FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeMEAC

Delaware St. def. Mississippi Val. 3–0

(25-13, 25-20, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MS VAL	13	20	20	0
DEL ST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DEL ST above 50 · MS VAL below

Biggest swing: 0.2% to Mississippi Val. — set 2, MS VAL 14-10 DEL ST. Haley Crawford stuffed by Aniyah Moore & Aubrie Walker. DEL ST win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MS VAL 0.5%99.5% DEL ST

Mississippi Val. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.3%

Delaware St. wins

3-0

79.8%

3-1

17.4%

3-2

2.4%

MS VAL break %: 36.6% vs this opp
DEL ST break %: 56.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Haley CrawfordAttack error+0.2%
Haley Crawford stuffed by Aniyah Moore & Aubrie Walker
Set 2 · MS VAL 14-10 DEL ST · MS VAL 1% → 1%
02
Brooklyn BruntKill+0.2%
Kill by Brooklyn Brunt (set by Erin Mims)
Set 2 · MS VAL 15-12 DEL ST · MS VAL 1% → 1%
03
Amanda Santos JuliaoAttack error+0.2%
Attack error by Amanda Santos Juliao
Set 2 · MS VAL 12-9 DEL ST · MS VAL 1% → 1%
04
Aubrie WalkerKill+0.2%
Kill by Aubrie Walker (set by Kameryn Browne)
Set 2 · MS VAL 13-10 DEL ST · MS VAL 1% → 1%
05
DEL ST serverAce+0.1%
Delaware St. ace on Ashlynn Hawkins
Set 2 · MS VAL 15-14 DEL ST · DEL ST 99% → 99%
06
DEL ST serverAce+0.1%
Delaware St. ace on Aubrie Walker
Set 2 · MS VAL 14-12 DEL ST · DEL ST 99% → 99%
07
Jalia DublinKill+0.1%
Kill by Jalia Dublin
Set 2 · MS VAL 15-15 DEL ST · DEL ST 99% → 100%
08
Aaliyah MitchellKill+0.1%
Kill by Aaliyah Mitchell (set by Paige Ahakuelo)
Set 2 · MS VAL 15-13 DEL ST · DEL ST 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Mississippi Val.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Aubrie WalkerOH	3	9	6	21	.143	0	1	1	2	4	0	2	1	11
6Aniyah MooreOH	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	7
19Taylor WootenOH	3	5	4	20	.050	2	0	0	6	1	0	2	1	6
3Brooklyn BruntMB	3	5	5	17	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
10Madison ConleyMB	3	2	2	5	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Erin MimsOH	3	0	0	2	.000	10	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
16Hannah St. CroixMB	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	1
14Dashaun PinesetteMB	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
12Kameryn BrowneS	3	1	0	1	1.000	11	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Ashlynn HawkinsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	7	2	0	0	0	1
8Taylor WilsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	20	83	.096	23	2	2	26	8	1	10	6	53

Delaware St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Haley CrawfordOH	3	8	6	17	.118	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	8
25Duura KpeaMB	3	4	1	9	.333	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	6
9Paige AhakueloS	3	1	0	1	1.000	16	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
4Hannah SandersMB	2	9	1	13	.615	0	1	2	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
8Aaliyah MitchellOH	2	6	2	15	.267	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
2Amanda Santos JuliaoOH	2	3	3	9	.000	0	3	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
14Jalia DublinOH	3	8	1	16	.438	0	2	1	3	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
15Ailena MykinsS	3	0	0	2	.000	11	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
11Mikayla MooreMB	2	4	0	5	.800	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
13Maria Cocco-Lambia	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Courtney NixL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	1	0	2	4	1	0	0	0	0
3Aubree MonS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
10Autumn RichardsonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	15	92	.304	36	8	7	28	2	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MS VAL · DEL ST 5

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 MS VALDEL ST 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 MS VALDEL ST 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 MS VALDEL ST 5

Bars above the line = Delaware St. leads, below = Mississippi Val. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Mississippi Val.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	50%6/12
2	29%6/21	42%5/12
3	63%5/8	25%2/8
4	38%5/13	0%0/5
5	71%5/7	29%2/7
6	44%4/9	55%6/11
All	44%32/73	38%21/55

Delaware St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	58%7/12
2	78%7/9	63%12/19
3	75%6/8	60%9/15
4	83%5/6	64%9/14
5	50%5/10	29%2/7
6	57%4/7	33%2/6
All	62%34/55	56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	MS VAL-DEL ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Courtney Nix	+0.1
2	1-1	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims	+0.1
3	2-1	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore		+0.1
4	2-2	MS VAL	DEL ST×3	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Aaliyah Mitchell	+0.1
5	2-3	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Aaliyah Mitchell	+0.1
6	2-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Haley Crawford		+0.1
7	3-4	DEL ST	MS VAL	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.1
8	3-5	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.1
9	4-5	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Madison Conley	set Erin Mims	+0.1
10	4-6	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Duura Kpea	+0.1
11	5-6	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
12	6-6	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Amanda Santos Juliao	blk Hannah St. Croix	+0.1
13	6-7	MS VAL	DEL ST×3	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
14	6-8	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Aubrie Walker		+0.1
15	6-9	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Madison Conley	blk Amanda Santos Juliao, Hannah Sanders	+0.1
16	7-9	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
17	7-10	MS VAL	DEL ST×5	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
18	7-11	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Hannah St. Croix		+0.0
19	7-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Kill	Amanda Santos Juliao	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
20	7-13	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Aubrie Walker		+0.0
21	7-14	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
22	8-14	DEL ST	MS VAL×3	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.0
23	9-14	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Taylor Wooten	+0.0
24	10-14	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Hannah Sanders		+0.0
25	10-15	MS VAL	DEL ST×3	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
26	10-16	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt		+0.0
27	10-17	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
28	11-17	DEL ST	MS VAL	Attack err	Aaliyah Mitchell		+0.0
29	12-17	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Haley Crawford	blk Taylor Wooten, Aniyah Moore	+0.0
30	12-18	MS VAL	DEL ST×4	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
31	12-19	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
32	12-20	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt	blk Aaliyah Mitchell, Duura Kpea	+0.0
33	12-21	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Bad set	Erin Mims		+0.0
34	13-21	DEL ST	MS VAL	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.0
35	13-22	MS VAL	DEL ST×4	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
36	13-23	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Aubree Mon	+0.0
37	13-24	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Attack err	Taylor Wooten		+0.0
38	13-25	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	DEL ST	DEL ST	Kill	Mikayla Moore		+0.0
2	1-1	DEL ST	MS VAL×4	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims	+0.0
3	2-1	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Kill	Aniyah Moore		+0.1
4	3-1	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Ace	MS VAL server	aced Team	+0.1
5	4-1	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Attack err	Aaliyah Mitchell		+0.1
6	4-2	MS VAL	DEL ST×3	Serve err	MS VAL server		+0.1
7	4-3	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Ashlynn Hawkins	+0.1
8	4-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Taylor Wooten		+0.1
9	5-4	DEL ST	MS VAL	Attack err	Jalia Dublin	blk Brooklyn Brunt, Aniyah Moore	+0.1
10	5-5	MS VAL	DEL ST	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt		+0.1
11	6-5	DEL ST	MS VAL	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.1
12	6-6	MS VAL	DEL ST×3	Kill	Paige Ahakuelo	set Aaliyah Mitchell	+0.1
13	6-7	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Haley Crawford		+0.1
14	6-8	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Taylor Wooten	+0.0
15	7-8	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
16	8-8	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
17	8-9	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
18	9-9	DEL ST	MS VAL×4	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.1
19	10-9	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Ace	MS VAL server	aced Courtney Nix	+0.1
20	11-9	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
21	12-9	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Attack err	Amanda Santos Juliao		+0.2
22	12-10	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
23	13-10	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.2
24	14-10	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Haley Crawford	blk Aniyah Moore, Aubrie Walker	+0.2
25	14-11	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Amanda Santos Juliao	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
26	14-12	DEL ST	DEL ST	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Aubrie Walker	+0.1
27	15-12	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims	+0.2
28	15-13	MS VAL	DEL ST×5	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.1
29	15-14	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Ashlynn Hawkins	+0.1
30	15-15	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Kill	Jalia Dublin		+0.1
31	15-16	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Aubrie Walker	+0.1
32	15-17	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Aniyah Moore		+0.1
33	16-17	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims	+0.1
34	16-18	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Mikayla Moore	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.1
35	17-18	DEL ST	MS VAL	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.1
36	17-19	MS VAL	DEL ST×5	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.1
37	17-20	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
38	17-21	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Taylor Wooten		+0.1
39	17-22	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Madison Conley	blk Duura Kpea	+0.0
40	17-23	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Taylor Wooten	blk Duura Kpea, Jalia Dublin	+0.0
41	18-23	DEL ST	MS VAL	Attack err	Haley Crawford		+0.0
42	18-24	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Ailena Mykins	+0.0
43	19-24	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
44	20-24	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Amanda Santos Juliao		+0.0
45	20-25	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Amanda Santos Juliao	set Ailena Mykins	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Autumn Richardson	+0.0
2	0-2	DEL ST	DEL ST	Kill	Hannah Sanders		+0.0
3	1-2	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
4	1-3	MS VAL	DEL ST×5	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
5	1-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Bad set	Kameryn Browne		+0.0
6	1-5	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Aniyah Moore		+0.0
7	1-6	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Aubrie Walker	+0.0
8	1-7	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt		+0.0
9	2-7	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
10	2-8	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
11	3-8	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Madison Conley	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
12	3-9	MS VAL	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Aubrie Walker		+0.0
13	3-10	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Aubrie Walker	+0.0
14	3-11	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Madison Conley	+0.0
15	4-11	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Dashaun Pinesette	set Erin Mims	+0.0
16	4-12	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Mikayla Moore	set Ailena Mykins	+0.0
17	5-12	DEL ST	MS VAL	Attack err	Duura Kpea	blk Madison Conley, Aubrie Walker	+0.0
18	6-12	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Erin Mims	+0.0
19	6-13	MS VAL	DEL ST	Attack err	Aubrie Walker		+0.0
20	7-13	DEL ST	MS VAL×3	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Erin Mims	+0.0
21	8-13	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Bad set	Jalia Dublin		+0.0
22	9-13	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
23	9-14	MS VAL	DEL ST	Serve err	MS VAL server		+0.0
24	9-15	DEL ST	DEL ST	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Autumn Richardson	+0.0
25	10-15	DEL ST	MS VAL	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.0
26	10-16	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Aubree Mon	+0.0
27	11-16	DEL ST	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Haley Crawford	blk Taylor Wooten, Aniyah Moore	+0.0
28	12-16	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Kill	Kameryn Browne	set Aubree Mon	+0.0
29	13-16	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Haley Crawford		+0.0
30	13-17	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Aubree Mon	+0.0
31	14-17	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker		+0.0
32	14-18	MS VAL	DEL ST	Attack err	Aubrie Walker		+0.0
33	15-18	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims	+0.0
34	15-19	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Mikayla Moore	set Ailena Mykins	+0.0
35	16-19	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Erin Mims	+0.0
36	17-19	MS VAL	MS VAL	Serve err	MS VAL server		+0.0
37	17-20	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Ailena Mykins	+0.0
38	17-21	DEL ST	DEL ST	Kill	Hannah Sanders		+0.0
39	18-21	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims	+0.0
40	19-21	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Haley Crawford		+0.0
41	19-22	MS VAL	DEL ST×3	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
42	19-23	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
43	19-24	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Aubrie Walker	blk Jalia Dublin	+0.0
44	20-24	DEL ST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Taylor Wooten	+0.0
45	20-25	MS VAL	DEL ST	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi Val. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.