Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Belmont def. Marshall 3–1

Belmont won at Marshall 3-1 (25-18, 25-23, 22-25, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Belmont's Connie Kofoed led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
BELMNT252522253
MARSH182325221

Win probability

Marshall above 50 · Belmont below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.9% BELMNTrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.9% to Belmont — set 2, BELMNT 25-23 MARSH. Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli. MARSH win probability 26% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELMNT 44.4%55.6% MARSH

Belmont wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%

Marshall wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%
BELMNT break %
42.2% vs this opp
MARSH break %
43.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Beatrice CiccarelliAttack error+10.9%

    Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli

    Set 2 · BELMNT 25-23 MARSH · BELMNT 74% → 85%

  2. 02

    Kill by Beatrice Ciccarelli (set by Kahea Carvalho)

    Set 2 · BELMNT 23-23 MARSH · MARSH 26% → 34%

  3. 03
    Connie KofoedKill+8.0%

    Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 2 · BELMNT 24-23 MARSH · BELMNT 66% → 74%

  4. 04
    Maya HuntBad set+5.4%

    Bad set by Maya Hunt

    Set 4 · BELMNT 16-14 MARSH · BELMNT 77% → 83%

  5. 05
    Emma BarnettAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Emma Barnett

    Set 4 · BELMNT 18-15 MARSH · BELMNT 83% → 89%

  6. 06
    Erin McMullenKill+5.1%

    Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 4 · BELMNT 14-13 MARSH · BELMNT 72% → 77%

  7. 07
    Connie KofoedKill+5.1%

    Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 4 · BELMNT 24-21 MARSH · BELMNT 92% → 97%

  8. 08

    Kill by Beatrice Ciccarelli

    Set 2 · BELMNT 23-22 MARSH · MARSH 21% → 26%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418438.36800013112220
414432.31300010031.515.5
412441.19500041111.513.5
48115.4670014014311
45113.308000201438
3013-.3332500401222
4000–0321000003
4000–4111110001
4000–100400000
3104.2502700800001
11011.000000000001
1001.000000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals5915148.29757446245161397
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418334.441000142031.519.5
415552.19221110000016
411218.50000010132.513.5
49526.1542145004212
411628.17900000010.511.5
4016-.1674612900212
4000–2111700001
4000–1001100000
2012-.50000000010.50.5
2000–000000000
1000–600100000
1000–200100000
Team totals6423166.2476148694114888

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 BELMNT · MARSH 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 BELMNTMARSH 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 9 BELMNTMARSH 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 BELMNTMARSH 5

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 3 BELMNTMARSH 2

Bars above the line = Marshall leads, below = Belmont leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Belmont

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
64%14/22
2
75%9/12
10%1/10
3
50%8/16
25%3/12
4
88%7/8
22%2/9
5
55%6/11
14%1/7
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
64%45/70
38%27/72

Marshall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%9/21
42%5/12
2
69%9/13
31%4/13
3
100%8/8
43%6/14
4
78%7/9
33%4/12
5
60%6/10
30%3/10
6
55%6/11
33%3/9
All
63%45/72
36%25/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#BELMNT-MARSHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.4
20-2MARSHMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.4
31-2MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+1.7
41-3BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.8
52-3MARSHBELMNT×5KillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+1.8
63-3BELMNTBELMNT×5KillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+2.5
74-3BELMNTBELMNT×5Attack errLogan Henderson+2.6
85-3BELMNT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.7
96-3BELMNTBELMNT×5BlockedMaddie Smithblk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld+2.6
106-4BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.8
117-4MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+2.0
127-5BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+1.8
138-5MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.0
149-5BELMNTBELMNTBlockedEmma Barnettblk Erin McMullen, Alivia Keegan+2.5
159-6BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+1.7
1610-6MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+1.9
1711-6BELMNTBELMNTBlockedLilly Howellblk Emily Warmenhoven+2.3
1811-7BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+1.4
1912-7MARSHBELMNTServe errMarshall+1.7
2013-7BELMNTBELMNTAttack errEmma Barnett+1.9
2113-8BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.1
2214-8MARSHBELMNTServe errMarshall+1.4
2314-9BELMNTMARSH×3KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+1.1
2414-10MARSHMARSH×3KillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
2514-11MARSHMARSH×3AceMarshall+2.3
2615-11MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.2
2716-11BELMNTBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.4
2816-12BELMNTMARSHAttack errConnie Kofoed+1.3
2917-12MARSHBELMNTBlockedMaddie Smithblk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld+1.8
3018-12BELMNTBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+1.8
3118-13BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+0.9
3219-13MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+1.3
3319-14BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+0.8
3420-14MARSHBELMNTServe errMarshall+1.2
3521-14BELMNTBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Isabella Nieves+0.9
3621-15BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Isabella Nieves+0.3
3722-15MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+0.6
3822-16BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+0.2
3923-16MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+0.4
4023-17BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.1
4124-17MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+0.3
4224-18BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho·
4325-18MARSHBELMNTBad setKahea Carvalho+0.1
Set 2
11-0BELMNTBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+2.6
21-1BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
32-1MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.0
42-2BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+2.0
53-2MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+2.1
63-3BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+2.0
74-3MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.1
84-4BELMNTMARSHAttack errAlivia Keegan+2.1
95-4MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+2.2
105-5BELMNTMARSH×3Serve errBelmont+2.1
115-6MARSHMARSH×3KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+2.9
125-7MARSHMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.9
136-7MARSHBELMNTBlockedKahea Carvalhoblk Alivia Keegan+2.1
146-8BELMNTMARSHBlockedAlexia Smollenblk Marae Reilly+2.2
157-8MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+2.1
167-9BELMNTMARSH×4KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.2
177-10MARSHMARSH×4Attack errConnie Kofoed+2.8
187-11MARSHMARSH×4BlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly+2.6
197-12MARSHMARSH×4BlockedConnie Kofoedblk Logan Henderson, Marae Reilly+2.2
208-12MARSHBELMNTBlockedLogan Hendersonblk Connie Kofoed, Alexia Smollen+1.4
218-13BELMNTMARSHBlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly+1.6
229-13MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Mya Bolton+1.3
239-14BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
2410-14MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Madison Lansdown+1.3
2510-15BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
2611-15MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.3
2711-16BELMNTMARSHBlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Kahea Carvalho+1.7
2812-16MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.3
2912-17BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
3013-17MARSHBELMNT×9KillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.2
3114-17BELMNTBELMNT×9KillBrenna Kauffeldset Mya Bolton+2.3
3215-17BELMNTBELMNT×9Bad setKahea Carvalho+3.0
3316-17BELMNTBELMNT×9Attack errMarae Reilly+3.7
3417-17BELMNTBELMNT×9Attack errLogan Henderson+4.4
3518-17BELMNTBELMNT×9AceBelmontaced Maddie Smith+4.8
3619-17BELMNTBELMNT×9Attack errLogan Henderson+4.8
3720-17BELMNTBELMNT×9AceBelmont+4.3
3821-17BELMNTBELMNT×9AceBelmontaced Maddie Smith+3.4
3921-18BELMNTMARSHServe errBelmont+1.6
4022-18MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Mya Bolton+2.5
4122-19BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
4223-19MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+2.4
4323-20BELMNTMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+1.1
4423-21MARSHMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
4523-22MARSHMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelli+5.0
4623-23MARSHMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+8.0
4724-23MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+8.0
4825-23BELMNTBELMNTAttack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+10.9
Set 3
10-1MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
21-1MARSHBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.4
31-2BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
41-3MARSHMARSHAceMarshallaced Connie Kofoed+1.9
52-3MARSHBELMNTServe errMarshall+1.4
62-4BELMNTMARSH×5KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
72-5MARSHMARSH×5KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.8
82-6MARSHMARSH×5KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
92-7MARSHMARSH×5KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
102-8MARSHMARSH×5KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.3
113-8MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
123-9BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
134-9MARSHBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
144-10BELMNTMARSH×3KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
154-11MARSHMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.0
164-12MARSHMARSH×3BlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Kahea Carvalho, Beatrice Ciccarelli+0.8
175-12MARSHBELMNT×3Serve errMarshall+0.4
186-12BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+0.8
197-12BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedEmma Barnettblk Alexia Smollen, Alivia Keegan+1.0
207-13BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
218-13MARSHBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Alivia Keegan+0.7
229-13BELMNTBELMNTBlockedBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Brenna Kauffeld, Alexia Smollen+1.3
239-14BELMNTMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Beatrice Ciccarelli+1.2
249-15MARSHMARSH×3AceMarshallaced Emily Warmenhoven+1.2
259-16MARSHMARSH×3KillLogan Hendersonset Emma Barnett+0.9
2610-16MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+0.5
2710-17BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Barnett+0.6
2811-17MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.4
2911-18BELMNTMARSHAttack errBrenna Kauffeld+0.6
3012-18MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.4
3112-19BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.6
3213-19MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.3
3313-20BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
3414-20MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+0.3
3515-20BELMNTBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+0.6
3615-21BELMNTMARSHBad setAlivia Keegan+0.7
3716-21MARSHBELMNTServe errMarshall+0.4
3817-21BELMNTBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.9
3917-22BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.0
4017-23MARSHMARSHBlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Maddie Smith, Beatrice Ciccarelli+0.7
4118-23MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.2
4218-24BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.4
4319-24MARSHBELMNT×4KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.1
4420-24BELMNTBELMNT×4BlockedMarae Reillyblk Erin McMullen+0.2
4521-24BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errMaddie Smith+0.6
4622-24BELMNTBELMNT×4BlockedLogan Hendersonblk Erin McMullen, Connie Kofoed+1.3
4722-25BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Sayre+2.3
Set 4
11-0BELMNTBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+3.5
21-1BELMNTMARSHServe errBelmont+2.6
32-1MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+2.7
43-1BELMNTBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+3.6
53-2BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
63-3MARSHMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+3.6
74-3MARSHBELMNTServe errMarshall+2.8
84-4BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
95-4MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+2.9
105-5BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
115-6MARSHMARSHAttack errErin McMullen+3.8
126-6MARSHBELMNTKillJordan Czajkowskiset Mya Bolton+2.9
136-7BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+2.9
146-8MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kylie Wong+3.9
157-8MARSHBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.8
168-8BELMNTBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Jordan Czajkowski+4.1
178-9BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+3.1
189-9MARSHBELMNTBlockedEmma Barnettblk Alexia Smollen+3.1
1910-9BELMNTBELMNTAttack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+4.4
2010-10BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Beatrice Ciccarelli+3.2
2111-10MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+3.4
2211-11BELMNTMARSHServe errBelmont+3.4
2312-11MARSHBELMNTServe errMarshall+3.5
2412-12BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Emma Sayre+3.5
2512-13MARSHMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Maya Hunt+4.8
2613-13MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+3.6
2714-13BELMNTBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+5.1
2814-14BELMNTMARSHAttack errEmily Warmenhoven+3.8
2915-14MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+4.0
3016-14BELMNTBELMNTBad setMaya Hunt+5.4
3116-15BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Maya Hunt+3.7
3217-15MARSHBELMNT×3KillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+4.2
3318-15BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errEmma Barnett+5.2
3419-15BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Alexia Smollen, Emily Warmenhoven+4.4
3519-16BELMNTMARSHBlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Lilly Howell+2.4
3619-17MARSHMARSHAceMarshallaced Mya Bolton+4.4
3720-17MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+4.3
3821-17BELMNTBELMNTBlockedLogan Hendersonblk Connie Kofoed+4.5
3921-18BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.1
4022-18MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+3.3
4122-19BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
4222-20MARSHMARSHAttack errConnie Kofoed+4.2
4323-20MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+4.9
4423-21BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
4524-21MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+5.1
4624-22BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+2.0
4725-22MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+4.7

Score shown after each rally, Belmont first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).