Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwaySWAC

1:3

HomeSUN-BELT

ULM def. Mississippi Val. 3–1

(25-11, 25-19, 24-26, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MS VAL	11	19	26	11	1
LA MON	25	25	24	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LA MON above 50 · MS VAL below

Biggest swing: 0.4% to Mississippi Val. — set 4, MS VAL 2-0 LA MON. Kill by Aniyah Moore (set by Erin Mims). LA MON win probability 99% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MS VAL 0.4%99.6% LA MON

Mississippi Val. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.3%

ULM wins

3-0

80.9%

3-1

16.6%

3-2

2.1%

MS VAL break %: 36.0% vs this opp
LA MON break %: 56.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Aniyah MooreKill+0.4%
Kill by Aniyah Moore (set by Erin Mims)
Set 4 · MS VAL 2-0 LA MON · MS VAL 1% → 2%
02
Abby CunninghamAttack error+0.4%
Abby Cunningham stuffed by Aniyah Moore & Aubrie Walker
Set 3 · MS VAL 26-24 LA MON · MS VAL 0% → 1%
03
Aniyah MooreKill+0.3%
Kill by Aniyah Moore (set by Erin Mims)
Set 4 · MS VAL 1-0 LA MON · MS VAL 1% → 1%
04
Tatum ClayKill+0.3%
Kill by Tatum Clay (set by Morgan Howard)
Set 4 · MS VAL 2-2 LA MON · LA MON 99% → 99%
05
Aubrie WalkerAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Aubrie Walker
Set 4 · MS VAL 2-1 LA MON · LA MON 98% → 99%
06
MS VAL serverAce+0.3%
Mississippi Val. ace on Team
Set 4 · MS VAL 5-6 LA MON · MS VAL 1% → 1%
07
Abby CunninghamKill+0.2%
Kill by Abby Cunningham (set by Morgan Howard)
Set 4 · MS VAL 2-3 LA MON · LA MON 99% → 99%
08
MS VAL serverAce+0.2%
Mississippi Val. ace on Team
Set 3 · MS VAL 25-24 LA MON · MS VAL 0% → 0%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Mississippi Val.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Aniyah MooreOH	4	6	8	29	-.069	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	9.5
15Aubrie WalkerOH	4	8	5	27	.111	1	0	2	4	3	0	2	1	9
19Taylor WootenOH	4	7	4	32	.094	1	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	7
3Brooklyn BruntMB	4	4	5	18	-.056	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	6
10Madison ConleyMB	4	3	3	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4
4Erin MimsOH	4	0	1	5	-.200	16	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
16Hannah St. CroixMB	4	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
12Kameryn BrowneS	4	0	0	6	.000	14	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
1Ashlynn HawkinsOH	4	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	10	2	0	0	0	0
14Dashaun PinesetteMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Taylor WilsonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	26	134	.045	32	2	5	53	6	3	10	8	67

ULMhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Grace TroxellOH	4	9	2	27	.259	1	1	3	17	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
2Abby CunninghamOH	4	10	3	26	.269	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
14Tatum ClayMB	4	4	0	7	.571	0	2	2	2	0	2	3	3.5	9.5
15Morgan HowardS	3	0	0	2	.000	22	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
6Aniya HallOH	2	7	2	17	.294	2	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
3Marissa KobelskiMB	1	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
16Eden PietrzakL/DS	4	0	0	4	.000	3	2	2	13	0	0	0	0	2
9Bre PerrinS	4	0	0	5	.000	16	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
11Zharia AlleyneMB	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	3.5	9.5
7Kenzie BehlMB	3	6	0	12	.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	7
20Myla MatavaoOH	2	7	6	20	.050	0	0	2	5	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
12Olivia AndersonS	2	2	0	4	.500	7	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
22Gracie DiNardoOH	1	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
13Kennedy ScottOH	1	1	0	6	.167	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2
8Taylor ReidMB	1	1	2	3	-.333	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		58	17	151	.272	52	6	12	66	2	6	12	12	99

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MS VAL · LA MON 7

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 3 MS VALLA MON 7

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 MS VALLA MON 5

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 5 MS VALLA MON 4

Set 4

11-25

Longest run 2 MS VALLA MON 6

Bars above the line = ULM leads, below = Mississippi Val. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Mississippi Val.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	26%8/31	50%7/14
2	27%6/22	43%6/14
3	86%6/7	50%6/12
4	50%6/12	25%2/8
5	50%6/12	14%1/7
6	43%6/14	54%7/13
All	39%38/98	43%29/68

ULM

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	65%13/20
2	70%7/10	79%27/34
3	50%6/12	40%4/10
4	100%6/6	45%5/11
5	50%6/12	50%6/12
6	45%5/11	45%5/11
All	57%39/68	61%60/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

166 rallies

Rally log

#	MS VAL-LA MON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Aniya Hall	+0.1
2	0-2	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Erin Mims		+0.0
3	0-3	LA MON	LA MON×5	Ace	LA MON server	aced Aubrie Walker	+0.0
4	0-4	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
5	0-5	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
6	1-5	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims	+0.0
7	2-5	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Aniya Hall	blk Brooklyn Brunt	+0.0
8	2-6	MS VAL	LA MON×7	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
9	2-7	LA MON	LA MON×7	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
10	2-8	LA MON	LA MON×7	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Aniya Hall	+0.0
11	2-9	LA MON	LA MON×7	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
12	2-10	LA MON	LA MON×7	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
13	2-11	LA MON	LA MON×7	Attack err	Aniyah Moore		+0.0
14	2-12	LA MON	LA MON×7	Attack err	Aubrie Walker		+0.0
15	3-12	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
16	3-13	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
17	4-13	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims	+0.0
18	5-13	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
19	5-14	MS VAL	LA MON	Bad set	Taylor Wooten		+0.0
20	6-14	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
21	6-15	MS VAL	LA MON×4	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Eden Pietrzak	+0.0
22	6-16	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
23	6-17	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
24	6-18	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
25	7-18	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
26	7-19	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
27	8-19	LA MON	MS VAL×3	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
28	9-19	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Marissa Kobelski	blk Aniyah Moore, Aubrie Walker	+0.0
29	10-19	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.0
30	10-20	MS VAL	LA MON	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt		+0.0
31	10-21	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall		+0.0
32	11-21	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Erin Mims	+0.0
33	11-22	MS VAL	LA MON×4	Serve err	MS VAL server		+0.0
34	11-23	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Taylor Wooten		+0.0
35	11-24	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Ashlynn Hawkins	+0.0
36	11-25	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Aniyah Moore	blk Tatum Clay	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims	+0.0
2	1-1	MS VAL	LA MON	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt	blk Zharia Alleyne	+0.0
3	1-2	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Olivia Anderson	+0.0
4	2-2	LA MON	MS VAL	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+0.0
5	2-3	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Olivia Anderson	set Grace Troxell	+0.0
6	3-3	LA MON	MS VAL×4	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims	+0.0
7	4-3	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+0.1
8	5-3	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Aubrie Walker	+0.1
9	6-3	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Bad set	Bre Perrin		+0.1
10	6-4	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Eden Pietrzak	+0.1
11	7-4	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
12	7-5	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Eden Pietrzak	+0.1
13	8-5	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
14	8-6	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Bre Perrin	+0.1
15	9-6	LA MON	MS VAL×3	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
16	10-6	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Grace Troxell		+0.1
17	11-6	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Brooklyn Brunt, Aniyah Moore	+0.2
18	11-7	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Olivia Anderson	+0.1
19	12-7	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims	+0.2
20	12-8	MS VAL	LA MON×5	Serve err	MS VAL server		+0.1
21	12-9	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt	blk Myla Matavao	+0.1
22	12-10	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Aniyah Moore	blk Myla Matavao, Tatum Clay	+0.1
23	12-11	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Myla Matavao		+0.1
24	12-12	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
25	13-12	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
26	14-12	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.1
27	14-13	MS VAL	LA MON×3	Attack err	Madison Conley		+0.1
28	14-14	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Taylor Wooten		+0.1
29	14-15	LA MON	LA MON×3	Bad set	Erin Mims		+0.1
30	15-15	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Madison Conley	set Erin Mims	+0.1
31	15-16	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Bre Perrin	+0.1
32	16-16	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Madison Conley	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
33	16-17	MS VAL	LA MON	Serve err	MS VAL server		+0.1
34	17-17	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
35	17-18	MS VAL	LA MON×3	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Bre Perrin	+0.1
36	17-19	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
37	17-20	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Aniyah Moore	blk Abby Cunningham, Zharia Alleyne	+0.1
38	18-20	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
39	18-21	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
40	19-21	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.1
41	19-22	MS VAL	LA MON×4	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt		+0.1
42	19-23	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
43	19-24	LA MON	LA MON×4	Ace	LA MON server	aced Aubrie Walker	+0.0
44	19-25	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Kennedy Scott	set Olivia Anderson	+0.0
2	1-1	LA MON	MS VAL	Attack err	Myla Matavao	blk Brooklyn Brunt, Aniyah Moore	+0.0
3	1-2	MS VAL	LA MON×4	Kill	Olivia Anderson	set Kennedy Scott	+0.0
4	1-3	LA MON	LA MON×4	Ace	LA MON server	aced Ashlynn Hawkins	+0.0
5	1-4	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Aniyah Moore		+0.0
6	1-5	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Eden Pietrzak	+0.0
7	2-5	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims	+0.0
8	2-6	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
9	3-6	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Erin Mims	+0.0
10	3-7	MS VAL	LA MON×4	Kill	Gracie DiNardo	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
11	3-8	LA MON	LA MON×4	Ace	LA MON server	aced Team	+0.0
12	3-9	LA MON	LA MON×4	Ace	LA MON server	aced Aubrie Walker	+0.0
13	3-10	LA MON	LA MON×4	Bad set	Taylor Wooten		+0.0
14	4-10	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
15	4-11	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
16	4-12	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Aubrie Walker	blk Kennedy Scott	+0.0
17	5-12	LA MON	MS VAL×3	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
18	6-12	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
19	7-12	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
20	7-13	MS VAL	LA MON×3	Serve err	MS VAL server		+0.0
21	7-14	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Myla Matavao		+0.0
22	7-15	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Olivia Anderson	+0.0
23	8-15	LA MON	MS VAL	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+0.0
24	8-16	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Olivia Anderson	+0.0
25	8-17	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Aubrie Walker	blk Tatum Clay	+0.0
26	9-17	LA MON	MS VAL×5	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims	+0.0
27	10-17	MS VAL	MS VAL×5	Bad set	Kennedy Scott		+0.0
28	11-17	MS VAL	MS VAL×5	Bad set	Myla Matavao		+0.0
29	12-17	MS VAL	MS VAL×5	Kill	Brooklyn Brunt	set Taylor Wooten	+0.0
30	13-17	MS VAL	MS VAL×5	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims	+0.0
31	13-18	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Olivia Anderson	+0.0
32	14-18	LA MON	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Taylor Reid		+0.0
33	15-18	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+0.0
34	16-18	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims	+0.0
35	16-19	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Taylor Reid	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
36	17-19	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
37	18-19	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Taylor Reid	blk Madison Conley	+0.0
38	18-20	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Gracie DiNardo	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
39	18-21	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
40	19-21	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
41	19-22	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Gracie DiNardo	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
42	20-22	LA MON	MS VAL×4	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.0
43	21-22	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Bad set	Kennedy Scott		+0.1
44	22-22	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+0.1
45	23-22	MS VAL	MS VAL×4	Attack err	Grace Troxell	blk Hannah St. Croix, Aniyah Moore	+0.2
46	23-23	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Olivia Anderson	+0.1
47	23-24	LA MON	LA MON	Bad set	Kameryn Browne		+0.2
48	24-24	LA MON	MS VAL×3	Kill	Hannah St. Croix	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
49	25-24	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Ace	MS VAL server	aced Team	+0.2
50	26-24	MS VAL	MS VAL×3	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Aniyah Moore, Aubrie Walker	+0.4
Set 4
1	1-0	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims	+0.3
2	2-0	MS VAL	MS VAL	Kill	Aniyah Moore	set Erin Mims	+0.4
3	2-1	MS VAL	LA MON×4	Attack err	Aubrie Walker		+0.3
4	2-2	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.3
5	2-3	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
6	2-4	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Aniyah Moore		+0.2
7	3-4	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Erin Mims	+0.2
8	3-5	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
9	3-6	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Taylor Wooten	blk Tatum Clay, Kenzie Behl	+0.2
10	4-6	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Madison Conley	set Erin Mims	+0.2
11	5-6	MS VAL	MS VAL	Ace	MS VAL server	aced Team	+0.3
12	5-7	MS VAL	LA MON	Serve err	MS VAL server		+0.2
13	5-8	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Madison Conley		+0.2
14	6-8	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Taylor Wooten	set Kameryn Browne	+0.2
15	6-9	MS VAL	LA MON×3	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.2
16	6-10	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Madison Conley	blk Grace Troxell, Zharia Alleyne	+0.1
17	6-11	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Aubrie Walker		+0.1
18	7-11	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.1
19	8-11	MS VAL	MS VAL	Attack err	Zharia Alleyne	blk Aniyah Moore	+0.2
20	8-12	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.1
21	9-12	LA MON	MS VAL	Kill	Aubrie Walker	set Kameryn Browne	+0.2
22	9-13	MS VAL	LA MON×6	Attack err	Taylor Wooten		+0.1
23	9-14	LA MON	LA MON×6	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
24	9-15	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Aniyah Moore		+0.1
25	9-16	LA MON	LA MON×6	Ace	LA MON server	aced Ashlynn Hawkins	+0.1
26	9-17	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Brooklyn Brunt	blk Zharia Alleyne	+0.0
27	9-18	LA MON	LA MON×6	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
28	10-18	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
29	10-19	MS VAL	LA MON×5	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
30	10-20	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
31	10-21	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
32	10-22	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
33	10-23	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Aniyah Moore	blk Tatum Clay, Aniya Hall	+0.0
34	11-23	LA MON	MS VAL	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.0
35	11-24	MS VAL	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
36	11-25	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Bre Perrin	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi Val. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.