Penn def. Lafayette 3–0
Penn won at Lafayette 3-0 (25-16, 25-12, 25-15) on Sun, Sep 13, 2026. Penn's Ellie Siskin and Haley Kerstetter led with 10 kills each, and Addison Pollock added 22 digs.
Data through · final Sep 13
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| LAFAYE | 16 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.0% to Lafayette — set 1, PENN 8-6 LAFAYE. Lafayette ace on Jenna Garner. LAFAYE win probability 9% → 11%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Penn wins
Lafayette wins
- PENN break %
- 48.9% vs this opp
- LAFAYE break %
- 40.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01LafayetteAce+1.0%
Lafayette ace on Jenna Garner
Set 1 · PENN 8-6 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 9% → 11%
- 02Haley KerstetterKill+1.0%
Kill by Haley Kerstetter (set by Emery Moore)
Set 1 · PENN 2-0 LAFAYE · PENN 88% → 89%
- 03
- 04Grace JamisonAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Grace Jamison
Set 1 · PENN 11-7 LAFAYE · PENN 90% → 91%
- 05Ellie SiskinKill+0.9%
Kill by Ellie Siskin (set by Addison Pollock)
Set 1 · PENN 3-0 LAFAYE · PENN 89% → 90%
- 06
- 07Ellie SiskinKill+0.9%
Kill by Ellie Siskin (set by Emery Moore)
Set 1 · PENN 10-7 LAFAYE · PENN 89% → 90%
- 08Jada AksuKill+0.9%
Kill by Jada Aksu (set by Sophia Wilson)
Set 1 · PENN 9-7 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 10% → 11%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 1 | 20 | .450 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 3 | 10 | 0 | 12 | .833 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 18 | .167 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .357 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 42 | 7 | 98 | .357 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 35 | .114 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .133 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 6 | 19 | -.263 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -.077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 27 | 21 | 111 | .054 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 43 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-16
Set 2
25-12
Set 3
25-15
Bars above the line = Lafayette leads, below = Penn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Penn
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%4/6 | 78%7/9 |
| 2 | 67%4/6 | 71%10/14 |
| 3 | 100%4/4 | 60%6/10 |
| 4 | 80%4/5 | 0%0/4 |
| 5 | 57%4/7 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 33%2/6 |
| All | 73%24/33 | 54%26/48 |
Lafayette
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29%4/14 | 33%2/6 |
| 2 | 40%4/10 | 33%2/6 |
| 3 | 100%4/4 | 0%0/4 |
| 4 | 80%4/5 | 20%1/5 |
| 5 | 67%4/6 | 43%3/7 |
| 6 | 22%2/9 | 20%1/5 |
| All | 46%22/48 | 27%9/33 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
118 rallies
| # | PENN-LAFAYE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LAFAYE | PENN×4 | Attack err | Grace Jamison | +0.9 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | PENN | PENN×4 | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Emery Moore | +1.0 |
| 3 | 3-0 | PENN | PENN×4 | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Addison Pollock | +0.9 |
| 4 | 4-0 | PENN | PENN×4 | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | +0.8 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set LK LaMonica | +0.6 |
| 6 | 4-2 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Attack err | Zada Sanger | +0.9 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Emery Moore | +0.7 |
| 8 | 6-2 | PENN | PENN | Blocked | Grace Jamison | blk Zada Sanger, Haley Kerstetter | +0.8 |
| 9 | 6-3 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set LK LaMonica | +0.6 |
| 10 | 7-3 | LAFAYE | PENN | Blocked | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | blk Haley Kerstetter, Zada Sanger | +0.7 |
| 11 | 7-4 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set Sophia Wilson | +0.7 |
| 12 | 8-4 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Skylar Greene | set Nathalie Tsai | +0.7 |
| 13 | 8-5 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny McKenzie | set Sophia Wilson | +0.7 |
| 14 | 8-6 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Ace | Lafayette | aced Jenna Garner | +1.0 |
| 15 | 9-6 | LAFAYE | PENN | Serve err | Lafayette | +0.8 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Jada Aksu | set Sophia Wilson | +0.9 |
| 17 | 10-7 | LAFAYE | PENN×6 | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Emery Moore | +0.9 |
| 18 | 11-7 | PENN | PENN×6 | Attack err | Grace Jamison | +0.9 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | PENN | PENN×6 | Kill | Adell Murray | set Emery Moore | +0.7 |
| 20 | 13-7 | PENN | PENN×6 | Attack err | Destiny McKenzie | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 14-7 | PENN | PENN×6 | Kill | Adell Murray | set Emery Moore | +0.4 |
| 22 | 15-7 | PENN | PENN×6 | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Emery Moore | +0.3 |
| 23 | 15-8 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny McKenzie | set LK LaMonica | +0.2 |
| 24 | 15-9 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 16-9 | LAFAYE | PENN×5 | Kill | Jenna Garner | set Emery Moore | +0.3 |
| 26 | 17-9 | PENN | PENN×5 | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Emery Moore | +0.2 |
| 27 | 18-9 | PENN | PENN×5 | Kill | Zada Sanger | set Emery Moore | +0.1 |
| 28 | 19-9 | PENN | PENN×5 | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Emery Moore | +0.1 |
| 29 | 20-9 | PENN | PENN×5 | Kill | Zada Sanger | set Emery Moore | · |
| 30 | 20-10 | PENN | LAFAYE | Blocked | Zada Sanger | blk Grace Jamison, Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | · |
| 31 | 20-11 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Attack err | Ellie Siskin | · | |
| 32 | 21-11 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Emery Moore | · |
| 33 | 21-12 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny McKenzie | set Alyssa Chu | · |
| 34 | 22-12 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Nathalie Tsai | · |
| 35 | 22-13 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | · |
| 36 | 23-13 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Addison Pollock | · |
| 37 | 23-14 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Jada Aksu | set Sophia Wilson | · |
| 38 | 24-14 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Jenna Garner | set Nathalie Tsai | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny McKenzie | set Emery Moore | · |
| 40 | 24-16 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny McKenzie | set LK LaMonica | · |
| 41 | 25-16 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Adell Murray | set Emery Moore | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PENN | PENN | Ace | Penn | aced Justine Puig | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Justine Puig | set Sophia Wilson | +0.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LAFAYE | PENN×7 | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Emery Moore | +0.6 |
| 4 | 3-1 | PENN | PENN×7 | Attack err | Jada Aksu | +0.7 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | PENN | PENN×7 | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Sophia Wilson | +0.6 |
| 6 | 5-1 | PENN | PENN×7 | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | +0.6 | |
| 7 | 6-1 | PENN | PENN×7 | Attack err | Jada Aksu | +0.5 | |
| 8 | 7-1 | PENN | PENN×7 | Attack err | Noa Kamphuis | +0.4 | |
| 9 | 8-1 | PENN | PENN×7 | Ace | Penn | aced Alyssa Chu | +0.3 |
| 10 | 8-2 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set Sophia Wilson | +0.2 |
| 11 | 9-2 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Emery Moore | +0.2 |
| 12 | 9-3 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set Johanna Groger | +0.2 |
| 13 | 10-3 | LAFAYE | PENN×3 | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Nathalie Tsai | +0.2 |
| 14 | 11-3 | PENN | PENN×3 | Kill | Jenna Garner | set Addison Pollock | +0.2 |
| 15 | 12-3 | PENN | PENN×3 | Blocked | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | blk Haley Kerstetter, Skylar Greene | +0.1 |
| 16 | 12-4 | PENN | LAFAYE | Serve err | Penn | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 13-4 | LAFAYE | PENN×5 | Serve err | Lafayette | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 14-4 | PENN | PENN×5 | Kill | Skylar Greene | set Nathalie Tsai | +0.1 |
| 19 | 15-4 | PENN | PENN×5 | Blocked | Destiny McKenzie | blk Jenna Garner, Adell Murray | · |
| 20 | 16-4 | PENN | PENN×5 | Kill | Jenna Garner | · | |
| 21 | 17-4 | PENN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 22 | 17-5 | PENN | LAFAYE×3 | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set Mackenzie Calhoun | · |
| 23 | 17-6 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Skylar Greene | · | |
| 24 | 17-7 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Blocked | Jenna Garner | blk Destiny McKenzie, Noa Kamphuis | · |
| 25 | 18-7 | LAFAYE | PENN | Serve err | Lafayette | · | |
| 26 | 18-8 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Mackenzie Calhoun | · |
| 27 | 19-8 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Emery Moore | · |
| 28 | 19-9 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Noa Kamphuis | set Sophia Wilson | · |
| 29 | 20-9 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Emery Moore | set Zada Sanger | · |
| 30 | 20-10 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set Sophia Wilson | · |
| 31 | 21-10 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Emery Moore | · |
| 32 | 21-11 | PENN | LAFAYE | Serve err | Penn | · | |
| 33 | 22-11 | LAFAYE | PENN×3 | Attack err | Destiny McKenzie | · | |
| 34 | 23-11 | PENN | PENN×3 | Attack err | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | · | |
| 35 | 24-11 | PENN | PENN×3 | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Nathalie Tsai | · |
| 36 | 24-12 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set Mackenzie Calhoun | · |
| 37 | 25-12 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Skylar Greene | set Nathalie Tsai | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Adell Murray | set Emery Moore | +0.3 |
| 2 | 2-0 | PENN | PENN | Kill | Haley Kerstetter | set Emery Moore | +0.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny McKenzie | set Sophia Wilson | +0.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | LAFAYE | PENN×3 | Serve err | Lafayette | +0.3 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | PENN | PENN×3 | Attack err | Jada Aksu | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | PENN | PENN×3 | Ace | Penn | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | PENN | LAFAYE | Bad set | Emery Moore | +0.2 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | LAFAYE | PENN | Attack err | Jada Aksu | +0.2 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Jada Aksu | set Sophia Wilson | +0.2 |
| 10 | 7-3 | LAFAYE | PENN | Attack err | Skylar Greene | +0.2 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Auma Mbeche-Odhiambo | set LK LaMonica | +0.2 |
| 12 | 8-4 | LAFAYE | PENN×3 | Kill | Jenna Garner | set Nathalie Tsai | +0.2 |
| 13 | 9-4 | PENN | PENN×3 | Blocked | Grace Jamison | blk Adell Murray, Jenna Garner | +0.2 |
| 14 | 10-4 | PENN | PENN×3 | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Emery Moore | +0.2 |
| 15 | 10-5 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Johanna Groger | set LK LaMonica | +0.1 |
| 16 | 11-5 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Adell Murray | set Emery Moore | +0.1 |
| 17 | 11-6 | PENN | LAFAYE | Serve err | Penn | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny McKenzie | set Sophia Wilson | +0.2 |
| 19 | 12-7 | LAFAYE | PENN×3 | Blocked | Jada Aksu | blk Ellie Siskin, Adell Murray | +0.2 |
| 20 | 13-7 | PENN | PENN×3 | Kill | Ellie Siskin | set Emery Moore | +0.2 |
| 21 | 14-7 | PENN | PENN×3 | Kill | Zada Sanger | set Emery Moore | +0.1 |
| 22 | 14-8 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Destiny McKenzie | set Sophia Wilson | +0.1 |
| 23 | 15-8 | LAFAYE | PENN×4 | Kill | Zada Sanger | set Emery Moore | +0.1 |
| 24 | 16-8 | PENN | PENN×4 | Ace | Penn | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 17-8 | PENN | PENN×4 | Ace | Penn | aced Alyssa Chu | +0.1 |
| 26 | 18-8 | PENN | PENN×4 | Ace | Penn | · | |
| 27 | 18-9 | PENN | LAFAYE | Serve err | Penn | · | |
| 28 | 19-9 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Skylar Greene | set Nathalie Tsai | · |
| 29 | 19-10 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Jada Aksu | set Sophia Wilson | · |
| 30 | 19-11 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE | Ace | Lafayette | · | |
| 31 | 20-11 | LAFAYE | PENN | Serve err | Lafayette | · | |
| 32 | 21-11 | PENN | PENN | Attack err | Grace Jamison | · | |
| 33 | 21-12 | PENN | LAFAYE×3 | Attack err | Jenna Garner | · | |
| 34 | 21-13 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Serve err | Lafayette | · | |
| 35 | 21-14 | LAFAYE | LAFAYE×3 | Bad set | Nathalie Tsai | · | |
| 36 | 22-14 | LAFAYE | PENN | Kill | Skylar Greene | set Nathalie Tsai | · |
| 37 | 22-15 | PENN | LAFAYE | Kill | Grace Jamison | set LK LaMonica | · |
| 38 | 23-15 | LAFAYE | PENN×3 | Kill | Jenna Garner | set Addison Pollock | · |
| 39 | 24-15 | PENN | PENN×3 | Attack err | Destiny McKenzie | · | |
| 40 | 25-15 | PENN | PENN×3 | Attack err | Grace Jamison | · | |
Score shown after each rally, Penn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).