FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

Penn def. Lafayette 3–0

Penn won at Lafayette 3-0 (25-16, 25-12, 25-15) on Sun, Sep 13, 2026. Penn's Ellie Siskin and Haley Kerstetter led with 10 kills each, and Addison Pollock added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 13

Set123Sets
PENN2525253
LAFAYE1612150

Win probability

Lafayette above 50 · Penn below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.0% LAFAYErally 118 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Lafayette — set 1, PENN 8-6 LAFAYE. Lafayette ace on Jenna Garner. LAFAYE win probability 9% → 11%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PENN 87.5%12.5% LAFAYE

Penn wins

3-0
40.5%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.4%

Lafayette wins

3-0
1.8%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
6.8%
PENN break %
48.9% vs this opp
LAFAYE break %
40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    LafayetteAce+1.0%

    Lafayette ace on Jenna Garner

    Set 1 · PENN 8-6 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 9% → 11%

  2. 02

    Kill by Haley Kerstetter (set by Emery Moore)

    Set 1 · PENN 2-0 LAFAYE · PENN 88% → 89%

  3. 03
    Zada SangerAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Zada Sanger

    Set 1 · PENN 4-2 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 9% → 10%

  4. 04
    Grace JamisonAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Grace Jamison

    Set 1 · PENN 11-7 LAFAYE · PENN 90% → 91%

  5. 05
    Ellie SiskinKill+0.9%

    Kill by Ellie Siskin (set by Addison Pollock)

    Set 1 · PENN 3-0 LAFAYE · PENN 89% → 90%

  6. 06
    Grace JamisonAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Grace Jamison

    Set 1 · PENN 1-0 LAFAYE · PENN 88% → 88%

  7. 07
    Ellie SiskinKill+0.9%

    Kill by Ellie Siskin (set by Emery Moore)

    Set 1 · PENN 10-7 LAFAYE · PENN 89% → 90%

  8. 08
    Jada AksuKill+0.9%

    Kill by Jada Aksu (set by Sophia Wilson)

    Set 1 · PENN 9-7 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 10% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Pennaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310120.45004220010.514.5
310012.83300050031.511.5
36318.1670111110218
3509.55600000031.56.5
34220.100100300215
3102.5002400500001
36114.35700010010.56.5
3002.0004102200001
3001.000900400000
3000–001400000
Team totals42798.3573864572012675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39535.11400160010.59.5
38430.13300190010.58.5
3318.25001150010.54.5
31619-.263000300212
3103.33310010010.51.5
2001.000711400001
34513-.077000100004
3000–1011220000
3000–1400100000
1102.500000210001
1000–300100000
Team totals2721111.054262545606343

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 PENN · LAFAYE 3

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 6 PENNLAFAYE 2

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 7 PENNLAFAYE 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 4 PENNLAFAYE 3

Bars above the line = Lafayette leads, below = Penn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Penn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%4/6
78%7/9
2
67%4/6
71%10/14
3
100%4/4
60%6/10
4
80%4/5
0%0/4
5
57%4/7
20%1/5
6
80%4/5
33%2/6
All
73%24/33
54%26/48

Lafayette

SlotSideout %Break %
1
29%4/14
33%2/6
2
40%4/10
33%2/6
3
100%4/4
0%0/4
4
80%4/5
20%1/5
5
67%4/6
43%3/7
6
22%2/9
20%1/5
All
46%22/48
27%9/33

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

118 rallies

#PENN-LAFAYESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0LAFAYEPENN×4Attack errGrace Jamison+0.9
22-0PENNPENN×4KillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+1.0
33-0PENNPENN×4KillEllie Siskinset Addison Pollock+0.9
44-0PENNPENN×4Attack errAuma Mbeche-Odhiambo+0.8
54-1PENNLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset LK LaMonica+0.6
64-2LAFAYELAFAYEAttack errZada Sanger+0.9
75-2LAFAYEPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+0.7
86-2PENNPENNBlockedGrace Jamisonblk Zada Sanger, Haley Kerstetter+0.8
96-3PENNLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset LK LaMonica+0.6
107-3LAFAYEPENNBlockedAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboblk Haley Kerstetter, Zada Sanger+0.7
117-4PENNLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset Sophia Wilson+0.7
128-4LAFAYEPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+0.7
138-5PENNLAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset Sophia Wilson+0.7
148-6LAFAYELAFAYEAceLafayetteaced Jenna Garner+1.0
159-6LAFAYEPENNServe errLafayette+0.8
169-7PENNLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset Sophia Wilson+0.9
1710-7LAFAYEPENN×6KillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+0.9
1811-7PENNPENN×6Attack errGrace Jamison+0.9
1912-7PENNPENN×6KillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+0.7
2013-7PENNPENN×6Attack errDestiny McKenzie+0.6
2114-7PENNPENN×6KillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+0.4
2215-7PENNPENN×6KillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+0.3
2315-8PENNLAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset LK LaMonica+0.2
2415-9LAFAYELAFAYEAttack errAuma Mbeche-Odhiambo+0.3
2516-9LAFAYEPENN×5KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+0.3
2617-9PENNPENN×5KillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+0.2
2718-9PENNPENN×5KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+0.1
2819-9PENNPENN×5KillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+0.1
2920-9PENNPENN×5KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore·
3020-10PENNLAFAYEBlockedZada Sangerblk Grace Jamison, Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo·
3120-11LAFAYELAFAYEAttack errEllie Siskin·
3221-11LAFAYEPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore·
3321-12PENNLAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset Alyssa Chu·
3422-12LAFAYEPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Nathalie Tsai·
3522-13PENNLAFAYEKillNoa Kamphuisset Sophia Wilson·
3623-13LAFAYEPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Addison Pollock·
3723-14PENNLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset Sophia Wilson·
3824-14LAFAYEPENNKillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai·
3924-15PENNLAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset Emery Moore·
4024-16LAFAYELAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset LK LaMonica·
4125-16LAFAYEPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore·
Set 2
11-0PENNPENNAcePennaced Justine Puig+0.8
21-1PENNLAFAYEKillJustine Puigset Sophia Wilson+0.7
32-1LAFAYEPENN×7KillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+0.6
43-1PENNPENN×7Attack errJada Aksu+0.7
54-1PENNPENN×7KillEllie Siskinset Sophia Wilson+0.6
65-1PENNPENN×7Attack errAuma Mbeche-Odhiambo+0.6
76-1PENNPENN×7Attack errJada Aksu+0.5
87-1PENNPENN×7Attack errNoa Kamphuis+0.4
98-1PENNPENN×7AcePennaced Alyssa Chu+0.3
108-2PENNLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset Sophia Wilson+0.2
119-2LAFAYEPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+0.2
129-3PENNLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset Johanna Groger+0.2
1310-3LAFAYEPENN×3KillHaley Kerstetterset Nathalie Tsai+0.2
1411-3PENNPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Addison Pollock+0.2
1512-3PENNPENN×3BlockedAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboblk Haley Kerstetter, Skylar Greene+0.1
1612-4PENNLAFAYEServe errPenn+0.1
1713-4LAFAYEPENN×5Serve errLafayette+0.1
1814-4PENNPENN×5KillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+0.1
1915-4PENNPENN×5BlockedDestiny McKenzieblk Jenna Garner, Adell Murray·
2016-4PENNPENN×5KillJenna Garner·
2117-4PENN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2217-5PENNLAFAYE×3KillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset Mackenzie Calhoun·
2317-6LAFAYELAFAYE×3Attack errSkylar Greene·
2417-7LAFAYELAFAYE×3BlockedJenna Garnerblk Destiny McKenzie, Noa Kamphuis·
2518-7LAFAYEPENNServe errLafayette·
2618-8PENNLAFAYEKillNoa Kamphuisset Mackenzie Calhoun·
2719-8LAFAYEPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore·
2819-9PENNLAFAYEKillNoa Kamphuisset Sophia Wilson·
2920-9LAFAYEPENNKillEmery Mooreset Zada Sanger·
3020-10PENNLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset Sophia Wilson·
3121-10LAFAYEPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore·
3221-11PENNLAFAYEServe errPenn·
3322-11LAFAYEPENN×3Attack errDestiny McKenzie·
3423-11PENNPENN×3Attack errAuma Mbeche-Odhiambo·
3524-11PENNPENN×3KillHaley Kerstetterset Nathalie Tsai·
3624-12PENNLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset Mackenzie Calhoun·
3725-12LAFAYEPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai·
Set 3
11-0LAFAYEPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+0.3
22-0PENNPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+0.4
32-1PENNLAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset Sophia Wilson+0.3
43-1LAFAYEPENN×3Serve errLafayette+0.3
54-1PENNPENN×3Attack errJada Aksu+0.3
65-1PENNPENN×3AcePenn+0.3
75-2PENNLAFAYEBad setEmery Moore+0.2
86-2LAFAYEPENNAttack errJada Aksu+0.2
96-3PENNLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset Sophia Wilson+0.2
107-3LAFAYEPENNAttack errSkylar Greene+0.2
117-4PENNLAFAYEKillAuma Mbeche-Odhiamboset LK LaMonica+0.2
128-4LAFAYEPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+0.2
139-4PENNPENN×3BlockedGrace Jamisonblk Adell Murray, Jenna Garner+0.2
1410-4PENNPENN×3KillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+0.2
1510-5PENNLAFAYEKillJohanna Grogerset LK LaMonica+0.1
1611-5LAFAYEPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+0.1
1711-6PENNLAFAYEServe errPenn+0.1
1811-7LAFAYELAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset Sophia Wilson+0.2
1912-7LAFAYEPENN×3BlockedJada Aksublk Ellie Siskin, Adell Murray+0.2
2013-7PENNPENN×3KillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+0.2
2114-7PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+0.1
2214-8PENNLAFAYEKillDestiny McKenzieset Sophia Wilson+0.1
2315-8LAFAYEPENN×4KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+0.1
2416-8PENNPENN×4AcePenn+0.1
2517-8PENNPENN×4AcePennaced Alyssa Chu+0.1
2618-8PENNPENN×4AcePenn·
2718-9PENNLAFAYEServe errPenn·
2819-9LAFAYEPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai·
2919-10PENNLAFAYEKillJada Aksuset Sophia Wilson·
3019-11LAFAYELAFAYEAceLafayette·
3120-11LAFAYEPENNServe errLafayette·
3221-11PENNPENNAttack errGrace Jamison·
3321-12PENNLAFAYE×3Attack errJenna Garner·
3421-13LAFAYELAFAYE×3Serve errLafayette·
3521-14LAFAYELAFAYE×3Bad setNathalie Tsai·
3622-14LAFAYEPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai·
3722-15PENNLAFAYEKillGrace Jamisonset LK LaMonica·
3823-15LAFAYEPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Addison Pollock·
3924-15PENNPENN×3Attack errDestiny McKenzie·
4025-15PENNPENN×3Attack errGrace Jamison·

Score shown after each rally, Penn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).