FinalWed, Sep 16, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeIVY-LEAGUE

Penn def. Rider 3–0

(25-18, 25-13, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
RIDER	18	13	11	0
PENN	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PENN above 50 · RIDER below

Biggest swing: 0.2% to Rider — set 1, RIDER 2-0 PENN. Zada Sanger stuffed by Molly Rohde & Anja Kelly. PENN win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

RIDER 1.0%99.0% PENN

Rider wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.7%

Penn wins

3-0

74.3%

3-1

21.0%

3-2

3.7%

RIDER break %: 33.7% vs this opp
PENN break %: 51.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Zada SangerAttack error+0.2%
Zada Sanger stuffed by Molly Rohde & Anja Kelly
Set 1 · RIDER 2-0 PENN · RIDER 1% → 1%
02
Anja KellyKill+0.2%
Kill by Anja Kelly (set by Makenna Mason)
Set 1 · RIDER 3-1 PENN · RIDER 1% → 1%
03
Emery MooreKill+0.2%
Kill by Emery Moore (set by Ellie Siskin)
Set 1 · RIDER 3-3 PENN · PENN 99% → 99%
04
PENN serverAce+0.2%
Penn ace on Carly Allen
Set 1 · RIDER 3-4 PENN · PENN 99% → 99%
05
Haley KerstetterKill+0.1%
Kill by Haley Kerstetter (set by Emery Moore)
Set 1 · RIDER 3-2 PENN · PENN 99% → 99%
06
RIDER serverService error+0.1%
Rider service error
Set 1 · RIDER 2-1 PENN · PENN 99% → 99%
07
Rylah RobinsonKill+0.1%
Kill by Rylah Robinson (set by Makenna Mason)
Set 1 · RIDER 1-0 PENN · RIDER 1% → 1%
08
Zada SangerKill+0.1%
Kill by Zada Sanger (set by Emery Moore)
Set 1 · RIDER 3-5 PENN · PENN 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Rideraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Anja KellyOPP	3	5	3	15	.133	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
6Molly RohdeMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
9Makenna MasonS	3	0	0	0	–	16	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	0.5
0Aubrey BakerOH	2	5	3	20	.100	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	5
7Rylah RobinsonOH	2	3	3	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
3Annabell ZachritzMB	2	3	3	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
17Simone LangfordL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	0	6	2	0	0	1
4Olivia DeSaroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	2	0	0	1
1Madison DaleyOPP	2	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
10Carly AllenL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	6	3	0	0	0
14Katie CookS	2	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
16Maisie NawrockiOH	1	3	1	7	.286	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
19Cecilia DeCaroOH	1	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2
23Tori BonacciMB	1	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
13Tyler AdamsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	20	88	.091	24	1	4	30	10	8	4	42

Pennhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Zada SangerOH	3	10	1	17	.529	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	12
9Haley KerstetterMB	3	6	0	11	.545	0	2	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	11.5
2Jenna GarnerOH	3	9	2	19	.368	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
19Ellie SiskinOH	3	5	1	11	.364	2	4	1	10	0	0	0	0	9
13Adell MurrayMB	3	6	0	8	.750	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	9
12Emery MooreS	3	1	0	2	.500	17	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
10Skylar GreeneOH	3	3	4	16	-.063	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	5
18Addison PollockL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	2	0	13	0	0	0	0	2
14Lauren Van WieL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
7Nathalie TsaiS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	8	85	.376	38	10	4	38	1	3	14	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 RIDER · PENN 8

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 RIDERPENN 8

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 2 RIDERPENN 5

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 RIDERPENN 5

Bars above the line = Penn leads, below = Rider leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rider

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	33%2/6
2	60%6/10	33%3/9
3	33%6/18	25%2/8
4	38%6/16	25%2/8
5	20%3/15	33%3/9
6	50%3/6	0%0/3
All	41%30/74	28%12/43

Penn

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	29%2/7
2	86%6/7	45%5/11
3	75%6/8	67%12/18
4	67%6/9	54%7/13
5	80%4/5	73%11/15
6	60%3/5	70%7/10
All	72%31/43	59%44/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

117 rallies

Rally log

#	RIDER-PENN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
2	2-0	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Zada Sanger	blk Molly Rohde, Anja Kelly	+0.2
3	2-1	RIDER	PENN	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.1
4	3-1	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.2
5	3-2	RIDER	PENN×8	Kill	Haley Kerstetter	set Emery Moore	+0.1
6	3-3	PENN	PENN×8	Kill	Emery Moore	set Ellie Siskin	+0.2
7	3-4	PENN	PENN×8	Ace	PENN server	aced Carly Allen	+0.2
8	3-5	PENN	PENN×8	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Emery Moore	+0.1
9	3-6	PENN	PENN×8	Attack err	Aubrey Baker		+0.1
10	3-7	PENN	PENN×8	Ace	PENN server	aced Carly Allen	+0.1
11	3-8	PENN	PENN×8	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Emery Moore	+0.1
12	3-9	PENN	PENN×8	Ace	PENN server	aced Simone Langford	+0.0
13	4-9	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Annabell Zachritz	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
14	4-10	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
15	5-10	PENN	RIDER×3	Serve err	PENN server		+0.0
16	6-10	RIDER	RIDER×3	Ace	RIDER server	aced Lauren Van Wie	+0.1
17	7-10	RIDER	RIDER×3	Attack err	Skylar Greene		+0.1
18	7-11	RIDER	PENN×3	Kill	Skylar Greene	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.1
19	7-12	PENN	PENN×3	Attack err	Annabell Zachritz	blk Adell Murray	+0.1
20	7-13	PENN	PENN×3	Attack err	Madison Daley		+0.0
21	8-13	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Katie Cook	+0.0
22	8-14	RIDER	PENN×3	Kill	Adell Murray	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
23	8-15	PENN	PENN×3	Kill	Adell Murray	set Emery Moore	+0.0
24	8-16	PENN	PENN×3	Ace	PENN server	aced Olivia DeSaro	+0.0
25	9-16	PENN	RIDER×3	Serve err	PENN server		+0.0
26	10-16	RIDER	RIDER×3	Attack err	Jenna Garner	blk Molly Rohde, Rylah Robinson	+0.0
27	11-16	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
28	11-17	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Ellie Siskin	set Emery Moore	+0.0
29	12-17	PENN	RIDER×3	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
30	13-17	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Simone Langford	+0.1
31	14-17	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
32	14-18	RIDER	PENN×3	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Ellie Siskin	+0.1
33	14-19	PENN	PENN×3	Ace	PENN server	aced Carly Allen	+0.1
34	14-20	PENN	PENN×3	Attack err	Anja Kelly		+0.0
35	15-20	PENN	RIDER	Attack err	Ellie Siskin		+0.0
36	16-20	RIDER	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
37	16-21	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Emery Moore	+0.1
38	16-22	PENN	PENN	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Emery Moore	+0.0
39	17-22	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
40	17-23	RIDER	PENN	Attack err	Annabell Zachritz	blk Haley Kerstetter	+0.0
41	18-23	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Annabell Zachritz	set Katie Cook	+0.0
42	18-24	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Haley Kerstetter	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
43	18-25	PENN	PENN	Attack err	Rylah Robinson	blk Skylar Greene, Adell Murray	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	RIDER	PENN×3	Kill	Ellie Siskin	set Emery Moore	+0.1
2	0-2	PENN	PENN×3	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.1
3	0-3	PENN	PENN×3	Ace	PENN server	aced Aubrey Baker	+0.1
4	1-3	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
5	1-4	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Haley Kerstetter	set Emery Moore	+0.0
6	2-4	PENN	RIDER	Serve err	PENN server		+0.0
7	2-5	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Skylar Greene	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
8	2-6	PENN	PENN	Attack err	Annabell Zachritz	blk Skylar Greene, Haley Kerstetter	+0.0
9	3-6	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
10	4-6	RIDER	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Katie Cook	+0.1
11	4-7	RIDER	PENN×5	Kill	Haley Kerstetter	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
12	4-8	PENN	PENN×5	Attack err	Aubrey Baker		+0.0
13	4-9	PENN	PENN×5	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
14	4-10	PENN	PENN×5	Ace	PENN server	aced Aubrey Baker	+0.0
15	4-11	PENN	PENN×5	Ace	PENN server	aced Olivia DeSaro	+0.0
16	5-11	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Katie Cook	+0.0
17	6-11	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Skylar Greene	blk Annabell Zachritz, Rylah Robinson	+0.0
18	6-12	RIDER	PENN×4	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
19	6-13	PENN	PENN×4	Bad set	Katie Cook		+0.0
20	6-14	PENN	PENN×4	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Addison Pollock	+0.0
21	6-15	PENN	PENN×4	Attack err	Madison Daley		+0.0
22	7-15	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Annabell Zachritz	set Katie Cook	+0.0
23	7-16	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Adell Murray	set Emery Moore	+0.0
24	7-17	PENN	PENN	Attack err	Molly Rohde	blk Adell Murray	+0.0
25	8-17	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Madison Daley	set Katie Cook	+0.0
26	8-18	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Emery Moore	+0.0
27	9-18	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Simone Langford	+0.0
28	9-19	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Ellie Siskin	set Emery Moore	+0.0
29	9-20	PENN	PENN	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Emery Moore	+0.0
30	10-20	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Simone Langford		+0.0
31	11-20	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Skylar Greene		+0.0
32	11-21	RIDER	PENN	Attack err	Aubrey Baker	blk Zada Sanger, Haley Kerstetter	+0.0
33	12-21	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
34	12-22	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
35	13-22	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Katie Cook	+0.0
36	13-23	RIDER	PENN×3	Kill	Adell Murray	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
37	13-24	PENN	PENN×3	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Emery Moore	+0.0
38	13-25	PENN	PENN×3	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Maisie Nawrocki	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
2	1-1	RIDER	PENN	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
3	1-2	PENN	PENN	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Emery Moore	+0.0
4	2-2	PENN	RIDER	Attack err	Emery Moore		+0.0
5	2-3	RIDER	PENN	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
6	3-3	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Maisie Nawrocki	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
7	3-4	RIDER	PENN×3	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
8	3-5	PENN	PENN×3	Attack err	Tori Bonacci	blk Jenna Garner, Haley Kerstetter	+0.0
9	3-6	PENN	PENN×3	Attack err	Cecilia DeCaro	blk Haley Kerstetter, Skylar Greene	+0.0
10	4-6	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Cecilia DeCaro	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
11	4-7	RIDER	PENN×3	Attack err	Tori Bonacci		+0.0
12	4-8	PENN	PENN×3	Attack err	Maisie Nawrocki		+0.0
13	4-9	PENN	PENN×3	Kill	Adell Murray	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
14	5-9	PENN	RIDER	Attack err	Skylar Greene		+0.0
15	5-10	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Skylar Greene	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
16	6-10	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Maisie Nawrocki	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
17	6-11	RIDER	PENN	Kill	Ellie Siskin	set Emery Moore	+0.0
18	6-12	PENN	PENN	Kill	Zada Sanger	set Addison Pollock	+0.0
19	7-12	PENN	RIDER	Serve err	PENN server		+0.0
20	7-13	RIDER	PENN	Attack err	Anja Kelly	blk Zada Sanger, Adell Murray	+0.0
21	8-13	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Emery Moore	+0.0
22	8-14	RIDER	PENN×4	Kill	Ellie Siskin	set Emery Moore	+0.0
23	8-15	PENN	PENN×4	Kill	Haley Kerstetter	set Emery Moore	+0.0
24	8-16	PENN	PENN×4	Ace	PENN server	aced Cecilia DeCaro	+0.0
25	8-17	PENN	PENN×4	Attack err	Anja Kelly		+0.0
26	9-17	PENN	RIDER	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
27	10-17	RIDER	RIDER	Kill	Cecilia DeCaro	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
28	10-18	RIDER	PENN×5	Kill	Haley Kerstetter	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
29	10-19	PENN	PENN×5	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
30	10-20	PENN	PENN×5	Attack err	Cecilia DeCaro	blk Haley Kerstetter, Skylar Greene	+0.0
31	10-21	PENN	PENN×5	Ace	PENN server	aced Simone Langford	+0.0
32	10-22	PENN	PENN×5	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
33	11-22	PENN	RIDER	Attack err	Jenna Garner	blk Makenna Mason, Tori Bonacci	+0.0
34	11-23	RIDER	PENN×3	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
35	11-24	PENN	PENN×3	Kill	Jenna Garner	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0
36	11-25	PENN	PENN×3	Kill	Adell Murray	set Nathalie Tsai	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Rider first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.