CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Southeast Mo. St. def. Alabama A&M 31

(25-27, 25-11, 25-22, 25-14)
Set1234Sets
AL A&M271122141
SEMO252525253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SEMO above 50 · AL A&M below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100SEMOAL A&MBiggest swing +7.9% AL A&M · S1 27-25rally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Alabama A&M — set 1, AL A&M 27-25 SEMO. Attack error by Reagan Nelson. SEMO win probability 80%72%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

AL A&M 11.6%88.4% SEMO

Alabama A&M wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
6.4%

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0
41.8%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.9%
AL A&M break %
37.9% vs this opp
SEMO break %
47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Reagan NelsonAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Reagan Nelson

    Set 1 · AL A&M 27-25 SEMO · AL A&M 20%28%

  2. 02
    AL A&M serverAce+6.4%

    Alabama A&M ace on Holland Guilliams

    Set 1 · AL A&M 24-23 SEMO · AL A&M 14%20%

  3. 03
    McKenzie CharlesAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by McKenzie Charles

    Set 3 · AL A&M 21-22 SEMO · SEMO 77%83%

  4. 04

    Kill by Rayishon Jackman (set by Kaydee Smith)

    Set 3 · AL A&M 20-19 SEMO · AL A&M 21%27%

  5. 05
    Reagan NelsonKill+5.4%

    Kill by Reagan Nelson (set by Harper Highfill)

    Set 3 · AL A&M 21-23 SEMO · SEMO 83%88%

  6. 06

    Kill by Rayishon Jackman (set by Kaydee Smith)

    Set 3 · AL A&M 21-20 SEMO · AL A&M 23%28%

  7. 07
    Lucy ArndtKill+4.8%

    Kill by Lucy Arndt (set by Megan Holder)

    Set 1 · AL A&M 24-24 SEMO · SEMO 80%84%

  8. 08

    Kill by McKenzie Charles (set by Kaydee Smith)

    Set 1 · AL A&M 25-24 SEMO · AL A&M 16%20%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413937.10810212100013
411644.1140038100011
48315.33300010010.58.5
47214.35700010010.57.5
45312.16701300031.57.5
40002201000000
46414.14300010031.57.5
4103.3332013500002
40001101500001
4000300810000
2000000000000
1023-.667000000000
1022-1.000000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5131145.1384731251408474
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415740.20012061010.517.5
413432.281400140010.513.5
47114.4290001024411
45110.400000001227
40001800700000
2011-1.000000100000
48218.33310010010.58.5
4001.00016211300002
40003001520000
3319.222001001225
3000000000000
11011.00000000010.51.5
1000200100000
1000101000000
Team totals5217126.278464359341210100

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 AL A&M · SEMO 14

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 AL A&MSEMO 4

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 3 AL A&MSEMO 14

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 AL A&MSEMO 4

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 2 AL A&MSEMO 7

Bars above the line = Southeast Mo. St. leads, below = Alabama A&M leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Alabama A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
33%4/12
2
56%9/16
18%2/11
3
32%8/25
36%5/14
4
50%8/16
50%8/16
5
73%8/11
33%4/12
6
46%6/13
30%3/10
All
48%48/99
35%26/75

Southeast Mo. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
90%9/10
42%5/12
2
69%9/13
57%12/21
3
56%9/16
25%3/12
4
53%8/15
65%15/23
5
70%7/10
50%8/16
6
64%7/11
53%8/15
All
65%49/75
52%51/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

174 rallies

Rally log

#AL A&M-SEMOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SEMOAL A&MKillRayishon Jackmanset Briana Smith+1.0
21-1AL A&MSEMO×3KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+0.9
31-2SEMOSEMO×3Attack errCarys Sanabria+1.1
41-3SEMOSEMO×3Attack errGerren Tomlin+1.0
52-3SEMOAL A&MKillCarys Sanabriaset Briana Smith+0.8
63-3AL A&MAL A&MAttack errReagan Nelson+1.2
73-4AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+0.9
84-4SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+1.0
95-4AL A&MAL A&MAttack errKatarina Miscevic+1.5
105-5AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.0
116-5SEMOAL A&MKillMcKenzie Charlesset Kaydee Smith+1.2
126-6AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+1.0
137-6SEMOAL A&MKillRayishon Jackmanset Kaydee Smith+1.2
147-7AL A&MSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.1
157-8SEMOSEMO×3KillMarin Johnsonset Reagan Nelson+1.4
167-9SEMOSEMO×3Attack errGerren Tomlin+1.2
178-9SEMOAL A&MKillMcKenzie Charlesset Kaydee Smith+0.9
188-10AL A&MSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Ellie Burns+0.9
198-11SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.1
209-11SEMOAL A&MKillCarys Sanabriaset Briana Smith+0.8
2110-11AL A&MAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+1.3
2210-12AL A&MSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+1.0
2311-12SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+1.1
2412-12AL A&MAL A&MKillAmya Jenningsset Briana Smith+1.7
2512-13AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.2
2613-13SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+1.4
2714-13AL A&MAL A&MAttack errLucy Arndt+2.1
2814-14AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.5
2914-15SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+1.9
3015-15SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Kaydee Smith+1.5
3115-16AL A&MSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+1.5
3216-16SEMOAL A&MAttack errMarin Johnson+1.6
3316-17AL A&MSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+1.6
3417-17SEMOAL A&MKillKaydee Smithset Gerren Tomlin+1.7
3518-17AL A&MAL A&MKillAmya Jenningsset Kelani Talakai+2.7
3618-18AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+1.9
3719-18SEMOAL A&MKillAmya Jenningsset Molly Chappell+2.2
3819-19AL A&MSEMO×4KillAlaina Lesterset Rayishon Jackman+2.0
3919-20SEMOSEMO×4Attack errGerren Tomlinblk Alayna Christner+2.8
4019-21SEMOSEMO×4Attack errGerren Tomlin+2.4
4119-22SEMOSEMO×4AceSEMO serveraced Rayishon Jackman+1.8
4220-22SEMOAL A&MAttack errLucy Arndt+0.9
4320-23AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.3
4421-23SEMOAL A&M×4KillCherrish Robinsonset Briana Smith+0.8
4522-23AL A&MAL A&M×4KillCherrish Robinsonset Kaydee Smith+2.2
4623-23AL A&MAL A&M×4Attack errLucy Arndt+4.1
4724-23AL A&MAL A&M×4AceAL A&M serveraced Holland Guilliams+6.4
4824-24AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+4.8
4925-24SEMOAL A&MKillMcKenzie Charlesset Kaydee Smith+4.8
5025-25AL A&MSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Lucy Arndt+4.8
5126-25SEMOAL A&MKillMcKenzie Charlesset Kaydee Smith+4.8
5227-25AL A&MAL A&MAttack errReagan Nelson+7.9
Set 2
10-1AL A&MSEMOKillAlayna Christnerset Lucy Arndt+1.5
21-1SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+1.7
32-1AL A&MAL A&MAttack errAlayna Christner+2.6
42-2AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+1.8
53-2SEMOAL A&MKillCherrish Robinsonset Briana Smith+2.0
63-3AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+1.8
74-3SEMOAL A&M×3KillCherrish Robinsonset Kaydee Smith+2.1
85-3AL A&MAL A&M×3KillCherrish Robinson+3.1
96-3AL A&MAL A&M×3KillCherrish Robinsonset Ellie Burns+3.3
106-4AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+2.1
116-5SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+2.9
127-5SEMOAL A&MKillRayishon Jackmanset Molly Chappell+2.5
137-6AL A&MSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Holland Guilliams+2.1
148-6SEMOAL A&MAttack errReagan Nelsonblk Carys Sanabria, McKenzie Charles+2.6
158-7AL A&MSEMOAttack errRayishon Jackman+2.2
168-8SEMOSEMOAttack errAmya Jenningsblk Alaina Lester, Alayna Christner+3.0
179-8SEMOAL A&MAttack errReagan Nelsonblk Carys Sanabria, Amya Jennings+2.5
189-9AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+2.2
199-10SEMOSEMOServe errSEMO server+2.9
2010-10SEMOAL A&MKillAmya Jenningsset Briana Smith+2.3
2110-11AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+2.2
2211-11SEMOAL A&MKillAmya Jenningsset Briana Smith+2.4
2311-12AL A&MSEMO×14Serve errAL A&M server+2.3
2411-13SEMOSEMO×14AceSEMO serveraced Gerren Tomlin+2.8
2511-14SEMOSEMO×14Attack errMcKenzie Charles+2.4
2611-15SEMOSEMO×14KillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+1.9
2711-16SEMOSEMO×14Attack errGerren Tomlin+1.4
2811-17SEMOSEMO×14Attack errCherrish Robinsonblk Sydney Miller, Lucy Arndt+0.9
2911-18SEMOSEMO×14KillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+0.6
3011-19SEMOSEMO×14Attack errGerren Tomlin+0.3
3111-20SEMOSEMO×14Attack errRayishon Jackman+0.1
3211-21SEMOSEMO×14KillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.1
3311-22SEMOSEMO×14Attack errMcKenzie Charles+0.0
3411-23SEMOSEMO×14Attack errIsabella Fleurima+0.0
3511-24SEMOSEMO×14Attack errIsabella Fleurima+0.0
3611-25SEMOSEMO×14AceSEMO serveraced Team+0.0
Set 3
10-1SEMOSEMOAttack errRayishon Jackman+2.0
21-1SEMOAL A&MKillAmya Jenningsset Briana Smith+1.6
31-2AL A&MSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+1.4
42-2SEMOAL A&MKillCarys Sanabriaset Briana Smith+1.6
53-2AL A&MAL A&MAceAL A&M serveraced Holland Guilliams+2.4
63-3AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.7
73-4SEMOSEMOKillAlayna Christnerset Megan Holder+2.2
84-4SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+1.7
94-5AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+1.6
105-5SEMOAL A&M×3KillGerren Tomlinset Kaydee Smith+1.8
116-5AL A&MAL A&M×3Attack errLucy Arndt+2.7
127-5AL A&MAL A&M×3Attack errMarin Johnson+3.0
137-6AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+2.0
147-7SEMOSEMOAttack errCherrish Robinsonblk Sydney Miller+2.7
158-7SEMOAL A&M×3KillRayishon Jackmanset Kaydee Smith+2.2
169-7AL A&MAL A&M×3AceAL A&M serveraced Reagan Nelson+3.2
1710-7AL A&MAL A&M×3Attack errReagan Nelsonblk McKenzie Charles, Carys Sanabria+3.5
1810-8AL A&MSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+2.2
1910-9SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Lucy Arndt+3.1
2011-9SEMOAL A&M×4KillRayishon Jackmanset Kaydee Smith+2.6
2112-9AL A&MAL A&M×4KillRayishon Jackmanset Briana Smith+3.7
2213-9AL A&MAL A&M×4Attack errAlaina Lester+3.8
2314-9AL A&MAL A&M×4Attack errReagan Nelson+3.6
2414-10AL A&MSEMO×3KillMarin Johnsonset Briana Smith+1.9
2514-11SEMOSEMO×3KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+3.1
2614-12SEMOSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Holland Guilliams+3.4
2715-12SEMOAL A&MKillRayishon Jackmanset Molly Chappell+3.2
2815-13AL A&MSEMO×3Serve errAL A&M server+2.5
2915-14SEMOSEMO×3Attack errCarys Sanabria+3.8
3015-15SEMOSEMO×3Attack errRayishon Jackman+3.8
3116-15SEMOAL A&MKillCarys Sanabriaset Briana Smith+3.2
3216-16AL A&MSEMO×3KillAlayna Christnerset Megan Holder+2.9
3316-17SEMOSEMO×3KillSydney Miller+3.9
3416-18SEMOSEMO×3Attack errAmya Jennings+3.4
3517-18SEMOAL A&MAttack errSydney Miller+2.4
3617-19AL A&MSEMOKillAlayna Christnerset Megan Holder+2.6
3718-19SEMOAL A&M×3KillMcKenzie Charlesset Kaydee Smith+2.5
3819-19AL A&MAL A&M×3KillRayishon Jackmanset Kaydee Smith+4.6
3920-19AL A&MAL A&M×3KillRayishon Jackmanset Kaydee Smith+5.8
4020-20AL A&MSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+3.9
4121-20SEMOAL A&MKillRayishon Jackmanset Kaydee Smith+4.9
4221-21AL A&MSEMO×4KillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+4.4
4321-22SEMOSEMO×4Attack errMcKenzie Charles+6.3
4421-23SEMOSEMO×4KillReagan Nelsonset Harper Highfill+5.4
4521-24SEMOSEMO×4Attack errMcKenzie Charlesblk Reagan Nelson, Alaina Lester+3.3
4622-24SEMOAL A&MServe errSEMO server+1.0
4722-25AL A&MSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+2.1
Set 4
10-1AL A&MSEMO×3KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+1.1
20-2SEMOSEMO×3Attack errCarys Sanabriablk Alaina Lester+1.3
30-3SEMOSEMO×3Attack errGerren Tomlinblk Alaina Lester, Alayna Christner+1.2
41-3SEMOAL A&MKillAmya Jenningsset Briana Smith+0.9
51-4AL A&MSEMOAttack errCherrish Robinsonblk Alaina Lester+0.8
62-4SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+0.9
73-4AL A&MAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Kaydee Smith+1.4
83-5AL A&MSEMOServe errAL A&M server+1.0
93-6SEMOSEMOAttack errGerren Tomlinblk Marin Johnson, Sydney Miller+1.3
104-6SEMOAL A&MServe errSEMO server+0.9
114-7AL A&MSEMO×7KillSydney Millerset Ellie Burns+0.9
124-8SEMOSEMO×7KillLucy Arndtset Marin Johnson+1.1
134-9SEMOSEMO×7KillSydney Miller+0.9
144-10SEMOSEMO×7KillReagan Nelsonset Lucy Arndt+0.7
154-11SEMOSEMO×7KillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+0.5
164-12SEMOSEMO×7KillReagan Nelson+0.3
174-13SEMOSEMO×7Attack errScholar Bates+0.2
185-13SEMOAL A&MKillCherrish Robinsonset Kaydee Smith+0.1
195-14AL A&MSEMOAttack errScholar Bates+0.1
206-14SEMOAL A&MKillRayishon Jackmanset Kaydee Smith+0.1
216-15AL A&MSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Ellie Burns+0.1
227-15SEMOAL A&MKillCarys Sanabriaset Briana Smith+0.1
237-16AL A&MSEMO×3Serve errAL A&M server+0.1
247-17SEMOSEMO×3AceSEMO serveraced Molly Chappell+0.1
257-18SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Holland Guilliams+0.0
268-18SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+0.0
278-19AL A&MSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+0.0
289-19SEMOAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Briana Smith+0.0
2910-19AL A&MAL A&MKillGerren Tomlinset Kaydee Smith+0.0
3010-20AL A&MSEMOKillAlayna Christnerset Megan Holder+0.0
3111-20SEMOAL A&MKillMcKenzie Charlesset Kaydee Smith+0.0
3212-20AL A&MAL A&MKillCherrish Robinsonset Kaydee Smith+0.0
3312-21AL A&MSEMOAttack errGerren Tomlin+0.1
3413-21SEMOAL A&MAttack errReagan Nelsonblk Cherrish Robinson, McKenzie Charles+0.0
3513-22AL A&MSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Brooklyn Ritter+0.0
3613-23SEMOSEMO×3Attack errRayishon Jackmanblk Ava Mathews, Alaina Lester+0.0
3713-24SEMOSEMO×3Attack errRayishon Jackman+0.0
3814-24SEMOAL A&MServe errSEMO server+0.0
3914-25AL A&MSEMOKillAva Mathewsset Brooklyn Ritter+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Alabama A&M first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.