Belmont def. Middle Tenn. 3–2
Belmont beat visiting Middle Tenn. 3-2 (22-25, 30-28, 29-27, 23-25, 15-10) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. Erin McMullen led Belmont with 16 kills; Middle Tenn.'s Michaela Dlouhá had a match-high 17.
Data through · final Sep 6
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIDTEN | 25 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 10 | 2 |
| BELMNT | 22 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 12.8% to Belmont — set 3, MIDTEN 25-26 BELMNT. Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Alivia Keegan). BELMNT win probability 55% → 67%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Middle Tenn. wins
Belmont wins
- MIDTEN break %
- 43.4% vs this opp
- BELMNT break %
- 45.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Connie KofoedKill+12.8%
Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Alivia Keegan)
Set 3 · MIDTEN 25-26 BELMNT · BELMNT 55% → 67%
- 02Kendall MignereyAttack error+12.3%
Attack error by Kendall Mignerey
Set 3 · MIDTEN 27-29 BELMNT · BELMNT 67% → 80%
- 03Veronica SierzantBad set+11.0%
Bad set by Veronica Sierzant
Set 2 · MIDTEN 24-24 BELMNT · BELMNT 25% → 36%
- 04Michaela DlouháKill+10.6%
Kill by Michaela Dlouhá (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 3 · MIDTEN 24-23 BELMNT · MIDTEN 45% → 56%
- 05Brenna KauffeldKill+10.6%
Kill by Brenna Kauffeld (set by Alivia Keegan)
Set 3 · MIDTEN 24-24 BELMNT · BELMNT 44% → 55%
- 06Gabrielle ClinkscaleKill+10.6%
Kill by Gabrielle Clinkscale (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 3 · MIDTEN 25-24 BELMNT · MIDTEN 45% → 56%
- 07Brenna KauffeldKill+10.6%
Kill by Brenna Kauffeld (set by Alivia Keegan)
Set 3 · MIDTEN 25-25 BELMNT · BELMNT 44% → 55%
- 08Alexia Smollen&Connie KofoedBlock+10.5%
Jaslyn Reed stuffed by Alexia Smollen & Connie Kofoed
Set 2 · MIDTEN 24-25 BELMNT · BELMNT 36% → 47%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 17 | 4 | 34 | .382 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 22.5 | |
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 43 | .256 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 44 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 16 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | .125 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 4 | 30 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Team totals | 75 | 23 | 188 | .277 | 70 | 9 | 13 | 85 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 115 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 3 | 29 | .448 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 17.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 3 | 34 | .324 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 39 | .205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 49 | .143 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -.231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 67 | 24 | 192 | .224 | 61 | 11 | 6 | 79 | 9 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 119 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
28-30
Set 3
27-29
Set 4
25-23
Set 5
10-15
Bars above the line = Belmont leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Middle Tenn.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46%11/24 | 55%11/20 |
| 2 | 69%9/13 | 38%6/16 |
| 3 | 44%8/18 | 57%12/21 |
| 4 | 57%8/14 | 20%2/10 |
| 5 | 54%7/13 | 20%2/10 |
| 6 | 54%7/13 | 50%7/14 |
| All | 53%50/95 | 44%40/91 |
Belmont
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%10/19 | 55%11/20 |
| 2 | 48%10/21 | 29%4/14 |
| 3 | 64%9/14 | 55%11/20 |
| 4 | 80%8/10 | 38%5/13 |
| 5 | 100%7/7 | 42%5/12 |
| 6 | 35%7/20 | 56%9/16 |
| All | 56%51/91 | 47%45/95 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
234 rallies
| # | MIDTEN-BELMNT | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Veronica Sierzant | +1.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Blocked | Connie Kofoed | blk Veronica Sierzant, Michaela Dlouhá | +2.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Blocked | Sophia Henry | blk Brenna Kauffeld, Alexia Smollen | +1.8 |
| 4 | 3-1 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Serve err | Belmont | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +1.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Mya Bolton | +2.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Veronica Sierzant | set Marianne Garcia | +2.1 |
| 9 | 6-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Emily Warmenhoven | +2.6 |
| 10 | 6-4 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +1.9 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Jordan Czajkowski | set Mya Bolton | +2.5 |
| 12 | 7-5 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Attack err | Emily Warmenhoven | +2.7 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.9 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.0 |
| 17 | 10-7 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.2 |
| 18 | 11-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Lauren Evans | +2.6 |
| 19 | 12-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Michaela Dlouhá | +2.4 |
| 20 | 13-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Madison Lansdown | +2.0 |
| 21 | 14-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Marianne Garcia | +1.6 |
| 22 | 14-8 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×4 | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.9 |
| 23 | 14-9 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Kill | Mya Bolton | set Veronica Sierzant | +1.5 |
| 24 | 14-10 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +1.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Bad set | Michaela Dlouhá | +2.4 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.3 |
| 27 | 16-11 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Connie Kofoed | +2.5 |
| 28 | 16-12 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +1.5 |
| 29 | 17-12 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.0 |
| 30 | 18-12 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Connie Kofoed | +1.9 |
| 31 | 19-12 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Bad set | Jordan Czajkowski | +1.3 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.6 |
| 33 | 20-13 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Veronica Sierzant | +1.0 |
| 34 | 20-14 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.5 |
| 35 | 20-15 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +1.0 |
| 36 | 21-15 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Veronica Sierzant | +1.3 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.7 |
| 38 | 22-16 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Attack err | Connie Kofoed | +1.1 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.5 |
| 40 | 23-17 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Veronica Sierzant | +0.9 |
| 41 | 24-17 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Blocked | Connie Kofoed | blk Michaela Dlouhá, Jaslyn Reed | +0.4 |
| 42 | 24-18 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×5 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +0.1 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.2 |
| 44 | 24-20 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Veronica Sierzant | +0.4 |
| 45 | 24-21 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Attack err | Michaela Dlouhá | +0.9 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Ace | Belmont | aced Ellie Watts | +2.0 |
| 47 | 25-22 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Veronica Sierzant | +3.7 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Blocked | Connie Kofoed | blk Veronica Sierzant, Michaela Dlouhá | +2.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.1 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.2 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Blocked | Erin McMullen | blk Logan Carr, Veronica Sierzant | +2.8 |
| 7 | 5-2 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Blocked | Brenna Kauffeld | blk Gabrielle Clinkscale | +2.8 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Erin McMullen | +2.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Ace | Belmont | aced Addison Burks | +2.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.4 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×3 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | +2.9 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Blocked | Logan Carr | blk Emily Warmenhoven, Alexia Smollen | +2.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.1 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Attack err | Mialee Dabbelt | +2.9 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Veronica Sierzant | +3.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Blocked | Mialee Dabbelt | blk Michaela Dlouhá, Jaslyn Reed | +3.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Veronica Sierzant | +3.5 |
| 23 | 13-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Lauren Evans | +3.4 |
| 24 | 13-11 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×3 | Attack err | Michaela Dlouhá | +2.4 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Bad set | Veronica Sierzant | +3.4 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Bad set | Veronica Sierzant | +3.7 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Veronica Sierzant | +3.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Attack err | Mialee Dabbelt | +3.9 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Veronica Sierzant | +3.8 |
| 30 | 17-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Veronica Sierzant | +3.3 |
| 31 | 18-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Blocked | Erin McMullen | blk Veronica Sierzant | +2.7 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.0 |
| 33 | 19-14 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +1.0 |
| 34 | 20-14 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Veronica Sierzant | set Marianne Garcia | +1.5 |
| 35 | 20-15 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×4 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +0.9 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +1.7 |
| 37 | 20-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +2.5 |
| 38 | 20-18 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Ace | Belmont | aced Kendall Mignerey | +3.5 |
| 39 | 21-18 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Alivia Keegan | +3.8 |
| 40 | 22-18 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Emily Warmenhoven | +3.6 |
| 41 | 22-19 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +1.7 |
| 42 | 23-19 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.8 |
| 43 | 23-20 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.3 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×5 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +0.8 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Attack err | Sophia Henry | +2.2 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Ace | Belmont | aced Marianne Garcia | +5.0 |
| 48 | 24-24 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Bad set | Veronica Sierzant | +11.0 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Blocked | Jaslyn Reed | blk Alexia Smollen, Connie Kofoed | +10.5 |
| 50 | 25-25 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Veronica Sierzant | +8.4 |
| 51 | 25-26 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +8.4 |
| 52 | 26-26 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Veronica Sierzant | +8.4 |
| 53 | 26-27 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +8.4 |
| 54 | 27-27 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Veronica Sierzant | +8.4 |
| 55 | 27-28 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +8.4 | |
| 56 | 28-28 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Veronica Sierzant | +8.4 |
| 57 | 28-29 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +8.4 |
| 58 | 28-30 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +10.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +3.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Attack err | Alexia Smollen | +2.6 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Attack err | Alexia Smollen | +3.3 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +3.3 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Attack err | Veronica Sierzant | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Attack err | Alexia Smollen | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Serve err | Belmont | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Attack err | Sophia Henry | +2.8 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Veronica Sierzant | +2.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×5 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.9 |
| 16 | 7-9 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Bad set | Caroline Macander | +3.6 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +3.4 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Mya Bolton | +3.0 |
| 19 | 7-12 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Mya Bolton | +2.6 |
| 20 | 8-12 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +1.7 |
| 21 | 8-13 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×3 | Serve err | Belmont | +1.7 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Caroline Macander | +2.7 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +3.3 |
| 25 | 11-14 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +3.0 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Caroline Macander | +2.7 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Lauren Evans | +4.0 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +4.6 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Logan Carr | +4.9 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Attack err | Brenna Kauffeld | +5.0 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×6 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +4.7 |
| 32 | 17-15 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×4 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +3.2 |
| 33 | 17-16 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +4.8 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +5.4 |
| 35 | 17-18 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Blocked | Gabrielle Clinkscale | blk Alivia Keegan, Alexia Smollen | +5.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Caroline Macander | +4.5 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +4.8 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +4.9 |
| 39 | 20-19 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Marianne Garcia | +6.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Attack err | Logan Carr | +5.3 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Serve err | Belmont | +6.1 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +5.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Attack err | Emily Warmenhoven | +6.9 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Addison Burks | +8.7 |
| 45 | 23-22 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +5.0 |
| 46 | 23-23 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Ace | Belmont | aced Marianne Garcia | +9.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +10.6 |
| 48 | 24-24 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +10.6 |
| 49 | 25-24 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +10.6 |
| 50 | 25-25 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +10.6 |
| 51 | 25-26 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +12.8 |
| 52 | 26-26 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +10.2 |
| 53 | 26-27 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +10.2 |
| 54 | 27-27 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Blocked | Emily Warmenhoven | blk Gabrielle Clinkscale | +10.2 |
| 55 | 27-28 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +10.2 | |
| 56 | 27-29 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Attack err | Kendall Mignerey | +12.3 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Caroline Macander | +3.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +3.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Caroline Macander | +2.5 |
| 5 | 4-1 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Ellie Watts | +3.1 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +2.3 |
| 7 | 5-2 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +2.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +2.3 |
| 9 | 6-3 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Ellie Watts | +2.5 |
| 10 | 7-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +3.0 |
| 11 | 7-4 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +2.1 |
| 12 | 8-4 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +2.5 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Lucy Kay | set Alivia Keegan | +2.2 |
| 14 | 8-6 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Mya Bolton | +3.1 |
| 15 | 9-6 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Logan Carr | set Caroline Macander | +2.7 |
| 16 | 10-6 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Marianne Garcia | +3.2 |
| 17 | 11-6 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Connie Kofoed | +2.9 |
| 18 | 11-7 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +1.9 |
| 19 | 12-7 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +2.4 |
| 20 | 13-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +2.5 |
| 21 | 14-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Marianne Garcia | +2.0 |
| 22 | 14-8 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×6 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.2 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | BELMNT | BELMNT×6 | Blocked | Jaslyn Reed | blk Connie Kofoed, Erin McMullen | +1.9 |
| 24 | 14-10 | BELMNT | BELMNT×6 | Ace | Belmont | aced Sophia Henry | +2.4 |
| 25 | 14-11 | BELMNT | BELMNT×6 | Ace | Belmont | aced Marianne Garcia | +2.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | BELMNT | BELMNT×6 | Ace | Belmont | aced Sophia Henry | +3.5 |
| 27 | 14-13 | BELMNT | BELMNT×6 | Kill | Erin McMullen | +4.0 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Serve err | Belmont | +3.5 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Attack err | Sophia Henry | +3.3 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Blocked | Michaela Dlouhá | blk Brenna Kauffeld, Lucy Kay | +4.5 |
| 31 | 16-15 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Caroline Macander | +3.9 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Blocked | Sophia Henry | blk Brenna Kauffeld, Lucy Kay | +3.8 |
| 33 | 17-16 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +4.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +4.0 |
| 35 | 18-17 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +4.3 |
| 36 | 19-17 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +5.5 |
| 37 | 19-18 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +3.9 |
| 38 | 20-18 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Kendall Mignerey | set Caroline Macander | +4.7 |
| 39 | 21-18 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Attack err | Emily Warmenhoven | +5.3 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +3.1 |
| 41 | 21-20 | BELMNT | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +5.4 | |||
| 42 | 21-21 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Ace | Belmont | aced Marianne Garcia | +6.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Blocked | Brenna Kauffeld | blk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed | +6.4 |
| 44 | 22-22 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +6.2 |
| 45 | 23-22 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Caroline Macander | +7.7 |
| 46 | 24-22 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +9.5 |
| 47 | 24-23 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Attack err | Jaslyn Reed | +4.4 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +9.4 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +6.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +8.0 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +7.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Serve err | Belmont | +5.4 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Mya Bolton | +6.1 |
| 6 | 1-5 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +6.7 |
| 7 | 2-5 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Attack err | Emily Warmenhoven | +4.5 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +5.4 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Blocked | Lucy Kay | blk Sophia Henry | +4.5 |
| 10 | 3-7 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +5.5 |
| 11 | 3-8 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Blocked | Michaela Dlouhá | blk Lucy Kay, Emily Warmenhoven | +5.5 |
| 12 | 3-9 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Ace | Belmont | aced Addison Burks | +3.9 |
| 13 | 4-9 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Blocked | Emily Warmenhoven | blk Caroline Macander, Michaela Dlouhá | +2.0 |
| 14 | 4-10 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Lucy Kay | set Alivia Keegan | +2.9 |
| 15 | 5-10 | BELMNT | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +1.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Logan Carr | set Caroline Macander | +3.5 |
| 17 | 7-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Blocked | Connie Kofoed | blk Logan Carr, Caroline Macander | +5.3 |
| 18 | 7-11 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +5.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +4.0 |
| 20 | 8-12 | MIDTEN | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +5.9 |
| 21 | 8-13 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Attack err | Jaslyn Reed | +4.3 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +1.8 |
| 23 | 9-14 | BELMNT | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Caroline Macander | +0.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Attack err | Erin McMullen | +0.9 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | MIDTEN | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +1.6 |
Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).