FinalThu, Oct 15, 2026

Alabama St. def. Mississippi Val. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Alabama St. 97.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Alabama St. beat visiting Mississippi Val. 3-0 (25-17, 25-11, 25-16) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Alabama St.'s Amaya Robinson led with 12 kills.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set123Sets
MS VAL1711160
ALA ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Mississippi Val. never reached 20 in a set against Alabama St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.7 points. Mississippi Val. peaked at 4% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Alabama St. 98% before first serve.

Mississippi Val.Alabama St.
  • Break %+27.5 pts
    33.360.8

    Points won on own serve: 45 of 74 vs 15 of 45. Mississippi Val. sided out 39.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.242
    -.010.232

    36 K / 14 E against 24 K / 25 E.

Alabama St. above 50Mississippi Val. belowMax swing 0.7%

Mississippi Val.Alabama St.

Aces
Mississippi Val. 2·Alabama St. 6
Serve err
Mississippi Val. 7·Alabama St. 3
Blocks
Mississippi Val. 4·Alabama St. 51 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Mississippi Val. 36·Alabama St. 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Alabama St. above 50 · Mississippi Val. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 119 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Alabama St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MS VAL 1.6%98.4% ALA ST

Mississippi Val. wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.4%
3-2
1.1%

Alabama St. wins

3-0
69.5%
3-1
23.8%
3-2
5.1%
MS VAL break %
38.8% vs this opp
ALA ST break %
55.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38525.120301112111.59.5
34315.06710020010.54.5
3238-.12501200010.53.5
32615-.267000100213
3022-1.000001020000
3001.000701500000
36531.03200000010.56.5
3215.200700100002
3000–012810001
3001.000300800000
Team totals2425103-.010212736616444
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310220.40010040031.511.5
36314.214010100218
36314.2141011400217
3204.500263180010.55.5
3000–111300001
3003.000000410000
312432.25000000010.512.5
3000–3101400001
2015-.20000000010.50.5
1013-.333000000000
Team totals361495.2323263482010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mississippi Val. vs Alabama St.

Season series · Alabama St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 MS VAL · ALA ST 10

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 MS VALALA ST 7

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 MS VALALA ST 10

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 MS VALALA ST 5

Bars above the line = Alabama St. leads, below = Mississippi Val. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi Val.

No clean sets to split.

Alabama St.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

119 rallies

#MS VAL-ALA STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0ALA STMS VALAttack errTaylor Williams
21-1MS VALALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay
32-1ALA STMS VALKillBrooklyn Bruntset Taylor Wilson
42-2MS VALALA STServe errMississippi Val.
53-2ALA STMS VALAttack errAmaya Robinson
64-2MS VALMS VALKillAubrie Walkerset Taylor Wilson
74-3MS VALALA STServe errMississippi Val.
8–96-3MS VAL 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

107-3MS VALMS VAL×3KillAubrie Walkerset Taylor Wooten
117-4MS VALALA ST×6Serve errMississippi Val.
127-5ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

137-6ALA STALA ST×6KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay
147-7ALA STALA ST×6Attack errHannah St. Croix
157-8ALA STALA ST×6KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay
167-9ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

178-9ALA STMS VALKillTaylor Wootenset Erin Mims
188-10MS VALALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay
199-10ALA STMS VALKillErin Mims
209-11MS VALALA STKillTaylor Williams
2110-11MS VAL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2210-12MS VALALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay
2311-12ALA STMS VAL×3KillBrooklyn Bruntset Kameryn Browne
2412-12MS VAL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2513-12MS VALMS VAL×3Serve errMississippi Val.
2613-13MS VALALA ST×7KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay
2713-14ALA STALA ST×7Attack errBrooklyn Brunt
2813-15ALA STALA ST×7Attack errHannah St. Croix
2913-16ALA STALA ST×7Attack errTaylor Wooten
3013-17ALA STALA ST×7KillAmaya Robinson
3113-18ALA STALA ST×7Serve errAlabama St.
3213-19ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3314-19ALA STMS VALAttack errAmaya Robinson
3414-20MS VALALA STAttack errHannah St. Croix
3515-20ALA STMS VALAttack errHannah St. Croix
3615-21MS VALALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay
3715-22ALA STALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay
3816-22ALA STMS VALKillHannah St. Croixset Erin Mims
3916-23MS VALALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay
4016-24ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

4117-24ALA STMS VALKillAniyah Mooreset Erin Mims
4217-25MS VALALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay
Set 2
10-1ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

20-2ALA STALA STAceKamrynn Clayaced Dashaun Pinesette
31-2ALA STMS VALBad setTaylor Williams
4–52-3MS VAL · ALA ST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

62-4MS VALALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay
72-5ALA STALA STAttack errAubrie Walker
83-5ALA STMS VALKillAubrie Walkerset Kameryn Browne
93-6MS VALALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Mirra Riddle
103-7ALA STALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay
113-8ALA STALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay
124-8ALA STMS VALKillErin Mims
134-9MS VALALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinson
144-10ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

154-11ALA STALA ST×3Attack errAniyah Moore
165-11ALA STMS VALKillTaylor Wooten
175-12MS VALALA STAttack errTaylor Wooten
186-12ALA STMS VALKillTaylor Wootenset Erin Mims
196-13MS VALALA STAttack errTaylor Wooten
207-13ALA STMS VALKillTaylor Wootenset Kameryn Browne
217-14MS VALALA STServe errMississippi Val.
228-14ALA STMS VALBlockedLyric Edwardsblk Taylor Wooten
239-14MS VALMS VALKillAubrie Walkerset Kameryn Browne
249-15MS VALALA STAttack errAubrie Walker
2510-15ALA STMS VALKillTaylor Wooten
2611-15MS VALMS VALServe errMississippi Val.
2711-16MS VALALA ST×10Serve errMississippi Val.
2811-17ALA STALA ST×10AceEmani Greenaced Taylor Wooten
2911-18ALA STALA ST×10Attack errHannah St. Croix
30–3111-20ALA ST 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3211-21ALA STALA ST×10Serve errAlabama St.
3311-22ALA STALA ST×10KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay
3411-23ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3511-24ALA STALA ST×10Attack errHannah St. Croix
3611-25ALA STALA ST×10Attack errTaylor Wooten
Set 3
10-1ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hines
21-1ALA STMS VAL×3Attack errKaylen Hines
32-1MS VALMS VAL×3Attack errTaylor Williams
43-1MS VALMS VAL×3AceMississippi Val.aced Mikalah Davis
53-2MS VALALA ST×3Serve errMississippi Val.
63-3ALA STALA ST×3Serve errAlabama St.
7–95-4MS VAL 2 · ALA ST
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

105-5MS VALALA ST×4KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay
115-6ALA STALA ST×4KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay
125-7ALA STALA ST×4Attack errTaylor Wooten
135-8ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

146-8ALA STMS VAL×3KillBrooklyn Bruntset Kameryn Browne
157-8MS VALMS VAL×3KillAubrie Walkerset Taylor Wilson
168-8MS VALMS VAL×3Attack errAmaya Robinson
178-9MS VALALA STKillAlexis Williams
189-9ALA STMS VALKillTaylor Wootenset Erin Mims
199-10MS VALALA STKillKamrynn Clayset Alexis Williams
209-11ALA STALA STAttack errAniyah Moore
2110-11ALA STMS VALKillAubrie Walkerset Erin Mims
2210-12MS VALALA ST×5KillAlexis Williams
2310-13ALA STALA ST×5Serve errAlabama St.
2410-14ALA STALA ST×5Attack errDashaun Pinesette
2510-15ALA STALA ST×5AceMirra Riddleaced Ashlynn Hawkins
26–2711-16MS VAL · ALA ST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2811-17MS VALALA ST×5KillKaylen Hines
2911-18ALA STALA ST×5KillTaylor Williamsset Mirra Riddle
3011-19ALA STALA ST×5AceKamrynn Clayaced Dashaun Pinesette
3111-20ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3211-21ALA STALA ST×5AceKamrynn Clay
3312-21ALA STMS VAL×3KillBrooklyn Brunt
3413-21MS VALMS VAL×3KillTaylor Wootenset Kameryn Browne
3514-21MS VALMS VAL×3Attack errKaylen Hines
3614-22MS VALALA ST×3Attack errBrooklyn Brunt
3714-23ALA STALA ST×3Serve errAlabama St.
3814-24ALA STALA ST×3AceKaylen Hinesaced Taylor Wooten
3915-24ALA STMS VALKillHannah St. Croixset Taylor Wooten
4016-24MS VALMS VALAttack errAlexis Williams
4116-25MS VALALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi Val. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).