CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026
3:1
Marshall logo

HomeSUN-BELT

Belmont def. Marshall 31

(25-18, 25-23, 22-25, 25-22)
Set1*234Sets
BELMNT252522253
MARSH182325221
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MARSH above 50 · BELMNT below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100MARSHBELMNTBiggest swing +11.0% BELMNT · S2 25-23rally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.0% to Belmont — set 2, BELMNT 25-23 MARSH. Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli. MARSH win probability 25%14%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BELMNT 45.4%54.6% MARSH

Belmont wins

3-0
10.7%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%

Marshall wins

3-0
14.5%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%
BELMNT break %
39.4% vs this opp
MARSH break %
40.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Beatrice CiccarelliAttack error+11.0%

    Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli

    Set 2 · BELMNT 25-23 MARSH · BELMNT 75%86%

  2. 02

    Kill by Beatrice Ciccarelli (set by Kahea Carvalho)

    Set 2 · BELMNT 23-23 MARSH · MARSH 24%33%

  3. 03
    Connie KofoedKill+7.2%

    Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 2 · BELMNT 24-23 MARSH · BELMNT 67%75%

  4. 04
    Maya HuntBad set+5.6%

    Bad set by Maya Hunt

    Set 4 · BELMNT 16-14 MARSH · BELMNT 78%83%

  5. 05
    Erin McMullenKill+5.4%

    Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 4 · BELMNT 14-13 MARSH · BELMNT 72%78%

  6. 06
    Emma BarnettAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Emma Barnett

    Set 4 · BELMNT 18-15 MARSH · BELMNT 84%89%

  7. 07
    Marae ReillyKill+5.1%

    Kill by Marae Reilly (set by Maya Hunt)

    Set 4 · BELMNT 12-13 MARSH · MARSH 26%31%

  8. 08
    BELMNT serverAce+5.0%

    Belmont ace on Maddie Smith

    Set 2 · BELMNT 18-17 MARSH · BELMNT 65%70%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418438.36800013112220
414432.31300010031.515.5
412441.19500041111.513.5
48115.4670014014311
45113.308000201438
3013-.3332500401222
40000321000003
40004111110001
4000100400000
3104.2502700800001
11011.000000000001
1001.000000000000
1000000100000
Team totals5915148.29757446245161397
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418334.441000142031.519.5
415552.19221110000016
411218.50000010132.513.5
49526.1542145004212
411628.17900000010.511.5
4016-.1674612900212
40002111700001
40001001100000
2012-.50000000010.50.5
2000000000000
1000600100000
1000200100000
Team totals6423166.2476148694114888

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 BELMNT · MARSH 5

Set 1*

25-18

Longest run 5 BELMNTMARSH 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 9 BELMNTMARSH 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 BELMNTMARSH 5

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 3 BELMNTMARSH 2

Bars above the line = Marshall leads, below = Belmont leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Belmont

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
64%14/22
2
75%9/12
10%1/10
3
50%8/16
25%3/12
4
88%7/8
22%2/9
5
55%6/11
14%1/7
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
64%45/70
38%27/72

Marshall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%9/21
42%5/12
2
69%9/13
31%4/13
3
100%8/8
43%6/14
4
78%7/9
33%4/12
5
60%6/10
30%3/10
6
55%6/11
33%3/9
All
63%45/72
36%25/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

185 rallies

Rally log

#BELMNT-MARSHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
20-2MARSHMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
31-2MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+1.6
41-3BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
52-3MARSHBELMNT×5KillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+1.7
63-3BELMNTBELMNT×5KillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+2.7
74-3BELMNTBELMNT×5Attack errLogan Henderson+2.8
85-3BELMNTBELMNT×5Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.8
96-3BELMNTBELMNT×5Attack errMaddie Smithblk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld+2.7
106-4BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
117-4MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+1.9
127-5BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+1.7
138-5MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+1.9
149-5BELMNTBELMNTAttack errEmma Barnettblk Erin McMullen, Alivia Keegan+2.6
159-6BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+1.5
1610-6MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+1.8
1711-6BELMNTBELMNTAttack errLilly Howellblk Emily Warmenhoven+2.3
1811-7BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+1.2
1912-7MARSHBELMNTServe errMARSH server+1.6
2013-7BELMNTBELMNTAttack errEmma Barnett+1.9
2113-8BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
2214-8MARSHBELMNTServe errMARSH server+1.2
2314-9BELMNTMARSH×3KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
2414-10MARSHMARSH×3KillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.8
2514-11MARSHMARSH×3AceMARSH serveraced Team+2.3
2615-11MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.0
2716-11BELMNTBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.4
2816-12BELMNTMARSHAttack errConnie Kofoed+1.1
2917-12MARSHBELMNTAttack errMaddie Smithblk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld+1.6
3018-12BELMNTBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+1.7
3118-13BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+0.7
3219-13MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+1.1
3319-14BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+0.6
3420-14MARSHBELMNTServe errMARSH server+1.0
3521-14BELMNTBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Isabella Nieves+0.8
3621-15BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Isabella Nieves+0.2
3722-15MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+0.4
3822-16BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+0.2
3923-16MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+0.3
4023-17BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.1
4124-17MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+0.2
4224-18BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.0
4325-18MARSHBELMNTBad setKahea Carvalho+0.1
Set 2
11-0BELMNTBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+2.8
21-1BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+1.8
32-1MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+1.9
42-2BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.8
53-2MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+1.9
63-3BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
74-3MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.0
84-4BELMNTMARSHAttack errAlivia Keegan+1.9
95-4MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+2.0
105-5BELMNTMARSH×3Serve errBELMNT server+2.0
115-6MARSHMARSH×3KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+3.1
125-7MARSHMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+3.0
136-7MARSHBELMNTAttack errKahea Carvalhoblk Alivia Keegan+1.9
146-8BELMNTMARSHAttack errAlexia Smollenblk Marae Reilly+2.0
157-8MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+2.0
167-9BELMNTMARSH×4KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.1
177-10MARSHMARSH×4Attack errConnie Kofoed+3.0
187-11MARSHMARSH×4Attack errBrenna Kauffeldblk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly+2.6
197-12MARSHMARSH×4Attack errConnie Kofoedblk Logan Henderson, Marae Reilly+2.2
208-12MARSHBELMNTAttack errLogan Hendersonblk Connie Kofoed, Alexia Smollen+1.2
218-13BELMNTMARSHAttack errBrenna Kauffeldblk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly+1.5
229-13MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Mya Bolton+1.2
239-14BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
2410-14MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Madison Lansdown+1.2
2510-15BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
2611-15MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.1
2711-16BELMNTMARSHAttack errEmily Warmenhovenblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Kahea Carvalho+1.5
2812-16MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.1
2912-17BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
3013-17MARSHBELMNT×9KillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.1
3114-17BELMNTBELMNT×9KillBrenna Kauffeldset Mya Bolton+2.2
3215-17BELMNTBELMNT×9Bad setKahea Carvalho+3.0
3316-17BELMNTBELMNT×9Attack errMarae Reilly+3.9
3417-17BELMNTBELMNT×9Attack errLogan Henderson+4.6
3518-17BELMNTBELMNT×9AceBELMNT serveraced Maddie Smith+5.0
3619-17BELMNTBELMNT×9Attack errLogan Henderson+5.0
3720-17BELMNTBELMNT×9AceBELMNT serveraced Team+4.4
3821-17BELMNTBELMNT×9AceBELMNT serveraced Maddie Smith+3.3
3921-18BELMNTMARSHServe errBELMNT server+1.3
4022-18MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Mya Bolton+2.1
4122-19BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.1
4223-19MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+2.0
4323-20BELMNTMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
4423-21MARSHMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
4523-22MARSHMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelli+4.9
4623-23MARSHMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+8.2
4724-23MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+7.2
4825-23BELMNTBELMNTAttack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+11.0
Set 3
10-1MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
21-1MARSHBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.3
31-2BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+1.3
41-3MARSHMARSHAceMARSH serveraced Connie Kofoed+2.0
52-3MARSHBELMNTServe errMARSH server+1.3
62-4BELMNTMARSH×5KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.3
72-5MARSHMARSH×5KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
82-6MARSHMARSH×5KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
92-7MARSHMARSH×5KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
102-8MARSHMARSH×5KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.3
113-8MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.7
123-9BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
134-9MARSHBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+0.7
144-10BELMNTMARSH×3KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
154-11MARSHMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.0
164-12MARSHMARSH×3Attack errEmily Warmenhovenblk Kahea Carvalho, Beatrice Ciccarelli+0.7
175-12MARSHBELMNT×3Serve errMARSH server+0.3
186-12BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+0.7
197-12BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errEmma Barnettblk Alexia Smollen, Alivia Keegan+1.0
207-13BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
218-13MARSHBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Alivia Keegan+0.6
229-13BELMNTBELMNTAttack errBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Brenna Kauffeld, Alexia Smollen+1.3
239-14BELMNTMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Beatrice Ciccarelli+1.1
249-15MARSHMARSH×3AceMARSH serveraced Emily Warmenhoven+1.2
259-16MARSHMARSH×3KillLogan Hendersonset Emma Barnett+0.9
2610-16MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+0.4
2710-17BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Barnett+0.5
2811-17MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.3
2911-18BELMNTMARSHAttack errBrenna Kauffeld+0.5
3012-18MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.3
3112-19BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
3213-19MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.2
3313-20BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+0.4
3414-20MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+0.2
3515-20BELMNTBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+0.5
3615-21BELMNTMARSHBad setAlivia Keegan+0.6
3716-21MARSHBELMNTServe errMARSH server+0.3
3817-21BELMNTBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
3917-22BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
4017-23MARSHMARSHAttack errBrenna Kauffeldblk Maddie Smith, Beatrice Ciccarelli+0.6
4118-23MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.1
4218-24BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.3
4319-24MARSHBELMNT×4KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.0
4420-24BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errMarae Reillyblk Erin McMullen+0.2
4521-24BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errMaddie Smith+0.5
4622-24BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errLogan Hendersonblk Erin McMullen, Connie Kofoed+1.2
4722-25BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Sayre+1.9
Set 4
11-0BELMNTBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+3.7
21-1BELMNTMARSHServe errBELMNT server+2.4
32-1MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+2.5
43-1BELMNTBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+3.8
53-2BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.4
63-3MARSHMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+3.8
74-3MARSHBELMNTServe errMARSH server+2.6
84-4BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
95-4MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+2.7
105-5BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
115-6MARSHMARSHAttack errErin McMullen+4.1
126-6MARSHBELMNTKillJordan Czajkowskiset Mya Bolton+2.7
136-7BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
146-8MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kylie Wong+4.1
157-8MARSHBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.6
168-8BELMNTBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Jordan Czajkowski+4.3
178-9BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.9
189-9MARSHBELMNTAttack errEmma Barnettblk Alexia Smollen+2.9
1910-9BELMNTBELMNTAttack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+4.6
2010-10BELMNTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Beatrice Ciccarelli+3.0
2111-10MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+3.2
2211-11BELMNTMARSHServe errBELMNT server+3.1
2312-11MARSHBELMNTServe errMARSH server+3.3
2412-12BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Emma Sayre+3.2
2512-13MARSHMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Maya Hunt+5.1
2613-13MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+3.4
2714-13BELMNTBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+5.4
2814-14BELMNTMARSHAttack errEmily Warmenhoven+3.5
2915-14MARSHBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+3.7
3016-14BELMNTBELMNTBad setMaya Hunt+5.6
3116-15BELMNTMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Maya Hunt+3.4
3217-15MARSHBELMNT×3KillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+3.9
3318-15BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errEmma Barnett+5.4
3419-15BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Alexia Smollen, Emily Warmenhoven+4.4
3519-16BELMNTMARSHAttack errEmily Warmenhovenblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Lilly Howell+2.0
3619-17MARSHMARSHAceMARSH serveraced Mya Bolton+4.3
3720-17MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+3.9
3821-17BELMNTBELMNTAttack errLogan Hendersonblk Connie Kofoed+4.4
3921-18BELMNTMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+1.8
4022-18MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+2.9
4122-19BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
4222-20MARSHMARSHAttack errConnie Kofoed+4.0
4323-20MARSHBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+4.4
4423-21BELMNTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.3
4524-21MARSHBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+4.4
4624-22BELMNTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
4725-22MARSHBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+3.9

Score shown after each rally, Belmont first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.