Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

San Francisco def. Pacific 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: San Francisco 88.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

San Francisco beat visiting Pacific 3-1 (22-25, 25-12, 26-24, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. San Francisco's Petra Fritz led with 13 kills, and Laura Amaro added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
PACIF251224231
S FRAN222526253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

San Francisco won it at the net: 13 blocks, led by Maeve Bailey.

The match turned twice; each line shows San Francisco's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. San Francisco went in as RallyIQ's 89% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Pacific 2–2 San Francisco

    7 straight Pacific points broke a 2–2 tie and made it 9–2.

    San Francisco 82% → 62%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Pacific 23–23 San Francisco

    San Francisco won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–1.

    San Francisco 75% → 92%

San Francisco above 50Pacific belowMax swing 9.6%

PacificSan Francisco

Sideout %
Pacific 54.6·San Francisco 63.5
Break %
Pacific 36.5·San Francisco 45.4
Hitting
Pacific .132·San Francisco .294
Longest run
Pacific 7·San Francisco 7
Blocks
Pacific 6·San Francisco 132 BS · 8 BA vs 2 BS · 22 BA

Petra Fritz
13 kills on .281, 15 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

San Francisco above 50 · Pacific below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.6% S FRANrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.6% to San Francisco — set 3, PACIF 23-24 S FRAN. Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Adelynn Legates). S FRAN win probability 75% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PACIF 13.0%87.0% S FRAN

Pacific wins

3-0
1.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
7.0%

San Francisco wins

3-0
39.8%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.7%
PACIF break %
38.4% vs this opp
S FRAN break %
47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Petra FritzKill+9.6%

    Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Adelynn Legates)

    Set 3 · PACIF 23-24 S FRAN · S FRAN 75% → 85%

  2. 02

    Nicole Zake stuffed by Maeve Bailey & Hokulani Perez

    Set 3 · PACIF 23-23 S FRAN · S FRAN 67% → 75%

  3. 03

    Nicole Zake stuffed by Maeve Bailey & Hokulani Perez

    Set 3 · PACIF 24-26 S FRAN · S FRAN 85% → 92%

  4. 04
    Nicole ZakeKill+7.0%

    Kill by Nicole Zake (set by Adelynn Legates)

    Set 3 · PACIF 24-24 S FRAN · PACIF 15% → 22%

  5. 05
    Petra FritzKill+7.0%

    Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Adelynn Legates)

    Set 3 · PACIF 24-25 S FRAN · S FRAN 78% → 85%

  6. 06
    Adeline SirbuAttack error+5.8%

    Attack error by Adeline Sirbu

    Set 3 · PACIF 23-22 S FRAN · S FRAN 61% → 67%

  7. 07

    Hokulani Perez stuffed by Adeline Sirbu & Hanna Vorhies

    Set 1 · PACIF 24-22 S FRAN · PACIF 19% → 25%

  8. 08
    Petra FritzKill+4.2%

    Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Adelynn Legates)

    Set 4 · PACIF 23-25 S FRAN · S FRAN 96% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411419.3680002022314
410932.03111240010.511.5
410931.0320013000010
44111.273000110004
40010.0001900900000
4000–102310000
4102.5001132200004
4105.2004121210002
3405.800000200215
3114.00000010010.51.5
3126-.167000100001
3012-.50000000010.50.5
1102.50001000010.52.5
Team totals4427129.132366940628684
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413432.2810236100015
410326.26902491111.513.5
410322.31800010031.511.5
46211.36400000073.59.5
4417.429012001438
4104.2502313300002
48115.4670004006311
4005.0003011020000
3012-.500800100000
3000–000000000
2001.0001001100000
1001.00000001010.50.5
Team totals5215126.294446143562221398

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Pacific vs San Francisco

Season series · San Francisco leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 PACIF · S FRAN 7

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 PACIFS FRAN 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 PACIFS FRAN 7

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 7 PACIFS FRAN 5

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 PACIFS FRAN 3

Bars above the line = San Francisco leads, below = Pacific leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Pacific

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
25%3/12
2
50%11/22
31%5/16
3
53%9/17
50%10/20
4
57%8/14
44%7/16
5
50%7/14
33%4/12
6
58%7/12
22%2/9
All
55%53/97
36%31/85

San Francisco

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
50%9/18
2
79%11/14
45%9/20
3
48%10/21
45%9/20
4
50%8/16
47%7/15
5
78%7/9
42%5/12
6
88%7/8
42%5/12
All
64%54/85
45%44/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#PACIF-S FRANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PACIFPACIFKillGracie Armatoset Alessia Couchond+1.3
21-1PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+0.9
32-1S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+1.0
43-1PACIFPACIFAcePacificaced Katariina Korhonen+1.5
53-2PACIFS FRANKillMaeve Baileyset Jordan Smart+1.0
64-2S FRANPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+1.2
75-2PACIFPACIFAcePacificaced Petra Fritz+1.7
85-3PACIFS FRANBad setNicole Zake+1.1
95-4S FRANS FRANBlockedNicole Zakeblk Maeve Bailey, Hokulani Perez+1.5
106-4S FRANPACIF×5KillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+1.3
117-4PACIFPACIF×5Attack errKatariina Korhonen+1.8
128-4PACIFPACIF×5AcePacific+1.8
139-4PACIFPACIF×5AcePacificaced Laura Amaro+1.8
1410-4PACIFPACIF×5BlockedMaeve Baileyblk Hanna Vorhies, Ellie Prindl+1.8
1510-5PACIFS FRANKillHokulani Perezset Piper Justiss+1.0
1611-5S FRANPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Chloe Giehtbrock+1.4
1711-6PACIFS FRAN×4KillEmma Neukirchenset Piper Justiss+1.0
1811-7S FRANS FRAN×4KillAndjela Sojicset Jordan Smart+1.5
1911-8S FRANS FRAN×4Attack errEllie Prindl+1.7
2011-9S FRANS FRAN×4AceSan Franciscoaced Isabella Gutierrez+1.7
2112-9S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+1.6
2213-9PACIFPACIFAttack errKatariina Korhonen+2.1
2313-10PACIFS FRAN×4Serve errPacific+1.2
2413-11S FRANS FRAN×4KillEmma Neukirchen+1.9
2513-12S FRANS FRAN×4AceSan Franciscoaced Ella Gridley+1.9
2613-13S FRANS FRAN×4AceSan Franciscoaced Gracie Armato+1.9
2714-13S FRANPACIFAttack errKatariina Korhonen+1.6
2814-14PACIFS FRANKillAndjela Sojicset Jordan Smart+1.5
2915-14S FRANPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+1.7
3016-14PACIFPACIFAttack errPetra Fritz+2.5
3116-15PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+1.6
3217-15S FRANPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+2.0
3317-16PACIFS FRANKillHokulani Perezset Piper Justiss+1.7
3418-16S FRANPACIFKillAdeline Sirbu+2.2
3518-17PACIFS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+1.8
3618-18S FRANS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+2.6
3719-18S FRANPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.3
3819-19PACIFS FRANServe errPacific+2.0
3920-19S FRANPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.5
4020-20PACIFS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+2.2
4121-20S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+2.8
4221-21PACIFS FRANKillAndjela Sojicset Jordan Smart+2.5
4322-21S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+3.2
4422-22PACIFS FRANKillAndjela Sojicset Jordan Smart+2.9
4523-22S FRANPACIF×3KillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+3.8
4624-22PACIFPACIF×3BlockedHokulani Perezblk Adeline Sirbu, Hanna Vorhies+5.6
4725-22PACIFPACIF×3KillIsabella Gutierrezset Laura Amaro+3.7
Set 2
10-1S FRANS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+2.1
21-1S FRANPACIFBad setAndjela Sojic+1.7
31-2PACIFS FRANServe errPacific+1.6
42-2S FRANPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+1.7
52-3PACIFS FRAN×3KillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+1.6
62-4S FRANS FRAN×3KillJordan Smartset Isabella Gutierrez+2.0
72-5S FRANS FRAN×3Bad setHanna Vorhies+1.7
83-5S FRANPACIFKillChloe Giehtbrock+1.3
94-5PACIFPACIFServe errPacific+2.1
104-6PACIFS FRAN×4KillPetra Fritz+1.5
114-7S FRANS FRAN×4AcePetra Fritz+1.8
124-8S FRANS FRAN×4AcePetra Fritz+1.5
134-9S FRANS FRAN×4KillMaeve Baileyset Piper Justiss+1.2
145-9S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+0.8
155-10PACIFS FRAN×3KillHokulani Perezset Piper Justiss+0.9
165-11S FRANS FRAN×3KillHokulani Perezset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.9
175-12S FRANS FRAN×3BlockedVanessa Zussinoblk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez+0.7
186-12S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.4
196-13PACIFS FRANKillEmma Neukirchenset Piper Justiss+0.5
207-13S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+0.4
217-14PACIFS FRAN×3BlockedNicole Zakeblk Emma Neukirchen, Katariina Korhonen+0.5
227-15S FRANS FRAN×3KillAndjela Sojicset Jordan Smart+0.4
237-16S FRANS FRAN×3KillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+0.3
248-16S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Ella Gridley+0.1
259-16PACIFPACIFServe errPacific+0.3
269-17PACIFS FRAN×7Serve errPacific+0.3
279-18S FRANS FRAN×7BlockedNicole Zakeblk Maeve Bailey, Andjela Sojic+0.2
289-19S FRANS FRAN×7Attack errVanessa Zussino+0.1
299-20S FRANS FRAN×7AceEmma Neukirchen·
309-21S FRANS FRAN×7KillMaeve Baileyset Jordan Smart·
319-22S FRANS FRAN×7Attack errAdeline Sirbu·
329-23S FRANS FRAN×7Attack errAdeline Sirbu·
3310-23S FRANPACIFKillOlga Gergaczset Alessia Couchond·
3410-24PACIFS FRANServe errPacific·
3511-24S FRANPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Chloe Giehtbrock·
3612-24PACIFPACIFAttack errPetra Fritz·
3712-25PACIFS FRANBlockedOlga Gergaczblk Hokulani Perez, Maeve Bailey·
Set 3
11-0PACIFPACIFKillGracie Armatoset Alessia Couchond+2.3
21-1PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Alessia Couchond+1.6
32-1S FRANPACIFBlockedAndjela Sojicblk Adeline Sirbu, Vanessa Zussino+1.8
42-2PACIFS FRANKillAndjela Sojicset Laura Amaro+1.6
53-2S FRANPACIF×7BlockedPetra Fritzblk Adeline Sirbu+1.9
64-2PACIFPACIF×7Attack errPiper Justiss+2.7
75-2PACIFPACIF×7Bad setPiper Justiss+3.0
86-2PACIFPACIF×7KillAdeline Sirbuset Nicole Zake+3.1
97-2PACIFPACIF×7KillNicole Zakeset Nicole Zake+3.1
108-2PACIFPACIF×7Attack errPetra Fritz+3.0
119-2PACIFPACIF×7KillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+2.8
129-3PACIFS FRANBlockedNicole Zakeblk Anica Bobic, Maeve Bailey+1.6
1310-3S FRANPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+2.2
1411-3PACIFPACIFAceChloe Giehtbrockaced Anica Bobic+2.5
1511-4PACIFS FRANServe errChloe Giehtbrock+1.3
1612-4S FRANPACIFBad setEmma Neukirchen+1.9
1712-5PACIFS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Adelynn Legates+1.2
1812-6S FRANS FRANBlockedSuzanne Kemleblk Emma Neukirchen+2.0
1913-6S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+2.2
2013-7PACIFS FRANKillEmma Neukirchenset Jordan Smart+1.4
2113-8S FRANS FRANBlockedVanessa Zussinoblk Andjela Sojic, Emma Neukirchen+2.4
2214-8S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.5
2315-8PACIFPACIFBlockedEmma Neukirchenblk Adeline Sirbu+2.7
2415-9PACIFS FRANBad setIsabella Gutierrez+1.3
2516-9S FRANPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+2.1
2616-10PACIFS FRANAttack errVanessa Zussino+1.3
2717-10S FRANPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+2.0
2817-11PACIFS FRANKillMaeve Baileyset Adelynn Legates+1.2
2917-12S FRANS FRANAttack errAdeline Sirbu+2.1
3018-12S FRANPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Isabella Gutierrez+2.4
3118-13PACIFS FRANKillMaeve Baileyset Adelynn Legates+1.4
3218-14S FRANS FRANKillHokulani Perezset Maeve Bailey+2.6
3319-14S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+2.9
3420-14PACIFPACIFKillGracie Armatoset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.9
3520-15PACIFS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Adelynn Legates+1.2
3621-15S FRANPACIFKillSuzanne Kemleset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.1
3721-16PACIFS FRANServe errPacific+1.0
3822-16S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+1.8
3922-17PACIFS FRAN×3KillAndjela Sojicset Jordan Smart+0.8
4022-18S FRANS FRAN×3Serve errSan Francisco+1.7
4122-19S FRANS FRAN×3KillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+2.7
4223-19S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Isabella Gutierrez+3.6
4323-20PACIFS FRAN×5KillAndjela Sojicset Jordan Smart+1.6
4423-21S FRANS FRAN×5KillHokulani Perezset Adelynn Legates+3.6
4523-22S FRANS FRAN×5Attack errAdeline Sirbu+5.8
4623-23S FRANS FRAN×5BlockedNicole Zakeblk Maeve Bailey, Hokulani Perez+8.4
4723-24S FRANS FRAN×5KillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+9.6
4824-24S FRANPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Adelynn Legates+7.0
4924-25PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+7.0
5024-26S FRANS FRANBlockedNicole Zakeblk Maeve Bailey, Hokulani Perez+7.7
Set 4
11-0S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+1.3
22-0PACIFPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+1.9
32-1PACIFS FRANServe errPacific+1.3
43-1S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+1.5
53-2PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+1.3
64-2S FRANPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+1.5
74-3PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritz+1.4
85-3S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+1.6
96-3PACIFPACIFAttack errAndjela Sojic+2.3
106-4PACIFS FRANKillAndjela Sojicset Laura Amaro+1.5
117-4S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+1.8
128-4PACIFPACIFKillGracie Armatoset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.4
138-5PACIFS FRANAttack errVanessa Zussino+1.5
148-6S FRANS FRANAttack errVanessa Zussino+2.1
159-6S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Chloe Giehtbrock+1.9
169-7PACIFS FRANAttack errVanessa Zussino+1.6
1710-7S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Isabella Gutierrez+2.0
1811-7PACIFPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Isabella Gutierrez+2.6
1911-8PACIFS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+1.6
2012-8S FRANPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+2.1
2112-9PACIFS FRAN×3Serve errPacific+1.6
2212-10S FRANS FRAN×3Attack errNicole Zake+2.4
2312-11S FRANS FRAN×3BlockedNicole Zakeblk Hokulani Perez, Maeve Bailey+2.4
2413-11S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+2.2
2513-12PACIFS FRANKillHokulani Perezset Jordan Smart+1.8
2613-13S FRANS FRANAttack errNicole Zake+2.5
2714-13S FRANPACIFBlockedAndjela Sojicblk Suzanne Kemle, Hannah Koester+2.1
2814-14PACIFS FRANKillMaeve Baileyset Adelynn Legates+1.9
2914-15S FRANS FRANBlockedOlga Gergaczblk Katariina Korhonen+2.5
3015-15S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+2.0
3115-16PACIFS FRANKillAndjela Sojicset Adelynn Legates+1.9
3216-16S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.1
3316-17PACIFS FRAN×3BlockedGracie Armatoblk Andjela Sojic, Emma Neukirchen+2.1
3416-18S FRANS FRAN×3KillHokulani Perezset Laura Amaro+2.5
3516-19S FRANS FRAN×3KillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+2.0
3617-19S FRANPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+1.3
3717-20PACIFS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+1.5
3817-21S FRANS FRANAttack errVanessa Zussino+1.4
3918-21S FRANPACIFServe errSan Francisco+0.7
4019-21PACIFPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Isabella Gutierrez+1.7
4119-22PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+1.7
4219-23S FRANS FRANAttack errVanessa Zussino+1.4
4320-23S FRANPACIFKillHannah Koesterset Vanessa Zussino+0.5
4420-24PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+0.9
4521-24S FRANPACIF×3KillHanna Vorhiesset Alessia Couchond+0.3
4622-24PACIFPACIF×3Attack errMaeve Bailey+1.0
4723-24PACIFPACIF×3AceHannah Koesteraced Laura Amaro+2.6
4823-25PACIFS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+4.2

Score shown after each rally, Pacific first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).