Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tennessee Tech def. Samford 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Samford 74.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tennessee Tech won at Samford 3-1 (22-25, 25-17, 25-21, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Tennessee Tech's Alayna Pierce led with 15 kills, and Morgan Petelin added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
TNTECH222525253
SAMFRD251721211

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tennessee Tech beat Samford from a 25% pre-match call.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Tennessee Tech's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Samford went in at 75% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Tennessee Tech 1–3 Samford

    From here Tennessee Tech won 24 of 38 rallies to take the set 25–17.

    Tennessee Tech 11% → 30%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Tennessee Tech 15–18 Samford

    Down 15–18, Tennessee Tech scored 5 straight to lead 20–18.

    Tennessee Tech 21% → 46%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Tennessee Tech 16–16 Samford

    Tennessee Tech had 4 straight kills to go from 16–16 to a 20–16 lead.

    Tennessee Tech 65% → 91%

Samford above 50Tennessee Tech belowMax swing 7.5%

Tennessee TechSamford

Sideout %
Tennessee Tech 63.5·Samford 55.2
Break %
Tennessee Tech 44.8·Samford 36.5
Hitting
Tennessee Tech .242·Samford .208
Longest run
Tennessee Tech 5·Samford 5

Jordyn Milhouse
5 kills inside the turning points, 10 K and .350 for the match (11 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Samford above 50 · Tennessee Tech below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.5% TNTECHrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.5% to Tennessee Tech — set 4, TNTECH 18-16 SAMFRD. Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin). SAMFRD win probability 30% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TNTECH 31.7%68.3% SAMFRD

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0
6.2%
3-1
11.2%
3-2
14.3%

Samford wins

3-0
22.1%
3-1
26.2%
3-2
20.0%
TNTECH break %
40.7% vs this opp
SAMFRD break %
44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alayna PierceKill+7.5%

    Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 4 · TNTECH 18-16 SAMFRD · TNTECH 70% → 77%

  2. 02
    Ashlyn GambleKill+7.2%

    Kill by Ashlyn Gamble (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 4 · TNTECH 19-16 SAMFRD · TNTECH 77% → 85%

  3. 03
    Alayna PierceKill+6.8%

    Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 4 · TNTECH 24-21 SAMFRD · TNTECH 89% → 96%

  4. 04

    Brianna Hamilton stuffed by Jordyn Milhouse & Morgan Petelin

    Set 4 · TNTECH 16-15 SAMFRD · TNTECH 63% → 69%

  5. 05
    Alison OhlingerBad set+6.6%

    Bad set by Alison Ohlinger

    Set 3 · TNTECH 20-18 SAMFRD · TNTECH 39% → 46%

  6. 06
    Brianna HamiltonAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Brianna Hamilton

    Set 4 · TNTECH 23-20 SAMFRD · TNTECH 86% → 93%

  7. 07

    Kill by Jordyn Milhouse (set by Shelby Hannah)

    Set 3 · TNTECH 22-19 SAMFRD · TNTECH 47% → 53%

  8. 08

    Kill by Morgan Petelin (set by Ashlyn Gamble)

    Set 3 · TNTECH 19-18 SAMFRD · TNTECH 33% → 39%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415447.23422417002118
410422.2733003010111
410320.3502003002111
46115.3332222012210
46117.29443112000218
4228.000102900002
412731.1610002100012
4000–2131420001
4001.000100800000
4000–000000000
Team totals6122161.2425661278528697
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415244.295032110010.518.5
48542.0710219012212
412330.3000032000012
4418.37500030111.55.5
42214.00000000031.53.5
4104.2503704150010.51.5
4000–104500000
4000–000820000
3102.5001001230001
2000–001200000
Team totals4313144.2083951567628684

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tennessee Tech vs Samford

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TNTECH · SAMFRD 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 TNTECHSAMFRD 4

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 TNTECHSAMFRD 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 TNTECHSAMFRD 5

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 TNTECHSAMFRD 5

Bars above the line = Samford leads, below = Tennessee Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
31%4/13
2
71%10/14
21%3/14
3
75%9/12
44%7/16
4
73%8/11
47%7/15
5
47%8/17
58%11/19
6
47%8/17
58%11/19
All
64%54/85
45%43/96

Samford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
50%9/18
2
58%11/19
31%5/16
3
57%8/14
17%2/12
4
44%8/18
27%3/11
5
42%8/19
50%8/16
6
64%7/11
33%4/12
All
55%53/96
36%31/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#TNTECH-SAMFRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+1.4
21-1SAMFRDTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Jordyn Milhouse+1.5
31-2TNTECHSAMFRDBlockedAshlyn Gambleblk Brianna Hamilton, Peytyn Pyle+1.4
42-2SAMFRDTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Ashlyn Gamble+1.5
52-3TNTECHSAMFRDServe errElla Watford+1.5
63-3SAMFRDTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.5
74-3TNTECHTNTECH×3AceAlayna Pierceaced Brooklyn Drumwright+2.3
85-3TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Ella Watford+2.4
95-4TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.6
105-5SAMFRDSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.3
116-5SAMFRDTNTECHServe errEmma Sorensen+1.8
126-6TNTECHSAMFRDServe errTuva Falk+1.7
136-7SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errAudrey Berkebile+2.3
147-7SAMFRDTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+1.7
157-8TNTECHSAMFRD×4KillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.7
167-9SAMFRDSAMFRD×4BlockedAshlyn Gambleblk Brianna Hamilton+2.2
177-10SAMFRDSAMFRD×4KillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+2.0
187-11SAMFRDSAMFRD×4AceAlly Cordesaced Audrey Berkebile+1.7
198-11SAMFRDTNTECH×3Serve errAlly Cordes+1.1
209-11TNTECHTNTECH×3KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+1.9
2110-11TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Ashlyn Gamble+2.3
2210-12TNTECHSAMFRD×3KillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+1.7
2310-13SAMFRDSAMFRD×3KillMaggie Kaliszset Brooklyn Drumwright+2.1
2410-14SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errKamya Mahorn+1.8
2511-14SAMFRDTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.1
2611-15TNTECHSAMFRDBlockedAshlyn Gambleblk Brianna Hamilton, Peytyn Pyle+1.3
2712-15SAMFRDTNTECHServe errMaggie Kalisz+1.1
2812-16TNTECHSAMFRD×3Attack errKamya Mahorn+1.3
2912-17SAMFRDSAMFRD×3KillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.4
3012-18SAMFRDSAMFRD×3AceBrianna Hamiltonaced Ella Watford+1.0
3113-18SAMFRDTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.5
3214-18TNTECHTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+1.0
3314-19TNTECHSAMFRDServe errAlayna Pierce+1.0
3415-19SAMFRDTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.7
3516-19TNTECHTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+1.5
3616-20TNTECHSAMFRDAttack errJordyn Milhouse+1.4
3716-21SAMFRDSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Morgan Petelin+1.3
3817-21SAMFRDTNTECHBad setBrianna Hamilton+0.6
3917-22TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+0.9
4017-23SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errAudrey Berkebile+0.6
4118-23SAMFRDTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.1
4218-24TNTECHSAMFRDServe errKamya Mahorn+0.3
4319-24SAMFRDTNTECH×4KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.1
4420-24TNTECHTNTECH×4BlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Alayna Pierce, Tuva Falk+0.2
4521-24TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAshlyn Gambleset Shelby Hannah+0.5
4622-24TNTECHTNTECH×4Attack errMaggie Kalisz+1.3
4722-25TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.1
Set 2
10-1SAMFRDSAMFRDAceAlly Cordes+1.5
21-1SAMFRDTNTECHServe errAlly Cordes+1.2
31-2TNTECHSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+1.1
41-3SAMFRDSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+1.5
52-3SAMFRDTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.1
63-3TNTECHTNTECH×3KillMorgan Petelinset Morgan Petelin+1.6
74-3TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedPeytyn Pyleblk Tuva Falk+1.8
84-4TNTECHSAMFRDServe errElla Watford+1.3
94-5SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errAlayna Pierce+1.7
105-5SAMFRDTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+1.3
116-5TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.9
126-6TNTECHSAMFRDServe errAlayna Pierce+1.3
137-6SAMFRDTNTECH×4KillMorgan Petelinset Alayna Pierce+1.4
148-6TNTECHTNTECH×4BlockedAlly Cordesblk Morgan Petelin, Jordyn Milhouse+2.1
159-6TNTECHTNTECH×4KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.1
1610-6TNTECHTNTECH×4KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.0
1710-7TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.3
1810-8SAMFRDSAMFRDBlockedAudrey Berkebileblk Alison Ohlinger, Janie Stinchcomb+1.9
1911-8SAMFRDTNTECHServe errEmma Sorensen+1.7
2012-8TNTECHTNTECHAttack errJanie Stinchcomb+2.1
2112-9TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.3
2213-9SAMFRDTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.6
2313-10TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrooklyn Drumwright+1.3
2414-10SAMFRDTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+1.7
2514-11TNTECHSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+1.3
2615-11SAMFRDTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Brooklyn Drumwright+1.7
2716-11TNTECHTNTECHAceElla Watford+2.0
2816-12TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+1.1
2917-12SAMFRDTNTECH×3KillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+1.5
3018-12TNTECHTNTECH×3AceAlayna Pierceaced Katelyn Stooksbury+1.6
3119-12TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.1
3219-13TNTECHSAMFRDServe errAlayna Pierce+0.4
3320-13SAMFRDTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+0.7
3421-13TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.6
3521-14TNTECHSAMFRDKillPeytyn Pyleset Ella Watford+0.2
3621-15SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errJordyn Milhouse+0.4
3722-15SAMFRDTNTECH×3Serve errEmma Sorensen+0.5
3823-15TNTECHTNTECH×3KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.3
3924-15TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.1
4024-16TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Audrey Berkebile·
4124-17SAMFRDSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger·
4225-17SAMFRDTNTECHServe errAlison Ohlinger·
Set 3
11-0TNTECHTNTECHAttack errBrianna Hamilton+3.1
21-1TNTECHSAMFRDBlockedJordyn Milhouseblk Janie Stinchcomb+2.1
32-1SAMFRDTNTECHAttack errBrianna Hamilton+2.3
42-2TNTECHSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+2.2
52-3SAMFRDSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+2.9
63-3SAMFRDTNTECHServe errMaggie Kalisz+2.2
73-4TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+2.2
84-4SAMFRDTNTECHServe errBrianna Hamilton+2.3
94-5TNTECHSAMFRDBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Peytyn Pyle, Ally Cordes+2.2
104-6SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errTuva Falk+2.9
115-6SAMFRDTNTECH×4KillAudrey Berkebileset Alayna Pierce+2.1
126-6TNTECHTNTECH×4AceTuva Falkaced Brooklyn Drumwright+3.3
137-6TNTECHTNTECH×4AceTuva Falkaced Brooklyn Drumwright+3.6
148-6TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAudrey Berkebileset Tuva Falk+3.8
158-7TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.6
169-7SAMFRDTNTECHServe errAlison Ohlinger+2.9
179-8TNTECHSAMFRD×5Attack errAudrey Berkebile+2.6
189-9SAMFRDSAMFRD×5Attack errAshlyn Gamble+3.7
199-10SAMFRDSAMFRD×5KillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+3.6
209-11SAMFRDSAMFRD×5KillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+3.4
219-12SAMFRDSAMFRD×5Attack errAudrey Berkebile+3.0
2210-12SAMFRDTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+2.1
2310-13TNTECHSAMFRDServe errKamya Mahorn+2.2
2411-13SAMFRDTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.1
2511-14TNTECHSAMFRDBad setAshlyn Gamble+2.3
2612-14SAMFRDTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.2
2713-14TNTECHTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+3.6
2813-15TNTECHSAMFRDAttack errAlayna Pierce+2.9
2914-15SAMFRDTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Katelyn Stooksbury+2.8
3014-16TNTECHSAMFRDServe errAlayna Pierce+3.0
3115-16SAMFRDTNTECHServe errEmma Sorensen+2.9
3215-17TNTECHSAMFRDServe errTuva Falk+3.1
3315-18SAMFRDSAMFRDBad setAudrey Berkebile+3.7
3416-18SAMFRDTNTECH×5KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+2.3
3517-18TNTECHTNTECH×5AceMorgan Petelinaced Katelyn Stooksbury+4.3
3618-18TNTECHTNTECH×5BlockedAlly Cordesblk Ashlyn Gamble+5.4
3719-18TNTECHTNTECH×5KillMorgan Petelinset Ashlyn Gamble+6.3
3820-18TNTECHTNTECH×5Bad setAlison Ohlinger+6.6
3920-19TNTECHSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+4.0
4021-19SAMFRDTNTECHAttack errBrianna Hamilton+5.4
4122-19TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Shelby Hannah+6.4
4222-20TNTECHSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+3.0
4323-20SAMFRDTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+5.0
4423-21TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+2.7
4524-21SAMFRDTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+5.2
4625-21TNTECHTNTECHBlockedPeytyn Pyleblk Tuva Falk, Alayna Pierce+2.9
Set 4
11-0SAMFRDTNTECHServe errAlison Ohlinger+3.0
21-1TNTECHSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+2.8
31-2SAMFRDSAMFRDAceAlly Cordes+3.8
42-2SAMFRDTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Tuva Falk+2.9
53-2TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+4.2
64-2TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+4.5
74-3TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+3.0
85-3SAMFRDTNTECHAttack errMaggie Kalisz+3.4
95-4TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+3.1
105-5SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errAudrey Berkebile+4.3
116-5SAMFRDTNTECH×3Serve errMaggie Kalisz+3.4
127-5TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+4.8
138-5TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Ella Watford+4.9
148-6TNTECHSAMFRD×5Attack errMorgan Petelin+3.2
158-7SAMFRDSAMFRD×5KillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+4.6
168-8SAMFRDSAMFRD×5KillPeytyn Pyleset Alison Ohlinger+4.7
178-9SAMFRDSAMFRD×5AceBrianna Hamiltonaced Ella Watford+4.6
188-10SAMFRDSAMFRD×5KillAlison Ohlingerset Emma Sorensen+4.3
199-10SAMFRDTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+3.1
2010-10TNTECHTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Jordyn Milhouse+4.8
2110-11TNTECHSAMFRDServe errMorgan Petelin+3.5
2211-11SAMFRDTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+3.7
2311-12TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+3.7
2412-12SAMFRDTNTECHServe errAlison Ohlinger+3.9
2512-13TNTECHSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+3.8
2613-13SAMFRDTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+4.0
2713-14TNTECHSAMFRDServe errElla Watford+4.0
2814-14SAMFRDTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Kamya Mahorn+4.2
2914-15TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+4.2
3015-15SAMFRDTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+4.4
3116-15TNTECHTNTECHBlockedBrianna Hamiltonblk Jordyn Milhouse, Morgan Petelin+6.7
3216-16TNTECHSAMFRDAttack errAlayna Pierce+4.7
3317-16SAMFRDTNTECH×4KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+5.3
3418-16TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+7.5
3519-16TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+7.2
3620-16TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAudrey Berkebile+6.2
3720-17TNTECHSAMFRDAttack errAudrey Berkebile+3.0
3821-17SAMFRDTNTECHServe errAmyra Burchik+4.6
3921-18TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.8
4022-18SAMFRDTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+4.6
4122-19TNTECHSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.5
4222-20SAMFRDSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+5.5
4323-20SAMFRDTNTECHAttack errBrianna Hamilton+6.6
4423-21TNTECHSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+3.6
4524-21SAMFRDTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+6.8
4625-21TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+3.9

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).