Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Penn def. Navy 3–1

Penn won at Navy 3-1 (25-21, 23-25, 29-27, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Zada Sanger led Penn with 14 kills; Navy's Farrah Eike had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
PENN252329253
NAVY212527211

Win probability

Navy above 50 · Penn below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.0% NAVYrally 196 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.0% to Navy — set 3, PENN 23-24 NAVY. Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Caroline Adams). NAVY win probability 35% → 48%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PENN 72.5%27.5% NAVY

Penn wins

3-0
25.1%
3-1
27.8%
3-2
19.6%

Navy wins

3-0
5.0%
3-1
9.5%
3-2
12.9%
PENN break %
46.0% vs this opp
NAVY break %
41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Farrah EikeKill+13.0%

    Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Caroline Adams)

    Set 3 · PENN 23-24 NAVY · NAVY 35% → 48%

  2. 02
    PennAce+12.0%

    Penn ace on Farrah Eike

    Set 3 · PENN 25-24 NAVY · PENN 62% → 74%

  3. 03
    Emery MooreKill+10.8%

    Kill by Emery Moore (set by Jenna Garner)

    Set 3 · PENN 29-27 NAVY · PENN 74% → 85%

  4. 04
    Jenna GarnerKill+10.2%

    Kill by Jenna Garner (set by Elsa Mcdermott)

    Set 3 · PENN 24-24 NAVY · PENN 52% → 62%

  5. 05
    Farrah EikeKill+9.2%

    Kill by Farrah Eike (set by Caroline Adams)

    Set 3 · PENN 25-25 NAVY · NAVY 26% → 35%

  6. 06
    Adell MurrayKill+9.2%

    Kill by Adell Murray (set by Nathalie Tsai)

    Set 3 · PENN 26-25 NAVY · PENN 65% → 74%

  7. 07
    PennService error+9.2%

    Penn service error

    Set 3 · PENN 26-26 NAVY · NAVY 26% → 35%

  8. 08
    Adell MurrayKill+9.2%

    Kill by Adell Murray (set by Emery Moore)

    Set 3 · PENN 27-26 NAVY · PENN 65% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Pennaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413221.5240002016417
410527.1850108002112
47118.333212102010.58.5
43111.18200020010.53.5
4126-.167020200003
4011-1.0001900600000
414336.3061006102115
49323.26100110031.510.5
4209.22200120031.53.5
42021.000900400002
4000–5102120001
4000–2211600001
4000–000000000
4000–201300000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals6118154.279606673911810102
Navyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418748.22901212302120
410014.7140001004212
410535.14300011031.511.5
45326.07711051010.56.5
43314.000002000214
4001.000602500000
410527.18500010010.510.5
41011.000941300005
4113.0002530800004
4103.33300000111.52.5
4114.000000100001
4000–100100000
4000–11022400000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
14Nicole NealOH
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals6025176.1995399626114894

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PENN · NAVY 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 PENNNAVY 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 PENNNAVY 4

Set 3

29-27

Longest run 5 PENNNAVY 4

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 PENNNAVY 5

Bars above the line = Navy leads, below = Penn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Penn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
44%4/9
2
56%5/9
40%4/10
3
44%4/9
43%3/7
4
80%4/5
20%1/5
5
50%4/8
50%4/8
6
100%4/4
56%5/9
All
59%27/46
44%21/48

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
17%1/6
2
71%5/7
45%5/11
3
57%4/7
60%6/10
4
100%4/4
43%3/7
5
31%4/13
33%2/6
6
80%4/5
33%2/6
All
56%27/48
41%19/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

196 rallies

#PENN-NAVYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NAVYPENN×3KillEllie Siskinset Reese Stringer+1.5
22-0PENNPENN×3BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Ellie Siskin, Adell Murray+1.9
33-0PENNPENN×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Pilar Kelley, Adell Murray+1.7
43-1PENNNAVYAttack errEllie Siskinset Addison Pollock+1.3
54-1NAVYPENNKillAdell Murray+1.3
64-2PENNNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.3
75-2NAVYPENNKillEllie Siskinset Reese Stringer+1.4
85-3PENNNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Isa Boyd+1.3
95-4NAVYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.0
106-4NAVYPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+1.6
116-5PENNNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.6
127-5NAVYPENN×3Serve errNavy+1.6
138-5PENNPENN×3BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Adell Murray, Skylar Greene+1.9
149-5PENNPENN×3AcePenn+1.7
159-6PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+1.2
1610-6NAVYPENNKillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+1.3
1711-6PENNPENNBlockedSiena Morganblk Adell Murray+1.4
1811-7PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+1.0
1911-8NAVYNAVYAttack errZada Sanger+1.6
2012-8NAVYPENNServe errNavy+1.4
2112-9PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+1.2
2213-9NAVYPENNAttack errFarrah Eikeset Hailey Jacobus+1.4
2313-10PENNNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.3
2413-11NAVYNAVY×4Attack errEllie Siskin+2.0
2513-12NAVYNAVY×4KillHailey Jacobus+2.5
2613-13NAVYNAVY×4BlockedLauryn Lewisblk Grace Burgoyne, Ellen Gundlach+2.9
2714-13NAVYPENNKillPilar Kelleyset Reese Stringer+2.3
2815-13PENNPENNKillEllie Siskinset Nathalie Tsai+2.8
2915-14PENNNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+2.1
3016-14NAVYPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+2.2
3116-15PENNNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.2
3216-16NAVYNAVY×3Attack errZada Sanger+3.3
3316-17NAVYNAVY×3Attack errLauryn Lewis+3.8
3417-17NAVYPENN×4KillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+2.8
3518-17PENNPENN×4AcePennaced Farrah Eike+3.7
3619-17PENNPENN×4Attack errFarrah Eike+3.5
3720-17PENNPENN×4KillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+2.9
3820-18PENNNAVYAttack errSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+1.8
3921-18NAVYPENNKillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+2.3
4021-19PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+1.8
4122-19NAVYPENNKillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+2.5
4223-19PENNPENNKillPilar Kelleyset Reese Stringer+2.0
4323-20PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffum+0.8
4423-21NAVYNAVYKillGrace Burgoyne+2.0
4524-21NAVYPENNAttack errFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+2.6
4625-21PENNPENNKillEllie Siskinset Reese Stringer+1.3
Set 2
10-1PENNNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+1.3
21-1NAVYPENNAttack errEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.3
31-2PENNNAVY×4KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.4
41-3NAVYNAVY×4KillGrace Burgoyneset Grace Burgoyne+1.8
51-4NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Addison Pollock+1.9
61-5NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.9
72-5NAVYPENN×3KillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+1.3
83-5PENNPENN×3KillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+1.8
94-5PENNPENN×3AcePennaced Hailey Jacobus+1.8
104-6PENNNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.6
114-7NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.0
124-8NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+2.0
135-8NAVYPENNKillLauryn Lewisset Nathalie Tsai+1.3
145-9PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eike+1.6
156-9NAVYPENNServe errNavy+1.3
167-9PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+1.9
177-10PENNNAVY×3KillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+1.7
187-11NAVYNAVY×3KillHailey Jacobusset Amara Chambers+2.1
197-12NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Zada Sanger+2.0
208-12NAVYPENNKillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+1.2
218-13PENNNAVYBlockedEllie Siskinblk Siena Morgan, Caroline Buffum+1.6
229-13NAVYPENN×4KillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+1.2
2310-13PENNPENN×4BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Ellie Siskin, Haley Kerstetter+1.8
2411-13PENNPENN×4KillEllie Siskinset Addison Pollock+2.1
2512-13PENNPENN×4Attack errHailey Jacobus+2.3
2612-14PENNNAVY×3KillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+2.0
2712-15NAVYNAVY×3KillGrace Burgoyneset Isa Boyd+2.6
2812-16NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Jenna Garner+2.4
2913-16NAVYPENNKillPilar Kelleyset Reese Stringer+1.5
3014-16PENNPENNAttack errHailey Jacobus+2.3
3114-17PENNNAVYKillIsa Boydset Hailey Jacobus+2.2
3215-17NAVYPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+1.8
3315-18PENNNAVYKillGrace Burgoyne+2.3
3416-18NAVYPENNServe errNavy+1.8
3516-19PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.4
3617-19NAVYPENN×4KillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+1.9
3718-19PENNPENN×4KillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+2.9
3819-19PENNPENN×4KillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+3.4
3920-19PENNPENN×4KillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+3.5
4020-20PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+2.8
4121-20NAVYPENNKillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+3.0
4221-21PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Kinamoni Jerome+3.1
4322-21NAVYPENNKillEllie Siskinset Reese Stringer+3.4
4422-22PENNNAVY×3BlockedEllie Siskinblk Grace Burgoyne, Caroline Buffum+3.5
4522-23NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Jenna Garner+5.7
4622-24NAVYNAVY×3Attack errReese Stringer+5.9
4723-24NAVYPENNAttack errEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.6
4823-25PENNNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+6.4
Set 3
11-0NAVYPENNKillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+2.1
21-1PENNNAVYServe errPenn+2.3
32-1NAVYPENNServe errNavy+2.2
42-2PENNNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.3
53-2PENN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
64-2PENNPENN×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Jenna Garner, Adell Murray+2.8
75-2PENNPENN×3Attack errSiena Morgan+2.5
85-3PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+1.9
96-3NAVYPENNServe errNavy+2.0
106-4PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+2.0
117-4NAVYPENNKillJenna Garnerset Reese Stringer+2.0
127-5PENNNAVY×4KillHailey Jacobusset Amara Chambers+2.0
137-6NAVYNAVY×4KillGrace Burgoyne+3.0
147-7NAVYNAVY×4AceNavy+3.3
157-8NAVYNAVY×4BlockedAdell Murrayblk Grace Burgoyne, Hailey Jacobus+3.7
168-8NAVYPENN×5KillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+2.7
179-8PENNPENN×5Attack errIsa Boyd+3.5
1810-8PENNPENN×5KillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+3.3
1911-8PENNPENN×5Attack errHailey Jacobus+3.0
2012-8PENNPENN×5Attack errEllen Gundlach+2.6
2112-9PENNNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.8
2212-10NAVYNAVY×3BlockedPilar Kelleyblk Grace Burgoyne, Farrah Eike+2.8
2312-11NAVYNAVY×3Attack errZada Sanger+3.4
2413-11NAVYPENNKillJenna Garnerset Ally Alessio+2.8
2513-12PENNNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.8
2613-13NAVY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.1
2714-13NAVYPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+3.2
2814-14PENNNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+3.4
2914-15NAVY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.8
3014-16NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+5.0
3115-16NAVYPENNServe errNavy+3.5
3215-17PENNNAVYKillCaroline Adamsset Ally Alessio+4.2
3315-18NAVYNAVYAttack errSkylar Greene+5.2
3416-18NAVYPENNServe errNavy+3.2
3516-19PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+4.2
3617-19NAVYPENN×3Serve errNavy+3.3
3718-19PENNPENN×3KillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+5.2
3819-19PENNPENN×3AcePennaced Farrah Eike+6.0
3919-20PENNNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Caroline Adams+5.3
4020-20NAVYPENNKillEmery Mooreset Zada Sanger+5.0
4121-20PENNPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+6.9
4221-21PENNNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+5.4
4322-21NAVYPENNKillZada Sangerset Jenna Garner+6.1
4422-22PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+6.1
4523-22NAVYPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+7.2
4623-23PENNNAVYServe errPenn+7.1
4723-24NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+13.0
4824-24NAVYPENNKillJenna Garnerset Elsa Mcdermott+10.2
4925-24PENNPENNAcePennaced Farrah Eike+12.0
5025-25PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+9.2
5126-25NAVYPENNKillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+9.2
5226-26PENNNAVYServe errPenn+9.2
5327-26NAVYPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+9.2
5427-27PENNNAVYServe errPenn+9.2
5528-27NAVYPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+9.2
5629-27PENNPENNKillEmery Mooreset Jenna Garner+10.8
Set 4
10-1PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.0
21-1NAVYPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Nathalie Tsai+1.9
32-1PENNPENNBlockedEllen Gundlachblk Skylar Greene, Haley Kerstetter+2.4
42-2PENNNAVYAttack errJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+1.9
52-3NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Farrah Eike+2.7
63-3NAVYPENN×4KillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+2.0
74-3PENNPENN×4Attack errEllen Gundlach+2.5
85-3PENNPENN×4KillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+2.4
96-3PENNPENN×4KillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+2.2
106-4PENNNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.6
117-4NAVYPENNKillJenna Garnerset Addison Pollock+1.7
127-5PENNNAVY×5KillFarrah Eike+1.7
137-6NAVYNAVY×5AceNavy+2.5
147-7NAVYNAVY×5BlockedPennblk Avery Maddux+2.8
157-8NAVYNAVY×5AceNavy+3.1
167-9NAVY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.2
178-9NAVYPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+2.3
189-9PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+3.1
199-10PENNNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Caroline Adams+2.6
209-11NAVYNAVYBlockedEllie Siskinblk Avery Maddux, Caroline Buffum+3.4
2110-11NAVYPENNBlockedSiena Morganblk Zada Sanger, Adell Murray+2.4
2210-12PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+2.8
2311-12NAVYPENN×3KillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+2.5
2412-12PENNPENN×3AcePennaced Caroline Buffum+3.4
2513-12PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+3.4
2613-13PENNNAVYKillGrace Burgoyne+2.7
2713-14NAVYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+3.8
2814-14NAVYPENNAttack errFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.8
2914-15PENNNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Isa Boyd+3.2
3015-15NAVYPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Elsa Mcdermott+3.0
3116-15PENNPENN×3Attack errCaroline Buffum+3.9
3217-15PENNPENN×3BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Adell Murray, Skylar Greene+3.7
3317-16PENNNAVYServe errPenn+2.7
3417-17NAVYNAVYBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Siena Morgan, Ellen Gundlach+4.2
3518-17NAVYPENN×3KillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+3.4
3619-17PENNPENN×3Attack errIzzy Picard+4.1
3720-17PENNPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+3.5
3820-18PENNNAVYKillSiena Morgan+2.2
3921-18NAVYPENNKillJenna Garnerset Addison Pollock+2.8
4021-19PENNNAVYServe errPenn+2.2
4122-19NAVYPENNKillZada Sangerset Addison Pollock+2.9
4223-19PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Addison Pollock+2.4
4323-20PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.9
4424-20NAVYPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+1.7
4524-21PENNNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.5
4625-21NAVYPENNBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Haley Kerstetter, Zada Sanger+1.2

Score shown after each rally, Penn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).