FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayMEAC

0:3

HomeBIG-SOUTH

Radford def. Norfolk St. 3–0

(25-23, 24-15, 28-26)

Set	1	2*	3*	Sets
NORFLK	23	15	26	0
RADFRD	25	24	28	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

RADFRD above 50 · NORFLK below

Biggest swing: 7.4% to Radford — set 1, NORFLK 23-24 RADFRD. Attack error by Gabrielle Gilbert. RADFRD win probability 75% → 82%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NORFLK 21.1%78.9% RADFRD

Norfolk St. wins

3-0

3.5%

3-1

7.1%

3-2

10.6%

Radford wins

3-0

30.4%

3-1

29.9%

3-2

18.5%

NORFLK break %: 41.7% vs this opp
RADFRD break %: 47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Gabrielle GilbertAttack error+7.4%
Attack error by Gabrielle Gilbert
Set 1 · NORFLK 23-24 RADFRD · RADFRD 75% → 82%
02
Macie PotterKill+6.4%
Kill by Macie Potter
Set 1 · NORFLK 23-25 RADFRD · RADFRD 82% → 89%
03
Aubrey HatchKill+6.1%
Kill by Aubrey Hatch (set by Taryn Roberts)
Set 1 · NORFLK 23-23 RADFRD · RADFRD 69% → 75%
04
Taryn RobertsAttack error+5.7%
Attack error by Taryn Roberts
Set 1 · NORFLK 23-21 RADFRD · NORFLK 29% → 35%
05
Gabrielle GilbertAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by Gabrielle Gilbert
Set 1 · NORFLK 21-21 RADFRD · RADFRD 71% → 75%
06
Gabrielle GilbertKill+4.4%
Kill by Gabrielle Gilbert (set by Jazeli Vandenburgh)
Set 1 · NORFLK 22-21 RADFRD · NORFLK 25% → 29%
07
RADFRD serverAce+3.7%
Radford ace on Kaden Sanders
Set 1 · NORFLK 21-20 RADFRD · RADFRD 67% → 71%
08
Reagan ChisholmKill+3.5%
Kill by Reagan Chisholm (set by Jazeli Vandenburgh)
Set 1 · NORFLK 19-16 RADFRD · NORFLK 30% → 33%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Norfolk St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Gabrielle GilbertOH	3	16	6	43	.233	1	0	1	3	7	0	2	1	17
4Kyleigh MooreOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	5
7Isis CastilleOH	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
13Reagan ChisholmMB	3	1	0	6	.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	2
22Ava BerryMB	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
9Nehir ErimezS	3	1	0	1	1.000	11	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
24Jala DixonMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
3Jazeli VandenburghL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	3	2	10	3	0	0	0	3
2Jasmine MatairaS	3	1	0	4	.250	12	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
10Briana EllisMB	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
8Aliyah TorresL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Kaden SandersOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	0
19Kailia PhillipsOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	11	92	.217	28	4	5	32	13	1	9	5.5	64

Radfordhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Addison CunnaginOH	3	12	4	21	.381	1	6	3	7	1	0	0	0	18
25Maja BochenekMB	3	11	5	20	.300	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	11
18Taryn RobertsMB	3	7	3	16	.250	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
2Macie PotterOH	3	7	3	25	.160	0	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	7
24Aubrey HatchOH	3	3	3	7	.000	1	0	2	7	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
22Lea GageS	3	0	0	3	.000	26	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
10Katrina MillerOH	3	9	1	17	.471	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	9
1Mia JannazzoOH	3	0	0	1	.000	2	3	3	13	1	0	0	0	3
7Rose WhitemountainDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
14Ela ShepherdS	3	0	0	0	–	12	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
6Alyssa CadavidS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	19	110	.273	45	13	9	43	4	1	2	2	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NORFLK · RADFRD 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 NORFLKRADFRD 5

Set 2*

15-24

Longest run 3 NORFLKRADFRD 6

Set 3*

26-28

Longest run 3 NORFLKRADFRD 4

Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = Norfolk St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Norfolk St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%2/3	50%2/4
2	50%2/4	50%2/4
3	33%2/6	50%2/4
4	33%2/6	67%4/6
5	25%1/4	60%3/5
6	100%1/1	0%0/1
All	42%10/24	54%13/24

Radford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%2/4	0%0/1
2	50%2/4	33%1/3
3	50%2/4	50%2/4
4	33%2/6	67%4/6
5	40%2/5	67%4/6
6	100%1/1	75%3/4
All	46%11/24	58%14/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

141 rallies

Rally log

#	NORFLK-RADFRD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Aubrey Hatch		+1.8
2	1-1	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.4
3	1-2	RADFRD	RADFRD	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+1.7
4	2-2	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Nehir Erimez	+1.4
5	2-3	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.4
6	2-4	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+1.6
7	3-4	RADFRD	NORFLK×3	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+1.3
8	4-4	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Kyleigh Moore		+1.8
9	5-4	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+2.0
10	5-5	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+1.6
11	6-5	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.7
12	7-5	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Macie Potter		+2.2
13	7-6	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Aubrey Hatch	+1.7
14	8-6	RADFRD	NORFLK×3	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.9
15	9-6	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Jala Dixon	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.4
16	10-6	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Macie Potter	blk Jala Dixon, Ava Berry, Gabrielle Gilbert	+2.4
17	10-7	NORFLK	RADFRD	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.6
18	11-7	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Jala Dixon	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.0
19	11-8	NORFLK	RADFRD	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.6
20	12-8	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+2.1
21	13-8	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Aubrey Hatch		+2.3
22	13-9	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.5
23	14-9	RADFRD	NORFLK×3	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Nehir Erimez	+2.0
24	15-9	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Macie Potter	+2.1
25	16-9	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Addison Cunnagin	+1.7
26	16-10	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+0.9
27	16-11	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.5
28	17-11	RADFRD	NORFLK	Serve err	RADFRD server		+1.7
29	17-12	NORFLK	RADFRD×5	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.1
30	17-13	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.8
31	17-14	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+2.2
32	17-15	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+2.6
33	17-16	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+3.0
34	18-16	RADFRD	NORFLK×4	Serve err	RADFRD server		+2.9
35	19-16	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Kill	Reagan Chisholm	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+3.5
36	20-16	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Attack err	Maja Bochenek	blk Gabrielle Gilbert, Reagan Chisholm	+3.1
37	21-16	NORFLK	NORFLK×4	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+2.4
38	21-17	NORFLK	RADFRD×5	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Mia Jannazzo	+1.1
39	21-18	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Jazeli Vandenburgh	+2.0
40	21-19	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.8
41	21-20	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Kaden Sanders	+3.7
42	21-21	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+4.5
43	22-21	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+4.4
44	23-21	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Taryn Roberts		+5.7
45	23-22	NORFLK	RADFRD×4	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Ela Shepherd	+3.3
46	23-23	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Taryn Roberts	+6.1
47	23-24	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+7.4
48	23-25	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Macie Potter		+6.4
Set 2
1	1-0	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+1.1
2	2-0	NORFLK	NORFLK	Bad set	Mia Jannazzo		+1.5
3	2-1	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.1
4	3-1	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Isis Castille	set Nehir Erimez	+1.3
5	3-2	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+1.1
6	4-2	RADFRD	NORFLK×3	Kill	Nehir Erimez	set Gabrielle Gilbert	+1.3
7	5-2	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Maja Bochenek	blk Jala Dixon, Reagan Chisholm	+1.6
8	6-2	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+1.6
9	6-3	NORFLK	RADFRD×3	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Ela Shepherd	+1.1
10	6-4	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Ela Shepherd	+1.5
11	6-5	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+1.5
12	7-5	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Jala Dixon	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.4
13	8-5	NORFLK	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.8
14	8-6	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Ela Shepherd	+1.3
15	8-7	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Rose Whitemountain	+1.6
16	9-7	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.5
17	9-8	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Ela Shepherd	+1.3
18	9-9	RADFRD	RADFRD	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Kaden Sanders	+1.7
19	10-9	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Jala Dixon	set Jasmine Mataira	+1.5
20	10-10	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.4
21	11-10	RADFRD	NORFLK	Attack err	Taryn Roberts		+1.5
22	11-11	NORFLK	RADFRD×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert	blk Taryn Roberts	+1.4
23	11-12	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Attack err	Ava Berry		+1.8
24	11-13	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Kyleigh Moore	+1.6
25	11-14	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.4
26	11-15	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+1.2
27	12-15	RADFRD	NORFLK	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.9
28	13-15	NORFLK	NORFLK	Attack err	Maja Bochenek		+1.4
29	13-16	NORFLK	RADFRD×3	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+1.2
30	13-17	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+1.3
31	13-18	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Nehir Erimez	+0.9
32	14-18	RADFRD	NORFLK	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.6
33	15-18	NORFLK	NORFLK	Ace	NORFLK server	aced Mia Jannazzo	+1.0
34	15-19	NORFLK	RADFRD×6	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Ela Shepherd	+1.1
35	15-20	RADFRD	RADFRD×6	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Ela Shepherd	+0.9
36	15-21	RADFRD	RADFRD×6	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+0.6
37	15-22	RADFRD	RADFRD×6	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Gabrielle Gilbert	+0.3
38	15-23	RADFRD	RADFRD×6	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Ela Shepherd	+0.1
39	15-24	RADFRD	RADFRD×6	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Addison Cunnagin	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	NORFLK	RADFRD	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.5
2	0-2	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+0.6
3	1-2	RADFRD	NORFLK	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.5
4	2-2	NORFLK	NORFLK	Serve err	NORFLK server		+0.7
5	2-3	NORFLK	RADFRD	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
6	3-3	RADFRD	NORFLK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
7	4-3	NORFLK	NORFLK	Kill	Isis Castille	set Nehir Erimez	+0.8
8	4-4	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Ela Shepherd	+0.6
9	5-4	RADFRD	NORFLK	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.7
10	5-5	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Ela Shepherd	+0.6
11	6-5	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.7
12	6-6	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Ela Shepherd	+0.6
13	7-6	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.7
14	7-7	NORFLK	RADFRD×3	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+0.7
15	7-8	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Attack err	Isis Castille		+0.8
16	7-9	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+0.7
17	8-9	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+0.6
18	8-10	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.6
19	8-11	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+0.7
20	9-11	RADFRD	NORFLK	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.5
21	9-12	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.6
22	10-12	RADFRD	NORFLK	Attack err	Isis Castille		+0.5
23	11-12	NORFLK	NORFLK	Kill	Jasmine Mataira	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.8
24	11-13	NORFLK	RADFRD×4	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Ela Shepherd	+0.7
25	11-14	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Macie Potter	set Mia Jannazzo	+0.8
26	11-15	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
27	11-16	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
28	12-16	RADFRD	NORFLK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
29	12-17	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Ela Shepherd	+0.4
30	13-17	RADFRD	NORFLK×3	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.3
31	14-17	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
32	15-17	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Kaden Sanders	+0.8
33	15-18	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Katrina Miller	set Ela Shepherd	+0.7
34	16-18	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jasmine Mataira	+0.6
35	17-18	NORFLK	NORFLK	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.0
36	17-19	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+0.9
37	18-19	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Jazeli Vandenburgh	+0.9
38	18-20	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.0
39	19-20	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Kyleigh Moore	set Nehir Erimez	+0.9
40	19-21	NORFLK	RADFRD	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
41	20-21	RADFRD	NORFLK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.0
42	20-22	NORFLK	RADFRD	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+1.2
43	21-22	RADFRD	NORFLK	Serve err	RADFRD server		+1.0
44	21-23	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.4
45	21-24	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.2
46	22-24	RADFRD	NORFLK×3	Attack err	Kyleigh Moore		+0.4
47	23-24	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Serve err	NORFLK server		+1.2
48	24-24	NORFLK	NORFLK×3	Serve err	NORFLK server		+2.9
49	24-25	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+2.4
50	25-25	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Briana Ellis	set Nehir Erimez	+2.4
51	25-26	NORFLK	RADFRD	Attack err	Gabrielle Gilbert		+2.4
52	26-26	RADFRD	NORFLK	Kill	Gabrielle Gilbert	set Nehir Erimez	+2.4
53	26-27	NORFLK	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+2.4
54	26-28	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+2.6

Score shown after each rally, Norfolk St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.