FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

NC State def. Belmont 3–0

NC State beat visiting Belmont 3-0 (25-20, 25-17, 25-23) on Sun, Sep 13, 2026. NC State's Jordan Smith led with 11 kills, and Zuzanna Maciejewicz added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 13

Set123Sets
BELMNT2017230
NC ST2525253

Win probability

NC State above 50 · Belmont below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.6% BELMNTrally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Belmont — set 1, BELMNT 19-17 NC ST. Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Alivia Keegan). NC ST win probability 78% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELMNT 16.6%83.4% NC ST

Belmont wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
8.7%

NC State wins

3-0
35.2%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.2%
BELMNT break %
39.3% vs this opp
NC ST break %
46.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Erin McMullenKill+3.6%

    Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Alivia Keegan)

    Set 1 · BELMNT 19-17 NC ST · BELMNT 22% → 25%

  2. 02
    Jordan SmithKill+3.4%

    Kill by Jordan Smith (set by Eva Long)

    Set 1 · BELMNT 19-20 NC ST · NC ST 80% → 84%

  3. 03
    Jordan SmithKill+3.4%

    Kill by Jordan Smith (set by Eva Long)

    Set 1 · BELMNT 19-19 NC ST · NC ST 77% → 80%

  4. 04
    Erin McMullenKill+3.3%

    Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Alivia Keegan)

    Set 1 · BELMNT 18-17 NC ST · BELMNT 19% → 22%

  5. 05
    Rebecca RingKill+3.1%

    Kill by Rebecca Ring (set by Eva Long)

    Set 1 · BELMNT 19-21 NC ST · NC ST 84% → 87%

  6. 06

    Rebecca Ring stuffed by Alivia Keegan & Erin McMullen

    Set 1 · BELMNT 17-17 NC ST · BELMNT 16% → 19%

  7. 07
    Rebecca RingKill+2.3%

    Kill by Rebecca Ring (set by Eva Long)

    Set 1 · BELMNT 19-22 NC ST · NC ST 87% → 89%

  8. 08
    Eva LongKill+2.3%

    Kill by Eva Long

    Set 1 · BELMNT 19-18 NC ST · NC ST 75% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310525.20000130010.510.5
38113.538001200219
36318.167100600006
34415.000000000215
3219.111000001224
3002.000130070010.50.5
3000–2101110001
3001.0001301100000
2001.000010220001
2013-.333000100000
2000–002100000
1015-.200000000000
Team totals301692.152292534518560
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311220.45000200052.513.5
38621.09501110102110
38213.4620122002110
3408.50010000073.57.5
3305.6003410800215
3000–101300000
39629.103000000009
3000–000300000
3000–3021510000
2000–023000002
13031.000000000003
1001.000100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4616100.30040511412018975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BELMNT · NC ST 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 BELMNTNC ST 7

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 BELMNTNC ST 6

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 BELMNTNC ST 5

Bars above the line = NC State leads, below = Belmont leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Belmont

SlotSideout %Break %
1
36%5/14
0%0/4
2
36%4/11
29%2/7
3
100%4/4
33%2/6
4
80%4/5
33%2/6
5
36%4/11
56%5/9
6
75%3/4
33%2/6
All
49%24/49
34%13/38

NC State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
60%6/10
2
80%4/5
69%9/13
3
67%4/6
33%2/6
4
80%4/5
20%1/5
5
44%4/9
20%1/5
6
67%4/6
60%6/10
All
66%25/38
51%25/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#BELMNT-NC STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1BELMNTNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+1.1
21-1NC STBELMNTBad setBritni Silver+1.2
31-2BELMNTNC ST×3KillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.1
41-3NC STNC ST×3Attack errConnie Kofoed+1.4
51-4NC STNC ST×3KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.2
62-4NC STBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Alivia Keegan+0.9
72-5BELMNTNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.9
83-5NC STBELMNTAttack errRebecca Ring+0.9
93-6BELMNTNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+0.9
104-6NC STBELMNT×3Serve errNC State+0.9
115-6BELMNTBELMNT×3KillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+1.5
126-6BELMNTBELMNT×3KillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+1.7
136-7BELMNTNC STAttack errEmily Warmenhoven+1.3
147-7NC STBELMNT×3KillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+1.4
158-7BELMNTBELMNT×3KillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+2.0
169-7BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedTalia Francomblk Alexia Smollen+2.2
179-8BELMNTNC STServe errBelmont+1.5
189-9NC STNC STAttack errEmily Warmenhoven+2.0
1910-9NC STBELMNTBlockedJordan Smithblk Emily Warmenhoven, Alexia Smollen+1.7
2010-10BELMNTNC ST×5KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.5
2110-11NC STNC ST×5Bad setAlivia Keegan+2.0
2210-12NC STNC ST×5BlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Jordan Smith, Sophia Groom+1.8
2310-13NC STNC ST×5BlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Jordan Smith, Sophia Groom+1.6
2410-14NC STNC ST×5AceNC State+1.3
2511-14NC STBELMNTServe errNC State+0.9
2611-15BELMNTNC STServe errBelmont+1.0
2712-15NC STBELMNTServe errNC State+0.9
2813-15BELMNTBELMNTAttack errBritni Silver+1.5
2913-16BELMNTNC STAttack errBrenna Kauffeld+1.3
3014-16NC STBELMNTServe errNC State+1.2
3115-16BELMNTBELMNTAttack errRebecca Ring+2.1
3215-17BELMNTNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+1.7
3316-17NC STBELMNT×4Serve errNC State+1.7
3417-17BELMNTBELMNT×4BlockedRebecca Ringblk Alivia Keegan, Erin McMullen+2.8
3518-17BELMNTBELMNT×4KillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+3.3
3619-17BELMNTBELMNT×4KillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+3.6
3719-18BELMNTNC ST×7KillEva Long+2.3
3819-19NC STNC ST×7KillJordan Smithset Eva Long+3.4
3919-20NC STNC ST×7KillJordan Smithset Eva Long+3.4
4019-21NC STNC ST×7KillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+3.1
4119-22NC STNC ST×7KillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+2.3
4219-23NC STNC ST×7AceNC Stateaced Madison Lansdown+1.4
4319-24NC STNC ST×7BlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith+0.6
4420-24NC STBELMNTAttack errRebecca Ring+0.1
4520-25BELMNTNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.3
Set 2
10-1NC STNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+1.0
21-1NC STBELMNTServe errNC State+0.8
32-1BELMNTBELMNTBlockedBritni Silverblk Alexia Smollen, Brenna Kauffeld+1.2
42-2BELMNTNC ST×6KillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.9
52-3NC STNC ST×6Bad setAlivia Keegan+1.1
62-4NC STNC ST×6BlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Britni Silver, Sophia Groom+1.0
72-5NC STNC ST×6BlockedConnie Kofoedblk Sophia Groom, Jordan Smith+0.9
82-6NC STNC ST×6KillBritni Silverset Kate Kilpatrick+0.8
92-7NC STNC ST×6KillBritni Silverset Sophia Groom+0.6
103-7NC STBELMNTAttack errBritni Silver+0.4
114-7BELMNTBELMNTAttack errBritni Silver+0.7
124-8BELMNTNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.6
135-8NC STBELMNTServe errNC State+0.6
146-8BELMNTBELMNTAceBelmontaced Britni Silver+0.9
156-9BELMNTNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.7
166-10NC STNC STAceNC Stateaced Madison Lansdown+0.8
177-10NC STBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.6
187-11BELMNTNC STKillEva Long+0.6
197-12NC STNC STAceNC State+0.7
208-12NC STBELMNTServe errNC State+0.5
218-13BELMNTNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+0.5
229-13NC STBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+0.5
239-14BELMNTNC ST×5KillTalia Francomset Mya Bolton+0.5
249-15NC STNC ST×5KillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.5
259-16NC STNC ST×5KillTalia Francom+0.3
269-17NC STNC ST×5Attack errBrenna Kauffeld+0.2
279-18NC STNC ST×5KillJordan Smithset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+0.1
2810-18NC STBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.1
2910-19BELMNTNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.1
3011-19NC STBELMNTServe errNC State·
3111-20BELMNTNC STKillNorah Buschset Eva Long+0.1
3212-20NC STBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski·
3312-21BELMNTNC STKillNorah Buschset Eva Long+0.1
3413-21NC STBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski·
3513-22BELMNTNC STKillNorah Buschset Eva Long·
3614-22NC STBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski·
3714-23BELMNTNC STKillTalia Francomset Sa'Mya Dorsey·
3815-23NC STBELMNTAttack errRebecca Ring·
3915-24BELMNTNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long·
4016-24NC STBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski·
4117-24BELMNTBELMNTAttack errBritni Silver·
4217-25BELMNTNC STServe errBelmont·
Set 3
10-1BELMNTNC STServe errBelmont+0.4
21-1NC STBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.4
31-2BELMNTNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.4
42-2NC STBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.4
52-3BELMNTNC ST×3KillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.4
62-4NC STNC ST×3BlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Eva Long, Sophia Groom+0.5
72-5NC ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
83-5NC STBELMNT×3KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.3
94-5BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errRebecca Ring+0.5
105-5BELMNTBELMNT×3KillEmily Warmenhoven+0.6
115-6BELMNTNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.5
125-7NC STNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.6
136-7NC STBELMNTServe errNC State+0.4
147-7BELMNTBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.7
157-8BELMNTNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+0.5
168-8NC STBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+0.5
178-9BELMNTNC STKillRebecca Ringset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+0.5
189-9NC STBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Mya Bolton+0.6
1910-9BELMNTBELMNTBlockedBritni Silverblk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen+0.8
2010-10BELMNTNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.6
2110-11NC STNC STBlockedErin McMullenblk Sophia Groom, Britni Silver+0.7
2211-11NC STBELMNT×4KillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+0.6
2312-11BELMNTBELMNT×4KillEmily Warmenhovenset Mya Bolton+0.9
2413-11BELMNTBELMNT×4KillEmily Warmenhovenset Connie Kofoed+1.0
2514-11BELMNTBELMNT×4KillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.0
2614-12BELMNTNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+0.6
2714-13NC STNC STBlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Sophia Groom, Eva Long+0.9
2815-13NC STBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
2916-13BELMNTBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.1
3016-14BELMNTNC STKillEva Long+0.7
3117-14NC STBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.9
3217-15BELMNTNC ST×4KillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.7
3317-16NC STNC ST×4KillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+1.0
3417-17NC STNC ST×4Attack errTeagan Brandsma+1.1
3517-18NC STNC ST×4AceNC Stateaced Mya Bolton+1.1
3618-18NC STBELMNTServe errNC State+0.9
3718-19BELMNTNC ST×5Serve errBelmont+0.9
3818-20NC STNC ST×5Attack errAlexia Smollen+1.0
3918-21NC STNC ST×5BlockedConnie Kofoedblk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom+0.8
4018-22NC STNC ST×5KillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+0.5
4118-23NC STNC ST×5KillJordan Smithset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+0.3
4219-23NC STBELMNT×4Attack errJordan Smith+0.1
4320-23BELMNTBELMNT×4AceBelmontaced Zuzanna Maciejewicz+0.3
4421-23BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errTalia Francom+0.5
4522-23BELMNTBELMNT×4KillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+1.0
4622-24BELMNTNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.2
4723-24NC STBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+0.7
4823-25BELMNTNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.5

Score shown after each rally, Belmont first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).