CollegeVolleyball
FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026
Colgate logo

AwayPATRIOT

0:3
Tennessee logo

HomeSEC

Tennessee def. Colgate 30

(25-17, 25-12, 25-12)
Set1*23Sets
COLGAT1712120
TENN2525253
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TENN above 50 · COLGAT below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100TENNCOLGATBiggest swing +0.0% COLGAT · S1 12-15rally 116 · set 3

Biggest swing: 0.0% to Colgate — set 1, COLGAT 12-15 TENN. Attack error by Chelsea Sutton. TENN win probability 100%100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

COLGAT 0.2%99.8% TENN

Colgate wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.0%
3-2
0.1%

Tennessee wins

3-0
86.6%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
1.1%
COLGAT break %
30.4% vs this opp
TENN break %
53.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Chelsea SuttonAttack error+0.0%

    Attack error by Chelsea Sutton

    Set 1 · COLGAT 12-15 TENN · COLGAT 0%0%

  2. 02
    Nia HallKill+0.0%

    Kill by Nia Hall (set by Raegan Burns)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 0-2 TENN · TENN 100%100%

  3. 03
    Caroline KerrKill+0.0%

    Kill by Caroline Kerr (set by Jalyn Stout)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 15-19 TENN · TENN 100%100%

  4. 04
    Caroline KerrKill+0.0%

    Kill by Caroline Kerr (set by Jalyn Stout)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 14-18 TENN · TENN 100%100%

  5. 05
    Morgan ReeseKill+0.0%

    Kill by Morgan Reese (set by Reagan Knipling)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 15-18 TENN · COLGAT 0%0%

  6. 06
    Morgan ReeseKill+0.0%

    Kill by Morgan Reese (set by Reagan Knipling)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 14-17 TENN · COLGAT 0%0%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 13-17 TENN · TENN 100%100%

  8. 08
    TENN serverService error+0.0%

    Tennessee service error

    Set 1 · COLGAT 13-16 TENN · COLGAT 0%0%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36227.148000400006
36726-.038000110006
34112.250000200004
3226.00010110010.52.5
30001301300000
2102.500000000001
3439.11110010010.54.5
3001.000712200001
30000001010000
2000000000000
2000000000000
1002.000000000000
1000000000000
1000000100000
1000000200000
Team totals231585.094221427502141
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314327.40711010000015
313019.68430170031.514.5
3405.8003732500429
37114.42900350010.57.5
3428.25000000111.55.5
24211.18200000052.56.5
3000011000001
30004011100000
2103.33300000010.51.5
2000000100000
12021.00000000010.52.5
1000001100000
1000100000000
Team totals49889.4614659401116975

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 COLGAT · TENN 7

Set 1*

17-25

Longest run 2 COLGATTENN 6

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 4 COLGATTENN 6

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 COLGATTENN 7

Bars above the line = Tennessee leads, below = Colgate leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Colgate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
29%4/14
25%1/4
2
33%4/12
43%3/7
3
57%4/7
0%0/4
4
43%3/7
20%1/5
5
40%2/5
0%0/3
6
50%2/4
0%0/2
All
39%19/49
20%5/25

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%4/8
50%3/6
2
100%4/4
78%14/18
3
100%4/4
43%3/7
4
75%3/4
40%2/5
5
100%3/3
57%4/7
6
100%2/2
67%4/6
All
80%20/25
61%30/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

116 rallies

Rally log

#COLGAT-TENNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1COLGATTENN×6KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
20-2TENNTENN×6KillNia Hallset Raegan Burns+0.0
30-3TENNTENN×6KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
40-4TENNTENN×6AceTENN serveraced Hannah Langton+0.0
50-5TENNTENN×6Attack errAubrey Andersblk Chelsea Sutton, Jalyn Stout+0.0
60-6TENNTENN×6KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.0
71-6TENNCOLGATKillJulia Headleyset Ava Schabes+0.0
81-7COLGATTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.0
92-7TENNCOLGATKillCharlotte Goldfederset Ava Schabes+0.0
102-8COLGATTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
112-9TENNTENN×3KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.0
122-10TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
133-10TENNCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.0
144-10COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+0.0
154-11COLGATTENNServe errCOLGAT server+0.0
165-11TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
176-11COLGATCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+0.0
186-12COLGATTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
197-12TENNCOLGATKillNina Gannonset Reagan Knipling+0.0
207-13COLGATTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.0
218-13TENNCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Julia Headley+0.0
228-14COLGATTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
239-14TENNCOLGATAttack errNia Hall+0.0
2410-14COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.0
2510-15COLGATTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.0
2611-15TENNCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.0
2712-15COLGATCOLGATAttack errChelsea Sutton+0.0
2812-16COLGATTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
2913-16TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
3013-17COLGATTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
3114-17TENNCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+0.0
3214-18COLGATTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.0
3315-18TENNCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling+0.0
3415-19COLGATTENN×3KillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.0
3515-20TENNTENN×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
3615-21TENNTENN×3Attack errMorgan Reeseblk Nia Hall, Chelsea Sutton+0.0
3716-21TENNCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
3816-22COLGATTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.0
3916-23TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
4017-23TENNCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.0
4117-24COLGATTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
4217-25TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
Set 2
10-1TENNTENNAttack errAubrey Anders+0.0
20-2TENNTENNAceTENN serveraced Tiana Owens+0.0
31-2TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
41-3COLGATTENN×3Attack errTiana Owensblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton+0.0
51-4TENNTENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.0
61-5TENNTENN×3AceTENN serveraced Team+0.0
72-5TENNCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.0
82-6COLGATTENNServe errCOLGAT server+0.0
93-6TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
103-7COLGATTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.0
113-8TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
124-8TENNCOLGATAttack errKennedi Rogers+0.0
134-9COLGATTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
144-10TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
155-10TENNCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Reagan Knipling+0.0
165-11COLGATTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
175-12TENNTENN×3AceTENN serveraced Team+0.0
185-13TENNTENN×3KillJolene Oddo+0.0
196-13TENNCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Morgan Reese+0.0
206-14COLGATTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.0
216-15TENNTENNAttack errTiana Owens+0.0
227-15TENNCOLGAT×4KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.0
238-15COLGATCOLGAT×4Attack errKennedi Rogers+0.0
249-15COLGATCOLGAT×4Attack errChelsea Sutton+0.0
2510-15COLGATCOLGAT×4KillCharlotte Goldfederset Ava Schabes+0.0
2610-16COLGATTENN×6KillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.0
2710-17TENNTENN×6Attack errJulia Headley+0.0
2810-18TENNTENN×6KillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+0.0
2910-19TENNTENN×6Attack errTiana Owensblk Chelsea Sutton, Jalyn Stout+0.0
3010-20TENNTENN×6KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
3110-21TENNTENN×6AceTENN serveraced Team+0.0
3211-21TENNCOLGATKillCharlotte Goldfederset Ava Schabes+0.0
3311-22COLGATTENN×3Attack errTiana Owensblk Jalyn Stout, Chelsea Sutton+0.0
3411-23TENNTENN×3Attack errTiana Owens+0.0
3511-24TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+0.0
3612-24TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
3712-25COLGATTENNServe errCOLGAT server+0.0
Set 3
11-0COLGATCOLGATAceCOLGAT serveraced Team+0.0
21-1COLGATTENN×7KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.0
31-2TENNTENN×7KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.0
41-3TENNTENN×7KillJalyn Stoutset Kennedi Rogers+0.0
51-4TENNTENN×7KillNia Hallset Raegan Burns+0.0
61-5TENNTENN×7Bad setReagan Knipling+0.0
71-6TENNTENN×7Attack errCharlotte Goldfeder+0.0
81-7TENNTENN×7KillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+0.0
92-7TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
102-8COLGATTENNBad setStella Labrecque+0.0
113-8TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
123-9COLGATTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
134-9TENNCOLGATAttack errJolene Oddo+0.0
145-9COLGATCOLGATAttack errJolene Oddo+0.0
155-10COLGATTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
165-11TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
176-11TENNCOLGATAttack errKennedi Rogersblk Julia Headley, Morgan Reese+0.0
186-12COLGATTENN×3Attack errMorgan Reese+0.0
196-13TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
206-14TENNTENN×3Attack errJulia Headleyblk Jolene Oddo+0.0
217-14TENNCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.0
227-15COLGATTENNAttack errTiana Owensblk Jolene Oddo, Caroline Kerr+0.0
238-15TENNCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Ava Schabes+0.0
248-16COLGATTENNKillCaroline Kerr+0.0
258-17TENNTENNAttack errTiana Owensblk Anni Tang, Caroline Kerr+0.0
269-17TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
279-18COLGATTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
289-19TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
2910-19TENNCOLGATServe errTENN server+0.0
3010-20COLGATTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.0
3110-21TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.0
3211-21TENNCOLGATKillCharlotte Goldfederset Reagan Knipling+0.0
3311-22COLGATTENN×3Serve errCOLGAT server+0.0
3411-23TENNTENN×3Attack errMorgan Reeseblk Caroline Kerr, Camille Perry+0.0
3511-24TENNTENN×3KillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr+0.0
3612-24TENNCOLGATKillJulia Headleyset Ava Schabes+0.0
3712-25COLGATTENNKillCamille Perryset Mallory Matheny+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Colgate first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.