, below = New Hampshire leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Hampshire

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%6/12	50%6/12
2	46%6/13	45%5/11
3	67%6/9	14%1/7
4	50%6/12	0%0/6
5	31%5/16	54%7/13
6	42%5/12	62%8/13
All	46%34/74	44%27/62

UMBC

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	50%6/12
2	55%6/11	67%12/18
3	100%6/6	14%1/7
4	46%6/13	57%8/14
5	42%5/12	69%11/16
6	56%5/9	29%2/7
All	56%35/62	54%40/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#	UNH-UMBC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	UMBC	UNH	Attack err	Hannah Dobbs		+1.6
2	1-1	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.5
3	1-2	UMBC	UMBC	Kill	Claudia Llamas	set Natalie Harris	+2.0
4	2-2	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+1.6
5	3-2	UNH	UNH	Blocked	Claudia Llamas	blk Emma Converse, Rachel Grier	+2.2
6	3-3	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Natalie Harris	+1.6
7	4-3	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+1.8
8	4-4	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.7
9	5-4	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Julianne Lee	set Jessica Shattles	+1.8
10	5-5	UNH	UMBC×3	Kill	Jalynn Brown	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.7
11	5-6	UMBC	UMBC×3	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Hady Pickard	+2.2
12	5-7	UMBC	UMBC×3	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.1
13	6-7	UMBC	UNH×4	Serve err	Natalie Harris		+1.6
14	7-7	UNH	UNH×4	Attack err	Jalynn Brown		+2.3
15	8-7	UNH	UNH×4	Attack err	Jalynn Brown		+2.5
16	9-7	UNH	UNH×4	Ace	Jessica Shattles	aced Hannah Howard	+2.7
17	9-8	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.9
18	10-8	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Evelyn Brenton	set Jessica Shattles	+2.1
19	10-9	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.9
20	11-9	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Emma Converse	set Jessica Shattles	+2.2
21	11-10	UNH	UMBC×3	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.0
22	11-11	UMBC	UMBC×3	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.7
23	11-12	UMBC	UMBC×3	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.7
24	12-12	UMBC	UNH	Blocked	Natalie Harris	blk Rachel Grier, Olivia Maulding	+2.1
25	12-13	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.1
26	12-14	UMBC	UMBC	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.6
27	13-14	UMBC	UNH	Attack err	Claudia Llamas		+2.0
28	13-15	UNH	UMBC×7	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.1
29	13-16	UMBC	UMBC×7	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.4
30	13-17	UMBC	UMBC×7	Attack err	Julianne Lee		+2.0
31	13-18	UMBC	UMBC×7	Attack err	Emma Converse		+1.5
32	13-19	UMBC	UMBC×7	Attack err	Rachel Grier		+1.0
33	13-20	UMBC	UMBC×7	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.6
34	13-21	UMBC	UMBC×7	Blocked	Julianne Lee	blk Isabel Ostvig, Jalynn Brown	+0.3
35	14-21	UMBC	UNH	Blocked	Natalie Harris	blk Rachel Grier, Caitlin Leddy	+0.1
36	14-22	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.2
37	15-22	UMBC	UNH	Attack err	Hannah Dobbs		+0.1
38	16-22	UNH	UNH	Kill	Lucy Chertock	set Olivia Maulding	+0.2
39	16-23	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Hannah Howard	+0.2
40	16-24	UMBC	UMBC	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.1
41	17-24	UMBC	UNH×3	Serve err	Megan Hunter		·
42	18-24	UNH	UNH×3	Attack err	Hannah Dobbs		·
43	19-24	UNH	UNH×3	Blocked	Hannah Dobbs	blk Evelyn Brenton, Varvara Zvereva	+0.1
44	19-25	UNH	UMBC	Serve err	Dylan Hunt		+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	UNH	UNH	Attack err	Claudia Llamas		+1.7
2	2-0	UNH	UNH	Ace	Jessica Shattles		+1.8
3	2-1	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Claudia Llamas	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.3
4	3-1	UMBC	UNH×4	Attack err	Claudia Llamas		+1.4
5	4-1	UNH	UNH×4	Attack err	Natalie Harris		+1.9
6	5-1	UNH	UNH×4	Kill	Emma Converse	set Jessica Shattles	+1.9
7	6-1	UNH	UNH×4	Attack err	Claudia Llamas		+1.8
8	6-2	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.2
9	7-2	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Varvara Zvereva	set Jessica Shattles	+1.4
10	7-3	UNH	UMBC×3	Kill	Jalynn Brown	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.2
11	7-4	UMBC	UMBC×3	Bad set	Jessica Shattles		+1.7
12	7-5	UMBC	UMBC×3	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.8
13	8-5	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Emma Converse	set Jessica Shattles	+1.6
14	8-6	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.4
15	9-6	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Julianne Lee	+1.6
16	9-7	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.4
17	10-7	UMBC	UNH	Serve err	Megan Hunter		+1.7
18	10-8	UNH	UMBC×3	Attack err	Julianne Lee		+1.5
19	10-9	UMBC	UMBC×3	Ace	Isabel Ostvig	aced Emma Converse	+2.1
20	10-10	UMBC	UMBC×3	Kill	Claudia Llamas		+2.1
21	11-10	UMBC	UNH	Serve err	Isabel Ostvig		+1.8
22	11-11	UNH	UMBC×3	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.7
23	11-12	UMBC	UMBC×3	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Hannah Dobbs	+2.2
24	11-13	UMBC	UMBC×3	Attack err	Lucy Chertock		+2.0
25	12-13	UMBC	UNH	Bad set	Natalie Harris		+1.5
26	13-13	UNH	UNH	Blocked	Claudia Llamas	blk Rachel Grier, Emma Converse	+2.3
27	13-14	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Natalie Harris	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.8
28	14-14	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Varvara Zvereva	set Jessica Shattles	+1.9
29	14-15	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Jalynn Brown	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.9
30	15-15	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Jessica Shattles	+2.0
31	15-16	UNH	UMBC	Serve err	Vivien Affeldt		+2.0
32	16-16	UMBC	UNH	Blocked	Hannah Dobbs	blk Rachel Grier, Caitlin Leddy	+2.1
33	16-17	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.1
34	17-17	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Caitlin Leddy	+2.2
35	18-17	UNH	UNH	Kill	Lucy Chertock	set Caitlin Leddy	+3.2
36	18-18	UNH	UMBC×4	Attack err	Emma Converse		+2.4
37	18-19	UMBC	UMBC×4	Bad set	Lucy Chertock		+3.2
38	18-20	UMBC	UMBC×4	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+3.0
39	18-21	UMBC	UMBC×4	Blocked	Lucy Chertock	blk Claudia Llamas, Grace Larrivee	+2.4
40	19-21	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Evelyn Brenton	set Caitlin Leddy	+1.4
41	20-21	UNH	UNH	Blocked	Claudia Llamas	blk Varvara Zvereva, Evelyn Brenton	+2.8
42	20-22	UNH	UMBC×4	Kill	Claudia Llamas	set Isabel Ostvig	+2.7
43	20-23	UMBC	UMBC×4	Attack err	Varvara Zvereva		+2.7
44	20-24	UMBC	UMBC×4	Ace	Hannah Dobbs	aced Lucy Chertock	+1.4
45	20-25	UMBC	UMBC×4	Blocked	Lucy Chertock	blk Grace Larrivee, Claudia Llamas	+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	UMBC	UMBC	Attack err	Emma Converse		+0.8
2	1-1	UMBC	UNH	Serve err	Isabel Ostvig		+0.7
3	1-2	UNH	UMBC	Serve err	Hady Pickard		+0.6
4	2-2	UMBC	UNH	Serve err	UMBC		+0.7
5	2-3	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Claudia Llamas	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.7
6	3-3	UMBC	UNH	Serve err	UMBC		+0.7
7	3-4	UNH	UMBC	Blocked	Julianne Lee	blk Jalynn Brown, Claudia Llamas	+0.7
8	4-4	UMBC	UNH×7	Serve err	Ema Djordjevic		+0.7
9	5-4	UNH	UNH×7	Attack err	Natalie Harris		+1.0
10	6-4	UNH	UNH×7	Kill	Julianne Lee	set Caitlin Leddy	+1.1
11	7-4	UNH	UNH×7	Blocked	Natalie Harris	blk Caitlin Leddy, Varvara Zvereva	+1.1
12	8-4	UNH	UNH×7	Attack err	Natalie Harris		+1.1
13	9-4	UNH	UNH×7	Attack err	Natalie Harris		+1.0
14	10-4	UNH	UNH×7	Attack err	Natalie Harris		+0.9
15	10-5	UNH	UMBC×3	Kill	Dasia Johnson	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.5
16	10-6	UMBC	UMBC×3	Blocked	Varvara Zvereva	blk Hannah Dobbs, Isabel Ostvig	+0.8
17	10-7	UMBC	UMBC×3	Kill	Dasia Johnson	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.9
18	11-7	UMBC	UNH×4	Attack err	Hannah Dobbs		+0.9
19	12-7	UNH	UNH×4	Kill	Varvara Zvereva	set Dasia Johnson	+1.0
20	13-7	UNH	UNH×4	Kill	Varvara Zvereva	set Caitlin Leddy	+0.9
21	14-7	UNH	UNH×4	Kill	Lucy Chertock	set Caitlin Leddy	+0.8
22	14-8	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Jalynn Brown	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.4
23	14-9	UMBC	UMBC	Attack err	Lucy Chertock		+0.7
24	15-9	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Lucy Chertock	set Caitlin Leddy	+0.7
25	16-9	UNH	UNH	Bad set	Isabel Ostvig		+0.7
26	16-10	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Hannah Dobbs	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.4
27	17-10	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Emma Converse	set Caitlin Leddy	+0.5
28	18-10	UNH	UNH	Attack err	Isabel Ostvig		+0.5
29	18-11	UNH	UMBC×5	Serve err	Hady Pickard		+0.2
30	18-12	UMBC	UMBC×5	Kill	Claudia Llamas		+0.4
31	18-13	UMBC	UMBC×5	Attack err	Caitlin Leddy		+0.6
32	18-14	UMBC	UMBC×5	Ace	Hannah Dobbs	aced Miray Su Keskin	+0.8
33	18-15	UMBC	UMBC×5	Kill	Dasia Johnson	set Isabel Ostvig	+1.0
34	19-15	UMBC	UNH	Serve err	Hannah Dobbs		+1.1
35	19-16	UNH	UMBC	Serve err	Vivien Affeldt		+0.8
36	20-16	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Rachel Grier	set Emma Converse	+1.1
37	20-17	UNH	UMBC	Kill	Claudia Llamas	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.7
38	21-17	UMBC	UNH	Kill	Lucy Chertock	set Caitlin Leddy	+1.1
39	22-17	UNH	UNH	Kill	Caitlin Leddy	set Emma Converse	+1.0
40	22-18	UNH	UMBC×8	Kill	Dasia Johnson	set Isabel Ostvig	+0.4
41	22-19	UMBC	UMBC×8	Attack err	Lucy Chertock		+0.8
42	22-20	UMBC	UMBC×8	Ace	Dasia Johnson		+1.3
43	22-21	UMBC	UMBC×8	Blocked	Varvara Zvereva	blk Hannah Dobbs, Isabel Ostvig	+1.8
44	22-22	UMBC	UMBC×8	Ace	Dasia Johnson	aced Vivien Affeldt	+2.5
45	22-23	UMBC	UMBC×8	Attack err	Lucy Chertock		+2.8
46	22-24	UMBC	UMBC×8	Bad set	Lucy Chertock		+2.5
47	22-25	UMBC	UMBC×8	Ace	Dasia Johnson	aced Emma Converse	+1.3

Score shown after each rally, New Hampshire first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UMBC def. New Hampshire 3–0

Natalie Harris needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. UMBC swept New Hampshire.