Saint Mary's (CA) def. Pacific 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 31)

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Saint Mary's (CA) 95.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Saint Mary's (CA) beat visiting Pacific 3-0 (25-11, 27-25, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Saint Mary's (CA)'s Antonie Kelnárová and Layne Dent led with 10 kills each, and Alayna Pearson added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 7:55 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PACIF	11	25	18	0
STMARY	25	27	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.412 and 10 kills for Layne Dent as Saint Mary's (CA) rolled past Pacific.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.5 points. Pacific peaked at 7% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Saint Mary's (CA) at 96%.

PacificSaint Mary's (CA)

Break %+19.9 pts
32.752.6
40 of 76 on serve vs 18 of 55, so Pacific's sideout was 47.4%.
Hitting+.185
.037.222
37 K / 17 E against 23 K / 20 E.
Longest run+5
38
8 straight Saint Mary's (CA) points in the first set stretched a 15–7 lead to 23–7. That set ended 25–11.

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50Pacific belowMax swing 2.5%

PacificSaint Mary's (CA)

Aces: Pacific 3·Saint Mary's (CA) 8
Serve err: Pacific 11·Saint Mary's (CA) 10
Blocks: Pacific 7·Saint Mary's (CA) 76 BS · 2 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs: Pacific 29·Saint Mary's (CA) 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50 · Pacific below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Saint Mary's (CA) — set 2, PACIF 24-24 STMARY. Kill by Layne Dent (set by Antonie Kelnárová). STMARY win probability 94% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PACIF 3.7%96.3% STMARY

Pacific wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.3%

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0

59.5%

3-1

28.3%

3-2

8.4%

PACIF break %: 36.2% vs this opp
STMARY break %: 49.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Layne DentKill+2.5%
Kill by Layne Dent (set by Antonie Kelnárová)
Set 2 · PACIF 24-24 STMARY · STMARY 94% → 96%
02
Sadie White&Ava GalvanBlock+1.8%
Nicole Zake stuffed by Sadie White & Ava Galvan
Set 2 · PACIF 24-25 STMARY · STMARY 96% → 98%
03
Nicole Zake&Adeline SirbuBlock+1.8%
Anaya Thrower stuffed by Nicole Zake & Adeline Sirbu
Set 2 · PACIF 23-21 STMARY · PACIF 5% → 6%
04
Saint Mary's (CA)Service error+1.7%
Saint Mary's (CA) service error
Set 2 · PACIF 24-22 STMARY · PACIF 6% → 7%
05
Saint Mary's (CA)Ace+1.3%
Saint Mary's (CA) ace
Set 2 · PACIF 25-27 STMARY · STMARY 98% → 99%
06
Hanna VorhiesKill+1.3%
Kill by Hanna Vorhies (set by Gwendolyn Hansen)
Set 2 · PACIF 25-25 STMARY · PACIF 2% → 3%
07
Ava GalvanKill+1.3%
Kill by Ava Galvan (set by Sadie White)
Set 2 · PACIF 25-26 STMARY · STMARY 97% → 98%
08
Vanessa ZussinoKill+1.2%
Kill by Vanessa Zussino (set by Alessia Couchond)
Set 2 · PACIF 20-18 STMARY · PACIF 4% → 5%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Pacificaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Nicole ZakeOH	3	6	4	21	.095	1	0	2	4	4	1	1	1.5	7.5
8Vanessa ZussinoOH	3	4	3	13	.077	0	0	3	1	0	1	0	1	5
3Ellie PrindlMB	3	4	2	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5
9Julia PorathOPP	1	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Hannah KoesterOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Chloe GiehtbrockS	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Hanna VorhiesMB	3	4	3	15	.067	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	6
19Adeline SirbuMB	3	3	3	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Alessia CouchondS	3	1	1	2	.000	9	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	3
14Ella GridleyDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
6Gwendolyn HansenS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	0
30Isabella GutierrezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
5Gracie ArmatoS	2	1	1	6	.000	0	1	0	2	1	1	0	1	3
Team totals		23	20	80	.037	23	3	11	29	8	6	2	7	54

Saint Mary's (CA)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Antonie KelnárováOH	3	10	3	31	.226	3	2	3	4	1	0	0	0	12
10Ava GalvanMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	1	3	1	0	2	4	4	10
4Makenzie JacksonOPP	3	6	6	15	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
21Sadie WhiteS	3	1	1	6	.000	28	4	2	3	0	0	2	1	6
11Anaya ThrowerMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Mikayla HanerOH	3	1	1	2	.000	1	1	0	6	1	0	0	0	2
9Layne DentOH	3	10	3	17	.412	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	11
24Alayna PearsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
12Natalie PeeteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
7Caroline FormankovaOPP	2	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
16Milani BillingsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	17	90	.222	36	8	10	32	3	2	10	7	77

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Pacific vs Saint Mary's (CA)

Season series · Saint Mary's (CA) leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 31, 2026Pacific at Saint Mary's (CA) · Saint Mary's (CA) won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 28, 2026Saint Mary's (CA) at PacificPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 PACIF · STMARY 8

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 PACIFSTMARY 8

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 PACIFSTMARY 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 PACIFSTMARY 5

Bars above the line = Saint Mary's (CA) leads, below = Pacific leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Pacific

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	57%8/14
2	78%7/9	30%3/10
3	55%6/11	30%3/10
4	38%6/16	25%2/8
5	56%5/9	14%1/7
6	36%5/14	17%1/6
All	47%36/76	33%18/55

Saint Mary's (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	60%9/15
2	78%7/9	30%3/10
3	75%6/8	50%6/12
4	75%6/8	57%8/14
5	100%6/6	25%2/8
6	63%5/8	71%12/17
All	67%37/55	53%40/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	PACIF-STMARY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STMARY	PACIF	Bad set	Sadie White		+0.5
2	1-1	PACIF	STMARY	Attack err	Chloe Giehtbrock		+0.4
3	1-2	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Ellie Prindl		+0.5
4	2-2	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.4
5	2-3	PACIF	STMARY×3	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	+0.4
6	2-4	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.4
7	2-5	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Mikayla Haner	set Sadie White	+0.4
8	3-5	STMARY	PACIF	Attack err	Mikayla Haner		+0.3
9	3-6	PACIF	STMARY×3	Serve err	Pacific		+0.3
10	3-7	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Vanessa Zussino		+0.3
11	3-8	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Natalie Peete	+0.2
12	4-8	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.2
13	4-9	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.2
14	5-9	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+0.2
15	5-10	PACIF	STMARY×6	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.2
16	5-11	STMARY	STMARY×6	Attack err	Nicole Zake		+0.2
17	5-12	STMARY	STMARY×6	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Nicole Zake	+0.1
18	5-13	STMARY	STMARY×6	Blocked	Adeline Sirbu	blk Ava Galvan	+0.1
19	5-14	STMARY	STMARY×6	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	·
20	5-15	STMARY	STMARY×6	Blocked	Julia Porath	blk Ava Galvan	·
21	6-15	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	·
22	7-15	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Layne Dent		·
23	7-16	PACIF	STMARY×8	Serve err	Pacific		·
24	7-17	STMARY	STMARY×8	Bad set	Chloe Giehtbrock		·
25	7-18	STMARY	STMARY×8	Attack err	Julia Porath		·
26	7-19	STMARY	STMARY×8	Attack err	Nicole Zake		·
27	7-20	STMARY	STMARY×8	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	·
28	7-21	STMARY	STMARY×8	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Nicole Zake	·
29	7-22	STMARY	STMARY×8	Attack err	Hanna Vorhies		·
30	7-23	STMARY	STMARY×8	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová		·
31	8-23	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Ella Gridley	·
32	9-23	PACIF	PACIF	Blocked	Caroline Formankova	blk Ellie Prindl	·
33	9-24	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	·
34	10-24	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Hanna Vorhies	set Gwendolyn Hansen	·
35	11-24	PACIF	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Gwendolyn Hansen	·
36	11-25	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Caroline Formankova	set Sadie White	·
Set 2
1	1-0	PACIF	PACIF	Ace	Alessia Couchond	aced Mikayla Haner	+0.4
2	2-0	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Makenzie Jackson		+0.4
3	2-1	PACIF	STMARY	Attack err	Adeline Sirbu		+0.3
4	2-2	STMARY	STMARY	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Nicole Zake	+0.4
5	3-2	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Alessia Couchond	set Nicole Zake	+0.3
6	3-3	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Antonie Kelnárová	+0.3
7	3-4	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Mikayla Haner	+0.3
8	4-4	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.3
9	4-5	PACIF	STMARY	Serve err	Vanessa Zussino		+0.3
10	5-5	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.3
11	6-5	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Sadie White		+0.5
12	6-6	PACIF	STMARY	Serve err	Gwendolyn Hansen		+0.3
13	7-6	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Hanna Vorhies	set Gwendolyn Hansen	+0.4
14	7-7	PACIF	STMARY×3	Serve err	Nicole Zake		+0.3
15	7-8	STMARY	STMARY×3	Blocked	Hanna Vorhies	blk Ava Galvan, Layne Dent	+0.4
16	7-9	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	+0.3
17	8-9	STMARY	PACIF	Attack err	Makenzie Jackson		+0.3
18	8-10	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.3
19	8-11	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Alayna Pearson	+0.3
20	9-11	STMARY	PACIF×3	Kill	Vanessa Zussino	set Gwendolyn Hansen	+0.2
21	10-11	PACIF	PACIF×3	Attack err	Makenzie Jackson		+0.4
22	11-11	PACIF	PACIF×3	Kill	Adeline Sirbu	set Alessia Couchond	+0.5
23	11-12	PACIF	STMARY	Serve err	Alessia Couchond		+0.4
24	12-12	STMARY	PACIF	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Gracie Armato	+0.4
25	12-13	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	+0.4
26	13-13	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Adeline Sirbu	set Alessia Couchond	+0.4
27	13-14	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Sadie White	set Antonie Kelnárová	+0.4
28	14-14	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+0.5
29	14-15	PACIF	STMARY	Serve err	Gwendolyn Hansen		+0.4
30	15-15	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Hanna Vorhies	set Isabella Gutierrez	+0.5
31	15-16	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.5
32	15-17	STMARY	STMARY	Blocked	Gracie Armato	blk Ava Galvan, Makenzie Jackson	+0.5
33	16-17	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.4
34	17-17	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Ava Galvan		+0.7
35	17-18	PACIF	STMARY	Blocked	Vanessa Zussino	blk Layne Dent, Ava Galvan	+0.5
36	18-18	STMARY	PACIF×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.6
37	19-18	PACIF	PACIF×3	Attack err	Makenzie Jackson		+1.0
38	20-18	PACIF	PACIF×3	Kill	Vanessa Zussino	set Alessia Couchond	+1.2
39	20-19	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+0.7
40	20-20	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Adeline Sirbu		+1.1
41	21-20	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.0
42	21-21	PACIF	STMARY	Attack err	Nicole Zake		+0.9
43	22-21	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+1.2
44	23-21	PACIF	PACIF	Blocked	Anaya Thrower	blk Nicole Zake, Adeline Sirbu	+1.8
45	23-22	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.9
46	24-22	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.7
47	24-23	PACIF	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.9
48	24-24	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Antonie Kelnárová	+2.5
49	24-25	STMARY	STMARY×3	Blocked	Nicole Zake	blk Sadie White, Ava Galvan	+1.8
50	25-25	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Hanna Vorhies	set Gwendolyn Hansen	+1.3
51	25-26	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+1.3
52	25-27	STMARY	STMARY	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.3
Set 3
1	1-0	STMARY	PACIF	Blocked	Makenzie Jackson	blk Vanessa Zussino	+0.1
2	2-0	PACIF	PACIF	Ace	Gracie Armato		+0.2
3	2-1	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.1
4	3-1	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.2
5	3-2	PACIF	STMARY	Serve err	Vanessa Zussino		+0.1
6	3-3	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Alessia Couchond		+0.2
7	4-3	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
8	4-4	PACIF	STMARY×5	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.1
9	4-5	STMARY	STMARY×5	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Nicole Zake	+0.2
10	4-6	STMARY	STMARY×5	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
11	4-7	STMARY	STMARY×5	Blocked	Hanna Vorhies	blk Sadie White, Anaya Thrower	+0.1
12	4-8	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.1
13	5-8	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Gwendolyn Hansen	+0.1
14	6-8	PACIF	PACIF	Blocked	Layne Dent	blk Hanna Vorhies	+0.1
15	6-9	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.1
16	7-9	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Gracie Armato	set Gwendolyn Hansen	+0.1
17	7-10	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.1
18	7-11	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+0.1
19	8-11	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
20	9-11	PACIF	PACIF	Ace	Alessia Couchond	aced Antonie Kelnárová	+0.1
21	9-12	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Alayna Pearson	+0.1
22	10-12	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Vanessa Zussino	set Isabella Gutierrez	+0.1
23	11-12	PACIF	PACIF	Blocked	Makenzie Jackson	blk Nicole Zake	+0.2
24	11-13	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+0.1
25	12-13	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Adeline Sirbu	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
26	13-13	PACIF	PACIF	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Hanna Vorhies	+0.2
27	13-14	PACIF	STMARY×3	Serve err	Vanessa Zussino		+0.2
28	13-15	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.2
29	13-16	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.2
30	14-16	STMARY	PACIF	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
31	15-16	PACIF	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Gwendolyn Hansen	+0.2
32	15-17	PACIF	STMARY×3	Serve err	Gwendolyn Hansen		+0.2
33	15-18	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Ellie Prindl		+0.2
34	15-19	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Alayna Pearson	+0.1
35	16-19	STMARY	PACIF	Attack err	Layne Dent		+0.1
36	16-20	PACIF	STMARY	Serve err	Nicole Zake		+0.1
37	17-20	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Gwendolyn Hansen	+0.1
38	17-21	PACIF	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.1
39	17-22	STMARY	STMARY×3	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
40	17-23	STMARY	STMARY×3	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Gracie Armato	·
41	18-23	STMARY	PACIF	Kill	Vanessa Zussino	set Gwendolyn Hansen	·
42	18-24	PACIF	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	·
43	18-25	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Vanessa Zussino		·

Score shown after each rally, Pacific first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Saint Mary's (CA) def. Pacific 3–0

.412 and 10 kills for Layne Dent as Saint Mary's (CA) rolled past Pacific.