FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

Tennessee def. Fairfield 3–0

Tennessee beat visiting Fairfield 3-0 (27-25, 25-23, 25-12) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Tennessee's Kennedi Rogers led with 21 kills.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
FAIR2523120
TENN2725253

Win probability

Tennessee above 50 · Fairfield below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 137 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Tennessee stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FAIR 0.3%99.7% TENN

Fairfield wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.2%

Tennessee wins

3-0
83.6%
3-1
14.6%
3-2
1.6%
FAIR break %
30.6% vs this opp
TENN break %
51.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310626.1540004010111
37126.231010710008
3509.556000000005
3228.000000100213
3102.500210430002
3000–1401500000
34210.200000200215
33116.125000100003
3001.0003111010001
3001.000802500000
3000–100200000
2000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals321299.202283541714360
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39121.381202700009
38113.538000000219
3237-.14313030010.55.5
3114.0004111800002
23214.071000000003
1216.167000001013
321541.39000310012223
3000–021800002
3000–1101000001
2304.750000000003
2000–001000000
1114.00000000010.51.5
1000–000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals5015114.307467846326577

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FAIR · TENN 8

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 5 FAIRTENN 8

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 FAIRTENN 6

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 FAIRTENN 8

Bars above the line = Tennessee leads, below = Fairfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%5/12
43%3/7
2
40%4/10
29%2/7
3
60%3/5
33%2/6
4
33%3/9
40%2/5
5
100%3/3
40%2/5
6
30%3/10
50%3/6
All
43%21/49
39%14/36

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
76%13/17
2
67%4/6
43%3/7
3
67%4/6
56%5/9
4
60%3/5
57%4/7
5
43%3/7
50%3/6
6
50%3/6
0%0/3
All
61%22/36
57%28/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#FAIR-TENNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1FAIRTENNBad setMamie Krubally
20-2TENNTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr
31-2TENNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Katelyn Cook
42-2FAIRFAIRBad setCaroline Kerr
52-3FAIRTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Maggie Dostic
62-4TENNTENNBlockedHarlan Wycheblk Anni Tang
73-4TENNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut
83-5FAIRTENN×8KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr
93-6TENNTENN×8AceTennesseeaced Katelyn Cook
103-7TENNTENN×8AceTennesseeaced Katelyn Cook
113-8TENNTENN×8Bad setNoella Migliuri
123-9TENNTENN×8Attack errEmma Bortolotti
133-10TENNTENN×8KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
143-11TENNTENN×8KillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr
153-12TENNTENN×8KillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns
164-12TENNFAIRKillKatelyn Cook
175-12FAIRFAIRAceFairfield
185-13FAIRTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
195-14TENNTENNBlockedHarlan Wycheblk Jolene Oddo, Kennedi Rogers
206-14TENNFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri
216-15FAIRTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
227-15TENNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
237-16FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Jalyn Stout
248-16TENNFAIRServe errTennessee
259-16FAIRFAIRAttack errJolene Oddo
269-17FAIRTENNKillNia Hallset Jalyn Stout
2710-17FAIR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2811-17FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfield
2912-17FAIRFAIR×5Attack errAnni Tang
3013-17FAIRFAIR×5Attack errNia Hall
3114-17FAIRFAIR×5Attack errMamie Krubally
3214-18FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
3314-19TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Aislin Oldach
3415-19TENNFAIRServe errTennessee
3515-20FAIRTENNServe errFairfield
3616-20TENNFAIRServe errTennessee
3717-20FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
3817-21FAIRTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
3918-21TENNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
4018-22FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
4118-23TENNTENNAttack errMia Jean Claude
4219-23TENNFAIR×3Serve errTennessee
4320-23FAIRFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
4421-23FAIRFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Nicole Macalintal
4521-24FAIRTENNAttack errMamie Krubally
4622-24TENNFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut
4723-24FAIRFAIR×3KillSophia Nagy
4824-24FAIRFAIR×3AceFairfield
4924-25FAIRTENNBad setZofia Sykut
5025-25TENNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
5125-26FAIRTENNKillAnni Tangset Zofia Sykut
5225-27TENNTENNAttack errMamie Krubally
Set 2
11-0TENNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
22-0FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut
32-1FAIRTENN×3Serve errFairfield
42-2TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
52-3TENNTENN×3AceTennessee
63-3TENNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut
74-3FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Nicole Macalintal
84-4FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
95-4TENNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Katelyn Cook
106-4FAIRFAIRAttack errKennedi Rogers
116-5FAIRTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr
126-6TENNTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr
137-6TENNFAIRServe errTennessee
147-7FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
158-7TENNFAIR×4Serve errTennessee
169-7FAIRFAIR×4Attack errKennedi Rogers
1710-7FAIRFAIR×4Attack errCaroline Kerr
1811-7FAIRFAIR×4BlockedNia Hallblk Mamie Krubally
1911-8FAIRTENNServe errFairfield
2012-8TENNFAIRAttack errJalyn Stout
2113-8FAIRFAIRAttack errMaggie Dostic
2213-9FAIRTENN×6KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
2313-10TENNTENN×6KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
2413-11TENNTENN×6KillChelsea Sutton
2513-12TENNTENN×6KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
2613-13TENNTENN×6AceTennesseeaced Katelyn Cook
2713-14TENNTENN×6BlockedMamie Kruballyblk Kennedi Rogers, Chelsea Sutton
2814-14TENNFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Maggie Dostic
2914-15FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
3015-15TENNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
3115-16FAIRTENNServe errFairfield
3215-17TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
3316-17TENNFAIRServe errTennessee
3416-18FAIRTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
3516-19TENNTENN×3BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Maggie Dostic, Jolene Oddo
3616-20TENNTENN×3KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr
3717-20TENNFAIRServe errTennessee
3818-20FAIRFAIRKillSophia Nagy
3918-21FAIRTENNServe errFairfield
4019-21TENNFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri
4119-22FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
4220-22TENNFAIR×3Attack errChelsea Sutton
4321-22FAIRFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Nicole Macalintal
4422-22FAIRFAIR×3Attack errKennedi Rogers
4522-23FAIRTENNKillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr
4622-24TENNTENNAttack errMamie Krubally
4723-24TENNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut
4823-25FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
Set 3
10-1FAIRTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr
21-1TENNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
31-2FAIRTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
41-3TENNTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
51-4TENNTENN×4KillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr
61-5TENNTENN×4Attack errMamie Krubally
72-5TENNFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut
82-6FAIRTENNKillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr
92-7TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
103-7TENNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri
114-7FAIRFAIRBlockedMaggie Dosticblk Harlan Wyche, Emma Bortolotti
124-8FAIRTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
134-9TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
144-10TENNTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
154-11TENNTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
165-11TENNFAIRAttack errMaggie Dostic
176-11FAIRFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Noella Migliuri
186-12FAIRTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr
197-12TENNFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Noella Migliuri
207-13FAIRTENN×8KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr
217-14TENNTENN×8KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr
227-15TENNTENN×8KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
237-16TENNTENN×8KillJolene Oddoset Mamie Krubally
247-17TENNTENN×8KillJolene Oddoset Zofia Sykut
257-18TENNTENN×8AceTennessee
267-19TENNTENN×8AceTennesseeaced Nicole Macalintal
277-20TENNTENN×8KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr
288-20TENNFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Zofia Sykut
298-21FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
308-22TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
319-22TENNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Julie Dufourt
3210-22FAIRFAIRAttack errKennedi Rogers
3310-23FAIRTENNBlockedMamie Kruballyblk Kennedi Rogers
3410-24TENNTENNAttack errAislin Oldach
3511-24TENNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut
3612-24FAIRFAIRBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Harlan Wyche, Emma Bortolotti
3712-25FAIRTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Mallory Matheny

Score shown after each rally, Fairfield first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).