Norfolk St. at Chattanooga

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

NORFLK 25.5%74.5% CHAT

Norfolk St. wins

3-0

4.5%

3-1

8.8%

3-2

12.2%

Chattanooga wins

3-0

26.6%

3-1

28.5%

3-2

19.4%

NORFLK break %: 44.2% vs this opp
CHAT break %: 49.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.