FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

AwayCAA

3:0

HomeMEAC

William & Mary def. Norfolk St. 3–0

(25-17, 25-16, 27-25)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WM&MRY	25	25	27	3
NORFLK	17	16	25	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NORFLK above 50 · WM&MRY below

Biggest swing: 3.5% to William & Mary — set 3, WM&MRY 25-24 NORFLK. Kill by Sophia Van Name (set by Cate Hatfield). NORFLK win probability 7% → 3%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WM&MRY 72.8%27.2% NORFLK

William & Mary wins

3-0

25.3%

3-1

27.9%

3-2

19.6%

Norfolk St. wins

3-0

5.0%

3-1

9.4%

3-2

12.8%

WM&MRY break %: 48.6% vs this opp
NORFLK break %: 43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sophia Van NameKill+3.5%
Kill by Sophia Van Name (set by Cate Hatfield)
Set 3 · WM&MRY 25-24 NORFLK · WM&MRY 93% → 97%
02
Isis CastilleKill+3.4%
Kill by Isis Castille (set by Nehir Erimez)
Set 3 · WM&MRY 23-24 NORFLK · NORFLK 7% → 10%
03
Audrey BrckaKill+3.4%
Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Cate Hatfield)
Set 3 · WM&MRY 24-24 NORFLK · WM&MRY 90% → 93%
04
Audrey BrckaKill+3.2%
Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Cate Hatfield)
Set 3 · WM&MRY 27-25 NORFLK · WM&MRY 97% → 100%
05
Gabrielle GilbertKill+3.0%
Kill by Gabrielle Gilbert (set by Nehir Erimez)
Set 3 · WM&MRY 25-25 NORFLK · NORFLK 3% → 6%
06
Gabrielle GilbertAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Gabrielle Gilbert
Set 3 · WM&MRY 26-25 NORFLK · WM&MRY 94% → 97%
07
Teagan PociusAttack error+3.0%
Teagan Pocius stuffed by Kyleigh Moore & Ava Berry
Set 3 · WM&MRY 22-23 NORFLK · NORFLK 6% → 9%
08
NORFLK serverService error+2.4%
Norfolk St. service error
Set 3 · WM&MRY 23-23 NORFLK · WM&MRY 91% → 93%

Official NCAA box

Box score

William & Maryaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Teagan PociusMB	3	9	2	14	.500	1	0	2	2	0	1	2	2	11
23Katherine ArnasonOH	3	6	2	18	.222	0	4	1	6	2	0	1	0.5	10.5
10Audrey BrckaOH	3	10	2	24	.333	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	10
22Olivia WestfortMB	3	6	0	10	.600	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	1	8
16Emily McKeeOH	3	5	4	19	.053	1	2	1	6	3	0	0	0	7
4Cate HatfieldS	3	3	0	8	.375	35	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	4
11Avery HorejsiL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	5	1	3	21	0	0	0	0	1
9Ava CrabtreeOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
6Sophia Van NameOH	1	5	0	5	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
14Maya De Los ReyesL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Regan HillOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	10	100	.340	43	9	13	51	6	2	4	4	77

Norfolk St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Gabrielle GilbertOH	3	10	3	29	.241	3	2	1	6	2	1	0.5	12.5
4Kyleigh MooreOH	3	8	3	26	.192	0	1	1	7	1	3	1.5	10.5
7Isis CastilleOH	3	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
22Ava BerryMB	3	0	2	5	-.400	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	2
10Briana EllisMB	3	0	3	5	-.600	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Jasmine MatairaS	3	0	0	2	.000	8	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
12Catori CrawfordOPP	3	3	2	14	.071	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	3
3Jazeli VandenburghL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	1	2	2	15	5	0	0	3
9Nehir ErimezS	3	1	0	1	1.000	12	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
18Kaden SandersOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
13Reagan ChisholmMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
24Jala DixonMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	14	96	.146	24	6	9	40	9	10	5	58

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 WM&MRY · NORFLK 5

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 WM&MRYNORFLK 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 6 WM&MRYNORFLK 3

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 4 WM&MRYNORFLK 4

Bars above the line = Norfolk St. leads, below = William & Mary leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

William & Mary

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	45%5/11
2	58%7/12	56%9/16
3	75%6/8	60%9/15
4	67%6/9	70%14/20
5	50%5/10	38%3/8
6	57%4/7	33%2/6
All	59%35/59	55%42/76

Norfolk St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	55%6/11
2	44%7/16	42%5/12
3	30%6/20	30%3/10
4	40%6/15	25%2/8
5	80%4/5	40%4/10
6	57%4/7	50%4/8
All	45%34/76	41%24/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	WM&MRY-NORFLK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+1.7
2	1-1	NORFLK	WM&MRY×6	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Cate Hatfield	+1.7
3	2-1	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+1.9
4	3-1	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Cate Hatfield	+1.8
5	4-1	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Cate Hatfield	+1.6
6	5-1	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Attack err	Ava Berry		+1.5
7	6-1	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Kill	Cate Hatfield	set Emily McKee	+1.3
8	6-2	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Attack err	Audrey Brcka		+1.0
9	6-3	NORFLK	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.4
10	7-3	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.3
11	8-3	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Kill	Katherine Arnason	set Cate Hatfield	+1.3
12	8-4	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+1.0
13	8-5	NORFLK	NORFLK	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Nehir Erimez	+1.5
14	9-5	NORFLK	WM&MRY×3	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+1.4
15	10-5	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.4
16	11-5	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.1
17	11-6	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+0.8
18	12-6	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Cate Hatfield	set Avery Horejsi	+1.0
19	13-6	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+0.9
20	13-7	WM&MRY	NORFLK×5	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+0.6
21	13-8	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Emily McKee		+0.9
22	13-9	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Emily McKee		+1.2
23	13-10	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert		+1.6
24	13-11	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+2.0
25	14-11	NORFLK	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Emily McKee	set Avery Horejsi	+1.9
26	15-11	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Cate Hatfield	+1.9
27	16-11	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Attack err	Ava Berry	blk Teagan Pocius	+1.5
28	16-12	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+1.1
29	16-13	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Emily McKee		+1.6
30	17-13	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Emily McKee	set Cate Hatfield	+1.7
31	18-13	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.5
32	18-14	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Attack err	Katherine Arnason	blk Ava Berry, Gabrielle Gilbert	+1.0
33	19-14	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Katherine Arnason	set Cate Hatfield	+1.3
34	20-14	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Kill	Katherine Arnason	set Avery Horejsi	+1.0
35	20-15	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.6
36	21-15	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Katherine Arnason	set Cate Hatfield	+0.8
37	21-16	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+0.5
38	22-16	NORFLK	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+0.7
39	23-16	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Attack err	Catori Crawford		+0.4
40	24-16	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Olivia Westfort	set Avery Horejsi	+0.1
41	24-17	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Attack err	Katherine Arnason	blk Briana Ellis, Kyleigh Moore	+0.0
42	25-17	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Attack err	Briana Ellis	blk Olivia Westfort	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NORFLK	NORFLK	Kill	Isis Castille	set Nehir Erimez	+1.6
2	1-1	NORFLK	WM&MRY×3	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.3
3	2-1	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+1.5
4	3-1	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Team	+1.4
5	3-2	WM&MRY	NORFLK×3	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+1.3
6	3-3	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Emily McKee		+1.6
7	3-4	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Katherine Arnason	+1.7
8	4-4	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Cate Hatfield	+1.4
9	5-4	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Attack err	Briana Ellis		+1.6
10	5-5	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Nehir Erimez	+1.5
11	6-5	NORFLK	WM&MRY×6	Kill	Katherine Arnason	set Cate Hatfield	+1.4
12	7-5	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Kill	Katherine Arnason	set Cate Hatfield	+1.6
13	8-5	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+1.5
14	9-5	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+1.3
15	10-5	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Attack err	Briana Ellis		+1.1
16	11-5	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×6	Attack err	Jala Dixon		+0.9
17	11-6	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+0.7
18	12-6	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Cate Hatfield	+0.8
19	12-7	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Reagan Chisholm	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.7
20	13-7	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.8
21	13-8	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.7
22	14-8	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+0.8
23	15-8	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Kill	Olivia Westfort	set Cate Hatfield	+0.7
24	15-9	WM&MRY	NORFLK×3	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+0.5
25	15-10	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Katherine Arnason	+0.7
26	15-11	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Jazeli Vandenburgh	set Gabrielle Gilbert	+1.0
27	16-11	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Emily McKee	set Cate Hatfield	+1.0
28	16-12	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Gabrielle Gilbert	+0.9
29	17-12	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.0
30	18-12	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore	blk Teagan Pocius, Katherine Arnason	+0.9
31	18-13	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Nehir Erimez	+0.6
32	19-13	NORFLK	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Cate Hatfield	+0.7
33	20-13	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+0.5
34	21-13	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Cate Hatfield	+0.3
35	21-14	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.1
36	22-14	NORFLK	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+0.2
37	23-14	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.1
38	24-14	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Attack err	Catori Crawford		+0.0
39	24-15	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+0.0
40	24-16	NORFLK	NORFLK	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Emily McKee	+0.0
41	25-16	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Cate Hatfield	set Avery Horejsi	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Kill	Teagan Pocius	set Audrey Brcka	+0.8
2	2-0	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Kill	Sophia Van Name	set Cate Hatfield	+0.8
3	2-1	WM&MRY	NORFLK×3	Kill	Nehir Erimez	set Gabrielle Gilbert	+0.7
4	2-2	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Audrey Brcka		+0.9
5	2-3	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Bad set	Cate Hatfield		+0.9
6	3-3	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Sophia Van Name	set Cate Hatfield	+0.8
7	3-4	WM&MRY	NORFLK×3	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+0.8
8	3-5	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Emily McKee	+1.0
9	3-6	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Isis Castille		+1.0
10	4-6	NORFLK	WM&MRY×4	Kill	Sophia Van Name	set Cate Hatfield	+0.8
11	5-6	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×4	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+1.0
12	6-6	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×4	Kill	Olivia Westfort	set Cate Hatfield	+1.0
13	7-6	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×4	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+0.9
14	7-7	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+0.8
15	8-7	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.8
16	8-8	WM&MRY	NORFLK×4	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+0.9
17	8-9	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.1
18	8-10	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.1
19	8-11	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Ava Crabtree	+1.2
20	9-11	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Emily McKee	set Cate Hatfield	+0.9
21	9-12	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+1.0
22	10-12	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.9
23	10-13	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Sophia Van Name	+1.1
24	10-14	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Teagan Pocius	blk Ava Berry, Kyleigh Moore	+1.2
25	11-14	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.8
26	12-14	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore	blk Sophia Van Name, Teagan Pocius	+1.1
27	12-15	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Isis Castille	set Nehir Erimez	+1.2
28	12-16	NORFLK	NORFLK	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Emily McKee	+1.3
29	13-16	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.9
30	13-17	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+1.1
31	14-17	NORFLK	WM&MRY×3	Kill	Sophia Van Name	set Cate Hatfield	+0.9
32	15-17	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Kyleigh Moore	+1.2
33	16-17	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×3	Ace	WM&MRY server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.4
34	16-18	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+1.4
35	16-19	NORFLK	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.6
36	17-19	NORFLK	WM&MRY×4	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+1.1
37	18-19	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×4	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+1.5
38	19-19	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×4	Kill	Olivia Westfort	set Cate Hatfield	+1.7
39	20-19	WM&MRY	WM&MRY×4	Kill	Olivia Westfort	set Cate Hatfield	+1.8
40	20-20	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Serve err	WM&MRY server		+1.6
41	21-20	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Olivia Westfort	set Cate Hatfield	+1.7
42	21-21	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.8
43	22-21	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Emily McKee	set Teagan Pocius	+1.9
44	22-22	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.0
45	22-23	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Teagan Pocius	blk Kyleigh Moore, Ava Berry	+3.0
46	23-23	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Serve err	NORFLK server		+2.4
47	23-24	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Isis Castille	set Nehir Erimez	+3.4
48	24-24	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+3.4
49	25-24	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Kill	Sophia Van Name	set Cate Hatfield	+3.5
50	25-25	WM&MRY	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+3.0
51	26-25	NORFLK	WM&MRY	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+3.0
52	27-25	WM&MRY	WM&MRY	Kill	Audrey Brcka	set Cate Hatfield	+3.2

Score shown after each rally, William & Mary first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.