Northwestern State def. Mississippi Val. 3-0 (Sep 10)

FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026 · Neutral site

0:3

Northwestern St. beat Mississippi Val. 3-0 (25-21, 25-15, 25-14) on Thu, Sep 10, 2026 at a neutral site. Northwestern St.'s Elsie Sanchez led with 9 kills, and Emmarie McFarland added 25 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Sep 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MS VAL	21	15	14	0
NW ST	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Northwestern St. above 50 · Mississippi Val. below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Northwestern St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MS VAL 1.2%98.8% NW ST

Mississippi Val. wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.3%

3-2

0.8%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0

72.3%

3-1

22.2%

3-2

4.2%

MS VAL break %: 36.9% vs this opp
NW ST break %: 54.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mississippi Val.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Aubrie WalkerOH	3	5	4	17	.059	0	1	1	3	2	2	1	7
19Taylor WootenOH	3	5	6	30	-.033	1	0	1	9	1	3	1.5	6.5
6Aniyah MooreOH	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
3Brooklyn BruntMB	3	3	3	16	.000	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	4
10Madison ConleyMB	3	0	0	5	.000	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	1
4Erin MimsOH	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
16Hannah St. CroixMB	3	2	3	17	-.059	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
12Kameryn BrowneS	3	1	0	2	.500	4	0	2	8	0	0	0	1
8Taylor WilsonL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
1Ashlynn HawkinsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	6	2	0	0	0
14Dashaun PinesetteMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		19	17	97	.021	17	1	6	44	11	16	8	50

Northwestern St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Kenadii WinfreyMB	3	6	0	13	.462	0	3	2	2	0	1	0	1	10
6Amber CraigOH	3	6	1	7	.714	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
26Addison GuyMB	3	3	5	13	-.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
16Anna Claire HebertS	3	3	0	4	.750	15	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	4
17Elsie SanchezOH	2	9	4	27	.185	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	11
9Elizabeth MuguruzaOH	1	2	3	10	-.100	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
12Valerie BrownL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	2	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
18Camila TorquatiS	3	0	2	6	-.333	10	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
2Emmarie McFarlandL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	3	0	1	25	0	0	0	0	1
7Harper CauleyL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
5Gillian Grace WolfOH	2	4	2	16	.125	0	1	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
3Riley SchubertOH	2	1	2	4	-.250	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Ana GjorgjievskaOH	1	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Julia WhitfieldMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Melis OzipekOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	20	110	.145	30	11	8	54	1	2	4	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MS VAL · NW ST 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 MS VALNW ST 5

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 MS VALNW ST 6

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 MS VALNW ST 7

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = Mississippi Val. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi Val.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	29%2/7
2	35%6/17	46%6/13
3	43%6/14	14%1/7
4	38%5/13	25%2/8
5	50%4/8	17%1/6
6	57%4/7	60%6/10
All	43%32/74	35%18/51

Northwestern St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	40%4/10
2	60%6/10	70%14/20
3	86%6/7	54%7/13
4	75%6/8	54%7/13
5	40%4/10	67%8/12
6	100%4/4	33%2/6
All	65%33/51	57%42/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#	MS VAL-NW ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims
2	1-1	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Anna Claire Hebert
3	2-1	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims
4	2-2	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Anna Claire Hebert
5	2-3	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt
6	3-3	NW ST	MS VAL	Serve err	Northwestern St.
7	4-3	MS VAL	MS VAL	Blocked	Amber Craig	blk Taylor Wooten, Madison Conley
8	4-4	MS VAL	NW ST×3	Kill	Anna Claire Hebert	set Emmarie McFarland
9	4-5	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Taylor Wooten
10	4-6	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Taylor Wooten
11	5-6	NW ST	MS VAL	Attack err	Elizabeth Muguruza
12	5-7	MS VAL	NW ST×3	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
13	5-8	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Camila Torquati
14	5-9	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Kameryn Browne
15	6-9	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Kameryn Browne
16	7-9	MS VAL	MS VAL	Blocked	Addison Guy	blk Aniyah Moore, Aubrie Walker
17	7-10	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Camila Torquati
18	8-10	NW ST	MS VAL	Blocked	Elsie Sanchez	blk Aniyah Moore, Hannah St. Croix
19	8-11	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Camila Torquati
20	9-11	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Erin Mims
21	9-12	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Anna Claire Hebert
22	9-13	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Anna Claire Hebert
23	10-13	NW ST	MS VAL	Blocked	Elizabeth Muguruza	blk Aniyah Moore, Brooklyn Brunt
24	11-13	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten
25	11-14	MS VAL	NW ST×5	Kill	Elizabeth Muguruza	set Anna Claire Hebert
26	11-15	NW ST	NW ST×5	Ace	Northwestern St.
27	11-16	NW ST	NW ST×5	Ace	Northwestern St.
28	11-17	NW ST	NW ST×5	Bad set	Madison Conley
29	11-18	NW ST	NW ST×5	Kill	Elizabeth Muguruza	set Erin Mims
30	12-18	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims
31	12-19	MS VAL	NW ST	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
32	12-20	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Taylor Wooten
33	13-20	NW ST	MS VAL	Attack err	Camila Torquati
34	14-20	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Addison Guy
35	14-21	MS VAL	NW ST	Attack err	Harper Cauley
36	14-22	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	Northwestern St.
37	15-22	NW ST	MS VAL×4	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne
38	16-22	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez
39	17-22	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Blocked	Elsie Sanchez	blk Hannah St. Croix, Taylor Wooten
40	18-22	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Attack err	Camila Torquati
41	18-23	MS VAL	NW ST	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
42	19-23	NW ST	MS VAL	Blocked	Elizabeth Muguruza	blk Aniyah Moore, Aubrie Walker
43	19-24	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Aubrie Walker
44	20-24	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Erin Mims
45	21-24	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Kenadii Winfrey
46	21-25	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Emmarie McFarland
Set 2
1	0-1	MS VAL	NW ST×6	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Anna Claire Hebert
2	0-2	NW ST	NW ST×6	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt
3	0-3	NW ST	NW ST×6	Blocked	Aubrie Walker	blk Kenadii Winfrey
4	0-4	NW ST	NW ST×6	Ace	Northwestern St.	aced Aubrie Walker
5	0-5	NW ST	NW ST×6	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Anna Claire Hebert
6	0-6	NW ST	NW ST×6	Ace	Northwestern St.	aced Ashlynn Hawkins
7	1-6	NW ST	MS VAL	Serve err	Northwestern St.
8	2-6	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Brooklyn Brunt
9	2-7	MS VAL	NW ST	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
10	2-8	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Taylor Wooten
11	3-8	NW ST	MS VAL	Serve err	Northwestern St.
12	3-9	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Anna Claire Hebert
13	3-10	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Valerie Brown
14	4-10	NW ST	MS VAL	Serve err	Northwestern St.
15	5-10	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Addison Guy
16	5-11	MS VAL	NW ST×4	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
17	5-12	NW ST	NW ST×4	Attack err	Taylor Wooten
18	5-13	NW ST	NW ST×4	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Camila Torquati
19	5-14	NW ST	NW ST×4	Attack err	Taylor Wooten
20	6-14	NW ST	MS VAL	Blocked	Addison Guy	blk Taylor Wooten, Madison Conley
21	6-15	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Camila Torquati
22	7-15	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne
23	7-16	MS VAL	NW ST	Blocked	Hannah St. Croix	blk Camila Torquati
24	7-17	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
25	8-17	NW ST	MS VAL×3	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Kameryn Browne
26	9-17	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Blocked	Elsie Sanchez	blk Brooklyn Brunt, Aniyah Moore
27	10-17	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Riley Schubert
28	10-18	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Anna Claire Hebert
29	11-18	NW ST	MS VAL×3	Serve err	Northwestern St.
30	12-18	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Riley Schubert
31	13-18	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Gillian Grace Wolf
32	13-19	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Anna Claire Hebert
33	13-20	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	Northwestern St.
34	14-20	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Anna Claire Hebert
35	14-21	MS VAL	NW ST×3	Kill	Anna Claire Hebert	set Valerie Brown
36	14-22	NW ST	NW ST×3	Ace	Northwestern St.	aced Taylor Wilson
37	14-23	NW ST	NW ST×3	Blocked	Brooklyn Brunt	blk Addison Guy, Gillian Grace Wolf
38	15-23	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims
39	15-24	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Camila Torquati
40	15-25	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Emmarie McFarland
Set 3
1	1-0	NW ST	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Gillian Grace Wolf
2	2-0	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Ace	Aubrie Walker
3	3-0	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Bad set	Emmarie McFarland
4	3-1	MS VAL	NW ST×7	Kill	Amber Craig	set Anna Claire Hebert
5	3-2	NW ST	NW ST×7	Serve err	Northwestern St.
6	3-3	NW ST	NW ST×7	Ace	Northwestern St.	aced Taylor Wooten
7	3-4	NW ST	NW ST×7	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Anna Claire Hebert
8	3-5	NW ST	NW ST×7	Attack err	Taylor Wooten
9	3-6	NW ST	NW ST×7	Kill	Amber Craig	set Ashlynn Hawkins
10	3-7	NW ST	NW ST×7	Ace	Northwestern St.	aced Aubrie Walker
11	4-7	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims
12	4-8	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Anna Claire Hebert
13	5-8	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims
14	5-9	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Addison Guy	set Anna Claire Hebert
15	5-10	NW ST	NW ST	Blocked	Hannah St. Croix	blk Camila Torquati, Addison Guy
16	6-10	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Kameryn Browne	set Erin Mims
17	6-11	MS VAL	NW ST	Attack err	Hannah St. Croix
18	7-11	NW ST	MS VAL×3	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Taylor Wooten
19	8-11	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Ana Gjorgjievska
20	9-11	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Addison Guy
21	9-12	MS VAL	NW ST×3	Serve err	Mississippi Val.
22	9-13	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Ana Gjorgjievska	set Camila Torquati
23	9-14	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Camila Torquati
24	10-14	NW ST	MS VAL	Serve err	Northwestern St.
25	10-15	MS VAL	NW ST×4	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Camila Torquati
26	10-16	NW ST	NW ST×4	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
27	10-17	NW ST	NW ST×4	Ace	Northwestern St.	aced Ashlynn Hawkins
28	10-18	NW ST	NW ST×4	Attack err	Aniyah Moore
29	11-18	NW ST	MS VAL	Serve err	Northwestern St.
30	11-19	MS VAL	NW ST×3	Kill	Amber Craig	set Emmarie McFarland
31	11-20	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Anna Claire Hebert
32	11-21	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Aubrie Walker
33	12-21	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims
34	12-22	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Riley Schubert	set Anna Claire Hebert
35	13-22	NW ST	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Taylor Wilson
36	13-23	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Addison Guy	set Anna Claire Hebert
37	14-23	NW ST	MS VAL	Serve err	Northwestern St.
38	14-24	MS VAL	NW ST	Kill	Addison Guy	set Camila Torquati
39	14-25	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	Northwestern St.

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi Val. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northwestern St. def. Mississippi Val. 3–0