Nicholls vs Mississippi Val. Volleyball: Nicholls Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

3:0

Nicholls won at Mississippi Val. 3-0 (25-14, 25-16, 25-10) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Nicholls' Kera Arrington led with 12 kills, and Natalia Navarro added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NICHST	25	25	25	3
MS VAL	14	16	10	0

Win probability

Mississippi Val. above 50 · Nicholls below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Nicholls stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NICHST 97.8%2.2% MS VAL

Nicholls wins

3-0

66.1%

3-1

25.6%

3-2

6.2%

Mississippi Val. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.6%

3-2

1.4%

NICHST break %: 54.8% vs this opp
MS VAL break %: 39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Nichollsaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BLK	PTS
18Kera ArringtonOH	3	12	3	23	.391	0	0	0	1	1	1	13
16Mckenzie MitchellOH	3	7	1	10	.600	0	1	0	5	0	0	8
15Harper HoldenMB	3	5	2	8	.375	0	1	0	3	0	0	6
8Isabella PadillaS	3	2	0	13	.154	31	1	2	6	0	0	3
5Maya SchirmerMB	3	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
2Ava-Claire CalaisS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
3Zahahrah Edwards-WyllieOH	3	7	3	20	.200	0	1	2	0	1	1	9
11Natalia NavarroL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	2	0	1	11	0	0	0
1Lizzie KraftDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	7	0	0	0
9Sydney ValentineOH	2	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Karina SmithL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	9	87	.322	36	4	6	34	2	2	75

Mississippi Val.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
6Aniyah MooreOH	3	5	1	9	.444	1	0	1	0	2	2	7
19Taylor WootenOH	3	4	2	20	.100	1	0	4	1	0	0	4
15Aubrie WalkerOH	3	4	6	13	-.154	0	0	3	1	0	0	4
3Brooklyn BruntMB	3	3	6	13	-.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
4Erin MimsOH	3	0	0	3	.000	9	1	5	0	0	0	0
10Madison ConleyMB	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Hannah St. CroixMB	3	3	3	13	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
1Ashlynn HawkinsOH	3	0	1	4	-.250	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
12Kameryn BrowneS	3	0	0	3	.000	7	1	3	0	0	0	0
8Taylor WilsonL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	0	5	0	0	0	0
14Dashaun PinesetteMB	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		19	19	83	.000	19	4	24	4	2	2	40

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 NICHST · MS VAL 3

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 NICHSTMS VAL 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 6 NICHSTMS VAL 2

Set 3

25-10

Longest run 8 NICHSTMS VAL 2

Bars above the line = Mississippi Val. leads, below = Nicholls leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nicholls

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	38%3/8
2	88%7/8	22%2/9
3	60%6/10	67%12/18
4	100%5/5	62%8/13
5	83%5/6	50%5/10
6	100%4/4	73%11/15
All	81%34/42	56%41/73

Mississippi Val.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	25%2/8
2	39%7/18	0%0/7
3	42%5/12	36%4/11
4	42%5/12	17%1/6
5	40%4/10	17%1/6
6	44%4/9	0%0/4
All	44%32/73	19%8/42

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

115 rallies

#	NICHST-MS VAL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
2	2-0	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt
3	2-1	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Erin Mims
4	3-1	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
5	4-1	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla
6	4-2	NICHST	MS VAL	Serve err	Nicholls
7	5-2	MS VAL	NICHST	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
8	6-2	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Natalia Navarro
9	6-3	NICHST	MS VAL	Serve err	Nicholls
10	7-3	MS VAL	NICHST×3	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
11	8-3	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla
12	9-3	NICHST	NICHST×3	Bad set	Aubrie Walker
13	9-4	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Kameryn Browne
14	9-5	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Harper Holden
15	10-5	MS VAL	NICHST×4	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla
16	11-5	NICHST	NICHST×4	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla
17	12-5	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
18	13-5	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
19	13-6	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne
20	14-6	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla
21	14-7	NICHST	MS VAL×3	Blocked	Kera Arrington	blk Aniyah Moore
22	14-8	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Bad set	Isabella Padilla
23	14-9	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Harper Holden
24	15-9	MS VAL	NICHST	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
25	15-10	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims
26	16-10	MS VAL	NICHST×3	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
27	17-10	NICHST	NICHST×3	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla
28	18-10	NICHST	NICHST×3	Bad set	Erin Mims
29	18-11	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims
30	18-12	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie
31	19-12	MS VAL	NICHST	Blocked	Brooklyn Brunt	blk Kera Arrington
32	20-12	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt
33	20-13	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims
34	21-13	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla
35	21-14	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Kameryn Browne
36	22-14	MS VAL	NICHST×4	Attack err	Hannah St. Croix
37	23-14	NICHST	NICHST×4	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla
38	24-14	NICHST	NICHST×4	Ace	Nicholls	aced Taylor Wooten
39	25-14	NICHST	NICHST×4	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla
Set 2
1	1-0	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
2	1-1	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims
3	2-1	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
4	2-2	NICHST	MS VAL	Blocked	Mckenzie Mitchell	blk Aniyah Moore
5	2-3	MS VAL	MS VAL	Bad set	Maya Schirmer
6	3-3	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
7	4-3	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	Nicholls	aced Aubrie Walker
8	4-4	NICHST	MS VAL	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie
9	5-4	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
10	6-4	NICHST	NICHST	Bad set	Kameryn Browne
11	6-5	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Kameryn Browne
12	7-5	MS VAL	NICHST	Bad set	Taylor Wooten
13	7-6	NICHST	MS VAL	Serve err	Nicholls
14	8-6	MS VAL	NICHST×6	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Natalia Navarro
15	9-6	NICHST	NICHST×6	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla
16	10-6	NICHST	NICHST×6	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla
17	11-6	NICHST	NICHST×6	Attack err	Taylor Wooten
18	12-6	NICHST	NICHST×6	Kill	Isabella Padilla	set Lizzie Kraft
19	13-6	NICHST	NICHST×6	Attack err	Ashlynn Hawkins
20	13-7	NICHST	MS VAL	Serve err	Nicholls
21	14-7	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Lizzie Kraft
22	15-7	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	Nicholls	aced Ashlynn Hawkins
23	15-8	NICHST	MS VAL	Attack err	Kera Arrington
24	16-8	MS VAL	NICHST	Bad set	Brooklyn Brunt
25	16-9	NICHST	MS VAL	Serve err	Nicholls
26	17-9	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
27	17-10	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims
28	17-11	MS VAL	MS VAL	Bad set	Kera Arrington
29	18-11	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
30	19-11	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Natalia Navarro
31	19-12	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Kameryn Browne
32	20-12	MS VAL	NICHST	Bad set	Kameryn Browne
33	20-13	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne
34	21-13	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Sydney Valentine	set Isabella Padilla
35	21-14	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Aniyah Moore
36	22-14	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla
37	23-14	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Aniyah Moore
38	23-15	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Taylor Wooten
39	24-15	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
40	24-16	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims
41	25-16	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
Set 3
1	1-0	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Isabella Padilla	set Ava-Claire Calais
2	2-0	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	Nicholls
3	2-1	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims
4	3-1	MS VAL	NICHST	Bad set	Brooklyn Brunt
5	4-1	NICHST	NICHST	Bad set	Erin Mims
6	4-2	NICHST	MS VAL	Bad set	Isabella Padilla
7	4-3	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Kera Arrington
8	5-3	MS VAL	NICHST	Bad set	Erin Mims
9	6-3	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla
10	6-4	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Taylor Wilson
11	7-4	MS VAL	NICHST×4	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Isabella Padilla
12	8-4	NICHST	NICHST×4	Kill	Mckenzie Mitchell	set Isabella Padilla
13	9-4	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Hannah St. Croix
14	10-4	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Hannah St. Croix
15	10-5	NICHST	MS VAL	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie
16	11-5	MS VAL	NICHST	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
17	11-6	NICHST	MS VAL	Serve err	Nicholls
18	12-6	MS VAL	NICHST	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
19	12-7	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Kameryn Browne
20	13-7	MS VAL	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Isabella Padilla
21	13-8	NICHST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Erin Mims
22	14-8	MS VAL	NICHST×8	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla
23	15-8	NICHST	NICHST×8	Bad set	Erin Mims
24	16-8	NICHST	NICHST×8	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt
25	17-8	NICHST	NICHST×8	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
26	18-8	NICHST	NICHST×8	Bad set	Brooklyn Brunt
27	19-8	NICHST	NICHST×8	Blocked	Taylor Wooten	blk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie
28	20-8	NICHST	NICHST×8	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
29	21-8	NICHST	NICHST×8	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla
30	21-9	NICHST	MS VAL	Serve err	Nicholls
31	21-10	MS VAL	MS VAL	Bad set	Kera Arrington
32	22-10	MS VAL	NICHST×4	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla
33	23-10	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt
34	24-10	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
35	25-10	NICHST	NICHST×4	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt

Score shown after each rally, Nicholls first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Nicholls def. Mississippi Val. 3–0