FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

Middle Tenn. def. Samford 3–0

Middle Tenn. beat Samford 3-0 (25-12, 25-20, 25-15) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Middle Tenn.'s Michaela Dlouhá led with 9 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set123Sets
SAMFRD1220150
MIDTEN2525253

Win probability

Middle Tenn. above 50 · Samford below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.9% SAMFRDrally 122 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Samford — set 1, SAMFRD 5-6 MIDTEN. Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale. MIDTEN win probability 79% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAMFRD 24.5%75.5% MIDTEN

Samford wins

3-0
4.3%
3-1
8.4%
3-2
11.8%

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
27.5%
3-1
28.8%
3-2
19.2%
SAMFRD break %
40.8% vs this opp
MIDTEN break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gabrielle ClinkscaleAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale

    Set 1 · SAMFRD 5-6 MIDTEN · SAMFRD 21% → 22%

  2. 02
    Middle Tenn.Ace+1.9%

    Middle Tenn. ace on Ally Cordes

    Set 1 · SAMFRD 1-2 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 75% → 77%

  3. 03
    Middle Tenn.Ace+1.8%

    Middle Tenn. ace on Katelyn Stooksbury

    Set 1 · SAMFRD 5-8 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 79% → 81%

  4. 04
    Maggie KaliszAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Maggie Kalisz

    Set 1 · SAMFRD 1-3 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 77% → 79%

  5. 05
    Maggie KaliszKill+1.7%

    Kill by Maggie Kalisz (set by Janie Stinchcomb)

    Set 2 · SAMFRD 16-18 MIDTEN · SAMFRD 8% → 10%

  6. 06
    Hazel SlusherAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Hazel Slusher

    Set 1 · SAMFRD 2-5 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 79% → 81%

  7. 07
    Veronica SierzantAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Veronica Sierzant

    Set 2 · SAMFRD 4-4 MIDTEN · SAMFRD 12% → 13%

  8. 08
    Danielle LeeAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Danielle Lee

    Set 2 · SAMFRD 14-16 MIDTEN · SAMFRD 8% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38226.23101091010.59.5
35420.050001300216
34013.308100300426
3004.000200350010.50.5
2035-.600001000000
2000–000300000
33520-.10000050111.54.5
3117.00000100010.51.5
3000–001720000
3000–002500000
3000–000430000
Team totals211595.0632119446110647
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39214.50010230153.512.5
38329.17201251010.59.5
37327.148000300007
37210.500000000007
3416.5003021600217
3001.0002121200001
3607.857112600007
33411-.091000000214
3000–4101500001
1000–100000000
1000–000100000
Team totals4415105.2763969511110675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 SAMFRD · MIDTEN 7

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 2 SAMFRDMIDTEN 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 SAMFRDMIDTEN 3

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 SAMFRDMIDTEN 4

Bars above the line = Middle Tenn. leads, below = Samford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Samford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
38%3/8
2
44%7/16
13%1/8
3
58%7/12
13%1/8
4
56%5/9
30%3/10
5
50%4/8
17%1/6
6
40%4/10
50%4/8
All
46%34/74
27%13/48

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
68%13/19
2
88%7/8
53%8/15
3
88%7/8
30%3/10
4
67%6/9
57%8/14
5
67%4/6
50%4/8
6
50%4/8
50%4/8
All
73%35/48
54%40/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#SAMFRD-MIDTENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MIDTENSAMFRDBad setVeronica Sierzant+1.6
21-1SAMFRDMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+1.5
31-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Ally Cordes+1.9
41-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errMaggie Kalisz+1.8
52-3MIDTENSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+1.4
62-4SAMFRDMIDTENKillKendall Mignereyset Veronica Sierzant+1.4
72-5MIDTENMIDTENAttack errHazel Slusher+1.6
83-5MIDTENSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.2
93-6SAMFRDMIDTENKillKendall Mignereyset Veronica Sierzant+1.3
104-6MIDTENSAMFRDKillAmyra Burchikset Alison Ohlinger+1.3
115-6SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+1.9
125-7SAMFRDMIDTENServe errSamford+1.5
135-8MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Katelyn Stooksbury+1.8
146-8MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.3
156-9SAMFRDMIDTEN×5Serve errSamford+1.4
166-10MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedAmyra Burchikblk Michaela Dlouhá, Danielle Lee+1.6
176-11MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+1.3
186-12MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMiddle Tenn.aced Brooklyn Drumwright+1.0
196-13MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedAmyra Burchikblk Michaela Dlouhá, Danielle Lee+0.8
207-13MIDTENSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+0.5
218-13SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+0.8
228-14SAMFRDMIDTEN×7KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+0.8
238-15MIDTENMIDTEN×7Attack errAlly Cordes+0.7
248-16MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+0.5
258-17MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillMichaela Dlouhá+0.3
268-18MIDTENMIDTEN×7BlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Michaela Dlouhá+0.2
278-19MIDTENMIDTEN×7KillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+0.1
288-20MIDTENMIDTEN×7Bad setAlly Cordes·
299-20MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.·
309-21SAMFRDMIDTENAttack errHazel Slusher·
319-22MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant·
3210-22MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.·
3311-22SAMFRDSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger·
3411-23SAMFRDMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia·
3512-23MIDTENSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger·
3612-24SAMFRDMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant·
3712-25MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant·
Set 2
10-1SAMFRDMIDTENKillVeronica Sierzantset Marianne Garcia+1.1
21-1MIDTENSAMFRDBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Janie Stinchcomb, Maggie Kalisz+1.2
31-2SAMFRDMIDTENKillKendall Mignereyset Veronica Sierzant+1.1
41-3MIDTENMIDTENAttack errHazel Slusher+1.4
52-3MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.1
62-4SAMFRDMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+1.1
73-4MIDTENSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.1
84-4SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errVeronica Sierzant+1.6
94-5SAMFRDMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+1.2
105-5MIDTENSAMFRDAttack errDanielle Lee+1.3
115-6SAMFRDMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+1.2
126-6MIDTENSAMFRDBlockedSophia Henryblk Alison Ohlinger, Janie Stinchcomb+1.3
136-7SAMFRDMIDTENKillDanielle Leeset Veronica Sierzant+1.3
146-8MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+1.6
157-8MIDTENSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+1.2
167-9SAMFRDMIDTENServe errSamford+1.2
178-9MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.3
188-10SAMFRDMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+1.3
198-11MIDTENMIDTENKillKendall Mignereyset Veronica Sierzant+1.5
209-11MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.1
219-12SAMFRDMIDTEN×3Attack errAlly Cordes+1.2
229-13MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+1.3
239-14MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Katelyn Stooksbury+1.1
2410-14MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.7
2510-15SAMFRDMIDTENKillDanielle Leeset Veronica Sierzant+0.8
2611-15MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.7
2711-16SAMFRDMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+0.8
2812-16MIDTENSAMFRD×3KillAmyra Burchikset Alison Ohlinger+0.7
2913-16SAMFRDSAMFRD×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Janie Stinchcomb, Maggie Kalisz+1.2
3014-16SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errDanielle Lee+1.6
3114-17SAMFRDMIDTENServe errSamford+1.4
3214-18MIDTENMIDTENKillVeronica Sierzantset Addison Burks+1.5
3315-18MIDTENSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+0.9
3416-18SAMFRDSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Janie Stinchcomb+1.7
3516-19SAMFRDMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+1.5
3616-20MIDTENMIDTENBlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Gabrielle Clinkscale, Michaela Dlouhá+1.5
3717-20MIDTENSAMFRDAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+0.9
3817-21SAMFRDMIDTENServe errSamford+1.2
3918-21MIDTENSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+0.8
4018-22SAMFRDMIDTEN×3Serve errSamford+1.2
4118-23MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillDanielle Leeset Veronica Sierzant+0.8
4218-24MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillKendall Mignereyset Veronica Sierzant+0.3
4319-24MIDTENSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+0.1
4420-24SAMFRDSAMFRDAceAlly Cordesaced Gabrielle Clinkscale+0.2
4520-25SAMFRDMIDTENKillKendall Mignereyset Marianne Garcia+0.3
Set 3
10-1MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+0.8
20-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Addison Burks+0.7
30-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillVeronica Sierzantset Michaela Dlouhá+0.6
41-3MIDTENSAMFRDServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.5
52-3SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errSophia Henry+0.7
62-4SAMFRDMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+0.6
72-5MIDTENMIDTEN×4BlockedAmyra Burchikblk Veronica Sierzant, Michaela Dlouhá+0.7
82-6MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+0.6
92-7MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+0.5
103-7MIDTENSAMFRDKillAmyra Burchikset Alison Ohlinger+0.4
113-8SAMFRDMIDTENAttack errAmyra Burchik+0.4
124-8MIDTENSAMFRDAttack errLogan Carr+0.4
135-8SAMFRDSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+0.6
145-9SAMFRDMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Veronica Sierzant+0.5
155-10MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+0.5
165-11MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouháset Veronica Sierzant+0.4
176-11MIDTENSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+0.3
186-12SAMFRDMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+0.3
197-12MIDTENSAMFRD×3BlockedDanielle Leeblk Peytyn Pyle, Ally Cordes+0.3
208-12SAMFRDSAMFRD×3KillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+0.5
219-12SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errDanielle Lee+0.6
229-13SAMFRDMIDTENAttack errPeytyn Pyle+0.5
2310-13MIDTENSAMFRDKillPeytyn Pyleset Alison Ohlinger+0.5
2411-13SAMFRDSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+0.8
2511-14SAMFRDMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+0.7
2611-15MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Veronica Sierzant+0.7
2711-16MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Katelyn Stooksbury+0.6
2812-16MIDTENSAMFRDBlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Amyra Burchik, Janie Stinchcomb+0.3
2912-17SAMFRDMIDTENServe errSamford+0.4
3012-18MIDTENMIDTENBlockedAmyra Burchikblk Veronica Sierzant, Michaela Dlouhá+0.4
3113-18MIDTENSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+0.2
3213-19SAMFRDMIDTENServe errSamford+0.3
3314-19MIDTENSAMFRDBlockedLogan Carrblk Amyra Burchik+0.2
3414-20SAMFRDMIDTENServe errSamford+0.3
3514-21MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Brooklyn Drumwright+0.2
3615-21MIDTENSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+0.1
3715-22SAMFRDMIDTEN×4KillVeronica Sierzantset Kendall Mignerey+0.1
3815-23MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillLogan Carrset Veronica Sierzant+0.1
3915-24MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errMaggie Kalisz·
4015-25MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Ellie Watts·

Score shown after each rally, Samford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).