FinalTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwayCIAA

0:3

HomeMEAC

Norfolk St. def. Bowie St. 3–0

(25-14, 25-19, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BOWIE	14	19	20	0
NORFLK	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NORFLK above 50 · BOWIE below

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Norfolk St. — set 2, BOWIE 16-19 NORFLK. Spring Terry stuffed by Ava Berry & Jala Dixon. NORFLK win probability 64% → 68%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BOWIE 68.2%31.8% NORFLK

Bowie St. wins

3-0

22.0%

3-1

26.2%

3-2

20.0%

Norfolk St. wins

3-0

6.2%

3-1

11.3%

3-2

14.4%

BOWIE break %: 47.3% vs this opp
NORFLK break %: 43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Spring TerryAttack error+4.7%
Spring Terry stuffed by Ava Berry & Jala Dixon
Set 2 · BOWIE 16-19 NORFLK · NORFLK 64% → 68%
02
Gabrielle GilbertKill+4.1%
Kill by Gabrielle Gilbert (set by Jazeli Vandenburgh)
Set 2 · BOWIE 16-18 NORFLK · NORFLK 60% → 64%
03
Taylor JohnsonAttack error+4.0%
Attack error by Taylor Johnson
Set 2 · BOWIE 16-20 NORFLK · NORFLK 68% → 72%
04
Catori CrawfordKill+4.0%
Kill by Catori Crawford (set by Jazeli Vandenburgh)
Set 2 · BOWIE 12-14 NORFLK · NORFLK 57% → 61%
05
BOWIE serverAce+4.0%
Bowie St. ace on Reagan Chisholm
Set 2 · BOWIE 15-16 NORFLK · BOWIE 37% → 41%
06
Reagan ChisholmKill+3.9%
Kill by Reagan Chisholm (set by Nehir Erimez)
Set 2 · BOWIE 12-15 NORFLK · NORFLK 61% → 65%
07
Gabrielle GilbertKill+3.9%
Kill by Gabrielle Gilbert (set by Jasmine Mataira)
Set 2 · BOWIE 15-17 NORFLK · NORFLK 59% → 63%
08
Taylor JohnsonAttack error+3.7%
Taylor Johnson stuffed by Catori Crawford & Ava Berry
Set 2 · BOWIE 11-12 NORFLK · NORFLK 54% → 57%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Bowie St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Payton SwintonOPP	3	8	5	20	.150	0	2	4	5	0	1	0	1	11
3Taylor JohnsonOH	3	5	5	20	.000	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	5
8Abena Asomani-MartinOH	3	3	2	18	.056	1	1	1	5	4	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Gabrielle HaleS	3	1	1	4	.000	16	1	1	5	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
1Melisa AnaciusMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
13Jy'Asha CousinsMB	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Bracey GrossL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
21Mil'lanni MarteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	1
5Reece CulverL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	0
11Spring TerryOH	2	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Madyson BrinsonMB	1	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
19Amara PopeMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Christina SanMB	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Damani MyersOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Camille CrooksMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Trinity LoundmonS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	20	89	.034	21	7	10	33	8	2	4	4	53

Norfolk St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Gabrielle GilbertOH	3	15	4	34	.324	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	15
13Reagan ChisholmMB	3	5	0	5	1.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
4Kyleigh MooreOH	3	5	2	16	.188	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	6
12Catori CrawfordOPP	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
22Ava BerryMB	3	2	5	8	-.375	1	0	0	1	0	2	3	3.5	5.5
9Nehir ErimezS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
2Jasmine MatairaS	3	1	1	3	.000	12	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
10Briana EllisMB	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
3Jazeli VandenburghL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	6	4	2	9	3	0	0	0	4
7Isis CastilleOH	2	1	1	4	.000	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	2
18Kaden SandersOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	1
8Aliyah TorresL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
24Jala DixonMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
19Kailia PhillipsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	1
17Amari ChaneyS	1	0	0	1	.000	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	15	88	.239	33	8	8	42	7	2	12	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 BOWIE · NORFLK 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 BOWIENORFLK 7

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 BOWIENORFLK 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 BOWIENORFLK 5

Bars above the line = Norfolk St. leads, below = Bowie St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Bowie St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%6/12	36%4/11
2	50%6/12	40%4/10
3	75%6/8	14%1/7
4	40%6/15	33%3/9
5	28%5/18	33%3/9
6	63%5/8	44%4/9
All	47%34/73	35%19/55

Norfolk St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	55%6/11
2	75%6/8	40%4/10
3	86%6/7	45%5/11
4	75%6/8	14%1/7
5	55%6/11	70%14/20
6	71%5/7	64%9/14
All	65%36/55	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	BOWIE-NORFLK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.8
2	1-1	NORFLK	BOWIE	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.7
3	1-2	BOWIE	NORFLK×3	Serve err	BOWIE server		+1.9
4	1-3	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Abena Asomani-Martin	+2.3
5	1-4	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Abena Asomani-Martin	+2.3
6	2-4	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Taylor Johnson	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.8
7	2-5	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Nehir Erimez	+2.0
8	2-6	NORFLK	NORFLK	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Abena Asomani-Martin	+2.3
9	3-6	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Payton Swinton	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.7
10	4-6	BOWIE	BOWIE	Kill	Jy'Asha Cousins		+2.2
11	4-7	BOWIE	NORFLK×3	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.1
12	4-8	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Bad set	Gabrielle Hale		+2.4
13	4-9	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.3
14	5-9	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Payton Swinton	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.6
15	5-10	BOWIE	NORFLK	Serve err	BOWIE server		+2.0
16	6-10	NORFLK	BOWIE×3	Kill	Gabrielle Hale		+1.6
17	7-10	BOWIE	BOWIE×3	Ace	BOWIE server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+2.2
18	8-10	BOWIE	BOWIE×3	Attack err	Isis Castille	blk Abena Asomani-Martin, Jy'Asha Cousins	+2.4
19	8-11	BOWIE	NORFLK	Serve err	BOWIE server		+2.3
20	8-12	NORFLK	NORFLK	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Reece Culver	+2.7
21	9-12	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Taylor Johnson	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.9
22	10-12	BOWIE	BOWIE	Attack err	Catori Crawford		+2.5
23	10-13	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+2.5
24	11-13	NORFLK	BOWIE	Attack err	Ava Berry	blk Gabrielle Hale	+2.2
25	11-14	BOWIE	NORFLK×3	Kill	Ava Berry	set Nehir Erimez	+2.6
26	11-15	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Nehir Erimez	+2.9
27	11-16	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Abena Asomani-Martin	+2.5
28	12-16	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Payton Swinton	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.6
29	12-17	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Reagan Chisholm	set Nehir Erimez	+2.1
30	13-17	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Payton Swinton	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.6
31	13-18	BOWIE	NORFLK	Attack err	Abena Asomani-Martin	blk Reagan Chisholm, Isis Castille	+2.1
32	14-18	NORFLK	BOWIE	Attack err	Jasmine Mataira		+1.5
33	14-19	BOWIE	NORFLK×7	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.1
34	14-20	NORFLK	NORFLK×7	Attack err	Payton Swinton		+1.9
35	14-21	NORFLK	NORFLK×7	Kill	Jasmine Mataira	set Isis Castille	+1.2
36	14-22	NORFLK	NORFLK×7	Kill	Ava Berry	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.6
37	14-23	NORFLK	NORFLK×7	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.3
38	14-24	NORFLK	NORFLK×7	Attack err	Gabrielle Hale	blk Ava Berry	+0.1
39	14-25	NORFLK	NORFLK×7	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Ava Berry	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	NORFLK	BOWIE×4	Kill	Taylor Johnson	set Reece Culver	+2.1
2	2-0	BOWIE	BOWIE×4	Ace	BOWIE server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+2.4
3	3-0	BOWIE	BOWIE×4	Attack err	Catori Crawford		+2.3
4	4-0	BOWIE	BOWIE×4	Attack err	Ava Berry		+2.1
5	4-1	BOWIE	NORFLK	Attack err	Payton Swinton	blk Ava Berry, Kyleigh Moore	+1.6
6	5-1	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Melisa Anacius	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.7
7	6-1	BOWIE	BOWIE	Kill	Melisa Anacius		+1.8
8	6-2	BOWIE	NORFLK	Serve err	BOWIE server		+1.4
9	6-3	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Payton Swinton	blk Reagan Chisholm, Kyleigh Moore	+2.0
10	7-3	NORFLK	BOWIE	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+1.8
11	7-4	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jala Dixon	+1.7
12	8-4	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Payton Swinton	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.8
13	8-5	BOWIE	NORFLK	Serve err	BOWIE server		+1.7
14	8-6	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Jy'Asha Cousins		+2.4
15	9-6	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Abena Asomani-Martin	set Gabrielle Hale	+2.2
16	10-6	BOWIE	BOWIE	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+2.3
17	10-7	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.8
18	11-7	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Taylor Johnson	set Gabrielle Hale	+2.0
19	11-8	BOWIE	NORFLK×5	Serve err	BOWIE server		+1.8
20	11-9	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Taylor Johnson		+2.6
21	11-10	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Nehir Erimez	+3.0
22	11-11	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+3.4
23	11-12	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Taylor Johnson	blk Catori Crawford, Ava Berry	+3.7
24	12-12	NORFLK	BOWIE	Attack err	Ava Berry	blk Gabrielle Hale, Amara Pope	+3.0
25	12-13	BOWIE	NORFLK×3	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+3.2
26	12-14	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+4.0
27	12-15	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Reagan Chisholm	set Nehir Erimez	+3.9
28	13-15	NORFLK	BOWIE	Serve err	NORFLK server		+2.8
29	13-16	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Reagan Chisholm	set Nehir Erimez	+3.4
30	14-16	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Abena Asomani-Martin	set Gabrielle Hale	+2.9
31	15-16	BOWIE	BOWIE	Ace	BOWIE server	aced Reagan Chisholm	+4.0
32	15-17	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+3.9
33	16-17	NORFLK	BOWIE	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+3.5
34	16-18	BOWIE	NORFLK×5	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+4.1
35	16-19	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Spring Terry	blk Ava Berry, Jala Dixon	+4.7
36	16-20	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Taylor Johnson		+4.0
37	16-21	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+3.1
38	16-22	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Jy'Asha Cousins	blk Ava Berry	+2.0
39	17-22	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Payton Swinton	set Gabrielle Hale	+0.8
40	18-22	BOWIE	BOWIE	Attack err	Ava Berry		+1.5
41	18-23	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Jala Dixon	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.2
42	18-24	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Abena Asomani-Martin		+1.2
43	19-24	NORFLK	BOWIE	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.2
44	19-25	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+0.5
Set 3
1	1-0	BOWIE	BOWIE	Attack err	Ava Berry		+2.1
2	1-1	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+1.8
3	1-2	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Taylor Johnson		+2.3
4	2-2	NORFLK	BOWIE	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.8
5	2-3	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Briana Ellis	set Nehir Erimez	+1.9
6	3-3	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Abena Asomani-Martin	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.9
7	3-4	BOWIE	NORFLK	Attack err	Melisa Anacius		+2.0
8	4-4	NORFLK	BOWIE	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.9
9	4-5	BOWIE	NORFLK×5	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.0
10	4-6	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Payton Swinton		+2.5
11	4-7	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Attack err	Damani Myers		+2.6
12	4-8	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Kill	Reagan Chisholm		+2.5
13	4-9	NORFLK	NORFLK×5	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Taylor Johnson	+2.3
14	5-9	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Payton Swinton	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.6
15	6-9	BOWIE	BOWIE	Ace	BOWIE server	aced Kaden Sanders	+2.2
16	6-10	BOWIE	NORFLK×3	Serve err	BOWIE server		+2.2
17	6-11	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Isis Castille	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.4
18	6-12	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Team	+2.1
19	7-12	NORFLK	BOWIE	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.4
20	7-13	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.8
21	8-13	NORFLK	BOWIE	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.4
22	8-14	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Amari Chaney	+1.8
23	9-14	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Madyson Brinson	set Trinity Loundmon	+1.4
24	10-14	BOWIE	BOWIE	Kill	Payton Swinton	set Gabrielle Hale	+2.0
25	10-15	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Catori Crawford	set Amari Chaney	+2.1
26	11-15	NORFLK	BOWIE	Kill	Melisa Anacius	set Gabrielle Hale	+1.6
27	11-16	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Reagan Chisholm	set Amari Chaney	+2.2
28	12-16	NORFLK	BOWIE	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+1.6
29	13-16	BOWIE	BOWIE	Ace	BOWIE server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+2.4
30	13-17	BOWIE	NORFLK×4	Serve err	BOWIE server		+2.6
31	13-18	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Attack err	Christina San	blk Isis Castille, Reagan Chisholm	+2.6
32	13-19	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Team	+2.0
33	13-20	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Attack err	Payton Swinton		+1.4
34	14-20	NORFLK	BOWIE×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert	blk Payton Swinton	+0.6
35	15-20	BOWIE	BOWIE×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+1.1
36	16-20	BOWIE	BOWIE×3	Ace	BOWIE server	aced Kailia Phillips	+1.7
37	16-21	BOWIE	NORFLK	Serve err	BOWIE server		+2.1
38	17-21	NORFLK	BOWIE	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.2
39	17-22	BOWIE	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.0
40	17-23	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Taylor Johnson		+1.4
41	18-23	NORFLK	BOWIE×3	Kill	Madyson Brinson	set Reece Culver	+0.4
42	19-23	BOWIE	BOWIE×3	Ace	BOWIE server	aced Kailia Phillips	+0.9
43	20-23	BOWIE	BOWIE×3	Kill	Taylor Johnson	set Trinity Loundmon	+1.7
44	20-24	BOWIE	NORFLK	Serve err	BOWIE server		+2.6
45	20-25	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Melisa Anacius		+1.1

Score shown after each rally, Bowie St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.