FinalWed, Sep 9, 2026 · Neutral site

Pittsburgh def. Tennessee 3–0

Pittsburgh beat Tennessee 3-0 (25-17, 28-26, 25-20) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026 at a neutral site. Pittsburgh's Olivia Babcock led with 17 kills.

Data through · final Sep 9

Set123Sets
TENN1726200
PITT2528253

Win probability

Pittsburgh above 50 · Tennessee below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.2% TENNrally 141 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.2% to Tennessee — set 2, TENN 26-25 PITT. Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr). PITT win probability 88% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TENN 19.3%80.7% PITT

Tennessee wins

3-0
3.1%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
9.8%

Pittsburgh wins

3-0
32.2%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
18.1%
TENN break %
35.7% vs this opp
PITT break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 2 · TENN 26-25 PITT · TENN 12% → 18%

  2. 02
    Ayanna WatsonKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 2 · TENN 23-24 PITT · PITT 86% → 92%

  3. 03
    Ayanna WatsonKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Abbey Emch)

    Set 2 · TENN 26-27 PITT · PITT 86% → 92%

  4. 04
    Kennedi RogersAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Kennedi Rogers

    Set 2 · TENN 23-23 PITT · PITT 82% → 86%

  5. 05

    Kill by Olivia Babcock (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 2 · TENN 26-28 PITT · PITT 92% → 97%

  6. 06
    Ayanna WatsonKill+4.1%

    Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 2 · TENN 26-26 PITT · PITT 82% → 86%

  7. 07
    Caroline KerrKill+3.4%

    Kill by Caroline Kerr (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 2 · TENN 24-24 PITT · TENN 8% → 12%

  8. 08
    Maaike HeiligKill+3.4%

    Kill by Maaike Heilig (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 2 · TENN 24-25 PITT · PITT 88% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310529.17202571031.513.5
310327.25911151031.512.5
36111.455000000428
3406.667302170010.56.5
32313-.077010220003
2114.00000010010.51.5
3000–1001200000
3000–001000000
2103.33300000010.51.5
1306.500010000004
1102.50000010010.51.5
Team totals3813101.2483278355014763
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317434.3820018002118
315432.34400122010.515.5
310114.6431001002111
3406.66701010031.56.5
3113.0004331800215
34415.000000610004
3001.000010400001
3000–000120000
3000–001600000
3000–200600000
Team totals5114105.3524654437010578

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TENN · PITT 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 TENNPITT 7

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 3 TENNPITT 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 TENNPITT 6

Bars above the line = Pittsburgh leads, below = Tennessee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
31%5/16
40%4/10
2
100%5/5
29%2/7
3
100%5/5
29%2/7
4
100%5/5
17%1/6
5
33%5/15
29%2/7
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
58%30/52
30%13/44

Pittsburgh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
62%8/13
2
63%5/8
38%3/8
3
83%5/6
0%0/5
4
63%5/8
0%0/5
5
83%5/6
44%4/9
6
71%5/7
58%7/12
All
70%31/44
42%22/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#TENN-PITTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PITTPITT×7Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.7
20-2PITTPITT×7KillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+1.6
30-3PITTPITT×7BlockedJalyn Stoutblk Ayanna Watson, Abbey Emch+1.4
40-4PITTPITT×7AcePittsburghaced Kennedi Rogers+1.2
50-5PITTPITT×7Attack errJalyn Stout+1.0
60-6PITTPITT×7KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.8
70-7PITTPITT×7KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.6
81-7PITTTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.3
91-8TENNPITTAttack errJolene Oddo+0.4
102-8PITTTENNAttack errBlaire Bayless+0.3
113-8TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Izzy Masten+0.6
123-9TENNPITTServe errTennessee+0.5
134-9PITTTENNServe errPittsburgh+0.4
144-10TENNPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+0.5
155-10PITTTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.4
166-10TENNTENN×3AceTennesseeaced Blaire Bayless+0.9
177-10TENNTENN×3Attack errOlivia Babcock+1.2
187-11TENNPITT×4KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.8
197-12PITTPITT×4KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.1
207-13PITTPITT×4KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.8
217-14PITTPITT×4KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.5
228-14PITTTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.2
239-14TENNTENNAttack errIzzy Starck+0.6
249-15TENNPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.5
2510-15PITTTENNBlockedAyanna Watsonblk Jalyn Stout, Chelsea Sutton+0.4
2611-15TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.8
2711-16TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.7
2812-16PITTTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.5
2912-17TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.7
3013-17PITTTENNServe errPittsburgh+0.5
3113-18TENNPITTServe errTennessee+0.7
3214-18PITTTENNKillCaroline Kerr+0.5
3314-19TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.6
3415-19PITTTENNServe errPittsburgh+0.4
3515-20TENNPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.6
3615-21PITTPITTBlockedMaggie Dosticblk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck+0.5
3716-21PITTTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.2
3816-22TENNPITTKillIzzy Starck+0.3
3916-23PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.2
4017-23PITTTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
4117-24TENNPITTAttack errKennedi Rogers+0.1
4217-25PITTPITTAcePittsburghaced Maggie Dostic·
Set 2
10-1TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.8
21-1PITTTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
31-2TENNPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.8
42-2PITTTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.9
53-2TENNTENNAceTennessee+1.5
63-3TENNPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.9
74-3PITTTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.0
85-3TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Izzy Masten+1.7
95-4TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.0
106-4PITTTENNAttack errBlaire Bayless+1.2
116-5TENNPITT×4Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.0
126-6PITTPITT×4KillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+1.6
136-7PITTPITT×4AcePittsburgh+1.5
146-8PITTPITT×4Attack errChelsea Sutton+1.4
157-8PITTTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.9
167-9TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.9
178-9PITTTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
189-9TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Ayanna Watson+1.7
199-10TENNPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+1.1
209-11PITTPITTKillAbbey Emch+1.6
2110-11PITTTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.0
2211-11TENNTENN×3BlockedOlivia Babcockblk Kennedi Rogers, Jolene Oddo+1.8
2312-11TENNTENN×3Attack errAyanna Watson+2.1
2412-12TENNPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+1.2
2513-12PITTTENNBlockedOlivia Babcockblk Kennedi Rogers, Jolene Oddo+1.4
2613-13TENNPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+1.3
2714-13PITTTENNAttack errBlaire Bayless+1.5
2814-14TENNPITTServe errTennessee+1.4
2915-14PITTTENNBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Jolene Oddo, Caroline Kerr+1.6
3015-15TENNPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+1.4
3115-16PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+2.2
3216-16PITTTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.5
3317-16TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+2.7
3417-17TENNPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.6
3518-17PITTTENNAttack errAyanna Watson+1.9
3619-17TENNTENNKillAnni Tang+3.1
3719-18TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.6
3820-18PITTTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+2.2
3920-19TENNPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+1.7
4021-19PITTTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.4
4121-20TENNPITTServe errTennessee+1.8
4222-20PITTTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.6
4322-21TENNPITTServe errTennessee+1.8
4423-21PITTTENNKillCaroline Kerr+3.0
4523-22TENNPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.9
4623-23PITTPITT×3Attack errKennedi Rogers+4.8
4723-24PITTPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+5.5
4824-24PITTTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Izzy Starck+3.4
4924-25TENNPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+3.4
5025-25PITTTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+3.4
5126-25TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+6.2
5226-26TENNPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+4.1
5326-27PITTPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Abbey Emch+5.5
5426-28PITTPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+4.7
Set 3
10-1PITTPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.6
20-2PITTPITT×3AcePittsburghaced Maggie Dostic+0.6
30-3PITTPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Trinity Thompson+0.5
41-3PITTTENNAttack errAyanna Watson+0.3
51-4TENNPITTServe errTennessee+0.3
61-5PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Trinity Thompson+0.5
72-5PITTTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.3
82-6TENNPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.3
92-7PITTPITTBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Maaike Heilig, Olivia Babcock+0.4
103-7PITTTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.2
113-8TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.2
124-8PITTTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.2
134-9TENNPITT×3Attack errMaggie Dostic+0.2
144-10PITTPITT×3BlockedMaggie Dosticblk Izzy Starck, Maaike Heilig+0.3
154-11PITTPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.2
165-11PITTTENNKillCaroline Kerr+0.1
175-12TENNPITTServe errTennessee+0.1
186-12PITTTENN×5KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.1
197-12TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.2
208-12TENNTENN×5KillCamille Perryset Izzy Starck+0.3
219-12TENN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
2210-12TENNTENN×5KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.6
2310-13TENNPITTBad setCaroline Kerr+0.4
2411-13PITTTENNServe errPittsburgh+0.4
2512-13TENNTENNBlockedOlivia Babcockblk Jolene Oddo, Kennedi Rogers+0.8
2612-14TENNPITTBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch+0.5
2712-15PITTPITTKillAbbey Emch+0.7
2813-15PITTTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.4
2913-16TENNPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.5
3014-16PITTTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.4
3114-17TENNPITTServe errTennessee+0.5
3215-17PITTTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.4
3316-17TENNTENNKillNia Hallset Jalyn Stout+0.9
3416-18TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.7
3517-18PITTTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.6
3618-18TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Ayanna Watson+1.3
3718-19TENNPITT×6KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.8
3818-20PITTPITT×6KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.2
3918-21PITTPITT×6AcePittsburghaced Jalyn Stout+0.9
4018-22PITTPITT×6KillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.6
4118-23PITTPITT×6KillAyanna Watson+0.3
4218-24PITTPITT×6KillAyanna Watson+0.1
4319-24PITTTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr·
4420-24TENNTENNBlockedAbbey Emchblk Camille Perry, Jalyn Stout·
4520-25TENNPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).