Bellarmine def. Norfolk St. 3–1
(20-25, 25-16, 25-11, 25-23)| Set | 1* | 2 | 3* | 4* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORFLK | 25 | 16 | 11 | 23 | 1 |
| BELLAR | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 6.8% to Bellarmine — set 4, NORFLK 23-24 BELLAR. Kill by Mary Herman. BELLAR win probability 88% → 94%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Norfolk St. wins
Bellarmine wins
- NORFLK break %
- 41.5% vs this opp
- BELLAR break %
- 51.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02Kyleigh MooreAttack error+5.9%
Kyleigh Moore stuffed by Maddie Hagan & Mary Herman
Set 4 · NORFLK 23-23 BELLAR · BELLAR 82% → 88%
- 03Natalie BlandKill+5.5%
Kill by Natalie Bland (set by Maddie Carnes)
Set 4 · NORFLK 23-25 BELLAR · BELLAR 94% → 100%
- 04Gabrielle GilbertKill+5.0%
Kill by Gabrielle Gilbert (set by Jasmine Mataira)
Set 4 · NORFLK 23-21 BELLAR · NORFLK 17% → 22%
- 05BELLAR serverService error+4.4%
Bellarmine service error
Set 4 · NORFLK 22-20 BELLAR · NORFLK 16% → 20%
- 06Reagan ChisholmKill+3.7%
Kill by Reagan Chisholm (set by Natalie Bland)
Set 1 · NORFLK 22-20 BELLAR · NORFLK 17% → 20%
- 07Maddie CarnesKill+3.7%
Kill by Maddie Carnes (set by Ava Long)
Set 4 · NORFLK 21-20 BELLAR · BELLAR 81% → 84%
- 08NORFLK serverService error+3.6%
Norfolk St. service error
Set 4 · NORFLK 23-22 BELLAR · BELLAR 78% → 82%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 40 | .175 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .588 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 30 | .033 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | -.111 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 39 | 22 | 126 | .135 | 34 | 6 | 9 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 19 | 9.5 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 43 | .116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 36 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 19 | .316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | .100 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 20 | 138 | .203 | 39 | 13 | 9 | 59 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 95 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
25-20
Set 2
16-25
Set 3*
11-25
Set 4*
23-25
Bars above the line = Bellarmine leads, below = Norfolk St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Norfolk St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%2/4 | 0%0/2 |
| 2 | 22%2/9 | 50%2/4 |
| 3 | 67%2/3 | 0%0/2 |
| 4 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| 5 | 100%2/2 | 60%3/5 |
| 6 | 25%1/4 | 0%0/2 |
| All | 46%11/24 | 29%5/17 |
Bellarmine
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100%2/2 | 75%3/4 |
| 2 | 50%2/4 | 50%2/4 |
| 3 | 100%2/2 | 78%7/9 |
| 4 | 100%2/2 | 33%1/3 |
| 5 | 40%2/5 | 0%0/2 |
| 6 | 100%2/2 | 0%0/2 |
| All | 71%12/17 | 54%13/24 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
170 rallies
Rally log
| # | NORFLK-BELLAR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Attack err | Mady Yaden | +1.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NORFLK | BELLAR×4 | Serve err | NORFLK server | +0.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.9 |
| 5 | 1-4 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Mary Herman | +0.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Isis Castille | set Jazeli Vandenburgh | +0.7 |
| 7 | 2-5 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +0.7 |
| 8 | 2-6 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Kyleigh Moore | +0.7 |
| 9 | 2-7 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | Jala Dixon | +0.6 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Kyleigh Moore | +0.5 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | NORFLK | NORFLK | Kill | Kyleigh Moore | set Jasmine Mataira | +0.7 |
| 12 | 4-8 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Serve err | NORFLK server | +0.6 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Kyleigh Moore | set Jasmine Mataira | +0.6 |
| 14 | 5-9 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Attack err | Jala Dixon | set Briana Ellis | +0.6 |
| 15 | 6-9 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Attack err | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +0.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NORFLK | NORFLK | Kill | Kyleigh Moore | set Jazeli Vandenburgh | +0.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +0.8 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Isis Castille | +0.8 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | BELLAR | NORFLK×3 | Attack err | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.7 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Kill | Isis Castille | set Nehir Erimez | +1.0 |
| 21 | 10-11 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Ace | NORFLK server | aced Ava Long | +1.2 |
| 22 | 10-12 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.1 |
| 23 | 10-13 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | BELLAR | NORFLK×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Nehir Erimez | +0.9 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Isis Castille | +1.3 |
| 26 | 13-13 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | +1.6 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Serve err | NORFLK server | +1.4 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.4 |
| 29 | 13-16 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mary Herman | +1.2 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | BELLAR | NORFLK×4 | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Nehir Erimez | +1.0 |
| 31 | 15-16 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Attack err | Mary Herman | +1.5 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Kill | Jala Dixon | set Jasmine Mataira | +1.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Jasmine Mataira | +2.3 |
| 34 | 17-17 | NORFLK | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.8 |
| 35 | 17-18 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Natalie Bland | +2.1 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Jasmine Mataira | +1.9 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Gabrielle Gilbert | blk Maddie Hagan, Mary Herman | +1.5 |
| 38 | 18-20 | BELLAR | NORFLK×8 | Attack err | Natalie Bland | blk Reagan Chisholm, Jala Dixon | +1.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | NORFLK | NORFLK×8 | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Jazeli Vandenburgh | +1.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | NORFLK | NORFLK×8 | Ace | NORFLK server | aced Abbie Lyttle | +2.6 |
| 41 | 21-20 | NORFLK | NORFLK×8 | Ace | NORFLK server | aced Payton Parsons | +3.3 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NORFLK | NORFLK×8 | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Natalie Bland | +3.7 |
| 43 | 23-20 | NORFLK | NORFLK×8 | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Jasmine Mataira | +3.5 |
| 44 | 24-20 | NORFLK | NORFLK×8 | Ace | NORFLK server | aced Abbie Lyttle | +2.5 |
| 45 | 25-20 | NORFLK | NORFLK×8 | Attack err | Natalie Bland | blk Reagan Chisholm, Jala Dixon | +1.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Attack err | Gabrielle Gilbert | blk Mary Herman, Maddie Hagan | +1.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Isis Castille | +1.7 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | +1.6 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | NORFLK | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +1.5 |
| 5 | 1-4 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Jazeli Vandenburgh | +1.6 |
| 6 | 1-5 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +1.3 |
| 7 | 1-6 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced TEAM | +1.1 |
| 8 | 1-7 | BELLAR | BELLAR×5 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Jazeli Vandenburgh | +0.9 |
| 9 | 2-7 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Nehir Erimez | +0.7 |
| 10 | 2-8 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.8 |
| 11 | 2-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Kyleigh Moore | +0.7 |
| 12 | 3-9 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Jasmine Mataira | set Kaden Sanders | +0.5 |
| 13 | 3-10 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.6 |
| 14 | 4-10 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Kyleigh Moore | set Jasmine Mataira | +0.5 |
| 15 | 4-11 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Serve err | NORFLK server | +0.6 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Kyleigh Moore | set Jasmine Mataira | +0.5 |
| 17 | 5-12 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +0.6 |
| 18 | 5-13 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Jazeli Vandenburgh | +0.5 |
| 19 | 6-13 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Ava Berry | set Kyleigh Moore | +0.3 |
| 20 | 6-14 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Attack err | Gabrielle Gilbert | blk Maddie Carnes, Mary Herman | +0.4 |
| 21 | 6-15 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 22 | 7-15 | BELLAR | NORFLK×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Nehir Erimez | +0.2 |
| 23 | 8-15 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Attack err | Mary Herman | +0.4 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Nehir Erimez | +0.5 |
| 25 | 9-16 | NORFLK | BELLAR×4 | Serve err | NORFLK server | +0.6 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Kaden Sanders | +0.4 |
| 27 | 9-18 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Gabrielle Gilbert | blk Mary Herman | +0.3 |
| 28 | 9-19 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +0.1 |
| 29 | 10-19 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Nehir Erimez | +0.1 |
| 30 | 10-20 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Attack err | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Jazeli Vandenburgh | +0.1 |
| 31 | 11-20 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Jazeli Vandenburgh | +0.1 |
| 32 | 11-21 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 12-21 | BELLAR | NORFLK×4 | Serve err | BELLAR server | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Ace | NORFLK server | aced Payton Parsons | +0.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Kill | Briana Ellis | set Jasmine Mataira | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Attack err | Natalie Bland | +0.3 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +0.4 |
| 38 | 16-22 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Attack err | Mady Yaden | blk Ava Berry, Briana Ellis | +0.2 |
| 39 | 16-23 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +0.3 |
| 40 | 16-24 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.1 |
| 41 | 16-25 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Nehir Erimez | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Ava Berry | set Nehir Erimez | +1.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Isis Castille | set Nehir Erimez | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Serve err | NORFLK server | +1.5 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +1.6 |
| 5 | 1-4 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Gabrielle Gilbert | +1.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Kyleigh Moore | set Nehir Erimez | +1.3 |
| 7 | 2-5 | NORFLK | BELLAR×6 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +1.3 |
| 8 | 2-6 | BELLAR | BELLAR×6 | Attack err | Isis Castille | +1.3 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | BELLAR | BELLAR×6 | Attack err | Kyleigh Moore | blk Erika Smith, Maddie Hagan | +1.0 |
| 10 | 2-8 | BELLAR | BELLAR×6 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Abbie Lyttle | +0.8 |
| 11 | 2-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR×6 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Abbie Lyttle | +0.6 |
| 12 | 2-10 | BELLAR | BELLAR×6 | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +0.5 |
| 13 | 3-10 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Serve err | BELLAR server | +0.3 | |
| 14 | 3-11 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Abbie Lyttle | +0.4 | |
| 15 | 3-12 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Kyleigh Moore | +0.3 |
| 16 | 3-13 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | Kyleigh Moore | blk Erika Smith, Maddie Carnes | +0.2 |
| 17 | 4-13 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Jasmine Mataira | +0.1 |
| 18 | 4-14 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Jasmine Mataira | +0.2 |
| 19 | 5-14 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Jasmine Mataira | +0.1 |
| 20 | 5-15 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.2 |
| 21 | 5-16 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Jala Dixon | +0.1 |
| 22 | 5-17 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Abby Julius | +0.1 |
| 23 | 6-17 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Serve err | BELLAR server | +0.0 | |
| 24 | 6-18 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +0.0 |
| 25 | 7-18 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Isis Castille | set Nehir Erimez | +0.0 |
| 26 | 7-19 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | Kyleigh Moore | set Nehir Erimez | +0.0 |
| 27 | 7-20 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Attack err | Ava Berry | blk Mary Herman | +0.0 |
| 28 | 7-21 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Gabrielle Gilbert | +0.0 |
| 29 | 8-21 | BELLAR | NORFLK×3 | Serve err | BELLAR server | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 9-21 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 10-21 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Attack err | Natalie Bland | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 10-22 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +0.0 |
| 33 | 10-23 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 10-24 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Erika Smith | set Abbie Lyttle | +0.0 |
| 35 | 11-24 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Serve err | BELLAR server | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 11-25 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Attack err | Kyleigh Moore | set Jazeli Vandenburgh | +0.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Jasmine Mataira | +1.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Attack err | Mady Yaden | blk Kyleigh Moore, Reagan Chisholm | +1.8 |
| 3 | 3-0 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Attack err | Maddie Hagan | blk Kyleigh Moore, Isis Castille, Reagan Chisholm | +1.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.4 |
| 5 | 4-1 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Reagan Chisholm | set Jasmine Mataira | +1.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Serve err | NORFLK server | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Erika Smith | set Gabrielle Gilbert | +1.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Erika Smith | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Serve err | BELLAR server | +1.6 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +1.4 |
| 11 | 5-6 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Attack err | Isis Castille | +1.5 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | BELLAR | NORFLK×3 | Attack err | Erika Smith | blk Ava Berry, Kyleigh Moore | +1.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Attack err | Natalie Bland | +1.9 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | NORFLK | NORFLK×3 | Attack err | Erika Smith | blk Gabrielle Gilbert, Ava Berry | +2.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Attack err | Ava Berry | blk Erika Smith, Natalie Bland | +1.6 |
| 16 | 9-7 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Jasmine Mataira | +1.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NORFLK | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Isis Castille | +1.9 |
| 19 | 9-10 | BELLAR | BELLAR×3 | Kill | Mary Herman | set Maddie Carnes | +1.8 |
| 20 | 10-10 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Attack err | Mady Yaden | set Natalie Bland | +1.7 |
| 21 | 10-11 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Mady Yaden | set Maddie Carnes | +1.6 |
| 22 | 11-11 | BELLAR | NORFLK×4 | Bad set | Maddie Carnes | +1.8 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Attack err | Mary Herman | +2.3 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Attack err | Mady Yaden | blk Isis Castille, Reagan Chisholm | +2.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Kill | Jasmine Mataira | +2.8 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Maddie Hagan | set Maddie Carnes | +2.0 |
| 27 | 15-12 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Serve err | BELLAR server | +2.5 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +2.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | BELLAR | BELLAR | Ace | BELLAR server | aced Jazeli Vandenburgh | +2.6 |
| 30 | 16-14 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Jasmine Mataira | +2.7 |
| 31 | 16-15 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +2.3 |
| 32 | 17-15 | BELLAR | NORFLK×4 | Attack err | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +2.8 |
| 33 | 18-15 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Kill | Ava Berry | +3.4 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Ace | NORFLK server | aced Ava Long | +3.2 |
| 35 | 20-15 | NORFLK | NORFLK×4 | Attack err | Natalie Bland | blk Ava Berry, Jasmine Mataira | +2.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Kill | Erika Smith | set Maddie Carnes | +1.5 |
| 37 | 21-16 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Jazeli Vandenburgh | +2.4 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NORFLK | BELLAR×4 | Serve err | NORFLK server | +1.4 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.2 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Reagan Chisholm | +2.9 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Maddie Carnes | set Ava Long | +3.7 |
| 42 | 22-20 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Serve err | BELLAR server | +4.4 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | NORFLK | BELLAR | Serve err | NORFLK server | +3.3 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | BELLAR | NORFLK | Kill | Gabrielle Gilbert | set Jasmine Mataira | +5.0 |
| 45 | 23-22 | NORFLK | BELLAR×4 | Serve err | NORFLK server | +3.6 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Attack err | Kyleigh Moore | blk Maddie Hagan, Mary Herman | +5.9 |
| 47 | 23-24 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Mary Herman | +6.8 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | BELLAR | BELLAR×4 | Kill | Natalie Bland | set Maddie Carnes | +5.5 |
Score shown after each rally, Norfolk St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.