Pittsburgh def. Tennessee 3–0
Pittsburgh beat Tennessee 3-0 (25-17, 28-26, 25-20) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026 at a neutral site. Pittsburgh's Olivia Babcock led with 17 kills.
Data through · final Sep 9
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 17 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| PITT | 25 | 28 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 6.2% to Tennessee — set 2, TENN 26-25 PITT. Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr). PITT win probability 88% → 82%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Tennessee wins
Pittsburgh wins
- TENN break %
- 35.7% vs this opp
- PITT break %
- 42.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Kennedi RogersKill+6.2%
Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)
Set 2 · TENN 26-25 PITT · TENN 12% → 18%
- 02Ayanna WatsonKill+5.5%
Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 2 · TENN 23-24 PITT · PITT 86% → 92%
- 03Ayanna WatsonKill+5.5%
Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Abbey Emch)
Set 2 · TENN 26-27 PITT · PITT 86% → 92%
- 04Kennedi RogersAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Kennedi Rogers
Set 2 · TENN 23-23 PITT · PITT 82% → 86%
- 05Olivia BabcockKill+4.7%
Kill by Olivia Babcock (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 2 · TENN 26-28 PITT · PITT 92% → 97%
- 06Ayanna WatsonKill+4.1%
Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 2 · TENN 26-26 PITT · PITT 82% → 86%
- 07Caroline KerrKill+3.4%
Kill by Caroline Kerr (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 2 · TENN 24-24 PITT · TENN 8% → 12%
- 08Maaike HeiligKill+3.4%
Kill by Maaike Heilig (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 2 · TENN 24-25 PITT · PITT 88% → 92%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 29 | .172 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 27 | .259 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | .667 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -.077 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| Team totals | 38 | 13 | 101 | .248 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 63 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 17 | 4 | 34 | .382 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | |
| 3 | 15 | 4 | 32 | .344 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 3 | 10 | 1 | 14 | .643 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | .667 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 51 | 14 | 105 | .352 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 78 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
26-28
Set 3
20-25
Bars above the line = Pittsburgh leads, below = Tennessee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Tennessee
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31%5/16 | 40%4/10 |
| 2 | 100%5/5 | 29%2/7 |
| 3 | 100%5/5 | 29%2/7 |
| 4 | 100%5/5 | 17%1/6 |
| 5 | 33%5/15 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 83%5/6 | 29%2/7 |
| All | 58%30/52 | 30%13/44 |
Pittsburgh
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%6/9 | 62%8/13 |
| 2 | 63%5/8 | 38%3/8 |
| 3 | 83%5/6 | 0%0/5 |
| 4 | 63%5/8 | 0%0/5 |
| 5 | 83%5/6 | 44%4/9 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 58%7/12 |
| All | 70%31/44 | 42%22/52 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
141 rallies
| # | TENN-PITT | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PITT | PITT×7 | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | PITT | PITT×7 | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +1.6 |
| 3 | 0-3 | PITT | PITT×7 | Blocked | Jalyn Stout | blk Ayanna Watson, Abbey Emch | +1.4 |
| 4 | 0-4 | PITT | PITT×7 | Ace | Pittsburgh | aced Kennedi Rogers | +1.2 |
| 5 | 0-5 | PITT | PITT×7 | Attack err | Jalyn Stout | +1.0 | |
| 6 | 0-6 | PITT | PITT×7 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.8 |
| 7 | 0-7 | PITT | PITT×7 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.6 |
| 8 | 1-7 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jolene Oddo | set Caroline Kerr | +0.3 |
| 9 | 1-8 | TENN | PITT | Attack err | Jolene Oddo | +0.4 | |
| 10 | 2-8 | PITT | TENN | Attack err | Blaire Bayless | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | TENN | TENN | Ace | Tennessee | aced Izzy Masten | +0.6 |
| 12 | 3-9 | TENN | PITT | Serve err | Tennessee | +0.5 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | PITT | TENN | Serve err | Pittsburgh | +0.4 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Maaike Heilig | set Izzy Starck | +0.5 |
| 15 | 5-10 | PITT | TENN×3 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.4 |
| 16 | 6-10 | TENN | TENN×3 | Ace | Tennessee | aced Blaire Bayless | +0.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | TENN | TENN×3 | Attack err | Olivia Babcock | +1.2 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | TENN | PITT×4 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.8 |
| 19 | 7-12 | PITT | PITT×4 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +1.1 |
| 20 | 7-13 | PITT | PITT×4 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.8 |
| 21 | 7-14 | PITT | PITT×4 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.5 |
| 22 | 8-14 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Chelsea Sutton | set Caroline Kerr | +0.2 |
| 23 | 9-14 | TENN | TENN | Attack err | Izzy Starck | +0.6 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.5 |
| 25 | 10-15 | PITT | TENN | Blocked | Ayanna Watson | blk Jalyn Stout, Chelsea Sutton | +0.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | TENN | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +0.8 |
| 27 | 11-16 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.7 |
| 28 | 12-16 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jolene Oddo | set Caroline Kerr | +0.5 |
| 29 | 12-17 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.7 |
| 30 | 13-17 | PITT | TENN | Serve err | Pittsburgh | +0.5 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | TENN | PITT | Serve err | Tennessee | +0.7 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Caroline Kerr | +0.5 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.6 |
| 34 | 15-19 | PITT | TENN | Serve err | Pittsburgh | +0.4 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.6 |
| 36 | 15-21 | PITT | PITT | Blocked | Maggie Dostic | blk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck | +0.5 |
| 37 | 16-21 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +0.2 |
| 38 | 16-22 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Izzy Starck | +0.3 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.2 |
| 40 | 17-23 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | TENN | PITT | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +0.1 | |
| 42 | 17-25 | PITT | PITT | Ace | Pittsburgh | aced Maggie Dostic | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +0.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +0.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jolene Oddo | set Caroline Kerr | +0.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | TENN | TENN | Ace | Tennessee | +1.5 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +1.0 |
| 8 | 5-3 | TENN | TENN | Ace | Tennessee | aced Izzy Masten | +1.7 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +1.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | PITT | TENN | Attack err | Blaire Bayless | +1.2 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | TENN | PITT×4 | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +1.0 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | PITT | PITT×4 | Kill | Maaike Heilig | set Izzy Starck | +1.6 |
| 13 | 6-7 | PITT | PITT×4 | Ace | Pittsburgh | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | PITT | PITT×4 | Attack err | Chelsea Sutton | +1.4 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.9 |
| 16 | 7-9 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +0.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | TENN | TENN | Ace | Tennessee | aced Ayanna Watson | +1.7 |
| 19 | 9-10 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +1.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | +1.6 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | PITT | TENN×3 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +1.0 |
| 22 | 11-11 | TENN | TENN×3 | Blocked | Olivia Babcock | blk Kennedi Rogers, Jolene Oddo | +1.8 |
| 23 | 12-11 | TENN | TENN×3 | Attack err | Ayanna Watson | +2.1 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +1.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | PITT | TENN | Blocked | Olivia Babcock | blk Kennedi Rogers, Jolene Oddo | +1.4 |
| 26 | 13-13 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +1.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | PITT | TENN | Attack err | Blaire Bayless | +1.5 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | TENN | PITT | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.4 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | PITT | TENN | Blocked | Blaire Bayless | blk Jolene Oddo, Caroline Kerr | +1.6 |
| 30 | 15-15 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Maaike Heilig | set Izzy Starck | +1.4 |
| 31 | 15-16 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +2.2 |
| 32 | 16-16 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +1.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | TENN | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +2.7 |
| 34 | 17-17 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +1.6 |
| 35 | 18-17 | PITT | TENN | Attack err | Ayanna Watson | +1.9 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | TENN | TENN | Kill | Anni Tang | +3.1 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +1.6 |
| 38 | 20-18 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +2.2 |
| 39 | 20-19 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +1.7 |
| 40 | 21-19 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +2.4 |
| 41 | 21-20 | TENN | PITT | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.8 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +2.6 |
| 43 | 22-21 | TENN | PITT | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.8 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Caroline Kerr | +3.0 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | TENN | PITT×3 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +1.9 |
| 46 | 23-23 | PITT | PITT×3 | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +4.8 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +5.5 |
| 48 | 24-24 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Caroline Kerr | set Izzy Starck | +3.4 |
| 49 | 24-25 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Maaike Heilig | set Izzy Starck | +3.4 |
| 50 | 25-25 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Raegan Burns | +3.4 |
| 51 | 26-25 | TENN | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +6.2 |
| 52 | 26-26 | TENN | PITT×3 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +4.1 |
| 53 | 26-27 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Abbey Emch | +5.5 |
| 54 | 26-28 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +4.7 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | PITT | PITT×3 | Ace | Pittsburgh | aced Maggie Dostic | +0.6 |
| 3 | 0-3 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Trinity Thompson | +0.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | PITT | TENN | Attack err | Ayanna Watson | +0.3 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | TENN | PITT | Serve err | Tennessee | +0.3 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Trinity Thompson | +0.5 |
| 7 | 2-5 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +0.3 |
| 8 | 2-6 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +0.3 |
| 9 | 2-7 | PITT | PITT | Blocked | Kennedi Rogers | blk Maaike Heilig, Olivia Babcock | +0.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jolene Oddo | set Caroline Kerr | +0.2 |
| 11 | 3-8 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +0.2 |
| 13 | 4-9 | TENN | PITT×3 | Attack err | Maggie Dostic | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | PITT | PITT×3 | Blocked | Maggie Dostic | blk Izzy Starck, Maaike Heilig | +0.3 |
| 15 | 4-11 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.2 |
| 16 | 5-11 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Caroline Kerr | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | TENN | PITT | Serve err | Tennessee | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 6-12 | PITT | TENN×5 | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +0.1 |
| 19 | 7-12 | TENN | TENN×5 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | TENN | TENN×5 | Kill | Camille Perry | set Izzy Starck | +0.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | TENN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.4 | |||
| 22 | 10-12 | TENN | TENN×5 | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +0.6 |
| 23 | 10-13 | TENN | PITT | Bad set | Caroline Kerr | +0.4 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | PITT | TENN | Serve err | Pittsburgh | +0.4 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | TENN | TENN | Blocked | Olivia Babcock | blk Jolene Oddo, Kennedi Rogers | +0.8 |
| 26 | 12-14 | TENN | PITT | Blocked | Jalyn Stout | blk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch | +0.5 |
| 27 | 12-15 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | +0.7 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jolene Oddo | set Caroline Kerr | +0.4 |
| 29 | 13-16 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.5 |
| 30 | 14-16 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.4 |
| 31 | 14-17 | TENN | PITT | Serve err | Tennessee | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Jolene Oddo | set Caroline Kerr | +0.4 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TENN | TENN | Kill | Nia Hall | set Jalyn Stout | +0.9 |
| 34 | 16-18 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.7 |
| 35 | 17-18 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Nia Hall | set Caroline Kerr | +0.6 |
| 36 | 18-18 | TENN | TENN | Ace | Tennessee | aced Ayanna Watson | +1.3 |
| 37 | 18-19 | TENN | PITT×6 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.8 |
| 38 | 18-20 | PITT | PITT×6 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +1.2 |
| 39 | 18-21 | PITT | PITT×6 | Ace | Pittsburgh | aced Jalyn Stout | +0.9 |
| 40 | 18-22 | PITT | PITT×6 | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +0.6 |
| 41 | 18-23 | PITT | PITT×6 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | +0.3 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | PITT | PITT×6 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | +0.1 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | PITT | TENN | Kill | Nia Hall | set Caroline Kerr | · |
| 44 | 20-24 | TENN | TENN | Blocked | Abbey Emch | blk Camille Perry, Jalyn Stout | · |
| 45 | 20-25 | TENN | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Tennessee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).