FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayMEAC

0:3

HomeBIG-SOUTH

UNC Asheville def. Norfolk St. 3–0

(25-15, 25-17, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NORFLK	15	17	19	0
UNC A	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC A above 50 · NORFLK below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Norfolk St. — set 1, NORFLK 1-0 UNC A. Norfolk St. ace on Addie Brookbank. UNC A win probability 90% → 89%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NORFLK 10.0%90.0% UNC A

Norfolk St. wins

3-0

1.3%

3-1

3.0%

3-2

5.6%

UNC Asheville wins

3-0

44.5%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.0%

NORFLK break %: 40.2% vs this opp
UNC A break %: 50.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
NORFLK serverAce+1.1%
Norfolk St. ace on Addie Brookbank
Set 1 · NORFLK 1-0 UNC A · NORFLK 10% → 11%
02
Kyleigh MooreKill+1.1%
Kill by Kyleigh Moore (set by Briana Ellis)
Set 1 · NORFLK 4-4 UNC A · NORFLK 9% → 10%
03
UNC A serverAce+1.0%
UNC Asheville ace on Jazeli Vandenburgh
Set 1 · NORFLK 1-2 UNC A · UNC A 90% → 91%
04
Lydia PateAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Lydia Pate
Set 2 · NORFLK 4-1 UNC A · NORFLK 7% → 8%
05
Albertine van der GootKill+1.0%
Kill by Albertine van der Goot (set by Elise Jensen)
Set 1 · NORFLK 4-6 UNC A · UNC A 91% → 92%
06
Addie BrookbankAttack error+0.9%
Addie Brookbank stuffed by Kyleigh Moore & Reagan Chisholm
Set 1 · NORFLK 3-4 UNC A · NORFLK 8% → 9%
07
Albertine van der GootAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Albertine van der Goot
Set 2 · NORFLK 3-1 UNC A · NORFLK 6% → 7%
08
Addie BrookbankAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Addie Brookbank
Set 2 · NORFLK 12-13 UNC A · NORFLK 4% → 5%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Norfolk St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Gabrielle GilbertOH	3	7	5	21	.095	0	1	0	5	3	1	0	1	9
4Kyleigh MooreOH	3	2	3	15	-.067	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
10Briana EllisMB	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	1	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
7Isis CastilleOH	3	2	3	8	-.125	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	2
9Nehir ErimezS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
13Reagan ChisholmMB	2	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
12Catori CrawfordOPP	3	6	3	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
22Ava BerryMB	3	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
2Jasmine MatairaS	3	1	0	1	1.000	11	1	1	3	0	1	0	1	3
8Aliyah TorresL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
3Jazeli VandenburghL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	9	0	0	0	0
18Kaden SandersOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Kailia PhillipsOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
15Erin ArmstrongMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Jala DixonMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		21	15	69	.087	18	3	6	28	18	4	10	9	51

UNC Ashevillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Sarah WadsworthOH	3	8	3	14	.357	0	8	3	13	1	1	0.5	16.5
5Addie BrookbankOH	3	8	6	27	.074	0	2	2	3	1	2	1	11
14Lydia PateMB	3	4	3	8	.125	1	5	1	1	0	3	1.5	10.5
32Albertine van der GootOH	3	3	3	14	.000	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	4.5
13Cadence NicholsMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	4.5
18Elise JensenS	3	1	1	2	.000	11	0	4	3	0	0	0	1
7Lily BannisterOH	3	6	0	8	.750	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6
22Olivia CallipoS	3	0	0	0	–	17	3	0	2	0	0	0	3
17Catherine HubiakL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0
Team totals		33	16	80	.212	29	18	10	30	3	12	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 NORFLK · UNC A 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 NORFLKUNC A 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 NORFLKUNC A 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 6 NORFLKUNC A 7

Bars above the line = UNC Asheville leads, below = Norfolk St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Norfolk St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	14%1/7
2	38%6/16	36%4/11
3	42%5/12	40%4/10
4	40%4/10	64%9/14
5	33%4/12	43%3/7
6	100%4/4	0%0/4
All	41%30/73	40%21/53

UNC Asheville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	0%0/5
2	50%6/12	68%13/19
3	67%6/9	60%9/15
4	36%5/14	69%11/16
5	67%4/6	69%9/13
6	100%4/4	20%1/5
All	60%32/53	59%43/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	NORFLK-UNC A	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NORFLK	NORFLK	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Addie Brookbank	+1.1
2	1-1	NORFLK	UNC A×4	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+0.9
3	1-2	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.0
4	1-3	UNC A	UNC A×4	Bad set	Nehir Erimez		+0.9
5	1-4	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+0.8
6	2-4	UNC A	NORFLK×3	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Kyleigh Moore	+0.6
7	3-4	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Kyleigh Moore, Reagan Chisholm	+0.9
8	4-4	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Briana Ellis	+1.1
9	4-5	NORFLK	UNC A	Attack err	Isis Castille	blk Albertine van der Goot, Lydia Pate	+0.9
10	4-6	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+1.0
11	5-6	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Nehir Erimez	+0.8
12	5-7	NORFLK	UNC A×4	Kill	Elise Jensen	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.8
13	5-8	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+0.9
14	5-9	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Olivia Callipo	+0.7
15	5-10	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Isis Castille	+0.6
16	6-10	UNC A	NORFLK	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Reagan Chisholm, Kailia Phillips	+0.4
17	6-11	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+0.5
18	7-11	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.4
19	8-11	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Jasmine Mataira	+0.7
20	8-12	NORFLK	UNC A	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.6
21	9-12	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.6
22	9-13	NORFLK	UNC A	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore	blk Lydia Pate, Sarah Wadsworth	+0.7
23	10-13	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.6
24	10-14	NORFLK	UNC A×3	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+0.7
25	10-15	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Team	+0.6
26	10-16	UNC A	UNC A×3	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.5
27	11-16	UNC A	NORFLK	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot		+0.3
28	12-16	NORFLK	NORFLK	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Catherine Hubiak	+0.5
29	12-17	NORFLK	UNC A×5	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.5
30	12-18	UNC A	UNC A×5	Ace	UNC A server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+0.4
31	12-19	UNC A	UNC A×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert	blk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols	+0.3
32	12-20	UNC A	UNC A×5	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.1
33	12-21	UNC A	UNC A×5	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.1
34	13-21	UNC A	NORFLK×3	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Nehir Erimez	+0.0
35	14-21	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Reagan Chisholm, Catori Crawford	+0.1
36	15-21	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Sarah Wadsworth	+0.1
37	15-22	NORFLK	UNC A×4	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Elise Jensen	+0.2
38	15-23	UNC A	UNC A×4	Attack err	Catori Crawford		+0.1
39	15-24	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+0.0
40	15-25	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Isis Castille	set Nehir Erimez	+0.6
2	1-1	NORFLK	UNC A	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+0.6
3	2-1	UNC A	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot		+0.7
4	3-1	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Albertine van der Goot		+0.9
5	4-1	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Lydia Pate		+1.0
6	4-2	NORFLK	UNC A	Attack err	Isis Castille		+0.7
7	5-2	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Isis Castille	set Nehir Erimez	+0.8
8	5-3	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Albertine van der Goot	set Elise Jensen	+0.7
9	5-4	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Cadence Nichols	set Olivia Callipo	+0.9
10	6-4	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Jasmine Mataira	set Isis Castille	+0.8
11	6-5	NORFLK	UNC A×4	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+0.7
12	6-6	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.8
13	6-7	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.8
14	6-8	UNC A	UNC A×4	Bad set	Jasmine Mataira		+0.7
15	7-8	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.6
16	7-9	NORFLK	UNC A	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.6
17	8-9	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.6
18	8-10	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.6
19	9-10	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.7
20	9-11	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.6
21	9-12	UNC A	UNC A	Ace	UNC A server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+0.7
22	10-12	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.6
23	10-13	NORFLK	UNC A	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert	blk Lydia Pate, Addie Brookbank	+0.6
24	11-13	UNC A	NORFLK	Bad set	Elise Jensen		+0.6
25	12-13	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Addie Brookbank		+0.9
26	12-14	NORFLK	UNC A×4	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.7
27	12-15	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.8
28	12-16	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+0.6
29	12-17	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.4
30	13-17	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.3
31	14-17	NORFLK	NORFLK	Kill	Reagan Chisholm		+0.5
32	14-18	NORFLK	UNC A×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+0.5
33	14-19	UNC A	UNC A×5	Attack err	Reagan Chisholm		+0.4
34	14-20	UNC A	UNC A×5	Bad set	Jasmine Mataira		+0.3
35	14-21	UNC A	UNC A×5	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Olivia Callipo	+0.2
36	14-22	UNC A	UNC A×5	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+0.1
37	15-22	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.0
38	15-23	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+0.0
39	16-23	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.0
40	16-24	NORFLK	UNC A	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.0
41	17-24	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.0
42	17-25	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	NORFLK	UNC A×7	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth	set Elise Jensen	+0.2
2	0-2	UNC A	UNC A×7	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Elise Jensen	+0.3
3	0-3	UNC A	UNC A×7	Kill	Addie Brookbank		+0.2
4	0-4	UNC A	UNC A×7	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.2
5	0-5	UNC A	UNC A×7	Kill	Albertine van der Goot		+0.2
6	0-6	UNC A	UNC A×7	Attack err	Isis Castille		+0.1
7	0-7	UNC A	UNC A×7	Ace	UNC A server	aced Isis Castille	+0.1
8	1-7	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.1
9	2-7	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Lydia Pate		+0.1
10	2-8	NORFLK	UNC A×4	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+0.1
11	2-9	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Aliyah Torres	+0.1
12	2-10	UNC A	UNC A×4	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Lydia Pate	+0.1
13	2-11	UNC A	UNC A×4	Ace	UNC A server	aced Aliyah Torres	+0.1
14	3-11	UNC A	NORFLK	Attack err	Elise Jensen	blk Ava Berry	+0.0
15	3-12	NORFLK	UNC A	Attack err	Catori Crawford	blk Addie Brookbank, Cadence Nichols	+0.0
16	4-12	UNC A	NORFLK×4	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.0
17	5-12	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.1
18	6-12	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.1
19	7-12	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Gabrielle Gilbert	+0.1
20	7-13	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+0.1
21	7-14	UNC A	UNC A	Ace	UNC A server	aced Kyleigh Moore	+0.1
22	8-14	UNC A	NORFLK	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.1
23	9-14	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth	blk Catori Crawford, Briana Ellis	+0.1
24	9-15	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Lily Bannister	set Olivia Callipo	+0.1
25	9-16	UNC A	UNC A	Attack err	Catori Crawford		+0.1
26	10-16	UNC A	NORFLK	Attack err	Lydia Pate	blk Briana Ellis	+0.1
27	10-17	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Olivia Callipo	+0.1
28	11-17	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.1
29	11-18	NORFLK	UNC A	Kill	Lydia Pate	set Elise Jensen	+0.1
30	11-19	UNC A	UNC A	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.1
31	12-19	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.0
32	12-20	NORFLK	UNC A	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.0
33	12-21	UNC A	UNC A	Ace	UNC A server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.0
34	13-21	UNC A	NORFLK	Serve err	UNC A server		+0.0
35	13-22	NORFLK	UNC A	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert	blk Albertine van der Goot, Cadence Nichols	+0.0
36	13-23	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Addie Brookbank	set Olivia Callipo	+0.0
37	14-23	UNC A	NORFLK×6	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.0
38	15-23	NORFLK	NORFLK×6	Kill	Ava Berry	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.0
39	16-23	NORFLK	NORFLK×6	Attack err	Addie Brookbank	blk Catori Crawford, Ava Berry	+0.0
40	17-23	NORFLK	NORFLK×6	Attack err	Sarah Wadsworth		+0.0
41	18-23	NORFLK	NORFLK×6	Kill	Ava Berry	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.0
42	19-23	NORFLK	NORFLK×6	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert		+0.1
43	19-24	NORFLK	UNC A	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+0.1
44	19-25	UNC A	UNC A	Kill	Sarah Wadsworth		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Norfolk St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.