Belmont vs Bradley Volleyball: Bradley Wins 3-0 (Oct 10)

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Belmont 56.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bradley beat visiting Belmont 3-0 (25-21, 26-24, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Bradley's Gracie Furlong led with 20 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 8:10 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BELMNT	21	24	20	0
BRAD	25	26	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Gracie Furlong hit .439 on 41 swings as Bradley edged Belmont.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Bradley's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Belmont went in at 56% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Belmont 17–18 Bradley
4 straight Belmont points turned a 17–18 deficit into a 21–18 lead.
Bradley 68% → 50%
Turning point 2: Set 2 · Belmont 23–23 Bradley
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Bradley, enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–0.
Bradley 63% → 85%

Bradley above 50Belmont belowMax swing 11.1%

BelmontBradley

Sideout %: Belmont 50.0·Bradley 58.2
Break %: Belmont 41.8·Bradley 50.0
Hitting: Belmont .218·Bradley .331
Longest run: Belmont 5·Bradley 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Bradley above 50 · Belmont below

Biggest swing: 11.1% to Bradley — set 2, BELMNT 24-26 BRAD. Kill by Cherlin Antonio (set by Gracie Furlong). BRAD win probability 74% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELMNT 58.8%41.2% BRAD

Belmont wins

3-0

16.6%

3-1

22.4%

3-2

19.8%

Bradley wins

3-0

9.2%

3-1

15.1%

3-2

17.0%

BELMNT break %: 43.3% vs this opp
BRAD break %: 41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Cherlin AntonioKill+11.1%
Kill by Cherlin Antonio (set by Gracie Furlong)
Set 2 · BELMNT 24-26 BRAD · BRAD 74% → 85%
02
Adeline GoedheerKill+10.8%
Kill by Adeline Goedheer (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 2 · BELMNT 23-24 BRAD · BRAD 63% → 74%
03
Adeline GoedheerKill+8.0%
Kill by Adeline Goedheer (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 2 · BELMNT 23-23 BRAD · BRAD 55% → 63%
04
Brenna KauffeldKill+7.9%
Kill by Brenna Kauffeld (set by Jordan Czajkowski)
Set 2 · BELMNT 24-24 BRAD · BELMNT 26% → 34%
05
BelmontService error+7.9%
Belmont service error
Set 2 · BELMNT 24-25 BRAD · BRAD 66% → 74%
06
Erin McMullenKill+5.1%
Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Alivia Keegan)
Set 2 · BELMNT 19-18 BRAD · BELMNT 35% → 40%
07
BelmontAce+5.0%
Belmont ace on Ava Patchett
Set 2 · BELMNT 20-18 BRAD · BELMNT 40% → 45%
08
Gracie FurlongKill+4.8%
Kill by Gracie Furlong (set by Maria Drapp)
Set 2 · BELMNT 23-22 BRAD · BRAD 50% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Belmontaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Erin McMullenMB	3	10	0	17	.588	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	11
3Brenna KauffeldOH	3	7	2	24	.208	0	3	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
15Lucy KayMB	3	6	3	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	3	9
10Sydnee NelsonOH	3	5	4	27	.037	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	5
2Jordan CzajkowskiS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	2	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
9Emily WarmenhovenOH	2	2	0	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
0Lauren EvansDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	2
7Alivia KeeganS	3	0	0	4	.000	14	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	1
12Mya BoltonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	14	0	0	0	0	1
4Madison LansdownL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
1Connie KofoedOH	2	3	0	11	.273	0	0	0	3	1	0	2	1	4
22Mialee DabbeltOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	9	110	.218	30	8	7	48	2	2	12	8	65

Bradleyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Gracie FurlongOH	3	20	2	41	.439	1	1	1	15	3	0	1	0.5	21.5
5Chloe ParkerMB	3	11	4	28	.250	0	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Cherlin AntonioOH	3	11	4	25	.280	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11
13Adeline GoedheerMB	3	7	0	10	.700	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
4Mairen MannonMB	3	4	4	14	.000	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	5
12Maria DrappS	3	3	0	9	.333	47	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	3
9Ava PatchettL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	10	1	0	0	0	1
7Eirini BitsaktsiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	2	13	2	0	0	0	0
1Hayden BoothS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Megan DePoorterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		56	14	127	.331	54	2	9	62	8	1	4	3	76

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Belmont vs Bradley

Season series · Bradley leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 10, 2026Belmont at Bradley · Bradley won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 13, 2026Bradley at BelmontPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 BELMNT · BRAD 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 5 BELMNTBRAD 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 4 BELMNTBRAD 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 BELMNTBRAD 3

Bars above the line = Bradley leads, below = Belmont leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Belmont

No clean sets to split.

Bradley

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	BELMNT-BRAD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BELMNT	BRAD×5	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.8
2	0-2	BRAD	BRAD×5	Kill	Cherlin Antonio		+2.5
3	0-3	BRAD	BRAD×5	Ace	Bradley	aced Sydnee Nelson	+2.5
4	0-4	BRAD	BRAD×5	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+2.4
5	0-5	BRAD	BRAD×5	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+2.2
6	1-5	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.4
7	2-5	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen		+2.1
8	2-6	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.8
9	2-7	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio		+2.2
10	3-7	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.4
11	3-8	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+1.7
12	3-9	BRAD	BRAD	Blocked	Brenna Kauffeld	blk Mairen Mannon	+1.9
13	4-9	BRAD	BELMNT	Blocked	Mairen Mannon	blk Emily Warmenhoven	+1.2
14	5-9	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Alivia Keegan	+1.9
15	5-10	BELMNT	BRAD×4	Attack err	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.7
16	5-11	BRAD	BRAD×4	Attack err	Lucy Kay		+2.0
17	5-12	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+1.6
18	5-13	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Gracie Furlong		+1.2
19	6-13	BRAD	BELMNT	Bad set	Maria Drapp		+0.6
20	7-13	BELMNT	BELMNT	Ace	Belmont	aced Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.1
21	7-14	BELMNT	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.1
22	7-15	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.1
23	7-16		BRAD	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
24	8-16	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan	+0.3
25	8-17	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.5
26	8-18	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+0.4
27	9-18	BRAD	BELMNT×5	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan	+0.1
28	10-18	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.3
29	11-18	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Attack err	Gracie Furlong		+0.5
30	12-18	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Ace	Belmont	aced Gracie Furlong	+0.8
31	13-18	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Ace	Belmont	aced Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.2
32	13-19	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.3
33	14-19	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.8
34	15-19	BELMNT	BELMNT	Blocked	Chloe Parker	blk Erin McMullen, Emily Warmenhoven	+1.6
35	15-20	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+1.7
36	15-21	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+1.5
37	16-21	BRAD	BELMNT	Serve err	Bradley		+0.6
38	16-22	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+0.9
39	17-22	BRAD	BELMNT×3	Serve err	Bradley		+0.4
40	18-22	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.0
41	19-22	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Cherlin Antonio		+1.8
42	19-23	BELMNT	BRAD	Serve err	Belmont		+2.2
43	20-23	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Mya Bolton	+1.0
44	21-23	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Mairen Mannon		+2.6
45	21-24	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+3.5
46	21-25	BRAD	BRAD	Blocked	Lucy Kay	blk Gracie Furlong, Adeline Goedheer	+1.9
Set 2
1	0-1	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+2.7
2	0-2	BRAD	BRAD	Blocked	Sydnee Nelson	blk Adeline Goedheer, Chloe Parker	+2.7
3	1-2	BRAD	BELMNT	Serve err	Bradley		+1.9
4	1-3	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.0
5	2-3	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.9
6	2-4	BELMNT	BRAD×4	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+2.1
7	2-5	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+2.8
8	2-6	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+2.6
9	2-7	BRAD	BRAD×4	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+2.4
10	3-7	BRAD	BELMNT×4	Serve err	Bradley		+1.5
11	4-7	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Blocked	Mairen Mannon	blk Lucy Kay	+2.4
12	5-7	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Blocked	Cherlin Antonio	blk Alivia Keegan, Lucy Kay	+2.7
13	6-7	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Blocked	Chloe Parker	blk Lucy Kay, Connie Kofoed	+2.9
14	6-8	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+2.3
15	6-9	BRAD	BRAD	Ace	Bradley	aced Connie Kofoed	+3.0
16	7-9	BRAD	BELMNT	Blocked	Cherlin Antonio	blk Alivia Keegan, Lucy Kay	+2.0
17	8-9	BELMNT	BELMNT	Ace	Belmont	aced Bradley	+3.0
18	8-10	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan	+2.4
19	8-11	BRAD	BRAD	Serve err	Bradley		+3.2
20	9-11	BRAD	BELMNT	Serve err	Bradley		+2.1
21	9-12	BELMNT	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.4
22	9-13	BRAD	BRAD×3	Attack err	Sydnee Nelson		+3.0
23	9-14	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.6
24	10-14	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.5
25	10-15	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.9
26	11-15	BRAD	BELMNT	Blocked	Cherlin Antonio	blk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen	+1.4
27	11-16	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.9
28	12-16	BRAD	BELMNT×4	Blocked	Chloe Parker	blk Lucy Kay, Connie Kofoed	+1.4
29	13-16	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Ace	Belmont	aced Gracie Furlong	+2.5
30	14-16	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Ace	Belmont		+3.2
31	15-16		BELMNT	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.8
32	15-17	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+3.2
33	16-17	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Connie Kofoed	set Alivia Keegan	+2.9
34	17-17	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay		+4.5
35	17-18	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon	set Maria Drapp	+3.6
36	18-18	BRAD	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+3.5
37	19-18	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+5.1
38	20-18	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Ace	Belmont	aced Ava Patchett	+5.0
39	21-18	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+4.2
40	21-19	BELMNT	BRAD	Serve err	Belmont		+2.3
41	22-19	BRAD	BELMNT	Bad set	Sydnee Nelson		+3.2
42	23-19	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen		+2.9
43	23-20	BELMNT	BRAD×5	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.0
44	23-21	BRAD	BRAD×5	Attack err	Sydnee Nelson		+2.6
45	23-22	BRAD	BRAD×5	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+4.8
46	23-23	BRAD	BRAD×5	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+8.0
47	23-24	BRAD	BRAD×5	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+10.8
48	24-24	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+7.9
49	24-25	BELMNT	BRAD	Serve err	Belmont		+7.9
50	24-26	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Gracie Furlong	+11.1
Set 3
1	0-1	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Adeline Goedheer	set Maria Drapp	+1.4
2	1-1	BRAD	BELMNT	Serve err	Bradley		+1.4
3	1-2	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+1.5
4	2-2	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.4
5	2-3	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+1.5
6	3-3	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen		+1.5
7	3-4	BELMNT	BRAD	Serve err	Belmont		+1.5
8	4-4	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.5
9	5-4	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+2.1
10	5-5	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.5
11	6-5	BRAD	BELMNT	Serve err	Bradley		+1.6
12	6-6	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.6
13	7-6	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.6
14	7-7	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+1.6
15	8-7	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan	+1.6
16	9-7	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Chloe Parker		+2.2
17	9-8	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Adeline Goedheer	+1.6
18	10-8	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.7
19	11-8	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Mairen Mannon		+2.1
20	11-9	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+1.4
21	12-9	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Connie Kofoed	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.6
22	12-10	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Mairen Mannon		+1.4
23	12-11	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+2.3
24	13-11	BRAD	BELMNT	Serve err	Bradley		+1.8
25	13-12	BELMNT	BRAD	Serve err	Belmont		+1.7
26	13-13	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.7
27	14-13	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Connie Kofoed	set Alivia Keegan	+2.0
28	14-14	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.0
29	14-15	BRAD	BRAD	Attack err	Sydnee Nelson		+3.0
30	15-15	BRAD	BELMNT	Serve err	Bradley		+2.1
31	15-16	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+2.3
32	15-17	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+3.1
33	16-17	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+2.1
34	17-17	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld		+3.3
35	17-18	BELMNT	BRAD×3	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+2.6
36	17-19	BRAD	BRAD×3	Attack err	Brenna Kauffeld		+3.5
37	17-20	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+3.2
38	18-20	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld		+1.8
39	19-20	BELMNT	BELMNT	Ace	Belmont		+3.3
40	19-21	BELMNT	BRAD×3	Kill	Chloe Parker	set Maria Drapp	+3.0
41	19-22	BRAD	BRAD×3	Kill	Cherlin Antonio	set Maria Drapp	+3.5
42	19-23		BRAD	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.3
43	20-23	BRAD	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.8
44	20-24	BELMNT	BRAD	Kill	Maria Drapp	set Eirini Bitsaktsi	+1.5
45	20-25	BRAD	BRAD	Kill	Gracie Furlong	set Maria Drapp	+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Belmont first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Bradley def. Belmont 3–0

Gracie Furlong hit .439 on 41 swings as Bradley edged Belmont.