CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Bellarmine def. Norfolk St. 31

(20-25, 25-16, 25-11, 25-23)
Set1*23*4*Sets
NORFLK251611231
BELLAR202525253
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BELLAR above 50 · NORFLK below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100BELLARNORFLKBiggest swing +6.8% BELLAR · S4 23-24rally 170 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Bellarmine — set 4, NORFLK 23-24 BELLAR. Kill by Mary Herman. BELLAR win probability 88%94%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NORFLK 10.9%89.1% BELLAR

Norfolk St. wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.1%

Bellarmine wins

3-0
43.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%
NORFLK break %
41.5% vs this opp
BELLAR break %
51.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Mary HermanKill+6.8%

    Kill by Mary Herman

    Set 4 · NORFLK 23-24 BELLAR · BELLAR 88%94%

  2. 02
    Kyleigh MooreAttack error+5.9%

    Kyleigh Moore stuffed by Maddie Hagan & Mary Herman

    Set 4 · NORFLK 23-23 BELLAR · BELLAR 82%88%

  3. 03
    Natalie BlandKill+5.5%

    Kill by Natalie Bland (set by Maddie Carnes)

    Set 4 · NORFLK 23-25 BELLAR · BELLAR 94%100%

  4. 04

    Kill by Gabrielle Gilbert (set by Jasmine Mataira)

    Set 4 · NORFLK 23-21 BELLAR · NORFLK 17%22%

  5. 05
    BELLAR serverService error+4.4%

    Bellarmine service error

    Set 4 · NORFLK 22-20 BELLAR · NORFLK 16%20%

  6. 06

    Kill by Reagan Chisholm (set by Natalie Bland)

    Set 1 · NORFLK 22-20 BELLAR · NORFLK 17%20%

  7. 07
    Maddie CarnesKill+3.7%

    Kill by Maddie Carnes (set by Ava Long)

    Set 4 · NORFLK 21-20 BELLAR · BELLAR 81%84%

  8. 08
    NORFLK serverService error+3.6%

    Norfolk St. service error

    Set 4 · NORFLK 23-22 BELLAR · BELLAR 78%82%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412540.175032112010.515.5
411117.58800100052.513.5
46530.03311073031.58.5
43518-.111100510214
4238-.125000100424
4001.0001000600000
4224.000000010213
4214.250150170010.52.5
4104.25000100010.51.5
4000110710001
4000010000001
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
40006041940000
4000000000000
Team totals3922126.135346963130199.575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412743.116000130010.512.5
412636.1670003000012
49319.31600020031.510.5
44310.1001232024410
47121.286000100429
4306.50033011300214
41011.0003721120008
4001.000132200003
4001.000111520001
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000720000
4000000000000
Team totals4820138.20339139596214995

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 NORFLK · BELLAR 6

Set 1*

25-20

Longest run 8 NORFLKBELLAR 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 NORFLKBELLAR 5

Set 3*

11-25

Longest run 3 NORFLKBELLAR 6

Set 4*

23-25

Longest run 4 NORFLKBELLAR 4

Bars above the line = Bellarmine leads, below = Norfolk St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Norfolk St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%2/4
0%0/2
2
22%2/9
50%2/4
3
67%2/3
0%0/2
4
100%2/2
0%0/2
5
100%2/2
60%3/5
6
25%1/4
0%0/2
All
46%11/24
29%5/17

Bellarmine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%2/2
75%3/4
2
50%2/4
50%2/4
3
100%2/2
78%7/9
4
100%2/2
33%1/3
5
40%2/5
0%0/2
6
100%2/2
0%0/2
All
71%12/17
54%13/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

170 rallies

Rally log

#NORFLK-BELLARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BELLARNORFLKAttack errMady Yaden+1.0
21-1NORFLKBELLAR×4Serve errNORFLK server+0.9
31-2BELLARBELLAR×4KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.0
41-3BELLARBELLAR×4KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.9
51-4BELLARBELLAR×4KillMady Yadenset Mary Herman+0.8
62-4BELLARNORFLKKillIsis Castilleset Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.7
72-5NORFLKBELLAR×3KillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+0.7
82-6BELLARBELLAR×3AceBELLAR serveraced Kyleigh Moore+0.7
92-7BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errJala Dixon+0.6
103-7BELLARNORFLKKillKyleigh Moore+0.5
114-7NORFLKNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+0.7
124-8NORFLKBELLARServe errNORFLK server+0.6
135-8BELLARNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+0.6
145-9NORFLKBELLARAttack errJala Dixonset Briana Ellis+0.6
156-9BELLARNORFLKAttack errErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.6
167-9NORFLKNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.9
177-10NORFLKBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.8
187-11BELLARBELLARAttack errIsis Castille+0.8
198-11BELLARNORFLK×3Attack errMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.7
209-11NORFLKNORFLK×3KillIsis Castilleset Nehir Erimez+1.0
2110-11NORFLKNORFLK×3AceNORFLK serveraced Ava Long+1.2
2210-12NORFLKBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.1
2310-13BELLARBELLARFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.1
2411-13BELLARNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Nehir Erimez+0.9
2512-13NORFLKNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Isis Castille+1.3
2613-13NORFLKNORFLK×3KillReagan Chisholm+1.6
2713-14NORFLKBELLAR×3Serve errNORFLK server+1.4
2813-15BELLARBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.4
2913-16BELLARBELLAR×3KillMary Herman+1.2
3014-16BELLARNORFLK×4KillGabrielle Gilbertset Nehir Erimez+1.0
3115-16NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errMary Herman+1.5
3216-16NORFLKNORFLK×4KillJala Dixonset Jasmine Mataira+1.9
3317-16NORFLKNORFLK×4KillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+2.3
3417-17NORFLKBELLAR×4KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.8
3517-18BELLARBELLAR×4KillNatalie Bland+2.1
3617-19BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errJasmine Mataira+1.9
3717-20BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errGabrielle Gilbertblk Maddie Hagan, Mary Herman+1.5
3818-20BELLARNORFLK×8Attack errNatalie Blandblk Reagan Chisholm, Jala Dixon+1.1
3919-20NORFLKNORFLK×8KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jazeli Vandenburgh+1.9
4020-20NORFLKNORFLK×8AceNORFLK serveraced Abbie Lyttle+2.6
4121-20NORFLKNORFLK×8AceNORFLK serveraced Payton Parsons+3.3
4222-20NORFLKNORFLK×8KillReagan Chisholmset Natalie Bland+3.7
4323-20NORFLKNORFLK×8KillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+3.5
4424-20NORFLKNORFLK×8AceNORFLK serveraced Abbie Lyttle+2.5
4525-20NORFLKNORFLK×8Attack errNatalie Blandblk Reagan Chisholm, Jala Dixon+1.0
Set 2
10-1NORFLKBELLARAttack errGabrielle Gilbertblk Mary Herman, Maddie Hagan+1.6
20-2BELLARBELLARAttack errIsis Castille+1.7
31-2BELLARNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbert+1.6
41-3NORFLKBELLAR×5KillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+1.5
51-4BELLARBELLAR×5AceBELLAR serveraced Jazeli Vandenburgh+1.6
61-5BELLARBELLAR×5KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.3
71-6BELLARBELLAR×5AceBELLAR serveraced TEAM+1.1
81-7BELLARBELLAR×5AceBELLAR serveraced Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.9
92-7BELLARNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Nehir Erimez+0.7
102-8NORFLKBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.8
112-9BELLARBELLARAceBELLAR serveraced Kyleigh Moore+0.7
123-9BELLARNORFLKKillJasmine Matairaset Kaden Sanders+0.5
133-10NORFLKBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.6
144-10BELLARNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+0.5
154-11NORFLKBELLARServe errNORFLK server+0.6
165-11BELLARNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+0.5
175-12NORFLKBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.6
185-13BELLARBELLARAceBELLAR serveraced Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.5
196-13BELLARNORFLKKillAva Berryset Kyleigh Moore+0.3
206-14NORFLKBELLARAttack errGabrielle Gilbertblk Maddie Carnes, Mary Herman+0.4
216-15BELLARBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.3
227-15BELLARNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Nehir Erimez+0.2
238-15NORFLKNORFLK×3Attack errMary Herman+0.4
249-15NORFLKNORFLK×3KillReagan Chisholmset Nehir Erimez+0.5
259-16NORFLKBELLAR×4Serve errNORFLK server+0.6
269-17BELLARBELLAR×4AceBELLAR serveraced Kaden Sanders+0.4
279-18BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errGabrielle Gilbertblk Mary Herman+0.3
289-19BELLARBELLAR×4KillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.1
2910-19BELLARNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Nehir Erimez+0.1
3010-20NORFLKBELLARAttack errGabrielle Gilbertset Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.1
3111-20BELLARNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.1
3211-21NORFLKBELLARKillNatalie Bland+0.1
3312-21BELLARNORFLK×4Serve errBELLAR server+0.0
3413-21NORFLKNORFLK×4AceNORFLK serveraced Payton Parsons+0.1
3514-21NORFLKNORFLK×4KillBriana Ellisset Jasmine Mataira+0.1
3615-21NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errNatalie Bland+0.3
3715-22NORFLKBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.4
3816-22BELLARNORFLKAttack errMady Yadenblk Ava Berry, Briana Ellis+0.2
3916-23NORFLKBELLAR×3KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.3
4016-24BELLARBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.1
4116-25BELLARBELLAR×3KillMaddie Carnesset Nehir Erimez+0.0
Set 3
10-1BELLARBELLARAttack errAva Berryset Nehir Erimez+1.8
21-1BELLARNORFLKKillIsis Castilleset Nehir Erimez+1.7
31-2NORFLKBELLAR×3Serve errNORFLK server+1.5
41-3BELLARBELLAR×3KillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+1.6
51-4BELLARBELLAR×3AceBELLAR serveraced Gabrielle Gilbert+1.4
62-4BELLARNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Nehir Erimez+1.3
72-5NORFLKBELLAR×6KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.3
82-6BELLARBELLAR×6Attack errIsis Castille+1.3
92-7BELLARBELLAR×6Attack errKyleigh Mooreblk Erika Smith, Maddie Hagan+1.0
102-8BELLARBELLAR×6KillNatalie Blandset Abbie Lyttle+0.8
112-9BELLARBELLAR×6KillNatalie Blandset Abbie Lyttle+0.6
122-10BELLARBELLAR×6KillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+0.5
133-10BELLARNORFLKServe errBELLAR server+0.3
143-11NORFLKBELLAR×3KillAbbie Lyttle+0.4
153-12BELLARBELLAR×3AceBELLAR serveraced Kyleigh Moore+0.3
163-13BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errKyleigh Mooreblk Erika Smith, Maddie Carnes+0.2
174-13BELLARNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+0.1
184-14NORFLKBELLARKillMaddie Carnesset Jasmine Mataira+0.2
195-14BELLARNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+0.1
205-15NORFLKBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.2
215-16BELLARBELLAR×3AceBELLAR serveraced Jala Dixon+0.1
225-17BELLARBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Abby Julius+0.1
236-17BELLARNORFLKServe errBELLAR server+0.0
246-18NORFLKBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.0
257-18BELLARNORFLKKillIsis Castilleset Nehir Erimez+0.0
267-19NORFLKBELLAR×3Attack errKyleigh Mooreset Nehir Erimez+0.0
277-20BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errAva Berryblk Mary Herman+0.0
287-21BELLARBELLAR×3AceBELLAR serveraced Gabrielle Gilbert+0.0
298-21BELLARNORFLK×3Serve errBELLAR server+0.0
309-21NORFLKNORFLK×3KillReagan Chisholm+0.0
3110-21NORFLKNORFLK×3Attack errNatalie Bland+0.0
3210-22NORFLKBELLAR×3KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+0.0
3310-23BELLARBELLAR×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
3410-24BELLARBELLAR×3KillErika Smithset Abbie Lyttle+0.0
3511-24BELLARNORFLKServe errBELLAR server+0.0
3611-25NORFLKBELLARAttack errKyleigh Mooreset Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.0
Set 4
11-0NORFLKNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.6
22-0NORFLKNORFLK×3Attack errMady Yadenblk Kyleigh Moore, Reagan Chisholm+1.8
33-0NORFLKNORFLK×3Attack errMaddie Haganblk Kyleigh Moore, Isis Castille, Reagan Chisholm+1.9
43-1NORFLKBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.4
54-1BELLARNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+1.7
64-2NORFLKBELLAR×3Serve errNORFLK server+1.5
74-3BELLARBELLAR×3KillErika Smithset Gabrielle Gilbert+1.7
84-4BELLARBELLAR×3KillErika Smith+1.6
95-4BELLARNORFLKServe errBELLAR server+1.6
105-5NORFLKBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+1.4
115-6BELLARBELLARAttack errIsis Castille+1.5
126-6BELLARNORFLK×3Attack errErika Smithblk Ava Berry, Kyleigh Moore+1.4
137-6NORFLKNORFLK×3Attack errNatalie Bland+1.9
148-6NORFLKNORFLK×3Attack errErika Smithblk Gabrielle Gilbert, Ava Berry+2.1
158-7NORFLKBELLARAttack errAva Berryblk Erika Smith, Natalie Bland+1.6
169-7BELLARNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.9
179-8NORFLKBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.7
189-9BELLARBELLAR×3AceBELLAR serveraced Isis Castille+1.9
199-10BELLARBELLAR×3KillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+1.8
2010-10BELLARNORFLKAttack errMady Yadenset Natalie Bland+1.7
2110-11NORFLKBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.6
2211-11BELLARNORFLK×4Bad setMaddie Carnes+1.8
2312-11NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errMary Herman+2.3
2413-11NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errMady Yadenblk Isis Castille, Reagan Chisholm+2.6
2514-11NORFLKNORFLK×4KillJasmine Mataira+2.8
2614-12NORFLKBELLARKillMaddie Haganset Maddie Carnes+2.0
2715-12BELLARNORFLKServe errBELLAR server+2.5
2815-13NORFLKBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.1
2915-14BELLARBELLARAceBELLAR serveraced Jazeli Vandenburgh+2.6
3016-14BELLARNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.7
3116-15NORFLKBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+2.3
3217-15BELLARNORFLK×4Attack errNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.8
3318-15NORFLKNORFLK×4KillAva Berry+3.4
3419-15NORFLKNORFLK×4AceNORFLK serveraced Ava Long+3.2
3520-15NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errNatalie Blandblk Ava Berry, Jasmine Mataira+2.8
3620-16NORFLKBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.5
3721-16BELLARNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jazeli Vandenburgh+2.4
3821-17NORFLKBELLAR×4Serve errNORFLK server+1.4
3921-18BELLARBELLAR×4Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.2
4021-19BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errReagan Chisholm+2.9
4121-20BELLARBELLAR×4KillMaddie Carnesset Ava Long+3.7
4222-20BELLARNORFLKServe errBELLAR server+4.4
4322-21NORFLKBELLARServe errNORFLK server+3.3
4423-21BELLARNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+5.0
4523-22NORFLKBELLAR×4Serve errNORFLK server+3.6
4623-23BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errKyleigh Mooreblk Maddie Hagan, Mary Herman+5.9
4723-24BELLARBELLAR×4KillMary Herman+6.8
4823-25BELLARBELLAR×4KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+5.5

Score shown after each rally, Norfolk St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.