Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Penn def. Brown 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Penn 76.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Penn beat visiting Brown 3-2 (20-25, 22-25, 25-19, 25-17, 15-12) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Penn's Zada Sanger led with 25 kills, and Elsa McDermott added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set12345Sets
BROWN25251917122
PENN20222525153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Zada Sanger had 25 kills as Penn won in five.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Penn's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Penn at 76%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Brown 21–22 Penn

    Brown closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–0. The match swung to Brown.

    Penn 60% → 27%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Brown 8–12 Penn

    Brown scored 4 straight to erase an 8–12 deficit and tie it at 12.

    Penn 96% → 60%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Brown 12–12 Penn

    From 12–12, Penn scored 3 straight to lead 15–12.

    Penn 60% → >99%

Penn above 50Brown belowMax swing 17.5%

BrownPenn

Sideout %
Brown 54.7·Penn 59.6
Break %
Brown 40.4·Penn 45.3
Hitting
Brown .175·Penn .208
Longest run
Brown 5·Penn 5

Zada Sanger
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 25 K, .302, 26.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Penn above 50 · Brown below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+17.5% PENNrally 205 · set 5

Biggest swing: 17.5% to Penn — set 5, BROWN 12-14 PENN. Attack error by Ally Panzloff. PENN win probability 74% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BROWN 33.3%66.7% PENN

Brown wins

3-0
6.6%
3-1
11.9%
3-2
14.8%

Penn wins

3-0
21.1%
3-1
25.6%
3-2
20.0%
BROWN break %
40.8% vs this opp
PENN break %
44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ally PanzloffAttack error+17.5%

    Attack error by Ally Panzloff

    Set 5 · BROWN 12-14 PENN · PENN 74% → 91%

  2. 02
    Elle HolleyKill+16.6%

    Kill by Elle Holley (set by Julia Kakkis)

    Set 5 · BROWN 12-12 PENN · BROWN 24% → 40%

  3. 03
    Zada SangerKill+14.2%

    Kill by Zada Sanger (set by Emery Moore)

    Set 5 · BROWN 12-13 PENN · PENN 60% → 74%

  4. 04

    Pilar Kelley stuffed by Lawson Monroe & Sophia Wolfson

    Set 5 · BROWN 11-12 PENN · BROWN 13% → 24%

  5. 05
    Sarah ShawKill+10.3%

    Kill by Sarah Shaw (set by Julia Kakkis)

    Set 2 · BROWN 24-22 PENN · BROWN 57% → 67%

  6. 06
    Ellie SiskinAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Ellie Siskin

    Set 2 · BROWN 23-22 PENN · BROWN 47% → 57%

  7. 07
    Zada SangerKill+8.7%

    Kill by Zada Sanger (set by Elsa McDermott)

    Set 5 · BROWN 12-15 PENN · PENN 91% → 100%

  8. 08
    Jenna GarnerKill+7.5%

    Kill by Jenna Garner (set by Emery Moore)

    Set 5 · BROWN 0-2 PENN · PENN 69% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Brownaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514848.12512291010.516.5
515639.231313171010.516.5
58627.07400020052.510.5
5217.1434210801436
51011.0003011200001
46315.200000201439
59231.22610020031.510.5
5000–011200001
5000–4112540001
2306.50001240010.54.5
2123-.33300010010.51.5
Team totals5928177.175547108462201298
Pennhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
525663.30201151010.526.5
516450.240130115111.520.5
59223.30400020052.511.5
55213.23110020031.56.5
5216.1674311140010.53.5
21317-.11800160031.52.5
5000–6032300000
5000–100800000
3225.000000000213
3000–012100001
3000–1001000000
2136-.333000000001
2000–700200000
Team totals6123183.20860688471169107

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Brown vs Penn

Season series · Penn leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BROWN · PENN 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 BROWNPENN 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 BROWNPENN 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 5 BROWNPENN 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 BROWNPENN 4

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 4 BROWNPENN 5

Bars above the line = Penn leads, below = Brown leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Brown

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
62%18/29
2
43%10/23
17%2/12
3
67%10/15
29%4/14
4
63%10/16
33%5/15
5
64%9/14
47%8/17
6
56%9/16
25%3/12
All
55%58/106
40%40/99

Penn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%12/23
55%12/22
2
77%10/13
55%12/22
3
67%10/15
50%10/20
4
56%9/16
23%3/13
5
60%9/15
40%6/15
6
53%9/17
36%5/14
All
60%59/99
45%48/106

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

205 rallies

#BROWN-PENNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.5
21-1BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Elsa McDermott+1.4
32-1PENNBROWNServe errPenn+1.5
42-2BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.4
53-2PENNBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.6
64-2BROWNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+2.3
74-3BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+1.5
85-3PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.7
95-4BROWNPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Nathalie Tsai+1.5
105-5PENNPENNBad setElle Holley+2.2
116-5PENNBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.7
127-5BROWNBROWN×3KillYuna Yangset Nathalie Tsai+2.5
138-5BROWNBROWN×3Attack errSkylar Greene+2.5
148-6BROWNPENNKillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+1.6
159-6PENNBROWNKillSarah Shawset Yuna Yang+1.9
1610-6BROWNBROWNAttack errEllie Siskin+2.6
1710-7BROWNPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+1.5
1811-7PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.9
1911-8BROWNPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+1.5
2011-9PENNPENNAttack errSophia Wolfson+2.4
2112-9PENNBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+2.1
2212-10BROWNPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+1.8
2313-10PENNBROWNBlockedZada Sangerblk Fisayo Afonja, Sophia Wolfson+2.1
2414-10BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Jenna Garner+2.8
2514-11BROWNPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+1.6
2615-11PENNBROWN×3KillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+2.1
2716-11BROWNBROWN×3Attack errSkylar Greene+2.5
2817-11BROWNBROWN×3KillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+2.0
2917-12BROWNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+0.9
3018-12PENNBROWNBlockedJenna Garnerblk Sarah Shaw, Ally Panzloff+1.4
3118-13BROWNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+0.9
3219-13PENNBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Emery Moore+1.4
3320-13BROWNBROWNAttack errEllie Siskin+1.2
3420-14BROWNPENNBlockedSarah Shawblk Ellie Siskin, Adell Murray+0.4
3520-15PENNPENNAttack errFisayo Afonja+1.0
3621-15PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.2
3721-16BROWNPENN×3Serve errBrown+0.6
3821-17PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Haley Kerstetter+1.3
3921-18PENNPENN×3BlockedSophia Wolfsonblk Zada Sanger, Haley Kerstetter+2.0
4022-18PENNBROWNServe errPenn+2.3
4122-19BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.2
4223-19PENNBROWNServe errPenn+2.2
4323-20BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.0
4424-20PENNBROWNBlockedJenna Garnerblk Sophia Wolfson, Ally Panzloff+2.0
4525-20BROWNBROWNBlockedHaley Kerstetterblk Sarah Shaw, Elle Holley+0.9
Set 2
11-0BROWNBROWN×3AceBrownaced Jenna Garner+2.9
22-0BROWNBROWN×3KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+3.1
33-0BROWNBROWN×3BlockedZada Sangerblk Julia Kakkis, Sarah Shaw+3.2
43-1BROWNPENNAttack errSarah Shaw+2.0
54-1PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Elle Holley+2.4
65-1BROWNBROWNBlockedZada Sangerblk Sophia Wolfson, Julia Kakkis+3.3
75-2BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+2.0
86-2PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.4
97-2BROWNBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+3.2
107-3BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.9
117-4PENNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+3.0
128-4PENNBROWN×3KillFisayo Afonjaset Sophie Haskell+2.5
139-4BROWNBROWN×3AceBrownaced Jenna Garner+3.3
1410-4BROWNBROWN×3Attack errSkylar Greene+3.0
1510-5BROWNPENNServe errBrown+1.6
1611-5PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Ally Panzloff+2.2
1711-6BROWNPENN×3Serve errBrown+1.6
1811-7PENNPENN×3KillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+2.7
1911-8PENNPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+3.1
2012-8PENNBROWNServe errPenn+2.8
2112-9BROWNPENN×5KillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+2.2
2212-10PENNPENN×5BlockedElle Holleyblk Ellie Siskin, Adell Murray+3.5
2312-11PENNPENN×5AcePennaced Sophie Haskell+3.8
2412-12PENNPENN×5BlockedElle Holleyblk Ellie Siskin, Adell Murray+3.9
2512-13PENNPENN×5AcePennaced Sophie Haskell+3.9
2613-13PENNBROWNKillSarah Shawset Adell Murray+2.9
2714-13BROWNBROWNBlockedZada Sangerblk Julia Kakkis+4.4
2814-14BROWNPENNServe errBrown+3.0
2915-14PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+3.4
3015-15BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+3.2
3115-16PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+4.5
3216-16PENNBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+3.3
3316-17BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+3.3
3417-17PENNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Fisayo Afonja+3.5
3517-18BROWNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Hailey Hilsabeck+3.6
3618-18PENNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Sophie Haskell+3.7
3719-18BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Jenna Garner+6.0
3819-19BROWNPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+4.1
3919-20PENNPENN×3AcePennaced Sophie Haskell+6.0
4019-21PENNPENN×3BlockedAlly Panzloffblk Jenna Garner, Adell Murray+5.4
4120-21PENNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Sophie Haskell+3.3
4220-22BROWNPENNAttack errElle Holley+4.2
4321-22PENNBROWN×5Bad setEmery Moore+3.4
4422-22BROWNBROWN×5KillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+7.4
4523-22BROWNBROWN×5Attack errEllie Siskin+9.9
4624-22BROWNBROWN×5KillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+10.3
4725-22BROWNBROWN×5BlockedAdell Murrayblk Sarah Shaw+6.3
Set 3
10-1PENNPENNAttack errSarah Shaw+2.5
21-1PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.8
31-2BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.8
41-3PENNPENNAttack errSophia Wolfson+2.4
52-3PENNBROWNServe errPenn+1.7
62-4BROWNPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+1.7
72-5PENNPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+2.2
83-5PENNBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.5
93-6BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.6
104-6PENNBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.5
115-6BROWNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+2.5
125-7BROWNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+1.8
136-7PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.9
146-8BROWNPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+1.9
156-9PENNPENNKillPilar Kelleyset Emery Moore+2.4
167-9PENNBROWN×5KillElle Holleyset Yuna Yang+1.6
178-9BROWNBROWN×5KillFisayo Afonjaset Sophie Haskell+2.7
189-9BROWNBROWN×5KillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+3.1
1910-9BROWNBROWN×5Attack errEmery Moore+3.5
2011-9BROWNBROWN×5BlockedPilar Kelleyblk Sarah Shaw, Julia Kakkis+3.7
2111-10BROWNPENN×4Attack errFisayo Afonja+2.4
2211-11PENNPENN×4AcePennaced Sophie Haskell+3.5
2311-12PENNPENN×4KillZada Sangerset Elsa McDermott+3.4
2411-13PENNPENN×4KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+3.2
2512-13PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.2
2612-14BROWNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+2.3
2712-15PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Elsa McDermott+2.9
2812-16PENNPENN×3KillEmery Mooreset Jenna Garner+2.3
2913-16PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.4
3014-16BROWNBROWNAttack errHaley Kerstetter+2.6
3114-17BROWNPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+2.2
3214-18PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Elsa McDermott+2.4
3314-19PENNPENN×3Attack errFisayo Afonja+1.7
3415-19PENNBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.8
3515-20BROWNPENNAttack errSophia Wolfson+1.2
3615-21PENNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+1.0
3716-21PENNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+0.4
3816-22BROWNPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+0.6
3917-22PENNBROWNKillKindell Welkerset Lauren Van Wie+0.3
4017-23BROWNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+0.5
4118-23PENNBROWNBlockedJenna Garnerblk Kindell Welker, Julia Kakkis+0.2
4219-23BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Yuna Yang+0.5
4319-24BROWNPENNServe errBrown+0.7
4419-25PENNPENNBlockedFisayo Afonjablk Pilar Kelley, Adell Murray+0.2
Set 4
10-1BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+2.6
21-1PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+2.8
31-2BROWNPENN×3Attack errKindell Welker+2.7
41-3PENNPENN×3BlockedFisayo Afonjablk Haley Kerstetter, Emery Moore+3.6
51-4PENNPENN×3Attack errFisayo Afonja+3.2
62-4PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+2.2
73-4BROWNBROWNAceBrown+3.6
83-5BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+2.6
93-6PENNPENNAcePennaced Elle Holley+3.4
104-6PENNBROWNServe errPenn+2.3
114-7BROWNPENNServe errBrown+2.4
124-8PENNPENNAcePennaced Fisayo Afonja+3.0
135-8PENNBROWN×3Attack errAdell Murray+2.0
146-8BROWNBROWN×3KillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+3.3
157-8BROWNBROWN×3BlockedJenna Garnerblk Ally Panzloff, Sophia Wolfson+4.0
167-9BROWNPENNAttack errFisayo Afonja+2.9
178-9PENNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+3.0
189-9BROWNBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+4.7
199-10BROWNPENN×3Serve errBrown+3.4
209-11PENNPENN×3Serve errPenn+4.5
219-12PENNPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+4.0
2210-12PENNBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Elle Holley+2.6
2310-13BROWNPENNAttack errSophia Wolfson+2.9
2411-13PENNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.7
2511-14BROWNPENN×4KillPilar Kelleyset Emery Moore+3.0
2611-15PENNPENN×4Attack errKindell Welker+3.5
2711-16PENNPENN×4KillHaley Kerstetterset Emery Moore+2.6
2811-17PENNPENN×4KillEmery Mooreset Lauren Van Wie+1.8
2912-17PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+0.9
3012-18BROWNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.3
3113-18PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+0.9
3214-18BROWNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.9
3314-19BROWNPENN×4Serve errBrown+1.8
3414-20PENNPENN×4Attack errElle Holley+1.6
3514-21PENNPENN×4KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+0.8
3614-22PENNPENN×4Attack errElle Holley+0.4
3715-22PENNBROWNServe errPenn+0.1
3815-23BROWNPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+0.2
3916-23PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis·
4016-24BROWNPENNKillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+0.1
4117-24PENNBROWNAttack errZada Sanger·
4217-25BROWNPENNServe errBrown+1.2
Set 5
10-1BROWNPENN×5KillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+5.6
20-2PENNPENN×5KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+7.5
30-3PENNPENN×5Attack errSophia Wolfson+6.6
40-4PENNPENN×5KillZada Sangerset Elsa McDermott+5.4
50-5PENNPENN×5BlockedFisayo Afonjablk Haley Kerstetter, Pilar Kelley+4.2
61-5PENNBROWNKillLawson Monroeset Julia Kakkis+2.4
72-5BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Zada Sanger+4.6
82-6BROWNPENNServe errBrown+4.0
92-7PENNPENNKillZada Sanger+4.2
103-7PENNBROWNKillElle Holleyset Sophie Haskell+2.3
114-7BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Jenna Garner+4.6
124-8BROWNPENNAttack errElle Holley+4.2
135-8PENNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+3.3
145-9BROWNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+4.2
155-10PENNPENNBlockedJulia Kakkisblk Jenna Garner+4.1
166-10PENNBROWNServe errPenn+1.9
177-10BROWNBROWNKillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+4.2
187-11BROWNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+4.3
198-11PENNBROWNKillLawson Monroeset Elle Holley+2.9
208-12BROWNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+4.2
219-12PENNBROWN×4KillLawson Monroeset Julia Kakkis+2.5
2210-12BROWNBROWN×4Attack errZada Sanger+6.2
2311-12BROWNBROWN×4BlockedPilar Kelleyblk Lawson Monroe, Sophia Wolfson+10.7
2412-12BROWNBROWN×4KillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+16.6
2512-13BROWNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+14.2
2612-14PENNPENN×3Attack errAlly Panzloff+17.5
2712-15PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Elsa McDermott+8.7

Score shown after each rally, Brown first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).