Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

Norfolk St. def. UMES 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Norfolk St. 74.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Norfolk St. beat visiting UMES 3-1 (30-32, 26-24, 25-16, 25-11) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Norfolk St.'s Gabrielle Gilbert led with 21 kills, and Jazeli Vandenburgh added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
UMES322416111
NORFLK302625253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Gabrielle Gilbert, and Norfolk St. needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Norfolk St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Norfolk St. 74% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · UMES 29–30 Norfolk St.

    UMES scored 3 straight to turn a 29–30 deficit into a 32–30 lead.

    Norfolk St. 78% → 53%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · UMES 20–23 Norfolk St.

    UMES scored 3 straight to erase a 20–23 deficit and tie it at 23.

    Norfolk St. 66% → 51%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 2 · UMES 23–23 Norfolk St.

    Norfolk St. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and level the match at 1–1.

    Norfolk St. 51% → 69%

Norfolk St. above 50UMES belowMax swing 9.8%

UMESNorfolk St.

Sideout %
UMES 53.3·Norfolk St. 67.9
Break %
UMES 32.1·Norfolk St. 46.7
Hitting
UMES .135·Norfolk St. .319
Longest run
UMES 5·Norfolk St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Norfolk St. above 50 · UMES below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.8% UMESrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.8% to UMES — set 1, UMES 32-30 NORFLK. Attack error by Isis Castille. NORFLK win probability 63% → 53%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMES 13.3%86.7% NORFLK

UMES wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%

Norfolk St. wins

3-0
39.4%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%
UMES break %
40.5% vs this opp
NORFLK break %
49.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Isis CastilleAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Isis Castille

    Set 1 · UMES 32-30 NORFLK · UMES 37% → 47%

  2. 02

    Kill by Gabrielle Gilbert (set by Jasmine Mataira)

    Set 2 · UMES 24-26 NORFLK · NORFLK 59% → 69%

  3. 03
    Kyleigh MooreKill+8.9%

    Kill by Kyleigh Moore (set by Jasmine Mataira)

    Set 2 · UMES 23-24 NORFLK · NORFLK 51% → 59%

  4. 04

    Kill by Karielys Melendez (set by Arianna Warner Torres)

    Set 2 · UMES 24-24 NORFLK · UMES 41% → 49%

  5. 05
    Jayda HutchinsAttack error+8.9%

    Attack error by Jayda Hutchins

    Set 2 · UMES 24-25 NORFLK · NORFLK 51% → 59%

  6. 06
    Kyleigh MooreAttack error+8.8%

    Attack error by Kyleigh Moore

    Set 1 · UMES 25-24 NORFLK · UMES 28% → 37%

  7. 07

    Kyleigh Moore stuffed by Malaysia Shaw & Rayah Howell

    Set 1 · UMES 31-30 NORFLK · UMES 28% → 37%

  8. 08
    Rayah HowellKill+8.3%

    Kill by Rayah Howell (set by Jayda Hutchins)

    Set 2 · UMES 23-23 NORFLK · UMES 41% → 49%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMESaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414629.27600000132.516.5
481137-.081411710009
49523.174000400009
47625.0402210700008
46310.300012300218
45015.33300010111.56.5
41011.0003011740001
4000–0001130000
3001.0001801400000
2000–110010001
1000–000100000
Team totals5031141.1354845551026583
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421540.40004112212227
4709.77800000435.512.5
411539.1544137000012
46012.50000000435.511.5
44010.4004611500216
2227.000000100002
48219.316103810219
4000–031200003
4012-.5005121310001
Team totals5915138.31956101148491215106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UMES vs Norfolk St.

Season series · Norfolk St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UMES · NORFLK 5

Set 1

32-30

Longest run 5 UMESNORFLK 4

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 4 UMESNORFLK 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 UMESNORFLK 4

Set 4

11-25

Longest run 2 UMESNORFLK 5

Bars above the line = Norfolk St. leads, below = UMES leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMES

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
33%5/15
2
52%11/21
27%4/15
3
60%9/15
33%5/15
4
43%9/21
47%8/17
5
47%8/17
10%1/10
6
67%8/12
33%4/12
All
53%56/105
32%27/84

Norfolk St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
44%8/18
2
85%11/13
39%7/18
3
56%9/16
44%8/18
4
64%9/14
63%15/24
5
67%8/12
38%5/13
6
80%8/10
43%6/14
All
68%57/84
47%49/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#UMES-NORFLKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UMESUMESBlockedGabrielle Gilbertblk Dynasty Andrews, Rayah Howell+2.0
21-1UMESNORFLKAttack errShayla Henry+1.6
32-1NORFLKUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+1.7
43-1UMESUMESAttack errIsis Castille+2.2
53-2UMESNORFLKKillIsis Castilleset Jasmine Mataira+1.7
64-2NORFLKUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Jayda Hutchins+1.9
75-2UMESUMESAceUMESaced Gabrielle Gilbert+2.3
85-3UMESNORFLKKillIsis Castilleset Jasmine Mataira+1.7
96-3NORFLKUMES×5KillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+1.9
107-3UMESUMES×5Attack errCatori Crawford+2.3
118-3UMESUMES×5KillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+2.2
129-3UMESUMES×5Attack errKyleigh Moore+2.1
1310-3UMESUMES×5KillKarielys Melendezset Kate - Linh Eden+1.8
1410-4UMESNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jazeli Vandenburgh+1.2
1510-5NORFLKNORFLKBlockedKarielys Melendezblk Gabrielle Gilbert, Reagan Chisholm+1.7
1611-5NORFLKUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+1.7
1711-6UMESNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.3
1811-7NORFLKNORFLK×3KillAva Berryset Jasmine Mataira+1.9
1911-8NORFLKNORFLK×3BlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Gabrielle Gilbert, Ava Berry+2.2
2012-8NORFLKUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+2.2
2113-8UMESUMESBad setJasmine Mataira+2.4
2213-9UMESNORFLKServe errUMES+1.6
2314-9NORFLKUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+2.0
2414-10UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.6
2515-10NORFLKUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Karielys Melendez+2.1
2615-11UMESNORFLK×4Attack errKarielys Melendez+1.6
2715-12NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errRayah Howell+2.3
2815-13NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errDynasty Andrews+2.6
2915-14NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errKarielys Melendez+2.9
3016-14NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+2.8
3116-15UMESNORFLKServe errUMES+2.5
3216-16NORFLKNORFLKKillKyleigh Moore+3.2
3317-16NORFLKUMESBad setJasmine Mataira+3.0
3417-17UMESNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+2.8
3518-17NORFLKUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+3.2
3618-18UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.0
3718-19NORFLKNORFLKAttack errJayda Hutchins+3.8
3819-19NORFLKUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+3.2
3919-20UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.4
4019-21NORFLKNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbert+3.8
4120-21NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+2.8
4221-21UMESUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Jayda Hutchins+4.6
4321-22UMESNORFLKBlockedShayla Henryblk Ava Berry+4.3
4422-22NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+4.4
4522-23UMESNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+5.1
4623-23NORFLKUMESAttack errJazeli Vandenburgh+5.1
4723-24UMESNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+6.6
4824-24NORFLKUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Jayda Hutchins+6.6
4925-24UMESUMESAttack errKyleigh Moore+8.8
5025-25UMESNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+7.3
5126-25NORFLKUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+7.3
5226-26UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+7.3
5326-27NORFLKNORFLKAttack errShayla Henry+8.0
5427-27NORFLKUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+6.6
5527-28UMESNORFLKKillJasmine Matairaset Jazeli Vandenburgh+6.6
5628-28NORFLKUMESKillShayla Henryset Karielys Melendez+6.6
5728-29UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+6.6
5829-29NORFLKUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+6.6
5929-30UMESNORFLKBlockedDynasty Andrewsblk Ava Berry+6.6
6030-30NORFLKUMES×3BlockedKyleigh Mooreblk Rayah Howell+6.6
6131-30UMESUMES×3BlockedKyleigh Mooreblk Malaysia Shaw, Rayah Howell+8.8
6232-30UMESUMES×3Attack errIsis Castille+9.8
Set 2
10-1NORFLKNORFLKAceNorfolk St.aced Lila Bryant+2.5
21-1NORFLKUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Jayda Hutchins+2.1
32-1UMESUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+2.8
42-2UMESNORFLKKillAva Berryset Jasmine Mataira+2.2
52-3NORFLKNORFLKAttack errKarielys Melendez+2.6
63-3NORFLKUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+2.2
74-3UMESUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+2.9
84-4UMESNORFLKKillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+2.3
95-4NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+2.5
105-5UMESNORFLK×5Serve errUMES+2.4
115-6NORFLKNORFLK×5KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.8
125-7NORFLKNORFLK×5Attack errShayla Henry+2.7
135-8NORFLKNORFLK×5KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.4
145-9NORFLKNORFLK×5BlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Reagan Chisholm+2.1
156-9NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+1.7
166-10UMESNORFLKKillJasmine Matairaset Kyleigh Moore+1.8
177-10NORFLKUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+1.7
187-11UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.8
197-12NORFLKNORFLKAceNorfolk St.+1.9
208-12NORFLKUMESKillShayla Henryset Karielys Melendez+1.3
219-12UMESUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+2.1
229-13UMESNORFLKKillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+1.9
2310-13NORFLKUMESAttack errKyleigh Moore+1.7
2410-14UMESNORFLKBlockedKarielys Melendezblk Ava Berry, Catori Crawford+2.0
2510-15NORFLKNORFLKAceNorfolk St.aced Lila Bryant+1.9
2611-15NORFLKUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+1.3
2711-16UMESNORFLKBad setKate - Linh Eden+1.6
2811-17NORFLKNORFLKAttack errJayda Hutchins+1.4
2912-17NORFLKUMES×4KillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.9
3013-17UMESUMES×4KillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+1.5
3114-17UMESUMES×4KillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+2.2
3215-17UMESUMES×4BlockedGabrielle Gilbertblk Malaysia Shaw+2.9
3315-18UMESNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+2.8
3415-19NORFLKNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+2.7
3516-19NORFLKUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+1.8
3616-20UMESNORFLKKillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+2.3
3716-21NORFLKNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Catori Crawford+1.9
3817-21NORFLKUMES×3KillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+1.0
3918-21UMESUMES×3Bad setJasmine Mataira+1.9
4019-21UMESUMES×3AceUMESaced Jazeli Vandenburgh+3.1
4119-22UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+3.4
4220-22NORFLKUMESKillKarielys Melendez+2.5
4320-23UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jazeli Vandenburgh+3.6
4421-23NORFLKUMES×3KillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+2.2
4522-23UMESUMES×3AceUMESaced Gabrielle Gilbert+4.9
4623-23UMESUMES×3KillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+8.3
4723-24UMESNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+8.9
4824-24NORFLKUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Arianna Warner Torres+8.9
4924-25UMESNORFLKAttack errJayda Hutchins+8.9
5024-26NORFLKNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+9.8
Set 3
10-1UMESNORFLKKillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+2.2
20-2NORFLKNORFLKAceNorfolk St.aced Arianna Warner Torres+2.5
31-2NORFLKUMESKillShayla Henryset Karielys Melendez+2.1
41-3UMESNORFLKAttack errKarielys Melendez+2.1
51-4NORFLKNORFLKAttack errKarielys Melendez+2.4
62-4NORFLKUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Jayda Hutchins+1.9
72-5UMESNORFLKServe errUMES+2.0
83-5NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+2.0
93-6UMESNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+2.0
104-6NORFLKUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+2.0
115-6UMESUMESAttack errGabrielle Gilbert+2.8
125-7UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.3
135-8NORFLKNORFLKAceNorfolk St.aced Karielys Melendez+2.6
146-8NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+2.1
156-9UMESNORFLKKillAva Berryset Jasmine Mataira+2.2
166-10NORFLKNORFLKBlockedDynasty Andrewsblk Ava Berry+2.3
177-10NORFLKUMES×3Attack errGabrielle Gilbert+1.8
188-10UMESUMES×3BlockedGabrielle Gilbertblk Dynasty Andrews, Rayah Howell+2.6
199-10UMESUMES×3KillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+3.1
209-11UMESNORFLK×3KillAva Berryset Jasmine Mataira+2.6
219-12NORFLKNORFLK×3BlockedRayah Howellblk Ava Berry+2.9
229-13NORFLKNORFLK×3AceNorfolk St.aced Arianna Warner Torres+2.5
2310-13NORFLKUMESKillArianna Warner Torres+1.9
2410-14UMESNORFLK×3KillAva Berryset Jasmine Mataira+2.1
2510-15NORFLKNORFLK×3BlockedRayah Howellblk Reagan Chisholm+2.1
2610-16NORFLKNORFLK×3KillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+1.6
2711-16NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+1.0
2812-16UMESUMESAttack errCatori Crawford+1.7
2912-17UMESNORFLK×4KillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+1.7
3012-18NORFLKNORFLK×4KillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+1.5
3112-19NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errRayah Howell+1.0
3212-20NORFLKNORFLK×4Attack errKarielys Melendez+0.6
3313-20NORFLKUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+0.3
3413-21UMESNORFLKServe errUMES+0.4
3514-21NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+0.2
3614-22UMESNORFLKAttack errJayda Hutchins+0.3
3715-22NORFLKUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.1
3815-23UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.2
3915-24NORFLKNORFLKKillAva Berryset Kyleigh Moore+0.1
4016-24NORFLKUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden·
4116-25UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira·
Set 4
11-0NORFLKUMESKillShayla Henryset Jayda Hutchins+2.0
21-1UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.9
31-2NORFLKNORFLKBlockedRayah Howellblk Reagan Chisholm+2.2
42-2NORFLKUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+1.9
52-3UMESNORFLKKillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+1.9
63-3NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.+2.0
73-4UMESNORFLK×3KillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+1.9
83-5NORFLKNORFLK×3KillJasmine Matairaset Kyleigh Moore+2.2
93-6NORFLKNORFLK×3KillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+2.0
104-6NORFLKUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+1.6
114-7UMESNORFLKKillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira+1.7
125-7NORFLKUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Jayda Hutchins+1.7
136-7UMESUMESAceUMESaced Catori Crawford+2.3
146-8UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jazeli Vandenburgh+2.0
157-8NORFLKUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Margarette Vasquez+2.0
167-9UMESNORFLK×5KillAva Berryset Jasmine Mataira+2.0
177-10NORFLKNORFLK×5AceNorfolk St.aced Arianna Warner Torres+2.3
187-11NORFLKNORFLK×5KillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+2.0
197-12NORFLKNORFLK×5Attack errShayla Henry+1.6
207-13NORFLKNORFLK×5Attack errKarielys Melendez+1.3
218-13NORFLKUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+0.9
228-14UMESNORFLKKillGabrielle Gilbertset Jasmine Mataira+1.1
238-15NORFLKNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jasmine Mataira+1.0
249-15NORFLKUMESKillRayah Howellset Jayda Hutchins+0.6
259-16UMESNORFLKKillKyleigh Mooreset Jazeli Vandenburgh+0.8
2610-16NORFLKUMESKillKarielys Melendezset Jayda Hutchins+0.6
2710-17UMESNORFLK×5BlockedRayah Howellblk Reagan Chisholm, Catori Crawford+0.7
2810-18NORFLKNORFLK×5BlockedKarielys Melendezblk Jasmine Mataira, Reagan Chisholm+0.6
2910-19NORFLKNORFLK×5KillCatori Crawfordset Jasmine Mataira+0.3
3010-20NORFLKNORFLK×5KillJasmine Matairaset Kyleigh Moore+0.2
3110-21NORFLKNORFLK×5AceNorfolk St.aced Arianna Warner Torres+0.1
3211-21NORFLKUMESServe errNorfolk St.·
3311-22UMESNORFLK×4KillReagan Chisholmset Jasmine Mataira·
3411-23NORFLKNORFLK×4BlockedKarielys Melendezblk Jasmine Mataira, Ava Berry·
3511-24NORFLKNORFLK×4AceNorfolk St.aced Lila Bryant·
3611-25NORFLKNORFLK×4AceNorfolk St.aced Margarette Vasquez·

Score shown after each rally, UMES first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).