Belmont def. Marshall 3–1
Belmont won at Marshall 3-1 (25-18, 25-23, 22-25, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Belmont's Connie Kofoed led with 18 kills.
Data through · final Sep 12
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BELMNT | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 3 |
| MARSH | 18 | 23 | 25 | 22 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.9% to Belmont — set 2, BELMNT 25-23 MARSH. Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli. MARSH win probability 26% → 15%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Belmont wins
Marshall wins
- BELMNT break %
- 42.2% vs this opp
- MARSH break %
- 43.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Beatrice CiccarelliAttack error+10.9%
Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli
Set 2 · BELMNT 25-23 MARSH · BELMNT 74% → 85%
- 02Beatrice CiccarelliKill+8.0%
Kill by Beatrice Ciccarelli (set by Kahea Carvalho)
Set 2 · BELMNT 23-23 MARSH · MARSH 26% → 34%
- 03Connie KofoedKill+8.0%
Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Jordan Czajkowski)
Set 2 · BELMNT 24-23 MARSH · BELMNT 66% → 74%
- 04
- 05Emma BarnettAttack error+5.2%
Attack error by Emma Barnett
Set 4 · BELMNT 18-15 MARSH · BELMNT 83% → 89%
- 06Erin McMullenKill+5.1%
Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Jordan Czajkowski)
Set 4 · BELMNT 14-13 MARSH · BELMNT 72% → 77%
- 07Connie KofoedKill+5.1%
Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Jordan Czajkowski)
Set 4 · BELMNT 24-21 MARSH · BELMNT 92% → 97%
- 08
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18 | 4 | 38 | .368 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 4 | 14 | 4 | 32 | .313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 4 | 41 | .195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .467 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 15 | 148 | .297 | 57 | 4 | 4 | 62 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 97 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18 | 3 | 34 | .441 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 19.5 | |
| 4 | 15 | 5 | 52 | .192 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 26 | .154 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 28 | .179 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -.167 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 23 | 166 | .247 | 61 | 4 | 8 | 69 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 88 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-18
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
25-22
Bars above the line = Marshall leads, below = Belmont leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Belmont
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%9/16 | 64%14/22 |
| 2 | 75%9/12 | 10%1/10 |
| 3 | 50%8/16 | 25%3/12 |
| 4 | 88%7/8 | 22%2/9 |
| 5 | 55%6/11 | 14%1/7 |
| 6 | 86%6/7 | 50%6/12 |
| All | 64%45/70 | 38%27/72 |
Marshall
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43%9/21 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 69%9/13 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 100%8/8 | 43%6/14 |
| 4 | 78%7/9 | 33%4/12 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 6 | 55%6/11 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 63%45/72 | 36%25/70 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
185 rallies
| # | BELMNT-MARSH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MARSH | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | MARSH | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +1.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MARSH | BELMNT×5 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +1.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +2.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Attack err | Logan Henderson | +2.6 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | BELMNT | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.7 | |||
| 9 | 6-3 | BELMNT | BELMNT×5 | Blocked | Maddie Smith | blk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld | +2.6 |
| 10 | 6-4 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.8 |
| 11 | 7-4 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +2.0 |
| 12 | 7-5 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | set Isabella Nieves | +1.8 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +2.0 |
| 14 | 9-5 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Blocked | Emma Barnett | blk Erin McMullen, Alivia Keegan | +2.5 |
| 15 | 9-6 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | set Isabella Nieves | +1.7 |
| 16 | 10-6 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +1.9 |
| 17 | 11-6 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Blocked | Lilly Howell | blk Emily Warmenhoven | +2.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Isabella Nieves | +1.4 |
| 19 | 12-7 | MARSH | BELMNT | Serve err | Marshall | +1.7 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Attack err | Emma Barnett | +1.9 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.1 |
| 22 | 14-8 | MARSH | BELMNT | Serve err | Marshall | +1.4 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | BELMNT | MARSH×3 | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.1 |
| 24 | 14-10 | MARSH | MARSH×3 | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | MARSH | MARSH×3 | Ace | Marshall | +2.3 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +2.2 |
| 27 | 16-11 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +2.4 |
| 28 | 16-12 | BELMNT | MARSH | Attack err | Connie Kofoed | +1.3 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | MARSH | BELMNT | Blocked | Maddie Smith | blk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld | +1.8 |
| 30 | 18-12 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +1.8 |
| 31 | 18-13 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Isabella Nieves | +0.9 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +1.3 |
| 33 | 19-14 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | set Isabella Nieves | +0.8 |
| 34 | 20-14 | MARSH | BELMNT | Serve err | Marshall | +1.2 | |
| 35 | 21-14 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Isabella Nieves | +0.9 |
| 36 | 21-15 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Isabella Nieves | +0.3 |
| 37 | 22-15 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +0.6 |
| 38 | 22-16 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +0.2 |
| 39 | 23-16 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +0.4 |
| 40 | 23-17 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Kahea Carvalho | +0.1 |
| 41 | 24-17 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +0.3 |
| 42 | 24-18 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | · |
| 43 | 25-18 | MARSH | BELMNT | Bad set | Kahea Carvalho | +0.1 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +2.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +2.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +2.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +2.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | BELMNT | MARSH | Attack err | Alivia Keegan | +2.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +2.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | BELMNT | MARSH×3 | Serve err | Belmont | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | MARSH | MARSH×3 | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.9 |
| 12 | 5-7 | MARSH | MARSH×3 | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MARSH | BELMNT | Blocked | Kahea Carvalho | blk Alivia Keegan | +2.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | BELMNT | MARSH | Blocked | Alexia Smollen | blk Marae Reilly | +2.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +2.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | BELMNT | MARSH×4 | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | MARSH | MARSH×4 | Attack err | Connie Kofoed | +2.8 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | MARSH | MARSH×4 | Blocked | Brenna Kauffeld | blk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly | +2.6 |
| 19 | 7-12 | MARSH | MARSH×4 | Blocked | Connie Kofoed | blk Logan Henderson, Marae Reilly | +2.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | MARSH | BELMNT | Blocked | Logan Henderson | blk Connie Kofoed, Alexia Smollen | +1.4 |
| 21 | 8-13 | BELMNT | MARSH | Blocked | Brenna Kauffeld | blk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly | +1.6 |
| 22 | 9-13 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Mya Bolton | +1.3 |
| 23 | 9-14 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.7 |
| 24 | 10-14 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Madison Lansdown | +1.3 |
| 25 | 10-15 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.7 |
| 26 | 11-15 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +1.3 |
| 27 | 11-16 | BELMNT | MARSH | Blocked | Emily Warmenhoven | blk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Kahea Carvalho | +1.7 |
| 28 | 12-16 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +1.3 |
| 29 | 12-17 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.7 |
| 30 | 13-17 | MARSH | BELMNT×9 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +1.2 |
| 31 | 14-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×9 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Mya Bolton | +2.3 |
| 32 | 15-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×9 | Bad set | Kahea Carvalho | +3.0 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×9 | Attack err | Marae Reilly | +3.7 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×9 | Attack err | Logan Henderson | +4.4 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×9 | Ace | Belmont | aced Maddie Smith | +4.8 |
| 36 | 19-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×9 | Attack err | Logan Henderson | +4.8 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×9 | Ace | Belmont | +4.3 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT×9 | Ace | Belmont | aced Maddie Smith | +3.4 |
| 39 | 21-18 | BELMNT | MARSH | Serve err | Belmont | +1.6 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Mya Bolton | +2.5 |
| 41 | 22-19 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.4 |
| 42 | 23-19 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.4 |
| 43 | 23-20 | BELMNT | MARSH×4 | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.1 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MARSH | MARSH×4 | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.8 |
| 45 | 23-22 | MARSH | MARSH×4 | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | +5.0 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | MARSH | MARSH×4 | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | set Kahea Carvalho | +8.0 |
| 47 | 24-23 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +8.0 |
| 48 | 25-23 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Attack err | Beatrice Ciccarelli | +10.9 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MARSH | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +1.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MARSH | MARSH | Ace | Marshall | aced Connie Kofoed | +1.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MARSH | BELMNT | Serve err | Marshall | +1.4 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | BELMNT | MARSH×5 | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | MARSH | MARSH×5 | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.8 |
| 8 | 2-6 | MARSH | MARSH×5 | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.7 |
| 9 | 2-7 | MARSH | MARSH×5 | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.5 |
| 10 | 2-8 | MARSH | MARSH×5 | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.3 |
| 11 | 3-8 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.8 |
| 12 | 3-9 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +0.9 |
| 13 | 4-9 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Sydnee Nelson | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.8 |
| 14 | 4-10 | BELMNT | MARSH×3 | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Kahea Carvalho | +0.9 |
| 15 | 4-11 | MARSH | MARSH×3 | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.0 |
| 16 | 4-12 | MARSH | MARSH×3 | Blocked | Emily Warmenhoven | blk Kahea Carvalho, Beatrice Ciccarelli | +0.8 |
| 17 | 5-12 | MARSH | BELMNT×3 | Serve err | Marshall | +0.4 | |
| 18 | 6-12 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Attack err | Beatrice Ciccarelli | +0.8 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Blocked | Emma Barnett | blk Alexia Smollen, Alivia Keegan | +1.0 |
| 20 | 7-13 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +0.9 |
| 21 | 8-13 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Alivia Keegan | +0.7 |
| 22 | 9-13 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Blocked | Beatrice Ciccarelli | blk Brenna Kauffeld, Alexia Smollen | +1.3 |
| 23 | 9-14 | BELMNT | MARSH×3 | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Beatrice Ciccarelli | +1.2 |
| 24 | 9-15 | MARSH | MARSH×3 | Ace | Marshall | aced Emily Warmenhoven | +1.2 |
| 25 | 9-16 | MARSH | MARSH×3 | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Emma Barnett | +0.9 |
| 26 | 10-16 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Alivia Keegan | +0.5 |
| 27 | 10-17 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Emma Barnett | +0.6 |
| 28 | 11-17 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +0.4 |
| 29 | 11-18 | BELMNT | MARSH | Attack err | Brenna Kauffeld | +0.6 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +0.4 |
| 31 | 12-19 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Kahea Carvalho | +0.6 |
| 32 | 13-19 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Alivia Keegan | +0.3 |
| 33 | 13-20 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +0.5 |
| 34 | 14-20 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Alivia Keegan | +0.3 |
| 35 | 15-20 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Alivia Keegan | +0.6 |
| 36 | 15-21 | BELMNT | MARSH | Bad set | Alivia Keegan | +0.7 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | MARSH | BELMNT | Serve err | Marshall | +0.4 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.9 |
| 39 | 17-22 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.0 |
| 40 | 17-23 | MARSH | MARSH | Blocked | Brenna Kauffeld | blk Maddie Smith, Beatrice Ciccarelli | +0.7 |
| 41 | 18-23 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.2 |
| 42 | 18-24 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +0.4 |
| 43 | 19-24 | MARSH | BELMNT×4 | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +0.1 |
| 44 | 20-24 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Blocked | Marae Reilly | blk Erin McMullen | +0.2 |
| 45 | 21-24 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Attack err | Maddie Smith | +0.6 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | BELMNT | BELMNT×4 | Blocked | Logan Henderson | blk Erin McMullen, Connie Kofoed | +1.3 |
| 47 | 22-25 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Emma Sayre | +2.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +3.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BELMNT | MARSH | Serve err | Belmont | +2.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +3.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MARSH | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +3.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | MARSH | BELMNT | Serve err | Marshall | +2.8 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MARSH | MARSH | Attack err | Erin McMullen | +3.8 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Jordan Czajkowski | set Mya Bolton | +2.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | MARSH | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kylie Wong | +3.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +2.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Alexia Smollen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +4.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Kahea Carvalho | +3.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MARSH | BELMNT | Blocked | Emma Barnett | blk Alexia Smollen | +3.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Attack err | Beatrice Ciccarelli | +4.4 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Emma Barnett | set Beatrice Ciccarelli | +3.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +3.4 |
| 22 | 11-11 | BELMNT | MARSH | Serve err | Belmont | +3.4 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | MARSH | BELMNT | Serve err | Marshall | +3.5 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Emma Sayre | +3.5 |
| 25 | 12-13 | MARSH | MARSH | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Maya Hunt | +4.8 |
| 26 | 13-13 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +3.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +5.1 |
| 28 | 14-14 | BELMNT | MARSH | Attack err | Emily Warmenhoven | +3.8 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Erin McMullen | set Jordan Czajkowski | +4.0 |
| 30 | 16-14 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Bad set | Maya Hunt | +5.4 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Marae Reilly | set Maya Hunt | +3.7 |
| 32 | 17-15 | MARSH | BELMNT×3 | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +4.2 |
| 33 | 18-15 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Attack err | Emma Barnett | +5.2 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | BELMNT | BELMNT×3 | Blocked | Beatrice Ciccarelli | blk Alexia Smollen, Emily Warmenhoven | +4.4 |
| 35 | 19-16 | BELMNT | MARSH | Blocked | Emily Warmenhoven | blk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Lilly Howell | +2.4 |
| 36 | 19-17 | MARSH | MARSH | Ace | Marshall | aced Mya Bolton | +4.4 |
| 37 | 20-17 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +4.3 |
| 38 | 21-17 | BELMNT | BELMNT | Blocked | Logan Henderson | blk Connie Kofoed | +4.5 |
| 39 | 21-18 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Beatrice Ciccarelli | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.1 |
| 40 | 22-18 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +3.3 |
| 41 | 22-19 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +1.9 |
| 42 | 22-20 | MARSH | MARSH | Attack err | Connie Kofoed | +4.2 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Brenna Kauffeld | set Jordan Czajkowski | +4.9 |
| 44 | 23-21 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Logan Henderson | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.8 |
| 45 | 24-21 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Connie Kofoed | set Jordan Czajkowski | +5.1 |
| 46 | 24-22 | BELMNT | MARSH | Kill | Maddie Smith | set Kahea Carvalho | +2.0 |
| 47 | 25-22 | MARSH | BELMNT | Kill | Emily Warmenhoven | set Jordan Czajkowski | +4.7 |
Score shown after each rally, Belmont first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).